$MSTR Continues on last weeks path!NASDAQ:MSTR continues to breakout above the channel after a retest as support.
High Volume Node at $440 may proof tough but if price breaks through we could see a strong FOMO induced breakout into price discovery.
Analysis is invalidated below the channel at $358.
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MSTR
Microstrategy: Renewed Upside MicroStrategy has continued to face downward pressure recently but is now showing more decisive signs of an upward move. We still see greater upside potential in the current magenta wave , though we expect the peak to form below resistance at $671.32. Afterward, the bearish wave should complete turquoise wave 2—while still holding above support at $153.49. Wave 3 should then usher in a longer upward phase, with momentum likely to ease only well above the $671.32 level. At the same time, there remains a 33% probability that the stock has already entered this upward phase. In that scenario, turquoise wave alt. 2 would already be complete, and the price would move directly above $671.32 as part of wave alt. 3.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
MSTR · 4H —Early Bearish Divergence Detected Near Key Fib TargetSetup Breakdown
Price recently broke out from a falling wedge and hit both technical targets — first at ~$409 (78.6%) and then ~$419 (100%).
However, momentum is weakening despite price hovering near the highs.
We're now seeing early bearish divergence on multiple timeframes and oscillators, signaling potential reversal or pullback.
⚠️ Bearish Signals
RSI Divergence
Price made higher highs while RSI made lower highs — classic bearish divergence.
Double confirmation
Both RSI with MA and pure RSI show declining momentum.
Volume drop
Price is rising but volume is not following — another early warning sign.
🔻 Potential Breakdown Trigger
If price closes below $407–405, that would break short-term structure and confirm the divergence risk.
Watch for RSI to drop below 50 and volume to spike on red candles — that would likely accelerate the correction.
📉 Downside Zones to Watch
$400
=> 61.8% Fib retracement + consolidation base
$395
=> 50% Fib retracement
$389
=> 38.2% Fib retracement + prior breakout support
✅ Summary
Divergence is still early but meaningful — momentum does not support current price highs.
A breakdown from current levels could open a short window down to $386 or even $371 if confirmed.
Watch RSI + volume + candle structure for confirmation before acting.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always manage your own risk and follow your trading plan.
#MSTR #BearishDivergence #RSI #Fibonacci #MomentumShift #VolumeAnalysis #TradingView #TechStocks #4HChart
$MSTR Megatrend Continuation?NASDAQ:MSTR is market leader in the CRYPTOCAP:BTC strategic reserves strategy and has set the benchmark.
After a nearly 20x rally profit take is exceptive, price has held up extremely well through the last 6 months only dropping to the .236 Fibonacci retracement and weekly pivot. As Bitcoin continues into price discovery expect the MSTR rally to continue with renewed tailwinds.
It is an extremely hated stock as well as its collection of yield baring derivatives. The keeps the social mood / sentiment low which could prove further tailwind for growth.
I am looking at a terminal target this cycle of around $1500 at the R5 weekly pivot.
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SharpLink Gaming Inc (SBET) - Falling Wedge & Inverse H&S🚀 SharpLink Gaming ( NASDAQ:SBET ) – Ethereum, Joe Lubin & a Bullish Setup
SharpLink Gaming has undergone a bold transformation: the company is now the largest public holder of Ethereum (ETH), with ~198,000 ETH acquired since June 2025. Over 95% of it is staked, already earning 200+ ETH in rewards – turning ETH into a yield-bearing treasury asset.
Driving this shift is Joe Lubin, co-founder of Ethereum and CEO of ConsenSys, who recently became Chairman of SharpLink. Under his leadership, SBET is betting big on Ethereum as “digital capital”, aiming to merge iGaming and Web3.
📊 Technical Setup:
SBET is forming a falling wedge and an inverse head and shoulders – both classic bullish reversal patterns. After a post-announcement retracement, the chart suggests growing potential for a breakout as fundamentals strengthen.
🧠 My thesis: This is MicroStrategy playbook 2.0 – but with ETH instead of BTC. SharpLink gives equity exposure to Ethereum + staking yield + visionary leadership.
🔔 Worth watching closely.
⚠️ Always do your own investment research and make your own decisions before investing.
Bitcoin - An Epic Move Awaits!Bitcoin gained 13% in H1 2025, outperforming Ethereum and Solana, which dropped ~25% and ~17% respectively—highlighting BTC's strength in turbulent market conditions.
Institutional wedge: spot-BTC ETFs saw huge inflows—BlackRock’s took in $336M, and total crypto product inflows approached $45B+ this year.
AI models foresee BTC holding $105K+ by end-June, with ChatGPT pointing to $118K and Grok forecasting $108K, based on momentum and ETF flows.
We see BTC holding the 20 MA and spiking to new all time highs.
MSTR Long - high squeeze potentialMSTR recently made 20-day highs (green candles) and then sold off towards the 20D EMA trendline. Meanwhile, looking at a proxy of net buying/selling (bottom panel), there has been neither significant buying nor selling activity.
All of this is setting up the potential for a squeeze higher.
Needless to say, please manage your risks carefully and consider setting a stop-loss upon MSTR closing at a 20-day low (red candle).
Both indicators (Breakout Trend and Buying/Selling Proxy) are available for free on TradingView.
MSTR Bulls Reload on BTC ConvictionMSTR – Institutional Flow + BTC Correlation + Bull Vertical Spread Setup
MicroStrategy (MSTR), operating as “Strategy,” just went full throttle—adding 10,100 BTC between June 9–15 at an average of $104,080 per coin, totaling over $1.05B. With this, they now hold 592,100 BTC (>$63B), solidifying their status as the largest Bitcoin-holding public company. That’s a bold move amid the ongoing Israel-Iran macro uncertainty, signaling confidence, not caution.
This latest BTC buy was funded via STRK and STRF ATM offerings and the $979.7M STRD preferred IPO. Since initiating their Bitcoin treasury strategy in 2020, MSTR has soared over 3,000%, and they’re projecting a 25% BTC yield for 2025 after already clocking in at 13.7% YTD.
🔎 Flow Watch
Institutional activity around current price levels has been sharp—confirming conviction behind the recent momentum. With BTC hovering at critical support, I’m eyeing a potential short-term bullish reversal. Given the tight correlation between BTC and MSTR, the setup looks primed.
🎯 My Strategy
I’m targeting a bull vertical spread—buying the 382.5 call and selling the 385 call. This defined-risk, limited-reward setup positions me to capture near-term upside if BTC begins a rebound and MSTR follows suit. The tight strike range and elevated IV make it ideal for a premium-efficient directional bet.
MicroStrategy another pull back before all time high?NASDAQ:MSTR analysis update..
📉 𝙇𝙤𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 The weekly R5 pivot target is bold at $1500 but definitely possible as a max greed scenario when the triple tailwind of Bitcoin, SPY and Bitcoin treasury companies trends return.
📉 𝙎𝙝𝙤𝙧𝙩 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 retracement is expected to end around the S1 pivot at $341 and a secondary target of $321.
Irans conflict has investors shaken and not willing to hold assets over the weekend on the fear of worse. However, if the conflict is resolved soon investors could have a great buying opportunity.
𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙞𝙘𝙖𝙡 𝘼𝙣𝙖𝙡𝙮𝙨𝙞𝙨
Price appears to have completed wave (B) of an ABC correction in wave 4. Wave C is underway with an expected thrust down (such is the nature of wave C) towards the daily S1 pivot $341. This is also the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, a high probability area for wave 4 to end. A deeper correction will bring up a triple shield of the High Volume Node, ascending daily 200EMA and 0.5 fibonacci retracement at £321.
Daily DEMA has death crossed.
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The Bitcoin Manipulation Trick - How They Lure You Into the Trap📉 Bitcoin spends more time in deep drawdowns than at its peaks. Historically, BTC has spent over 80% of its existence trading 80-90% below its all-time highs, yet people keep falling for the illusion of wealth.
🧐 Here’s how the cycle works:
1️⃣ They drive up the price to make it enticing for new buyers.
2️⃣ You FOMO in at the highs, believing in the "next big wave."
3️⃣ Then they crash it, wiping out weak holders.
4️⃣ They keep it suppressed for years, forcing everyone out, via margin calls, financial strain, or sheer exhaustion.
5️⃣ When enough have capitulated, they restart the cycle.
📊 Historical Evidence:
- 2013 Crash: Over 400 days down 80%+ before recovery.
- 2017 Crash: Nearly 3 years below 80% of ATH.
- 2021 Drop: More than a year stuck 75% below peak.
🔎 If you’re buying now, be ready to:
⛔ Lose access to your money
⛔ Keep covering margins
⛔ Wait years for recovery, if it ever happens …
They play the same trick, every time. If you don’t recognize it, you’re just another part of the cycle. 🚀🔥
INDEX:BTCUSD NASDAQ:MARA NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:TSLA TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER NASDAQ:MSTR TVC:DXY NASDAQ:HOOD NYSE:CRCL
Could Microstrategy be a 1 Trillion dollar mcap company?!Microstrategy and Michael Saylor evoke a spectrum of opinions, with analysts offering a diverse range of potential future valuations.
High risk, high reward!
The destiny of Microstrategy’s market capitalization is clearly linked to Bitcoin’s performance. The company has been utilizing debt to acquire the cryptocurrency, aiming to create significant spreads. This leverage is the reason why the stock has significantly outperformed Bitcoin throughout 2024.
I am confident that Bitcoin can indeed reach $200k, with a potential upper price target of $250K for this cycle, indicating a potentially explosive Q3 and Q4.
The lingering question is how much additional FOMO and premium Saylor can cultivate for his leveraged vehicle in such an environment?
That's why charting is such a key component to any personal investing strategy IMHO, as we navigate these markets.
$MSTR bear flag forming; Daily $350 targetHello, quick mobile chart posting here. Simple looking bear flagging forming. Bitcoin having some downside action, I imagine Saylor will be buying some Bitcoin soon again as well. This should see $350. Looking for a short. + geopolitical turmoil hits crypto/Bitcoin the hardest and most violent. The 20 and 50 EMA are aligned as well with the Supertrend Downtrend showing $350.
WSL.
Targets for Bitcoin Bullish outlook for BTC in the coming days IF we close above 106,1 k.
The 3 day candles indicates we could have a "Three White Soldier Pattern" coming up for BTC. It would be a pattern showing a trend reversal and potenially trigger the next trend to retest the old ATH. Although, I would like to see increase in volume to confirm this during the rest of the day to be more certain on this pattern.
Expecting NASDAQ:MSTR to get really bullish aswell if this occur.
Navigating MSTR’s Price Swings: A Smart Options ApproachOverview
MicroStrategy (MSTR) has continued to capture market attention due to its aggressive Bitcoin strategy and significant stock price volatility. In 2025, MSTR surged 41% in one quarter but also reported a massive $4.22 billion net loss in Q1, raising concerns about long-term financial stability. Analysts remain divided, setting price targets ranging from $200 to $650, largely dependent on Bitcoin’s performance and broader market conditions.
Key Developments Impacting MSTR
✔ Bitcoin Exposure: MSTR maintains a large Bitcoin position, making its stock highly correlated to BTC’s price movements.
✔ AI Integration: The company is investing in AI-driven products, which could provide diversification outside of Bitcoin.
✔ Institutional View: Analysts remain split on MicroStrategy’s valuation due to its uncertain revenue model.
✔ Macro Volatility: Market-wide sentiment, interest rates, and crypto regulations will influence MSTR’s trajectory.
Options Strategy for the Week
🚀 Iron Condor Setup for June 6 Expiration
To capitalize on MSTR’s volatility while managing risk, an Iron Condor strategy is structured within a controlled range:
- Inner Range: Sell Calls at 395 and Puts at 335
- Coverage: Buy Calls at 415 and Puts at 315
✅ Objective: Profiting from sideways price movement while minimizing exposure to extreme volatility.
✅ Risk Management: If MSTR breaks above 415 or below 315, the long positions hedge against excessive losses.
Bitcoin Brewing - A large move is coming!Bitcoin has been under pressure over the last few trading sessions.
Despite the equity markets going higher this asset is stuck in a holding pattern.
We are currently forming a wedge pattern that has given us a directional bias to trade.
Price action is at a 50/50 in terms of falling lower or rallying higher.
Being the fact that the bulls have been forming higher lows & higher highs, we have to give them due respect.
However understand this BTC is showing some distribution signs and is likely going to have a decent selloff within the next 15-45days. We may have 1 more spike higher but we may not.
1 note of interest is the 7day & 20 day moving average just signaled a bearish crossover which is something you need to monitor closely.
I do think the upside is limited to about 115K if we have 1 more move higher.
MSTR - The Saylor in the Storm!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈MSTR has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. (log chart)
Currently, it is in a correction phase within the falling red channel.
Moreover, the red zone is a strong demand.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of demand and lower trendlines acting as non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #MSTR approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
MSTR I Pullback and More Potential GrowthWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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Strategy Set To Drop —Selling Bitcoin?If you knew a stock was going to crash but this stock is related to Bitcoin and always moves with Bitcoin but now is about to detach, would you tell others?
Bitcoin is already trading at a new All-Time High and six weeks green. Ok, let's forget about Bitcoin because this is about MicroStrategy (now Strategy).
The MSTR stock is bearish now. Very bearish.
The top happened in November 2024.
9-May 2025 we have a long-term lower high. Days at resistance and this lower high is confirmed.
A scandal is about to be uncovered?
A change of "strategy"? Hah, nice play on words.
Is strategy going to have a change of strategy?
This change of strategy obviously will end up screwing everybody who holds this stock?
I don't know... I mean, who knows.
Here is what I know. The chart signals are pointing down. Bearish confirmed so, down we go.
Namaste.