Microsoft (MSFT)
Weekly charts peovide important information!In these charts, you see weekly candlestick patterns are Identical for the 7 biggest tech companies:
AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, AMZN, TSLA, FB, and NVDA have made a bearish candlestick pattern last week.
MSFT, GOOG, AMZN, and TSLA made Bearish engulfing pattern or Brarish outside bar! after a bullish rally in the past 6-8 weeks!
S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 also made the same pattern:
Short interest for these tickers is between 0.55-1% except for TSLA which is 2.56% and AMD 6.25%.
And, Put/Call Open Interest for the next 30 days is between 0.74 to 1.8, which is relatively high for these tickers..!
Having said that,
In December 2021, the stock market will face challenges such as Omicron, Fiscal year budget, Debt Ceiling, and Quadruple witching!
I am confident that we are going to see a very volatile December and possibly a correction!
You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
A review on November 22 post!Please review the post on November 22, 2021:
Title: The overwhelming pressure of Sellers! (This post was not public)
these charts have common features:
1-They are all Giant Tech companies! (except RBLX )
2- They have above-average price volume!
3- They had a bullish rally recently!
4- They start the day well but closed at the lowest daily trading price!
5- They are among the top 10 daily Price Volume leaders!
6- They made long upper shadows and some made a long bearish engulfing pattern!
Having said that Do not expect good days ahead for techs!
Corrections seem inevitable!
All correct except AAPL..! All prices decreased 4-12% in the past 2 weeks!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
Microsoft softening up for a fall. MSFTAnyone else notice this triple divergence that already formed? Who knows what will happen with this large cap, as it is constantly propped by bail out coof money, but lets see anyway.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
buy the dip for a year end ripbasically the damage behind closed doors has been huge for L/S managers. gross exposure down 17% the past couple months. Only 5 times has gross leverage among HF's come down over 15% the last 10 years, each time was a buy signal for risk on assets (NDX). The pain trade for L/S managers is a year end rally while they are under exposed and playing catch up to save face on the year. Long
When there is panic, use the weeklyThe Nasdaq100 has been strong, and its trend is still bullish; however, short term we might see some more selling to test the bottom of the channel.
It's a great exercise on any chart to use maybe 1 or 2 moving averages as use a weekly candlestick chart to see the bigger picture.
Breaking below the Neck line!Microsoft is one of the most stable bullish trends, but it seems sellers overwhelming sell..!
there could be a possible rebound(50-65% chance) and then another leg down!
You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
My Apple analysis is failed, but...Before this trading week, I published my target price analysis for AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, AMZN, TSLA, FB, NVDA, AMD, LCID, and the major indexes!
I was bearish on all of them..!
While my apple analysis failed, others became right! and the statistics show 1 in 12, which is 91.5% correctness!
I know people tend to lean toward those who are writing about "Going to Moon", but I do not like Deception!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
MSFT: an average entry of $315 would be awesome MSFT quick chart reading and a possible scneario that can provide a nice long entry at around 10% discount from the highs.
We're setting up for a repeat of that zigzag trade on MSFT on the ascending channel - if the expected scenario unfolds - bottom fishing season is on :) - need patience.
we look at entery between $322 and $310 .. or we can scale in with an average entry price of ~$315 - somewhere within the next 2-3 weeks - target entry zone marked on the chart for simplicity
the BSI and v.viewer in the lower panels both support that setup
- this is only one of many possible scenarios - not a trade recommendation. we also need to see confirmation of reversal when we reach that bottom level.
please trade carefully and DYOR.
Microsoft | Fundamental Analysis | Long Setup | MUST READ ! Microsoft recently became the subject of heated controversy following Satya Nadella selling more than half of his shares for about $285 million at the beginning of last week. As per an F-4 filing, the CEO sold 838,584 shares at prices ranging from $334.37 to $349.22, reducing his total stake to 830,791 shares.
Should investors be worried about such an extensive deal? Let's go back to Nadella's achievements, his salary, and previous stock sales to come to some conclusion.
When Nadella took over as Microsoft's third CEO seven years ago, the tech behemoth was in serious difficulty. New cloud services were undermining its desktop software, Windows users were adamantly sticking with legacy versions of the OS, and the company was losing out to Apple and Alphabet's Google in the mobile market.
But Nadella extremely altered things by actively developing the company's cloud services, redefining Windows as a cloud service, and dropping Windows Phone to launch new mobile apps for iOS and Android.
Microsoft's cloud business has been a major driver of the company's growth, with revenues rising from $86.8 billion in fiscal 2014 to $168.1 billion in fiscal 2021, which ended in June of this year, and EPS more than tripling.
With this growth, Microsoft's market value has risen from $300 billion on Nadella's first day in office to nearly $2.5 trillion today. So Nadella unquestionably earns to sell some of his stock after this historic rally.
In the fiscal year 2021, Satya Nadella's total compensation rose 13% to $49.9 million. This amount includes a base salary of $2.5 million, equity compensation of $33 million, and non-equity incentives of $14.2 million.
Thus, Nadella's latest deal pictures several years of cumulative stock awards. The deals also represent Nadella's only non-equity direct sales in the past two years.
Microsoft CFO Amy Hood also sold 60,000 shares (11% of the stock she owned at the time) at an average price of $303.08 in a direct transaction on Sept. 1. This was Hood's first direct sale since last September.
These insider sales are not certainly an indication that Microsoft is facing difficulties. Executives sell their stock all the time for personal reasons that have nothing to do with the company's immediate and long-term prospects. For example, Microsoft co-founder and first CEO Bill Gates sold most of his stock before leaving the board in early 2020 - but the company's stock has continued to rise.
Over the past three years, Microsoft stock has nearly tripled, and in the past 12 months alone, it has risen more than 50 percent. Analysts expect the company's revenues and profits to grow 17% and 14%, respectively, this year, but the stock certainly isn't cheap -- it's worth 36 times its projected earnings.
This higher ratio -- along with macroeconomic factors such as inflation, supply chain pressures, and the new COVID-19 option -- may have convinced Nadella, Hood, and other Microsoft insiders to sell some of their shares. Nevertheless, Nadella's shareholding will increase again this year as he gets more stock bonuses.
In general, it's more useful for investors to track insider deals at struggling companies -- where insiders can make rosy promises of a turnaround while dumping their own stock -- than at successful companies.
Microsoft is one incredibly successful company, and Nadella's big sale doesn't suggest that its long-term prospects have changed. As an outside investor, you also won't be entitled to more stock like Nadella, who can afford to sell his stock repeatedly because it makes up most of his paycheck.
So it makes no sense to short Microsoft just because the CEO sold half of his current stake. Instead, investors should be looking at Microsoft's cloud growth and expansion of its ecosystem, rather than worrying about Satya Nadella's well-deserved salary.
MSFT - STOCKS - 18. OCT. 2021Welcome to our Weekly V2-Trade Setup ( MSFT ) !
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4 HOUR
Overall bullish market structure..
DAILY
Great fundamentals and technicals.
WEEKLY
Nice long setup!
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STOCK SETUP
BUY MSFT
ENTRY LEVEL @ 304.18
SL @ 291.89
TP @ Open
Max Risk: 0.5% - 1%!
(Remember to add a few pips to all levels - different Brokers!)
Leave us a comment or like to keep our content for free and alive.
Have a great week everyone!
ALAN
Microsoft possible price target for the coming week!MSFT could move toward 320 once again and this means put options have high return potentials this week!
Important price patterns in the Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site
AAPL, MSFT, & NFLX ShortNow I just got Pro+ on Black Friday sale so I'm having some fun with the chart layout.
Here's the reasoning for my shorts:
AAPL:
- Bearish Rising Wedge
- Decreasing volume to pair
MSFT:
- Bear Flag in massive pivot zone
NFLX:
- Quite large double top after significant uptrend
- Neckline recognized as pivot point
- Decreasing volume to pair
Note: I would only short these two on the breakout below and possibly a retest.
Happy Shorting,
Stefan
HOOD - ROBINHOOD BOTTOM - BE READYAll,
First off I hate Robinhood as a trading platform and what they put their users through. However, supply and demand do exist. I think for sure $17ish on RH here is a for sure bounce. Maybe a little sooner depends but all downtrends end in the $17ish range. Add alerts around 19-18-17 and just watch it.
us30 shorts finally activeQuick analysis on us30
We have been rejecting from the 36250 key level on the daily timeframe
It appears we are breaking the low of a bear flag formation
I like 36000 to be the first target as a quick trade
but with the bear flag it looks like 35750 is its final destination.
I will be entering this trade on the minute chart (1minute or 5 minute)
Looking for about a 25 point risk with a 75 point profit target or 36000
Then I will attempt to reshort it after the pull back correction with a smaller position down to 35750.
All things pointing bearish.
If we open and pop above 36250 I most likely wont take any position or take my short idea off
Too Many Windows Makes Me Micro Soft this stock has had one too many pies don't mind me it could be the whisky
one too many pies
PIES
NASDAQ:MSFT
CAPITALCOM:MSFT
SWB:MSF
MOEX:MSFT-RM
BCBA:MSFT
BMFBOVESPA:MSFT34
XETR:MSF
BMV:MSFT
NEO:MSFT LSE:MSFT
SIX:MSFT
SIX:MSFT.USD
LSIN:0QYP
MIL:MSFT
BCBA:MSFTD
BCS:MSFT
BCBA:MSFTC
EURONEXT:MSF
EUREX:MSTF1!
HKEX:4338
BVL:MSFT
CHIXAU:TCXMSF
FWB:MSF
TVC:NDX
NASDAQ:NDX
SKILLING:NASDAQ
NASDAQ:NDAQ
NASDAQ:QQQM
NASDAQ:QQQ