VIX 20 years Later !What will fuel this next Bull Market?
#AI and exponential gains in productivity seem like a fair bet.
The technology won't manifest properly in the next few years of course.
But the speculation and new companies will.
20 years ago we saw the trendline of the #VIX break
coming out of 9/11 and right around the time of the Iraq war
Military spending, Lowering of rates, a Housing boom , and the rise of Google and culminating in the iphone.
Seems eerily similar to the current #macro environment
Microsoft (MSFT)
CRWD - Crowdstrike, this looks similar. Crowdstrike has been demolished in recent session on the back of poor Cybersecurity news / IT OUTAGES.
This type of sell usually gets a dead cat bounce like we saw in December of 2021.
However this decline usually proceeds more selling.
Notice how price respected each Fib level, but it did challenge and pierce each Fib level, shaking out buyers and sellers.
Im eyeing a quick bounce soon but a move lower move we complete that bounce.
How Did MSFT Stock Price React To Global Outage?How Did MSFT Stock Price React To Global Outage?
On 19th July, a global outage occurred. Numerous computers running Windows worldwide experienced "blue screens of death" (BSOD), affecting companies in different sectors, including airlines, hospitals, media, banks, and others.
The outage was caused by a CrowdStrike's Falcon Sensor update, a component of the Windows system that essentially works to protect computers from cyber threats. CrowdStrike quickly acknowledged the issue, stating that it was not a cyberattack but an update error, and suggested a solution.
According to CNBC, the large-scale outage did not significantly impact the operation of most financial markets. Representatives of the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq stated on Friday that they were operating despite the issues with the CrowdStrike update. The only noticeable unpleasant consequence for most was the inability to calculate the Russell stock indices, including the popular Russell 2000. However, the confusion was resolved later on Friday.
At the same time, the large-scale outage affected stock prices, including Microsoft. In pre-market trading on Friday, MSFT's price dropped below $430, but during the main session, the price managed to rise above it. As technical analysis of the MSFT chart shows, the $430 level is important – as it acted as resistance in March-May 2024. Therefore, its role as support might be justified by analysts.
Additionally, the MSFT share price is near the lower boundary of the upward channel (shown in blue), which may provide additional support. However, no one can guarantee that the mentioned support levels will lead to a subsequent bullish impulse.
On 19th July, we wrote about bearish signs on META stock charts. These are bearish aggression signs, which are concerning:
→ the price's inability to reach the upper boundary of the blue channel in early July;
→ a wide bearish gap when breaking through the median on 17th July.
Wall Street analysts remain positive for now. According to TipRanks, the average forecast for MSFT is $504.12 (+15.33% from the current price) over the next 12 months.
Microsoft's Q2 earnings report, scheduled for release on 30 July, has the potential to significantly alter the balance of sentiments.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
MSFT: A Potential Buy Amid Market Volatility.Given the current technical indicators and market conditions, here is a speculative trading strategy for MSFT:
Long Position:
Entry Point: Consider entering a long position if the price approaches the strong support level around $418.53.
Price Target: Aim for the resistance level at $455.40 initially, with a potential to reach $492.85 in the medium term.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss at $410 to mitigate potential losses.
Short Position:
Entry Point: If the stock breaks below the $418.53 support level, consider a short position.
Price Target: Target the next support level at $390.10.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss at $430 to limit potential losses.
Examining the candlestick patterns, MSFT has displayed a series of red candles with significant upper wicks, suggesting persistent selling pressure. The price action reflects a bearish sentiment in the short term, but the long-term trend remains bullish, supported by the company’s robust fundamentals and continuous growth in its cloud computing division, Azure.
MSFT support 438.8 .382/50% =wave 4 5th ahead 473/488The chart posted is that of MSFT we have now dropped .066 % and this is equal to the last wave drop making waves 2 and 4 equal .And the drop is .50 % of the rally from 404.5 to the peak 469.25 and we are also at .382 of the rally from 388 low april , if we break here I would look for the decline to drop to 431.5/428.8 before we turnup and see the last up phase in the Bull market targets are from 473 to 488 I lead towards 481
Go Long, Go Wealth (Microsoft)Microsoft made a significant move today. Based on my analysis, the price is expected to retrace to either the $438 or $429 level.
I anticipate that the price will stabilize at one of these levels before a potential reversal occurs.
Although I am not directly trading MSFT, I have invested in SPUS, which is following a similar trajectory.
MSFT: Technical Weakness Ahead of EarningsNASDAQ:MSFT reports next week but is having some selling pressure ahead of its report. The two very small-bodied indecision candlesticks with wicks and tails, and now followed by a larger down day, indicate weakness for potentially more downside. However, because weak to moderate support levels are not far off, selling short is not a good idea for swing traders.
MSFT: Potential Top SignalThe daily chart of MSFT highlights a potential top signal characterized by a bearish candlestick pattern following a strong uptrend. This signal indicates a possible reversal or at least a significant pullback. The bearish candlestick pattern near the top suggests that sellers are gaining control after a strong bullish run.
A key level to watch on the daily chart is the bullish rejection support line at $458.97, which is the low of the previous bullish candlestick. The 21-day EMA is another critical support level that can provide additional confirmation of the trend direction.
The hourly chart provides a more granular view of the recent price action, showing a bearish pivot point around $464.47. This level marks the point where the price has shown a significant rejection, forming a lower high and a subsequent lower low, indicating a bearish trend in the short term. The red arrows on the chart highlight the direction of the recent downward movement, suggesting continued bearish pressure.
The potential top signal on the daily chart and the bearish pivot point on the hourly chart indicate a possible continuation of the downward movement. If the price breaks below the $458.97 support line with increased volume, the 21 EMA (D) will be its next technical target.
If the price manages to hold above the $458.97 support line and shows signs of reversal, such as bullish candlestick patterns, it could indicate a resumption of the uptrend. It all depends on how it’ll react now that it is approaching its key support level.
In summary, MSFT is showing potential bearish signals with a top signal on the daily chart and a bearish pivot point on the hourly chart. However, key support levels need to be monitored for any signs of reversal.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
Microsoft's Earnings: A Prudent Approach for InvestorsInvestors often face a dilemma when considering whether to buy a stock just before its earnings announcement or wait it out. This decision can have significant implications for their portfolios. Currently, software giant Microsoft presents investors with precisely this dilemma, as it prepares to unveil its fiscal third-quarter numbers after Thursday's closing bell. While the company has shown impressive performance in recent times, concerns have arisen due to a recent decline in its stock. This prompts the question: should investors anticipate disappointing Q3 results, or could this be an overreaction with potential bullish catalysts in the earnings report?
While predicting the future remains elusive, refraining from purchasing Microsoft stock ahead of Thursday's report appears prudent from a risk-management perspective. Here's why:
Firstly, short-term fluctuations, including those triggered by earnings reports, often pale in comparison to long-term trends. Regardless of Friday's outcome, the impact on Microsoft's trajectory over the next five years is likely to be minimal. Thus, optimizing trade entries based on short-term movements may not align with a long-term investment horizon.
Moreover, recent history serves as a reminder. Despite exceeding expectations in the last quarter, Microsoft experienced a slight decline post-earnings due to disappointing guidance. While past events may not perfectly predict future outcomes, they can offer insights into market behavior.
Another factor to consider is the current market sentiment. The intensified selling of Microsoft shares suggests investor caution ahead of the earnings release. Whether due to perceived overvaluation or broader market weakness, this reluctance to hold the stock warrants attention.
However, exercising caution does not guarantee a decline post-earnings. Microsoft's fundamental strengths, including its dominance in the personal computer ecosystem and significant strides in cloud computing and artificial intelligence, position it for long-term growth. Analysts anticipate robust revenue and earnings growth in the foreseeable future.
For those hesitant to act, patience may be a virtue. While delaying may not yield substantial benefits, it aligns with a focus on the bigger picture. Microsoft's enduring value transcends quarterly fluctuations, making it a compelling long-term investment.
Ultimately, the decision to buy or wait hinges on individual risk tolerance and investment goals. While uncertainty looms over Thursday's earnings, Microsoft's solid fundamentals suggest that any short-term volatility presents buying opportunities for those with a long-term perspective.
MICROSOFT $450 Target hit. Potential consolidation ahead.Microsoft (MSFT) easily hit our $450.00 medium-term Target that we called on our last signal (May 01, see chart below):
That call came on the most optimal buy entry, with the price right at the bottom of the 18-month Channel Up. The symmetry between the pattern's Legs is very high and based on the previous Bullish Leg (dotted Channel Up), we should now get a medium-term consolidation to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and then resume the uptrend.
The Higher High was priced just above the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level. As a result, our next Target is $480.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
MSFT Formation of a TOP in 5th of5 of 5The chart posted is that of MSFT as I call it Mr MARKET . I took long calls in early trade today and sold nice % gain I will however be looking to move into a major long PUTS into the target area posted 458/465 focus is now 458.8 to 462 I have cycles and price in what is know as Harmony . This should also peak into July 5 to the 11th see Gold ratio SPIRALS posted best of trades WAVETIMER
MSFT / Microsoft Idea I.Hey guys,
Yearly chart: Bullish Eng.
--> Strong Resistance at 449 and 522
--> This is the first point where some Profit taking could come.
Quarterly: Bullish - although gains are weak compared to the months before.
Monthly: Bullish Candle
--> Stochastic bearish Divergence
--> Bullish Trendline intact
3D: Ascending Triangle Formation
--> break above would be extremely bullish because Bears are meant to take over.
Target Bulls: 485 - 582
Target bears: 410 - 388
Thanks for reading…
Microsoft MSFT - Almost back at All-Time HighsOne confirmation that the market is in recovery: Major stocks, such as Microsoft, are approaching All-time High levels again. MSFT has been trending upward above the 50 and 200 Day EMAa for several weeks. While others are talking doom and gloom for the markets, you have evidence that they missed the bottom and are only hoping for a second chance. Of course fundamentals always trump technicals. Anything can happen. Fed rate hikes with the debt ceiling looming could result in the perfect storm. Setting all of that aside, the technicals say we are going to the moon. So, put on your space suit rocket man.
$msft could trigger nq bearish cascadeNASDAQ:MSFT and $appl both look very similar to me, with a potential swing top forming.
NASDAQ:MSFT has been held up with the rate inflation narrative that pump the mag 7 and now it's connection with OpenAI. The market has signaled a broadening over the last 6 months or so, with most of the remaining opportunity centered around value stocks. If this isn't the swing top for msft, it's very close. once appl and msft go, it will likely signal the swing tops across the market.
Microsoft's Balance Sheet: A Snapshot of Financial HealthAnalyzing Microsoft's Balance Sheet: A Snapshot of Financial Health
Microsoft Corporation, a global leader in technology and software solutions, demonstrates robust financial performance through its recent balance sheet disclosures. Analyzing data from March 31, 2024, and June 30, 2024, alongside trends over the past six quarters, provides valuable insights into Microsoft's financial health and strategic direction.
Total Assets Growth
Microsoft's total assets stood at $484.28 billion as of March 31, 2024, with a slight decrease to $411.98 billion by June 30, 2024. This reflects ongoing investments in cloud computing infrastructure (Azure), software development, and strategic acquisitions, reinforcing its market leadership and technological capabilities.
Total Liabilities and Equity Dynamics
Over the same period, Microsoft's total liabilities decreased from $231.12 billion to $205.75 billion, indicating efficient debt management and operational effectiveness. Shareholder's equity declined slightly from $253.15 billion to $206.22 billion, influenced by adjustments in retained earnings and comprehensive income.
Net Debt and Strategic Implications
Microsoft's net debt position has fluctuated, transitioning from negative in previous quarters to positive as of June 30, 2024. This shift underscores dynamic cash management strategies aimed at optimizing liquidity and supporting growth initiatives, including research and development, global expansion, and shareholder returns.
Strategic Focus and Future Outlook
Microsoft's financial resilience underscores its strategic focus on innovation across its diversified portfolio, including productivity software (Office 365), gaming (Xbox), and enterprise solutions. As the technology landscape evolves, Microsoft's robust financial position and agile business strategy position it for sustained growth and value creation.
In conclusion, Microsoft's balance sheet reflects a company adept at navigating complex market dynamics while maintaining a strong financial footing. The strategic deployment of capital, coupled with disciplined financial management, underscores Microsoft's commitment to delivering long-term value to shareholders and stakeholders.
As Microsoft continues to innovate and expand its global footprint, its ability to leverage emerging opportunities and manage challenges will be crucial in shaping its future growth trajectory and reinforcing its position as a leader in the technology industry.
Disclaimer:
This content has been automatically generated by an AI system and should be used for entertainment purposes only. It should not be used for any other purpose, such as making financial decisions. The information provided may contain errors, inconsistencies, or outdated information. It is provided as-is without any warranties or guarantees of accuracy. We disclaim any liability for damages or losses resulting from the use or reliance on this content.
Big Tech is nearly at All time High's. Just 3% away!It has doubled since the peak Recession fears of 2021
#BTC has also more than doubled
#SOL has 4 or 5 X'd
This chart is combined price chart of
#Googl
#Appl
#MSFT
#Amzn
#NVDA
#NFLX
#META
U can see the two head and shoulder tops in 2021
and also the inverse head and shoulders in 2022
The clean break and run.
And also the Bull Pennant which has already bullishly triggered 3 weeks ago.
From these levels if that Bull pennant target is to be met (log scale)
It seems this basket has another 30% move left in it.
Microsoft Next High & Target is Channel Top $570, ( AB = CD )Microsoft is Trending within the Channel. Next High and Target is the "Channel Top" at $570. Additionally, the ( AB = CD ) concept indicates that the AB impulse is Equal to the CD impulse.
I want to help people Make Profit all over the "World". Additionally, I am Eager to Receive Money form Worldwide because of my Potential. Thank you