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Microsoft (MSFT)

MICROSOFT Correction under the MA50 (1d) expected.Microsoft is trading inside a 14month Channel Up. The MA50 (1d) is supporting since October 6th 2023, which is the same time length as the last Bullish Leg of the Channel Up. It seems we are in a similar Bullish Megaphone Top formation. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price. Targets: 1. 395.00 (Support 1, which was the target during the previous Channel Up correction). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is also forming an identical Bearish Megaphone as the June-July 2023 top. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by TradingBrokersView
MSFT: The risks of selling shortNASDAQ:MSFT ran down yesterday but is reaching the low of the support today. The next tier of support is outlined also from the Dec-Jan Buy Zone ahead of earnings season. The risk day traders are taking selling short is if it runs below the low of the support and the Dark Pools surface to buy below its fundamental price level. This is why selling short is risky at this time. Support is around $397. The big question is where are the lows for fundamental levels for the next quarterly report. MSFT had higher revenues with slightly lower earnings. The CFO did not adjust earnings. It could gap or run down on news, but fundamentals are not way below the current price.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
$MSFT to go above $450 for blow off top?NASDAQ:MSFT had a strong bounce from $397 and looks set to continue a move higher. I think we could see a very strong move over the next few weeks which sends MSFT up and over the $450 range to new highs. If we get up there, I think this will end up being the final move for MSFT before heading much lower. Yes, I was too early on my original top call , however, still think the same outcome will prevail after hitting this range. Will update the bearish view if this top gets hit. I bought 3/8 $450C prior to NVDA earnings, let's see if this range gets hit before then.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by benjihyam
Microsoft Bullish Cup and Handle Microsoft - NASDAQ:MSFT A bullish monthly and weekly chart: ✅Monthly MACD Cross ✅ Long Term parallel channel intact ✅ Above 200 day & week MA ✅ Cup and Handle (with a high handle - Preferred) ✅ Good Risk: Reward Ratio at 7.6 (51%+ vs -7% loss) ⚠️ Stop loss levels on chart 🫡 A great set up. Those that are patient could wait for a potential pull back (arrow on chart) as we are reaching into overbought levels on the RSI on the weekly. It would not be unusual for Microsoft to pull back 5-8%. The R:R would be significantly improved if you waited and if it led to an entry from approx. $350 (after a 5-8% pull back), this would line up with the 200 DSMA also. However there are no guarantees of a pull back. Those half as cautious could enter half a position here and see what happens and place another entry at $350. All in all the $330 - 335 red box area on the chart is an absolute stop loss level. If this level is lost I would be out of the trade fast. So you have options with this set up: 1) Entry here with a tight 7% stop. 2) Half a position here and half at approx. $350 with a stop at $335. 3) You wait for $350 and you place your stop at $330. These all result in a similar loss of 5 - 7% in the event the trade fails. The upside potential is always 50%+. You can always cut early also at target one and take something at the 26% profit level. It important you take full responsibility for your trade, position accordingly and be ok with the small 5-7% loss as it will likely happen, we are only leaning on the probability that maybe 60-70% of the time these trade set up provide us the return we want. I have not really ventured into the earnings or dividends however they are both positive contributors to this trade as earnings have been excellent and dividends whilst minimal, are dividends at the end of the day. We are here for the trade and play a set up off the chart. The fundamental's are just nice framing for the stock in our minds eye. PUKA
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by PukaCharts
38
Microsoft's Deal With Mistral AI Faces Regulatory ScrutinyMicrosoft's ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) recent collaboration with French startup Mistral AI has sparked outrage among European lawmakers, prompting calls for a thorough investigation into what is perceived as a consolidation of power by the Redmond-based company. The European Union, already scrutinizing Microsoft's partnership with OpenAI, raised additional alarms as news broke of the tech giant's 15-million euro investment in Paris-based Mistral AI. The investment, earmarked for integrating Mistral's AI models into Microsoft's Azure cloud computing platform, has set off a wave of apprehension regarding potential antitrust violations and monopolistic practices. Despite assurances from Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) that its investment does not confer ownership in Mistral, but rather equity in future funding rounds, skepticism persists among policymakers in Brussels. The deal has fueled concerns that Microsoft's growing influence in the European AI landscape could stifle competition and innovation, particularly among smaller startups. The timing of the announcement, coinciding with ongoing discussions surrounding the EU's comprehensive AI Act, has further exacerbated tensions. Mistral's purported lobbying efforts for exemptions under the AI Act have drawn scrutiny, with some lawmakers questioning the authenticity of claims regarding the protection of European startups. European Parliament members, including Brando Benefei and Kim van Sparrentak, have raised doubts about Mistral's motivations and its alignment with American-influenced tech lobbying efforts. Allegations of a concerted effort to circumvent regulations under the guise of supporting "European champions" have cast a shadow over the integrity of negotiations surrounding the AI Act. Alexandra Geese echoed concerns over the concentration of power and resources, urging for a thorough investigation into Mistral's conduct and potential collusion with the French government. The call for scrutiny underscores broader apprehensions regarding the unprecedented convergence of money and influence in the tech industry. As calls for investigation mount, Max von Thun of the Open Markets Institute emphasizes the urgency of assessing the partnership's implications. The perceived discrepancy between Mistral's advocacy as a "European champion" and its alignment with Microsoft's interests underscores the need for regulatory vigilance in safeguarding fair competition and innovation. In response to inquiries, both Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) and Mistral AI have declined to comment, while the French government remains silent on the matter. With stakeholders clamoring for transparency and accountability, the EU faces mounting pressure to address concerns over tech giant influence and ensure a level playing field for all players in the rapidly evolving digital landscape.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by DEXWireNews
SMCI - builds the data centers for AI and is hotter than hotSuper Microcomputer is on hard run up trend- at its all-time high, this stock is demonstrating a high tight bull flag pattern. In a massive move SCMI is up 180% YTD five months so on pace for 400% annualized. Most experts expect more of the same. It is currently resting in consolidation ( the tight channel of the pattern) The zero-lag MACD shows the lines about to cross over the histogram. I will watch this stock for either a bullish continuation or a pullback. Its fundamentals are outstanding and its collaboration with NVDA will carry it far. I will wait for a great entry and take a big bite. This stock's P/E makes it an incredible bargain.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by AwesomeAvani
4
Microsoft Replicating 1987 SPX ChartSince Microsoft bought ChatGPT back in March 2023, the price of NASDAQ:MSFT stock has gone on to replicate the same pattern as the 1987 S&P500 stock market rally. Does it mean anything all by itself? No. It still needs a catalyst for the drop to happen. The 1987 stock market crash had many triggers and catalysts and the drop was a sharp 40% from August 28th, 1987 to October 19th 1987. What would cause a sharp 40% drop in NASDAQ:MSFT ? You all could type in your guess in a reply to this chart. It could come about under a variety of situations, but it would take an act of Government regulation or a major sea-change in laws or the business environment. When you see people posting "overlays" of the market to past debacles, you will find almost NONE of them work. Last year in January I posted a pattern where NASDAQ:TSLA was mimicking the fundamental and technical price pattern that NYSE:MCD McDonalds had from over a decade ago when it fell 75% on a rough patch for its business. It turned out to be identical and NASDAQ:TSLA rallied over 150% last year just exactly the same as happened to $MCD. I'll post the link down below for you to view. The overlay here between NASDAQ:MSFT and the 1987 SP:SPX is pretty amazing but we have no catalysts to make it drop. Stay tuned on any weakness and look for cheap hedges (long term puts out to July-Oct-Dec for this year). Don't spend more than 1% of an account to hedge a position, but if you hedge it correctly you can protect against a large decline without much cost to a portfolio. Here's hoping this pattern doesn't 'pan-out' because it would be or could be very disruptive to the markets. Wishing you all health and success in the markets this year and thanks to TradingView for all of the great tools for doing research! Cheers, Tim Friday, February 23, 2024 8:59PM EST
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by timwest
25
The Sky's the Limit for MicrosoftNASDAQ:MSFT Microsoft (MSFT) Has been consolidating for the past month and has broken through to the upside. Anticipate this bullish momentum to bring new all time highs for the tech titan! Let's dive into the key factors that make Microsoft a compelling investment opportunity. Cloud Services: Microsoft Azure is a leading cloud platform, competing head-to-head with Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Google Cloud. As more businesses move their operations to the cloud, Microsoft is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend. The company's cloud services are expected to drive substantial revenue growth in the future. Artificial Intelligence: Microsoft has been making significant investments in AI, with its AI-powered products like Cortana, Bing, and Office 365. The company's recent acquisition of Nuance Communications further strengthens its position in the AI space. The potential for AI to revolutionize various industries makes Microsoft's focus on this area a key growth driver. Gaming and Entertainment: Microsoft's Xbox gaming console and Game Pass subscription service have been gaining popularity among gamers. The company's acquisition of ZeniMax Media, the parent company of Bethesda Softworks, further bolsters its gaming portfolio. As the gaming industry continues to expand, Microsoft is well-positioned to benefit from this growth. Strong Financials: Microsoft boasts a robust balance sheet with a healthy cash flow and a strong history of dividend growth. The company's financial strength provides a solid foundation for future growth and allows it to invest in new technologies and acquisitions. Valuation: While Microsoft's stock price has experienced a significant run-up in recent months, many analysts believe that there is still room for growth. The company's strong fundamentals and growth prospects make it an attractive investment opportunity, even at current valuation levels.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by EgideSimba
Microsoft - It's That SimpleHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Microsoft. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: In 2019 Microsoft stock started creating a major bullish trendline which was tested again in 2020 and also the beginning of 2023. Furthermore Microsoft also broke out of a massive ascending triangle formation and is now just looking extremely bullish. If Microsoft retest the previous breakout area mentioned in the analysis, we will be looking for long continuation setups. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by basictradingtv
3
Microsoft's €3.2 Billion AI Investment: A Boon for GermanyMicrosoft (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) announced a staggering €3.2 billion investment over the next two years primarily directed towards bolstering Germany's artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities. This landmark investment, the largest by the U.S. software giant in Germany over the past four decades, signifies a resounding vote of confidence in Germany's innovation potential amid economic uncertainties. Microsoft's ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) President, Brad Smith, unveiled the ambitious plan, emphasizing the company's unwavering confidence in Germany's position as a technological powerhouse. With a focus on doubling the capacity of AI and data center infrastructure, Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) aims to propel Germany to the forefront of AI-driven innovation, leveraging its rich legacy of technological prowess. Smith's statement underscores Germany's pivotal role in spearheading technological advancements, particularly in AI applications, despite facing challenges such as a significant skill gap in the AI sector. Chancellor Olaf Scholz hailed Microsoft's ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) investment as a testament to Germany's enduring appeal as a global business hub. Against the backdrop of a projected economic downturn, Scholz lauded the move as a catalyst for revitalizing Germany's economic landscape, aligning with his efforts to enhance the nation's business appeal. Despite acknowledging the prevailing economic challenges, Scholz expressed optimism, foreseeing a resurgence in economic growth fueled by strategic investments such as Microsoft's. However, amidst the optimism surrounding Microsoft's landmark investment, concerns linger regarding bureaucratic hurdles and data privacy regulations. Smith's assurance of advocating for balanced and practical regulations reflects the company's commitment to navigating the regulatory landscape while maintaining global standards. Moreover, Microsoft's investment correlates with a broader trend of tech giants, including Taiwanese chipmaker TSMC and Intel, gravitating towards Germany with substantial state support, signaling the country's growing allure as a technology investment haven. Marianne Janik, CEO of Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) Germany, provided insights into the geographical focus of the investment, hinting at the western Rhineland region and Frankfurt's banking hub as potential beneficiaries. While specifics regarding the allocation of funds remain undisclosed, Microsoft's strategic focus on key regions underscores its aim to foster localized innovation hubs, driving economic growth and technological advancement across Germany. In conclusion, Microsoft's ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) monumental investment marks a transformative milestone in Germany's technological evolution, positioning the nation as a global leader in AI innovation. As Germany navigates through economic headwinds, Microsoft's unwavering commitment serves as a beacon of hope, heralding a new era of technological resurgence and economic prosperity propelled by AI-driven innovation.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by DEXWireNews
MSFT to $395Overview Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) appears to be within an ascending channel and has reached the resistance line that coincides with the peak of an impulse wave (Wave 3). Utilizing the impulse waves within the channel, a price target of $395 seems probable and may provide a decent Puts trade. If the ascending channel provides textbook formation then a low of $365 is also possible, however, volume and selling pressure should be carefully watched around the $395 price level as steeper declines will require more validation. The following technical indicators give me confidence that significant selling pressure will soon occur: Volume -- except for a single outlier in December -- has been steadily decreasing since the channel developed. On-Balance Volume appears to have reached a ceiling that will need to be carefully watched in the event of a breakout. Relative Strength Index shows an RSI (green) retreating from the overbought zone. While it is experiencing a slight uptick back to the MA (red), there is still plenty of room until the indicators approach oversold or for the RSI to cross from beneath. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has just crossed its signal line (red) from above and is nosediving downward. In addition, it is showing a divergence as the peaks of the MACD are inverted from the peaks of MSFT's share price.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Shepherd_Investor
Nasdaq-100 Index Futures. Bearish Channel In DevelopmentAI-related companies lost $190 billion in stock market value late on Tuesday after Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOG and Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD delivered quarterly results that failed to impress investors who had sent their stocks soaring. The selloff following the tech giants' reports after the bell underscored investors' elevated expectations following an AI-fueled stock market rally in recent months that propelled their shares to record highs with the promise of incorporating the technology across the corporate landscape. Alphabet dropped 5.6% after the Google-parent's December-quarter ad revenue missed expectations. Alphabet also said its spending on data centers to support its AI plans would jump this year, highlighting the costs of its fierce competition against AI rival Microsoft. While Google Cloud revenue growth slightly topped Wall Street targets, boosted by interest in AI, Microsoft's Azure grew faster. Microsoft beat analyst estimates for quarterly revenue as new AI features helped attract customers to its cloud and Windows services. However, its stock fell 0.7% in extended trade after briefly hitting an intra-day record high earlier on Tuesday. Optimism about AI pushed Microsoft's stock market value above $3 trillion this month, eclipsing Apple NASDAQ:AAPL . Chipmaker Advanced Micro tumbled 6% after its forecast for first-quarter revenue missed estimates, even as it projected strong sales for its AI processors. Shares of Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , which have surged 27% in January after more than tripling last year on AI optimism, also gave back some of those gain in extended trade, last down over 2%. Server maker Super Micro Computer NASDAQ:SMCI , another company that has benefited from AI-related demand, dropped over 3%. Earlier on Tuesday, it had climbed to a record high after delivering amazing quarterly results the day before. The main technical graph for Nasdaq-100 Micro E-Mini Futures CME_MINI:MNQ1! illustrates that bearish channel is in development in this time, where 17800 points is the upper (resistance) side and 17000 points level becomes attractive to watch. 3-months mid-term VIX Futures spread (the difference between front, February, 2024 VIX Futures contract CBOE:VXG2024 and May, 2024 VIX Futures contract CBOE:VXK2024 that is 3 months ahead) still is in Bearish mode, saying there's no panic yet on the streets. 50/200-hours MACD says btw, bearish sentiment becomes more active.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by Pandorra
💻Microsoft Corp💻 is Ready to Decrease➖15%🏃‍♂️ Microsoft Corp is moving near the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($437-$422) 🟡. 💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks . 🌊From the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the macro can complete five main impulse waves in 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($437-$422) 🟡. 🔔I expect the Microsoft Corp to at least fall to the 🟢 Support zone($368_$342) 🟢 after the completion of wave 5 and the breaking of the Uptrend line . Microsoft Corp (MSFTUSD) Analyze, Daily time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by pejman_zwin
1
Possible Significant RecoveyThis scenario is VERY tricky, let me explain why it could go either way, drastically. I'll separate the bull/bear ideas. The nasdaq looks like it could bounce off the BB bottom for a decent recovery, but, it's to see what happens tomorrow. Reasons for Bull Rally This month inflation report is cooler. With a lower CPI, markets will anticipate a 50 basis point or 25 basis point hike, meaning a more dovish stance from the Fed. Reasons for Selling This month inflation report is still high or hotter than expected. With a higher CPI, markets will anticipate a 75 basis point or higher hike, meaning a more hawkish stance from the Fed. July 29th Q2 GDP comes in negative, officially putting the US in recession. The negativity possibility is significant. July economic data can break markets like not seen before. This is one to watch. I understand this is the 1M chart, so any move upward will be quick. I don't see markets rising for a few months, but, who knows.
NASDAQ:IXIC
by WorldEconomics
Microsoft's Market Cap Skyrockets to $3.12 Trillion Microsoft's Historic Market Cap Breaks Records In a monumental shift in the tech industry's landscape, Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) has surged past Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) to claim the title of the world's most valuable company by market capitalization. With its market cap reaching an unprecedented $3.12 trillion, Microsoft's ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) ascent marks a historic milestone, surpassing Apple's ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) previous record high of $3.090 trillion, achieved on July 31, 2023, according to Dow Jones Market Data. This surge comes on the heels of Microsoft-backed OpenAI's remarkable achievement, as the AI startup reached a staggering $2 billion in revenue in December. As reported by the Financial Times, sources familiar with OpenAI's financials revealed this milestone, attributing it to the burgeoning demand for generative AI tools in corporate settings. OpenAI anticipates further exponential growth, aiming to double its revenue in 2025, fueled by robust interest from business clients seeking innovative AI solutions. OpenAI's ChatGPT Propels Revenue Growth, Valuation Soars to $80 Billion OpenAI's meteoric rise to a $2 billion revenue milestone in December underscores the increasing prominence of AI technologies in modern business landscapes. The company's ChatGPT product played a pivotal role in driving this growth, as its annualized revenue surged from $1.3 billion in mid-October to over $1.6 billion by December, as reported by The Information. Investor confidence in OpenAI remains steadfast, with the San Francisco-based startup commanding a valuation exceeding $80 billion. The company's chief, Sam Altman, is actively engaged in discussions with potential investors, including the UAE, to secure funds for ambitious ventures. Notably, Altman seeks to spearhead initiatives aimed at bolstering global chip-building capacity, thereby enhancing OpenAI's ability to power advanced AI applications and drive technological innovation on a global scale. Microsoft and OpenAI's Joint Endeavors The convergence of Microsoft's unparalleled market dominance and OpenAI's groundbreaking achievements heralds a new era of innovation and technological advancement. As Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) solidifies its position at the forefront of the industry, its strategic partnership with OpenAI amplifies its capacity to pioneer transformative AI solutions. Conclusion As both entities continue to push the boundaries of what is possible, their collaborative vision extends beyond commercial success to encompass broader societal impacts. By leveraging OpenAI's expertise in AI research and development, Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) aims to empower businesses worldwide with cutting-edge tools and technologies, driving productivity, efficiency, and innovation across diverse sectors. In the quest to redefine the future of technology, Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) and OpenAI stand as beacons of progress, poised to revolutionize industries, empower individuals, and shape the trajectory of global innovation for years to come.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by DEXWireNews
Navigating Microsoft's Soaring Stock: A 2023 OverviewNavigating Microsoft's Soaring Stock: A 2023 Overview As 2023 draws to a close, Microsoft emerges as a standout performer in the tech landscape, with its stock surging over 50%, outpacing the Nasdaq Composite. Investors are drawn to the company's positive indicators in enterprise tech spending, artificial intelligence (AI), and economic expansion. However, this success is not without potential challenges. Let's explore the optimistic outlook and a critical factor that may pose a threat to investors' returns. Positive Trajectory: Microsoft's stock is currently riding high on bullish sentiments, propelled by robust indicators in enterprise tech spending, AI applications, and overall economic growth. The company's expanding array of software services, particularly in the AI realm, contributes to its long-term growth prospects. Positive developments in the cloud segment, highlighted by a 23% growth, showcase Microsoft's success in leveraging AI across various domains. Financial Strength: Unlike many software-as-a-service companies grappling with weak earnings, Microsoft stands out as one of the most profitable global corporations. The last quarter saw impressive figures, with gross profit reaching $40 billion (71% of sales) and a 24% surge in operating income (nearly 50% of sales). The company's robust cash flow, generating over $30 billion in operating cash in the past three months, underscores its financial strength. Investment Concerns: The primary concern for potential investors is the premium attached to Microsoft's shares. Currently valued at nearly 13 times sales, a notable increase from the beginning of the year, there is a risk of subpar returns due to an elevated price-to-sales ratio. A comparison with Apple, available at a ratio of 8, highlights the premium investors need to pay for Microsoft's positive factors. A Balanced View: Despite the premium, Microsoft remains an attractive growth stock investment. It provides exposure to promising software niches, including cybersecurity and cloud enterprise services, along with a significant presence in the expanding field of generative AI. For investors cautious about the current stock price, monitoring potential market or tech sector pullbacks could present more compelling entry points for this tech giant. In conclusion, Microsoft's stellar performance in 2023 comes with both promise and caution. Navigating the stock's trajectory involves weighing the company's strengths against the premium valuation, with an eye on potential market fluctuations for strategic entry points.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by FOREXN1
1
What Is Stage Analysis in Trading?Stage analysis is a powerful technique in trading that segments market trends into distinct phases, each offering unique opportunities and challenges. Developed by Stan Weinstein, this method helps traders understand and anticipate market movements. This article delves into the four stages of this analysis, offering insights into how traders apply these concepts, particularly in the context of stock trading. Understanding Stage Analysis Stan Weinstein’s stage analysis, a concept introduced in his seminal work "Secrets for Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets," offers a structured approach to evaluating market phases. Stage analysis in stocks divides the market cycle into four distinct phases. Each represents a specific phase in a stock's lifecycle, characterised by unique price movements and investor behaviour. Weinstein's methodology is rooted in the identification of these stages through technical analysis, focusing on price action and volume. By discerning the current phase of a stock, traders gain insights into its probable future trajectory. This analytical framework assists traders in making more informed decisions about entry and exit points, aligning their strategies with the market's natural rhythm. Notably, it can be used in both intraday trading and long-term investing. Below, we’ll walk through the four stages of Weinstein’s methodology. To better understand the topic, consider following along in FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform. Stage 1: The Basing Area In Weinstein stage analysis, the basing stage, or stage 1, marks the beginning of a stock's life cycle. This period is characterised by a period of consolidation after a previous downtrend. Prices typically fluctuate within a narrow range, indicating a lack of clear direction as the market sentiment shifts from negative to neutral. This transition is often overlooked in stage analysis trading, as it doesn't present immediate opportunities for significant gains. During the basing stage, trading volumes generally diminish, reflecting a reduction in selling pressure. As buying volume increases, accumulation-distribution tools like on-balance volume (OBV) tend to bottom out and move higher, typically in tandem with price. OBV helps in tracking volume flow, offering insights into whether the volume is flowing in or out of an asset. Additionally, investors watch for a gradual flattening of the price’s moving averages, a sign that the downward momentum is waning. It's a period of accumulation for savvy investors who recognise the potential for future upside. However, traders are cautious as stocks can linger in this phase for an extended period, and premature entry can lead to capital being tied up in inactive investments. Traders employing Weinstein's method use this phase to prepare for potential entry points, keeping a close watch on stocks that show signs of breaking out of their base. The successful identification of a market transitioning from Stage 1 to Stage 2 – the Advancing Stage – may position traders to capitalise on the early beginnings of a new uptrend. Stage 2: Advancing In stock stage analysis, stage 2, known as the advancing stage, is where investors may see the potential gains. This phase begins when a stock breaks out from the basing stage (stage 1) with notable volume. It signifies a transition from a neutral to bullish market sentiment as more investors start acknowledging the market’s potential. A key characteristic of Stage 2 is the sustained upward movement in the stock's price, often accompanied by increasing trading volumes. This rise in interest confirms the growing interest and commitment from investors, reinforcing the trend's strength. During this phase, the price typically moves above its key moving averages, such as the 30-period moving average, which acts as a dynamic support. OBV is also useful in this period. An increasing OBV alongside rising prices is a positive sign, indicating that the upward price movements are supported by strong volume, thus validating the trend. Traders focus on stocks that maintain their price above key moving averages and show a consistent increase in OBV in this phase. Such alignment of price and volume dynamics provides a more robust confirmation for continuing the trade in the advancing direction. Stage 3: Top Area Stage 3, known as the top area, marks a significant shift in the stock's cycle. This phase signifies the transition from an uptrend to a potential downtrend, characterised by a levelling off of the stock’s price movement after its advance in Stage 2. It's a period of distribution where early investors start to take potential returns, and new investors may enter based on the stock's past performance, not its future potential. During this phase, price movements become less definitive, often moving sideways and creating a resistance level that the stock struggles to exceed. Price begins to hover around its key moving averages, such as the 30-period moving average, without a clear direction. This indecisiveness in price action is a crucial indicator of the weakening momentum. Volume analysis during Stage 3 is vital. A divergence between price and volume starts to emerge; while prices might still be high, interest often shows a noticeable decrease. This reduced volume hints at a lack of conviction among investors, assuming that the stock may not sustain its previous upward trajectory. Traders monitoring stocks in Stage 3 should be cautious. It’s a time to closely watch for signs of a breakdown or a continuation of the trend, as the stock may either revert to Stage 1 or unexpectedly surge into a renewed Stage 2. Stage 4: The Declining Phase Stage 4 marks the declining phase, where a stock transitions from a period of distribution to a clear downtrend. This period is characterised by a sustained drop in the stock’s price, often initiated by a decisive break below key support levels and moving averages, like the 30-period moving average. The declining phase is typically accompanied by increasing trading volumes, reflecting a growing consensus among investors that the stock’s peak performance is behind it. This phase can be accelerated by negative news or poor earnings reports, further driving down the price. The on-balance volume (OBV) is again a critical tool in this phase. A declining OBV indicates that selling pressure is increasing, reinforcing the downtrend. This downtrend is marked by lower highs and lower lows in both price and volume, signalling weakening investor confidence and diminishing interest in the stock. For traders, stage 4 is a period of high caution. It's often considered a signal to exit positions to avoid further losses. Short-selling strategies may be employed by more experienced traders who seek to capitalise on the market’s downward trajectory. However, it's essential to approach this phase with a clear risk management strategy, as the volatility can lead to rapid changes in price. The Bottom Line Mastering stage analysis may equip traders with a structured approach to navigate the stock market's ebb and flow. By understanding and applying the principles of each stage, traders can potentially make more informed decisions, aligning their strategies with market trends. For those ready to apply these insights in real-world trading, opening an FXOpen account offers a platform to implement stage analysis techniques effectively in a dynamic trading environment. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by FXOpen
4
Stock Market All time high Fake out or Continue? | MAG7 Analysis00:00 QQQ Forecast 04:04 Sp500 ETF analysis 05:37 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis Analysis 07:57 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical 09:32 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis 11:26 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis 12:46 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis 13:51 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis Disclaimer: All the content here is for entertainment purposes and not personal investment or trading advice. Any advice is considered general entertainment advice. Stock Market involves risk of loss so please do your own research or seek out your own financial advisors. #mag7 #msft #aapl #stockmarketeducation #stockmarketupdate #stockmarkettechnicalanalysis #technicalanalysis #sp500 #stockmarket #investing #tradingtips #stocks #daytrading #nvidia #tesla #tradingstrategy #stockmarketupdates #stockmarketforbeginners #stockmarketinvesting #stockmarkets #googlestock #nvda #googl #tsla #amzn #qqq #investment #tslastock #stockmarketanalysis #stockmarketnews #stockstobuy
NASDAQ:QQQ
by ArcadiaTrading
1
VOD Vodafone and MSFT Microsoft Partnership After reaching its May 2010 level, I believe Vodafone (VOD) stock is primed for a rally! Its metrics are outstanding: Forward Dividend & Yield: 0.97 (11.09%) and PE Ratio (TTM): 2.13. Additionally, there is a significant partnership with Microsoft (MSFT): Microsoft initiated a 10-year strategic partnership with Vodafone (VOD) aimed at leveraging their respective strengths to create new digital and financial services tailored for businesses, especially small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) across Europe and Africa. The collaboration involves the utilization of Microsoft's generative artificial intelligence (AI) to enhance Vodafone's customer experience, with the goal of delivering a more personalized and differentiated service through various channels. The partnership seeks to expand and improve Vodafone's managed Internet of Things (IoT) connectivity platform, aiming to scale up the telecommunication company's IoT platform by connecting more devices, vehicles, and machines. I`m considering the $9 strike price at the money Call for February 16, or the $10 call for March 15.
NASDAQ:VODLong
by TopgOptions