5/4/22 MSFTMicrosoft Corp. ( NASDAQ:MSFT )
Sector: Technology Services (Packaged Software)
Market Capitalization: $2.174T
Current Price: $289.98
Breakout price: $290.85
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $288.70-$277.00
Price Target: $303.20-$307.00 (3rd), $320.70-$323.50 (4th)
Estimated Duration to Target: 25-27d (3rd), 55-57d (4th)
Contract of Interest: $MSFT 6/17/22 290c, $MSFT 7/15/22 295c
Trade price as of publish date: $11.65/contract, $11.60/contract
Msftlong
IS MSFT OVERVALUED?Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide. Its Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Office, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365
Security and Compliance, and Skype for Business, as well as related Client Access Licenses (CAL); Skype, Outlook.com, OneDrive, and LinkedIn; and Dynamics 365, a set of cloud-based and on-premises business solutions for
organizations and enterprise divisions. Its Intelligent Cloud segment licenses SQL, Windows Servers, Visual Studio, System Center, and related CALs; GitHub that provides a collaboration platform and code hosting service for
developers; and Azure, a cloud platform. It also offers support services and Microsoft consulting services to assist customers in developing, deploying, and managing Microsoft server and desktop solutions.
Microsoft is a rock. No doubt. But i feel like that the stock is priced for perfection and if earnings do not constantly surprise investors, then we could see a strong move downward. Especially when we think FED will increase rates and decrease money supply.
MSFT p/e is only 29 which is pretty low for a tech company but its market cap 2.1 trillion dollars. It is %10 of US GDP and around %2,5 of worlds GDP.
How much more can it grow? Where is the line for a company to be too big?
Right now FED is increasing rates and decreasing money supply which is not good for stock market.
This year we can experience that big techs, such as Google, MSFT, Apple is overvalued for this kind of economic policies.
Lets take a look at important price levels.
Support levels
280
266
241
If we cant keep 280 levels as support, fast downward movement to 266 and 241 is possible.
Resistance leves
299
On the upside if we can breakout of 299 level, it is possible for more increase.
Price targets are
310
320
350
Thanks
Follow for more charts and ideas.
MSFT beating analysts' expectationsAdj EPS: $2.22 vs $2.19 expected
Revenue: $49.4 billion vs $49 billion expected
Cloud: $19.05 billion vs $18.9 billion expected
Revenues for Azure, its flagship cloud offering, rose 46% from last year.
My price target fo MSFT this year is $307.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Microsoft at Key SupportMicrosoft
Short Term - We look to Buy at 273.03 (stop at 269.68)
Preferred trade is to buy on dips. A higher correction is expected. Previous support located at 280.00. 280.00 continues to hold back the bears. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited.
Our profit targets will be 302.57 and 309.50
Resistance: 300.00 / 315.00 / 350.00
Support: 280.00 / 260.00 / 250.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
MSFT: Sell Zone is 325-330MSFT is finishing up its 4th wave pullback. Mega caps don't typically experience deep retracements, so the .382 retracement is the perfect buying zone. In the next day or two MSFT will resume its uptrend to complete its 5th wave up to the $325-$330 region. After that, MSFT will experience a 2nd wave pullback to approximately today's levels.
Microsoft Buy SetupMicrosoft - Short Term - We look to Buy at 303.35 (stop at 296.56)
We look to buy dips. Previous resistance, now becomes support at 300.00. Trading has been mixed and volatile. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited.
Our profit targets will be 325.34 and 336.10
Resistance: 320.00 / 340.00 / 350.00
Support: 300.00 / 270.00 / 250.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Microsoft (MSFT) | The safest target to climb📍Hello traders, Microsoft in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
The overall identity of this counted wave is unclear and we need more waves to detect it.
Now, according to the count, the main waves 1 and 2 have been formed and now we are inside wave 3.
This wave 3 has formed its wave 4 in such a way that it can not be said that it is complete or this ascent that we are considering is part of wave 4.
In terms of time, wave 4 is normal compared to wave 3.
Currently we are waiting for an ascending move that should be done before the 0.5 Fibo range and if this Fibo and the black channel are broken, this ascent will not take place.
🙏If you have an idea that helps me provide a better analysis, I will be happy to write in the comments🙏
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
MSFT Microsoft W-shaped recoveryDan Ives from Wedbush Securities said that investors should focus on “oversold” tech stocks including Microsoft, Apple, Oracle, Adobe and Salesforce, “as well as core chip names ” and cybersecurity companies after Russia invaded Ukraine.
My target for MSFT is $312 for a W-shaped recovery.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Microsoft: Buy at Crucial Support Microsoft - Short Term - We look to Buy at 279.24 (stop at 272.73)
Preferred trade is to buy on dips. A higher correction is expected. Previous support located at 280.00. 280.00 continues to hold back the bears. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited.
Our profit targets will be 299.23 and 309.50
Resistance: 300.00 / 315.00 / 350.00
Support: 280.00 / 260.00 / 250.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
MSFT DailyMSFT, strong company with competitive advantage. On top on the shopping list, but for now it still looks bearish. Here are some zones to look at and key notes.
- Rejected 200dayMA.
- Can't go over neutral on the RSI.
- Moving averages curling down, downtrend momentum.
- Bearish market sentiment.
+ 50weeklyMA at 289, historically a good moving average to start looking for a buy.
+ Down 20% from high, good companies bounce faster and harder.
Microsoft (MSFT) | The safest target to climb📍Hello traders, Microsoft in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
The general structure of this counted wave is unclear and we need more waves to detect it.
Now, according to the count, the main waves 1 and 2 have been formed and now we are inside wave 3.
This wave 3 has formed its wave 4 in such a way that it can not be said that it is complete or this ascent that we are considering is part of wave 4.
In terms of time, wave 4 is normal compared to wave 3.
We are currently waiting for an uptrend that this trend may take place before the 270 range and possibly after this price at which the correction structure will change and possibly end in a leading triangle.
If the canal roof is broken upwards, it is a confirmation to start the upward movement.
🙏If you have an idea that helps me provide a better analysis, I will be happy to write in the comments🙏
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
MSFT Microsoft TrendlineMicrosoft’s buyout of Activision Blizzard for $69 billion would be the largest tech deal of all time.
And Microsoft needs Activision to be a major gaming developer and metaverse competitor.
Microsoft is still in the bullish trendline before the earnings this week.
My price target is $331.
looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Microsoft (MSFT) | The safest place to buy🔥Hello traders, Microsoft in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
It is better not to talk about the general nature of this wave and only explain the counted part of the wave.
Based on the counting of the first wave 1 and 2, it has ended in a very normal state and now we are inside the third wave.
From wave 3, waves 1, 2, and 3 are completed, and now wave 4 is formed. As we previously thought, wave 4 was formed in the form of a flat, and from this flat, waves a and b are completed, and the structure of wave c is formed.
Wave c is at the end of its trend, both in terms of the number of waves and the ratio between waves a and b of the flat, as well as the ratio of the depth of this correction to wave 4, but the probability of correction to Fibo will be 0.38 and then the wave starts breaking the green circle. 5 is approved.
This analysis is also fielded if the trend moves beyond the resistance indicated by the warning sign.
🙏If you have an idea that helps me provide a better analysis, I will be happy to write in the comments🙏
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
Microsoft: Buying at Key Level Microsoft - Short Term - We look to Buy at 306.00 (stop at 290.00)
We look to buy dips. Previous resistance, now becomes support at 305.00. Trend line support is located at 310.00. We have a 61.8% Fibonacci pullback level of 280.00 from 350.00 to 306.74. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited. Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 305.00, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 349.50 and 380.00
Resistance: 345.00 / 350.00 / 360.00
Support: 305.00 / 280.00 / 260.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
$MSFT short term bounce wouldn't be a surprise The amount of bearish takes on the market have grown rapidly as of the past week, many traders are chasing shorts to the downside (I don’t believe this is smart as your risk/reward is poor.) otherwise known as shorting in the hole. If a contrarian view point holds true the market will provide a bounce next week stopping these traders out, after that can re-access price action. We are extended off the moving averages and a bounce back into them would not be surprising. The gap has filled and there is 300 psych level just below, in the short term I think a bounce is likely. I would take a long over previous days high, lets see how this pans out. Also to note: QQQ has held key support zone so far.