GGPI is AAPL and LCID is MSFT - Let the Battle begin !!!!Huge volume spike!!! With 100 M outstanding shares compared to LCID's 1.6 B (92% owned by institutions - low supply/rising demand), with cars already on the road in Europe, an AAPL like showrooms in the US, fixed price models, made from recycled materials with massive distance on a single charge, autonomous capabilities, and a stylish frame, there is no doubt Polestar is a GEM. Backed by Volvo. I don't post often, but I do post when I see an opportunity. I predicted LEU and I believe PAYO is about to blast off. Enjoy the ride (Keep in mind this is a SPAC - likely to follow LCID pattern of massive rise, selloff at merger, consolidation, and then revaluation 9 months later. My plan is buy now, sell 1/2 prior to merger, buy more at discount with profits ).
I'm not a financial adviser and this is not financial advice - just my opinion. Best of luck.
Microsoft (MSFT)
Most Possible scenario for Microsoft in the next few days!Microsoft will remain neutral for a while unless it brokes below 330 or above 340 and remain there constantly!
The fair price based on multiple fundamental analyses is around 360, which is 10% above the current price!
Microsoft has never experienced a correction of more than 9% in the past trading year! and it is unlikely to close below 300-306 in 2021!
Conclusion: Microsoft will be considered Neutral unless we see a wild move..!
You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
US30 short opportunityNow that we are trading at the 36250 key level we are forming a bearish flag under levels of resistance.
I see us in being in a A, B, C elliot wave move down to about the 36100 level where prior support was
I will be looking to enter this trade on the 5 minute time frame for precise entries.
Sign of weakness and correction!You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts!
They all have 1 thing in common, price advanced at a lower volume in the past week (except AMZN), while this pattern of behavior could last for a while, in most cases, it leads to a correction!
Tesla also suffers from the same problem!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
Microsoft | Fundamental Analysis | Must Read...Microsoft's stock price reached an all-time high after the tech behemoth published its first-quarter earnings report last Tuesday. The company's revenue increased 22% year-over-year to $45.3 billion, beating analysts' forecasts by $1.3 billion. Adjusted earnings surged 25% to $2.27 per share, $0.19 above expectations.
For the second quarter, Microsoft management expects revenue growth of 16% to 18% year-over-year, which also beat analysts' expectations of 14%.
Microsoft's performance is majestic, but some investors may not crave to buy its stock after its price has already risen almost 50% in 2021. Let's look at a few reasons to buy Microsoft stock, as well as one argument for selling it, to see if it is still an attractive investment at these prices.
First and foremost, of course, is the growth of Microsoft Cloud Computing.
Microsoft's dramatic growth over the past seven years has been booste by the expansion of its cloud services, particularly Azure, Office 365, Dynamics, LinkedIn, and other cloud software. The business records the performance of these businesses together as "Microsoft Cloud."
In the first quarter, Microsoft Cloud's revenue grew 36% year over year to $20.7 billion, matching the 36% growth rate in the fourth quarter.
Revenue from Azure, the most thoroughly supervised segment of Microsoft Cloud, grew 48% on a constant currency basis. That represents an acceleration from Azure's 45% growth on a constant currency basis in the fourth quarter and should allay fears of a possible slowdown.
Azure's share of the global cloud infrastructure market also grew from 19% to 21% between the third quarters of 2020 and 2021, according to Canalys. That puts it in second place behind Amazon Web Services (AWS), whose year-over-year market share was unchanged at 32%.
Microsoft probably could not have achieved this growth without Satya Nadella, who took over as third CEO in 2014 and aggressively expanded these services with his mantra "mobile first, cloud first."
Second, we should not forget the recovery of favorable trends.
Over the past few years, Microsoft has become a fast-growth company again, but it continues to return tens of billions of dollars to its investors.
During the pandemic, several Microsoft enterprise services, including Office 365 Commercial, Dynamics 365, and LinkedIn Marketing Solutions, were disrupted as businesses closed.
However, as businesses resumed operations, those factors eased. In the first quarter, Office 365 and Dynamics 365 provided an acceleration in growth on a constant currency basis, and LinkedIn Marketing continued to grow.
The growth of these "resurgent" segments, along with the continued growth of Azure and other cloud services, is offsetting the slowdown in Microsoft's Surface and Xbox units, which suffered from chip shortages and other supply chains constraints in the first quarter.
Finally, it's returning a lot of cash to shareholders.
In the fiscal year 2021, Microsoft spent more than $39 billion on dividends and stock buybacks, accounting for about 70% of free cash flow (FCF). The company will spend another $10.9 billion, or 58% of FCF, on both activities in the first quarter of 2022.
Microsoft's forward dividend yield of 0.8% won't drag serious investors, but the company has reduced its stock by nearly 10% over the past seven years, offsetting the dilution from stock-based compensation plans.
Still, there is one single reason to sell Microsoft: its valuation.
Today Microsoft is worth $2.4 trillion, about eight times its market value of $300 billion when Satya Nadella became its CEO.
The company's stock currently trades at 13 times this year's sales forecast and 35 times its earnings forecast. Those estimates are slightly overstated compared to analysts' expectations for sales growth of 14% and earnings growth of 9% this year.
Massive market capitalization and high valuations could make it tough for Microsoft to repeat its multiple growth over the past seven years.
Microsoft stock is priced very high, but bears have been sounding the alarm about th is for years while the company's stock has been soaring. Still, most would agree that Microsoft deserves such a high valuation because it is still a perfect long-term investment that will continue to profit from the expanding cloud services market.
QQQ at range bottomThe QQQ is testing the bottom of its range.
Stochastic RSI has been helpful to signal a bottom, once %K goes above %D while testing the bottoms range.
There is also a horizontal support line from the last week of June, which was a breakout to all-time highs.
Risk-reward-ratio is great placing a stop below yesterday's low, and a profit0exit at the top of the range.
If you think technical analysis does not work, look at this!I published this analysis on October 18, 2021.
Today, you can see it hit the target zone!
If you have no time to learn different tools in technical analysis, at least do yourself a favor and learn how to use regression channels!
However, Regression channels are not pure technical analysis!
It is actually a statistical tool..!
Most quant funds use statistical models to open and close their position..!
The most famous model is mean reversion!
What Is Regression?
Regression is a statistical method used in finance, investing, and other disciplines that attempt to determine the strength and character of the relationship between one dependent variable (usually denoted by Y) and a series of other variables (known as independent variables).
Now, let's consider Y=Price and X=Time!
Now, you should do the math..! But do not forget we have different types of regression models: Quadratic, Qubic, Sinusoidal, and logistic...etc.
Look at these examples:
Bitcoin:
Solana:
NFLX:
USOIL: