Apple - Extremely Bearish Outlook - Andrew RoupasIn todays analysis, I will be looking at and breaking down the reasoning for my incredibly bearish stance against apple as we will be looking at the weekly time frame in todays breakdown. To begin, we can easily use prior levels of S&R in combination with Fibonacci levels of retracement, which in my opinion give us a clear map as to what will occur within the following weeks. We have obviously topped and this is clear by simple candlestick analysis as price has rejected numerous times on the Weekly and that the trend IMO is about to reverse. The floor is about to fall through and the first drop in price, based on fib levels that I have drawn, indicate $150 to be the target price which I have drawn a yellow line horizontally. Furthermore as we focus on the Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) specifically by focusing in on the histogram we can clearly see in my opinion a clear forecast of a drop in price. Buyers tried this past week to take back position, now that lower highs are being made and many buyers securing profits, this is a prime play in my opinion to short. Any comments or opinions would be greatly appreciated.
Microsoft (MSFT)
$MSFT Key Levels, Analysis & Targets$MSFT Key Levels, Analysis & Targets
My targets for the next swing.
Target 1- 279.81
Target 2- 262.53
Support- 238.07
Target 3- 233.25
And I’m looking for about a 19-22% swing.
I’ll update this as my orders fill…
GL & have fun!!
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On the far right of the chart is my Average (Grey) Current Target (Green), and Next Level to add (Red) Percentage to target is from my average.
ONLY ADD at support levels & FIB levels… labeled (most of the time)
(Support=Green, Resistance=Red, Trendlines=Blue) Fib will be labeled if any and their colors will vary.)
I start every position with .5 - 1% of my account and build from there as needed and as possible.
I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.
IF you need anything analyzed Technically just comment with the Ticker and I’ll do it as soon as possible…
Microsoft Trade Possibility It's been a very volatile 2 weeks since Jan 24th. We've seen some massive moves in both directions, mostly a "recovery" with 200, 300 point rallies. Earnings season is about over, and the rally was as expected.
CPI came out today, hotter than expected, and using older CPI methods, it's hotter than reported. Anyone can see that inflation is well over 10% when factoring in rent, food, cars, homes, and even utilities.
Consumer Sentiment will give us guidance as well as a falling sentiment tell us the consumer are more hesitant to spend. Personal credit set another record at $15 trillion dollars, as well as revolving credit increased. Consumers put more on credit cards last holiday season so this will dampen retail.
Microsoft on the 1M chart has lots of room to sell (RSI and MACD). The MACD is starting to come down on 1M, ready to cross like the Nasdaq is. It's possible that the short term rally/correction is over, but, it's to see. The Fed could continue to manipulate markets. If this sounds foreign, just Google "S&P vs Fed Balance Sheet". There is NO way it's a coincidence that Fed Balance Sheet grew at the same time the equities market grew.
Support
$300
$292
$280
Resistance Levels
$315
$306
200MA is $295
MSFT Microsoft W-shaped recoveryDan Ives from Wedbush Securities said that investors should focus on “oversold” tech stocks including Microsoft, Apple, Oracle, Adobe and Salesforce, “as well as core chip names ” and cybersecurity companies after Russia invaded Ukraine.
My target for MSFT is $312 for a W-shaped recovery.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
sell MSFT tradeHigh probability trade for NASDAQ:MSFT stock. I recommend opening 2 positions . 1st Position with Stop loss and take profit as shown here .the 2nd position has the same stop loss but with 261 take profit , when the first position closes and hits the take profit , move the Stop loss to entry price for the second position and wait for it to hit 261 or wait for a take profit update in this post .
This is a high probability trade with a great potential risk reward superior to 5 . In the markets There is never a 100% win probability .The idea is to have the odds in our favor and to be much more right than wrong .
Microsoft: Buy at Crucial Support Microsoft - Short Term - We look to Buy at 279.24 (stop at 272.73)
Preferred trade is to buy on dips. A higher correction is expected. Previous support located at 280.00. 280.00 continues to hold back the bears. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited.
Our profit targets will be 299.23 and 309.50
Resistance: 300.00 / 315.00 / 350.00
Support: 280.00 / 260.00 / 250.00
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WATCHING $MSFT for entryWATCHING $MSFT for entry
I only trade technically… I don’t care what is going on in the world. (I mean I do and let’s for peace)
But these are my targets for a MSFT Swing - This should bring at least a 20% swing.
Futures got crushed this weekend so lets see where this opens tomorrow.
GL
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I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. Check out my ideas, but also do your own due diligence.
I have a huge tolerance for volatility so please know that. If you’re new to my trade setups please try them on a small scale first. Then go in with a risk you’re comfortable with.
I am not a bull. I am not a bear. I just see what I see in the charts and I don’t pay too much attention to the noise in the news.
If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can. (If I have time)
And most importantly… Have fun, y’all!!
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2/21/22 MSFTMicrosoft Corp. ( NASDAQ:MSFT )
Sector: Technology Services (Packaged Software)
Market Capitalization: $2.159T
Current Price: $287.93
Breakdown price: $286.00
Sell Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $297.00-$312.00
Price Target: $276.00-$274.40 (1st), $233.00-$230.50 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 28-30d (1st), 68-71d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $MSFT 3/18/22 280p, 6/17/22 260p
Trade price as of publish date: $7.20/contract, $9.97/contract
ndx over gold pulling back seeking support $qqq $gold $aapl $spyNasdaq stocks as measured in gold are discounting quite a lot of bad potential news for the rest of the year. I have outlined possible support zones in the ndx/gold levels. Price to earning and price sales multiples are compressing so far, while some stocks have already seen significant discounts.
$MSFT $BA $BABA $BTCUSD I OptionsSwing WatchlistMSFT 1D I We have a possible head and shoulder pattern in formation on the daily chart for MSFT. The neckline is near $280, a break below can take us to $260.
BA 1D I Just as we expected we saw BA retrace to our $205-$210 support level. Overall, it is showing strength relative to the market, indicating the bull flag might break.
BABA 4H I Currently down more than 60% from ATH. We have a possible ascending triangle on BABA leading into earnings. BABA reports earnings on 02/24 pre-market.
BTCUSD 1D I Just as we mentioned last week we were expectinga pullback on BTC to near $38K. Now we want to see it hold above this level and make a higher low.
Don't fall for the NarrativeThere's a general narrative going around of "buy the dip" and "look at these undervalued stocks". The goal here is not to compare Facebook to Microsoft to Paypal as companies, but to look at relative price structure between a handful of popular stocks. In this case, we have a few giant companies; Tesla , Facebook and Microsoft , charted against the smaller Paypal and Netflix , and which have taken a recent beating (along with Facebook ). The lines in the chart are an 1800 week linear regression of Microsoft's per-dollar performance relative to the M2 . The lines don't mean anything and are merely a rough guideline of history-projected asset strength. The prices are M2 adjusted to account for money supply expansion.
Facebook has been underperforming since 2018 after making a huge run in 2013 onward, but the notion that "it's a good deal" hardly stands up if you look at the relative trajectory of Microsoft and Tesla . Facebook was one of the biggest to rise, and was one of the first to fall. Microsoft on the other hand has a huge history of being an efficient capital allocator, and will probably be one of the last to fall. Let's ask the question: If Microsoft and Tesla make the same correction as did Paypal and Facebook , do you think Paypal and Facebook will be lower or higher following this hypothetical correction? The gut feeling here is that Paypal/ Facebook / Netflix /Peloton etc. COULD end up falling even more, given that many of these larger cap stocks are still standing well. I would rather short Tsla / Msft than long Paypal/ Facebook / Netflix /Peloton etc. given the current environment.
It's easy to want to fomo into these stocks when you look at a year or two of history, but I think this paints a more realistic picture.
Good luck and hedge your bets :)
Note: The arrows are not price targets, just medium term directional indicators.
MSFT DailyMSFT, strong company with competitive advantage. On top on the shopping list, but for now it still looks bearish. Here are some zones to look at and key notes.
- Rejected 200dayMA.
- Can't go over neutral on the RSI.
- Moving averages curling down, downtrend momentum.
- Bearish market sentiment.
+ 50weeklyMA at 289, historically a good moving average to start looking for a buy.
+ Down 20% from high, good companies bounce faster and harder.
A sharp increase is expectedAccording to the pattern, stock is in the best entry position and two levels of price increase up to 0.35 and possibly 0.4 are foreseen. Highly recommended for Mid-term.
Microsoft (MSFT) | The safest target to climb📍Hello traders, Microsoft in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
The general structure of this counted wave is unclear and we need more waves to detect it.
Now, according to the count, the main waves 1 and 2 have been formed and now we are inside wave 3.
This wave 3 has formed its wave 4 in such a way that it can not be said that it is complete or this ascent that we are considering is part of wave 4.
In terms of time, wave 4 is normal compared to wave 3.
We are currently waiting for an uptrend that this trend may take place before the 270 range and possibly after this price at which the correction structure will change and possibly end in a leading triangle.
If the canal roof is broken upwards, it is a confirmation to start the upward movement.
🙏If you have an idea that helps me provide a better analysis, I will be happy to write in the comments🙏
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
AAPL - Daily / Apple Joins the Death Cross Cult of FANGsApple's Impulse Weakening Impulse Structure has finally broken.
We warned of this on February 6th, the Retracement was concluding
as many of the FANGs were seeing 55/199 Crosses occurring.
2C was a weak retracement, we were looking forward to more, but
it simply was not to be.
Yields crossing 1.691 were our LIS for the cross over 2% and onto 2.06
to and through 2.082 / 2.12 / 2.189 / 2.26 / 2.28 and on to the UTL
with a potential Throw over to 2.5%.
Apple will lead 3A (a powerful move lower to new lows) as its weighting
is sizeable for NQ.
As previously indicated 141s are the Initial Price Objective for 3/5 IT.
We believe it can move lower to the 411 EMA @ ~ 133.4.0.
Apple has lost the Edge in innovation and is unable to complete with the
Google's innovations and breadth of Carrier Market Integration.
After months of research into Global Access - the Edge Google has over
Apple is immense. The Pixel 6 is functionally a very basic, well made
Smartphone.
Where it excels is in AI Integration and Carrier switching.
I have begun converting to Google's Hardware and Service for all lines and
services, consolidating a number of Business Lines for Global use while
traveling outside the United States.
Apple is unable to offer anything remotely competitive, their claims to
developing a true Global Phone with improved carrier switching is quite
distant at this point in time.
Margin compression, Debt, a very Real Lack of Innovation (Share Buybacks
as opposed to CapEx Investment), and Accountants gaming the Future... Unlikely
Apple will ever return to its former Halcyon days as a leading TECH Innovator.
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Instead, APPLE will be the Anchor that drags the NQ to new Lows in 3/5 IT and
then 5/5 for the IT Correction.
5/5 will then take this Overhyped Cult to new ATHs into Q3 of 2022.
From there our price Target remains $35 into 2025.