MICROSOFT: Bearish breakout under the 1D MA50.MSFT has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.496, MACD = 1.200, ADX = 24.141) as the price reached the 1D MA50 for the first time since late October on a sideways price action. Since the 1 year pattern is a Channel Up, we expect its bottom to get tested (TP = 345.00) if the 1D MA50 is crossed. Consider it a bearish breakout signal.
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Microsoft (MSFT)
Mastering Support and Resistance: Part 1Hello Traders, and welcome to a new year of endless learning opportunities! Today, we will kick off 2024 by exploring the concept of support and resistance, how to identify these levels and common misconceptions about them. Support and resistance levels play a crucial role in technical analysis and can greatly impact your trading strategy. Understanding these levels and knowing how to effectively use them can make all the difference in your trading success. We will be doing a deeper dive in a subsequent article later this week where we will cover more advanced techniques and the psychology behind support and resistance. In the meantime, are you ready to dive in?
Understanding Support and Resistance Levels in Trading
Support and resistance levels are key aspects of technical analysis that traders incorporate into several different trading decisions. Support refers to a price level where buying pressure is expected to be strong enough to prevent the price from falling further. On the other hand, resistance is a price level where selling pressure is expected to be strong enough to prevent the price from rising higher. These levels are based on the idea that markets often go through similar patterns and respond to certain prices.
The Importance of Support and Resistance in Technical Analysis
Support and resistance levels are crucial in technical analysis for several reasons. Firstly, they provide traders with valuable information about market sentiment. When the price approaches a support level, it indicates that buyers are likely to step in and try to push the price up. Conversely, when the price approaches a resistance level, it suggests that sellers are likely to enter the market to push the price down. Understanding market sentiment can help traders avoid potential losses.
Secondly, support and resistance levels act as a reference point for setting profit targets and stop-loss levels. By analyzing historical price movements, traders can identify key support and resistance levels that are likely to be tested in the future. These levels can be used to determine when to take profits or cut losses, providing a clear framework for risk management.
Lastly, support and resistance levels can act as confirmation tools for trading signals. For example, if a trader receives a buy signal from a set of technical indicators and the price is approaching or bouncing off of a strong support level, it adds credibility to the signal.
Similarly, if a sell signal is generated and the price is approaching or moving away from a major resistance level, it strengthens the validity of the signal. By combining support and resistance levels with other technical indicators, traders can increase the accuracy of their trading signals.
Identifying Support and Resistance Levels on Price Charts
Identifying support and resistance levels on price charts is a fundamental skill for any trader. Several methods can be used to identify these levels, depending on the trader's preference and trading style. Here are a few common techniques:
Swing Highs and Lows: Horizontal support and resistance levels can be identified by analyzing price charts. A support level is typically formed by connecting multiple swing lows, where the price has previously bounced back up. Conversely, a resistance level is formed by connecting multiple swing highs, where the price has previously reversed its upward trajectory. By identifying these levels, traders can anticipate potential reversals or breakouts and adjust their trading strategy accordingly.
It is important to note that support and resistance levels are not exact price points, but rather zones where buying or selling pressure is expected to be strong. Traders should use a combination of these techniques and exercise discretion to identify the most relevant support and resistance levels on their price charts.
Moving Averages: Moving averages are commonly used to identify trends in price charts, but they can also act as dynamic support and resistance levels. For example, a 200-day moving average is often considered a strong support or resistance level. When the price approaches this moving average, it is likely to either bounce off or breakthrough, depending on the prevailing trend.
Fibonacci Levels: Fibonacci levels are based on mathematical sequences. These levels are used to identify potential support and resistance levels based on the percentage retracement of a previous price move. Traders often look for confluence between Fibonacci levels and other technical indicators to increase the reliability of their analysis. Several different tools on TradingView can be used to identify these levels such as a Fibonacci retracement or Fibonacci Channel.
How to Effectively Use Support and Resistance in Your Trading Strategy
Once you have identified support and resistance levels on your price charts, it is important to know how to effectively use them in your trading strategy. Here are some key considerations:
Combine with other indicators: Support and resistance levels should not be used in isolation but should be combined with other technical analysis techniques. Relying solely on support and resistance levels can result in false signals, as price can break through or reverse at unexpected times. Consider using trend lines, candlestick patterns, or oscillators to confirm your support and resistance levels and increase the accuracy of your trading signals.
Price Action: Observing price action around support and resistance levels can provide valuable insights into market sentiment. Look for signs of price rejection, such as long wicks or multiple failed attempts to break through a level. Price patterns may also form around support or resistance levels. These signs can indicate potential reversals or breakouts.
Risk Management: Support and resistance levels can be used to determine stop-loss levels and profit targets. When entering a trade, set your stop-loss just below a support level for long positions or just above a resistance level for short positions. Similarly, set your profit target at the next significant support or resistance level to ensure a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Multiple Timeframes: Analyzing support and resistance levels across multiple timeframes can provide a broader perspective on market dynamics. A level that appears strong on a daily chart may be insignificant on a weekly or monthly chart. Consider higher timeframe levels for long-term trades and lower timeframe levels for short-term trades.
Common Misconceptions About Support and Resistance
There are several common misconceptions about support and resistance levels that traders should be aware of. Understanding these misconceptions can help you avoid common pitfalls and make better trading decisions. Here are three common misconceptions:
Support and Resistance Levels Are Fixed: One of the most common misconceptions is that support and resistance levels are fixed and remain unchanged over time. In reality, these levels are dynamic and can shift as market conditions change. Traders should regularly reevaluate and adjust their support and resistance levels based on new price information.
Support Turns into Resistance and Vice Versa: Another misconception is that support levels always turn into resistance levels when broken, and vice versa. While this can sometimes be the case, it is not always true. Market dynamics can change, and a support level that has been broken may become irrelevant in the future. Traders should not blindly assume that a broken support level will act as a strong resistance level.
Support and Resistance Levels Are Foolproof: Many traders mistakenly believe that support and resistance levels are infallible and always result in predictable price movements. While these levels can provide valuable guidance, they are not guaranteed to hold or reverse the price. Traders should always use support and resistance levels in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and exercise proper risk management.
By understanding these misconceptions, traders can avoid relying solely on support and resistance levels and develop a more comprehensive trading strategy. We implore you to be thorough in practice and understanding of S&R as there is a great degree of subjectivity to them. The more you understand about these levels the greater accuracy you can obtain.
Tips for Mastering Support and Resistance
Mastering support and resistance requires practice and experience. Here are some tips to help you improve your skills in identifying and utilizing these levels:
Backtesting: Backtesting is a valuable tool for evaluating the effectiveness of support and resistance levels in historical price data. By analyzing past price movements, you can assess how well your identified levels have held or reversed the price. This can provide valuable insights into the reliability of your levels and help you refine your approach.
Focus on Key Levels: Not all support and resistance levels are equally significant. Focus on key levels that have been tested multiple times and have resulted in strong price reactions. These levels are more likely to hold or reverse the price and can provide more reliable trading opportunities.
Practice Patience: Support and resistance levels often require patience to be effective. Wait for clear confirmation before entering a trade, and avoid chasing price or making impulsive decisions based on a single level. Patience and discipline are key to successful trading.
By incorporating these tips into your trading routine, you can enhance your mastery of support and resistance levels and improve your trading performance.
What Does it All Add Up To?
In conclusion, understanding and mastering support and resistance levels is crucial for successful trading. These levels provide valuable information about market sentiment, act as reference points for setting profit targets and stop-loss levels, and can confirm trading signals. By identifying support and resistance levels on price charts using techniques like swing highs and lows, moving averages, and Fibonacci levels, traders can make better judgments in deciding what actions to take. However, it is important to use support and resistance levels in conjunction with other indicators and consider price action for confirmation. Overall, integrating support and resistance levels into a trading strategy can help break through barriers and achieve trading success.
Microsoft - Monthly Bullish BreakoutHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Microsoft.
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Explanation of my chart analysis:
Since August of 2019 Microsoft stock has been creating a bullish triangle continuation pattern. Recently we saw a breakout above the strong $350 resistance level after which I do expect a retest of the previous structure level and then more bullish continuation towards the upside.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
🚀 Microsoft Analysis: Anticipated Upward Trajector 📈In my analysis of Microsoft, the recent attainment of a new All-Time High at $385 signifies the culmination of either Wave A or Wave (iii). Currently navigating a subordinate ABC correction, a Zigzag correction, we're on the verge of completing Wave (iv) within the 38.2% to 61.8% Fibonacci levels. Anticipating an overarching Wave 5, I foresee a significant rise to approximately $450. This sets the stage with a promising Chances-to-Risk ratio of 4.3. My conviction remains strong in the imminent downturn, followed by a subsequent upward trajectory, potentially shadowed by another sell-off. These projections extend into the future, likely until mid-2024. 🚀
Calling the $MSFT top here. See you sub $200The popular narrative is that NASDAQ:MSFT is going to benefit from AI and if there's a downturn, the stock will hold up.
I have a different view. I think we've topped here and will only see lower prices going forward.
Over the next year, I anticipate NASDAQ:MSFT 's price dropping sub $200 to the support levels on the chart.
Only thing that would change my bias is a push above the resistance line and flipping it as support.
Let's see how it plays out.
MSFT headed previous swing highs?NASDAQ:MSFT pullback and consolidation seems to be over and breaking out to the upside. Targeting towards the previous swing highs around $385 area and possibly to a new all-time high after that? IF prices manage to breakthrough the previous swing highs. I'd say possibility is high.
These are my views and analysis and is only used for educational purposes. I am not a financial advisor.
Nothing in the information posted here is intended to be or should be interpreted as trading advice.
MICROSOFT The 1D MA50 will be the buy opportunity for Xmas.Microsoft (MSFT) is trading inside a Double Channel Up pattern, with the longer term one (blue) starting on the January 06 bottom while the shorter term one (dotted) starting on the September 14 High. The latter Channel Up can be seen with the same structure earlier within the long-term Channel Up as well. It started after the stock pulled back and hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which provided a strong rebound.
The same kind of 1D MA50 test took place on October 26, which initiated the current bullish leg (November). As the 1D RSI is posting a Bearish Divergence (Channel Down) simiarl to March 17 - April 12 and the 1D MACD completing a Bearish Cross, we expect one final pull-back towards the 1D MA50. That can be the ideal buy entry for the end-of-the-year rally. Our long-term target is always $460, representing a +43.50% rise from the 1D MA50 bounce (similar to March 13).
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Nvidia Tesla Microsoft Google Apple Amazon Meta AnalysisNvidia Tesla Microsoft Google Apple Amazon Meta Analysis | Support & Resistance Guide
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💻Microsoft Corp💻 ➕20% growth potential🚀✅ Microsoft Corp reacted well to the 🟢 Support zone($317_$300) 🟢 and reached the Downtrend line .
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , Microsoft Corp completed the main wave 4 [Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) ] in the 🟢 Support zone($317_$300) 🟢 so that the main wave 3 structure was Extended .
🔔I expect Microsoft Corp to rise to the minimum 🔴 Resistance zone($366_$344) 🔴 after the downtrend line is broken, and if the resistance zone is broken, it will rise to the end of the main wave 5 that I specified in the char(➕ 20% ).
Microsoft Corp (MSFTUSD) Analyze, Daily time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Which way will Microsoft go from here?
Here we have NASDAQ:MSFT this is a very interesting one. My bias is to the upside for a swing but, this really could go either way. But either way it goes, MSFT is in for a massive move. As you can see here we have formed a trendline and a resistance line on the 4 hourly chart. What I assume will happen is that we break the upper resistance line on the daily heikin ashi candlesticks with heavy volume and rip up for possible weeks to come. If we break down, my target would be previous resistance which is all the way down the the 351 level. As always, thank you for reading my analysis on Microsoft and have a blessed trading week. #MSFT
Microsoft's Strategic Moves: Navigating OpenAI's Internal ...Microsoft's Strategic Moves: Navigating OpenAI's Internal Turmoil for AI Dominance
In January, Microsoft made a significant $10 billion investment in OpenAI, marking its second substantial backing of the AI startup. However, recent internal upheaval within OpenAI, including the ousting of CEO Sam Altman, has raised questions about the impact on Microsoft's substantial investment.
Microsoft's investments have played a pivotal role in the development of OpenAI's language models, particularly the widely-used ChatGPT. The integration of ChatGPT into Microsoft's product portfolio, including platforms like Bing, Edge, and Windows, has provided Microsoft with a competitive edge in the AI industry.
The recent removal of Sam Altman has caused discontent among OpenAI's stakeholders, including investors, customers, and employees. Many employees are contemplating resigning, leading to uncertainty about the future of OpenAI. However, Microsoft sees an opportunity in this turmoil to strengthen its position in the AI industry.
In response to the internal chaos at OpenAI, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella announced that Altman and former OpenAI president Greg Brockman would join Microsoft to lead a new advanced AI research division. This strategic move allows Microsoft to leverage the expertise of these key figures, potentially mitigating any setbacks caused by OpenAI's internal challenges.
Microsoft's $10 billion investment in OpenAI is a multiyear deal with flexible details, including non-cash benefits like cloud computing credits. The possibility of OpenAI's workforce finding a new home at Microsoft is being speculated. While Microsoft faces regulatory constraints for an outright acquisition of OpenAI, the addition of key personnel from OpenAI, including Altman, positions Microsoft for a more pragmatic and commercially oriented approach to AI development.
Despite initial concerns reflected in a dip in Microsoft's stock value following Altman's dismissal, the subsequent news of Altman joining Microsoft resulted in a reversal, ending over 2% higher on Monday. While Microsoft owns 49% of OpenAI, the lack of operational control makes an outright acquisition unlikely. With Altman on board, Microsoft aims to reduce its dependence on OpenAI over the long term, contributing to positive trends in Microsoft's stock.
Previous Idea:
Altman + Microsoft: Will AI Wizardry Catapult Stocks ?Microsoft's trajectory into the future takes a compelling turn with the addition of Sam Altman, an AI luminary, to its internal team. This analysis explores the fusion of technology and finance, specifically delving into Altman's impact on AI development within Microsoft. We examine the integration of advanced AI features into Microsoft 365 and assess Microsoft's competitive position in the dynamic AI market.
On the financial front, Microsoft's robust fundamental rating sets the stage for closer scrutiny, emphasizing its stability and profitability. Altman's potential influence on Microsoft's stock value, given his renowned AI contributions, is a key focus, highlighting the pivotal role of innovation in sustaining and enhancing stock performance.
This concise analysis aims to unravel the symbiotic relationship between technological prowess and financial resilience, providing insights into Microsoft's post-Altman journey. As we navigate challenges and opportunities, the conclusion offers a holistic perspective on Microsoft's potential to lead in AI technology and maintain a competitive edge globally.
Technology Analysis:
Impact of Sam Altman Joining the Microsoft AI Team:
With Sam Altman's experience in AI development through OpenAI, his presence in Microsoft's internal team can positively influence the advancement of more sophisticated AI technology. The potential integration of Altman's ideas and strategies can strengthen innovation within Microsoft applications.
AI Technology in Microsoft 365 Applications:
Recent changes in Microsoft 365, such as the addition of Copilot features, demonstrate Microsoft's commitment to integrating artificial intelligence into its products. This can enhance user appeal and expand the user base of Microsoft applications.
Competitors and Position in the AI Market:
In the intense competition in the artificial intelligence sector with companies like Amazon, Google, and Facebook, Microsoft's strategic move with Sam Altman joining can help maintain and enhance its position in the AI market.
Financial Analysis:
Fundamental Rating of MSFT:
With a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10, Microsoft is considered highly profitable with no liquidity or solvency issues. A good dividend rating and consistent profits over the last 5 years indicate financial stability.
Impact of Sam Altman's Presence on MSFT Stock:
In addition to his contributions to technology development, Sam Altman's presence can also act as a positive catalyst for Microsoft's stock. Altman's reputation in the AI field and his connection with Microsoft can build investor confidence.
Innovation as the Key to Stock Value Increase:
In the face of tough competition, continuous innovation in AI technology is crucial to maintaining and increasing stock value. Altman's joining provides an additional potential for innovation that can influence the performance of MSFT stock.
Combined Analysis:
Synergy of Technology and Finance:
The combination of superior technology and stable financial conditions strengthens Microsoft's position in facing the future. Technological innovation is key to reinforcing the company's value, and, therefore, the potential for stock increase.
Challenges and Opportunities:
Despite Microsoft's solid fundamentals, challenges in AI competition persist. Hence, the company needs to stay focused on innovation and adapt to market developments.
With Sam Altman's support, Microsoft has the opportunity to continue leading in AI technology development. This enhancement can play a crucial role in the growth of MSFT stock value; however, long-term success also depends on the company's ability to stay competitive in the dynamic and competitive market.
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MSFT Soars with the Arrival of Sam Altman from OpenAII wanted to share the latest development that has the potential to spark a remarkable surge in Microsoft's stock value.
Imagine the possibilities that await as MSFT makes a strategic move by hiring none other than Sam Altman, the renowned technology visionary behind OpenAI. Altman's groundbreaking expertise in artificial intelligence (AI) and his impressive track record in shaping the future of technology make this an exhilarating moment for all MSFT investors.
With Altman on board, MSFT is set to revolutionize the tech industry and solidify its position as a leading force in innovation. The integration of his visionary mindset, coupled with Microsoft's already sterling reputation and enduring commitment to evolving technology, heralds a significant opportunity for continued growth and groundbreaking achievements.
In light of this momentous news, I invite you to join me in seizing the potential for substantial gains as MSFT aims to hit unprecedented highs. Now is the time to act and position ourselves for a profitable long-term investment opportunity. I strongly encourage you to consider taking a long position in MSFT, as this could be a game-changing move for your portfolio.
Let's ride the wave of this incredible development and harness the power of Altman's expertise and Microsoft's unwavering dedication to reshaping the tech landscape. By investing in MSFT today, we have the chance to participate in a remarkable journey towards new horizons of success.
Don't miss out on this investment opportunity; the potential for incredible returns is within our grasp. Position yourself for success by joining me in going long on MSFT and embarking on this exciting venture together.
Is ETH about to breakout? Is Crypto going to do a Microsoft?Eth has yet to breakout of base
Being the leading ecosystem it is somewhat surprising Eth has yet to breakout of the base formed tho it does offer a potential opportunity. If Eth can run then it has a few open bar candles on the weekly that would be ideal to close out.
The rotational opportunities if holding eth post eth breakout are great
If Eth breakouts of this base then many smaller coins (esp eth based) are likely to continuing moving up. So the opportunity to compound eth profits by rotating post breakout is grand. This opportunity is not as highly provided to those who just hold the smaller caps that are waiting for either a btc or eth breakout.
MSFT makes up 1/4 of the big4 tech companies that dominate S&P500
S&P500 and bitcoin are correlated so far. With MSFT leading the big4 tech companies and MSFT breaking ATH then it gives the impression there may be room for crypto to do similar things (should trend continue).
Microsoft's 'Game Changing' AI Products Should Power The StockKey Points To Note
1. Microsoft's "game changing" AI products are seeing solid traction with its Azure customers, according to Wedbush.
2. Wedbush increased its Microsoft price target to $425 a share, representing potential upside of 15%.
3. "We estimate for every $100 of cloud Azure spend with Microsoft the last few years there is an incremental $35 to $40 of AI spend," Wedbush said.
Microsoft's suite of "game changing" artificial intelligence products are starting to see solid traction with its Azure customers.
It has seen "incrementally positive" signs for AI demand after it conducted channel checks among Microsoft's customers, adding that 2024 will represent a banner year for the roll-out of Microsoft's Co-Pilot offerings.
Price Momentum
MSFT is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
MSFT Analysis: New All-time HighYesterday, Microsoft's share price exceeded USD 375 for the first time ever. This happened against the backdrop of news about the company’s activities, which was favorably received by investors:
→ Microsoft introduced its own Maia 100 chip for cloud computing and AI programs that create content. The company is also testing Maia 100 for Bing and Office.
→ The company also presented Cobalt — a server processor,
→ and more: new AI tools from the Copilot series. For example, Copilot for Azure is an AI assistant for clients of a cloud computing service that works in chat mode.
Expectations that the Fed will cut rates, which intensified following Tuesday's inflation news, is another factor contributing to the bullish sentiment in Microsoft shares.
The graph shows that:
→ the level of USD 350 per share, which served as resistance, has been broken. Now you can expect support from him;
→ an inverted head-and-shoulders formation remains below.
→ MSFT price is near the median line of the rising channel (shown in blue), where supply and demand tend to balance out, so some consolidation after the November rally looks in order.
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