MICROSTRATEGY: Hit the 1D MA50 and bounced, but is it a buy now?MSTR has made a rapid turn from overbought to neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.944, MACD = 14.210, ADX = 17.986) as it reached today a -40% decline from its ATH but eventually hit the 1D MA50 and rebounded. This is the first contact with the 1D MA50 since September 19th. Even though it seems like a strong technical buy opportunity, Microstrategy has had its best buy entries in the last 2 years, under the 1D MA50. As this chart shows there have been 8 such buy signals, so even though the current rebound is tempting, we ideally want to see the price under the 1D MA50 and $300 before issuing a buy signal. Once this is filled, we can target the December 5th High minimum (TP = 400).
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MSTR
MSTR: Prime Opportunity for a Rebound as Buyers Take Control Bullish Analysis for MSTR:
MicroStrategy (MSTR) has recently dropped alongside the broader crypto market, but strong buying momentum is emerging as buyers step in to buy the dip . The RSI is coming back from oversold levels, signaling potential for a rebound. As Bitcoin stabilizes and recovers, MSTR’s stock is likely to benefit from both the crypto rebound and its solid business fundamentals.
Trade Setup:
Take Profit 1: $370
Take Profit 2: $430
Stop Loss: $310
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity, with MSTR potentially poised for a bullish reversal.
Why MSTR Could Hit $350 by April 2025Why MSTR Could Hit $350 by April 2025
MicroStrategy (MSTR) has positioned itself uniquely in the financial landscape by heavily investing in Bitcoin, making it not just a tech firm but also a significant player in the cryptocurrency space. Here's why MSTR might reach $350 by April 2025:
Bitcoin's Performance and MicroStrategy's Strategy:
Bitcoin has been on an upward trajectory, with recent spikes fueled by events like political developments (e.g., Trump's crypto-friendly stance). If Bitcoin continues this trend or even surpasses expectations, MSTR's stock, which acts almost as a leveraged bet on Bitcoin, could see substantial gains. Analysts have noted a strong positive correlation between Bitcoin's price and MSTR's stock value, sometimes suggesting a premium on MSTR due to its Bitcoin strategy.
MicroStrategy's Bold Bitcoin Acquisition:
Recent posts on X have highlighted MicroStrategy's commitment to the biggest Bitcoin buy ever at $42B. This aggressive accumulation could signal to investors that MSTR believes in a significant future value increase for Bitcoin, thereby potentially boosting investor confidence in MSTR shares.
Market Sentiment and Institutional Interest:
There's growing institutional interest in Bitcoin, which benefits companies like MicroStrategy. For instance, South Korea’s National Pension Service's investment in MSTR indicates a broader acceptance of crypto through established companies. Such moves could lead to increased demand for MSTR stock, pushing its price higher.
Inclusion in Major Indices:
Discussions around MSTR's potential inclusion in major indices like the S&P 500 could significantly boost its stock price. If MSTR becomes eligible for such an index due to its market cap or liquidity, it would attract more institutional investors, driving the price up.
Earnings and Accounting Changes:
With the adoption of new accounting standards allowing for digital assets to be measured at fair value, MSTR could report more favorable earnings. This could lead to a re-rating of the stock as the market recognizes the true value of its Bitcoin holdings, potentially pushing the stock towards the $350 mark or beyond.
Bullish Predictions and Analyst Upgrades:
Analysts from various platforms have shown optimism, with some forecasts indicating that MSTR could trade between $175.94 and $310.25 by 2025. While these aren't exact to $350, the sentiment is clear: there's an expectation of significant growth.
Supply Shock from Bitcoin Halving:
The Bitcoin halving event, which reduces the reward for mining new blocks, historically impacts Bitcoin's price positively due to the reduced supply growth rate. If this event leads to a substantial Bitcoin price increase, MSTR's stock should follow suit.
Macro-Economic Environment:
If the global economic environment continues to favor alternative investments like cryptocurrencies, MSTR, with its Bitcoin strategy, stands to benefit. Lower interest rates or inflation fears might drive more capital towards assets like Bitcoin, indirectly benefiting MSTR.
16/12/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $106,649.88
Last weeks low: $94,177.33
Midpoint: $100,413.61
A new ATH for BTC last week as we saw $106K for the first time, truly amazing price action since the Trump election win. NASDAQ:MSTR , IBIT and other massive institutions are continuing to buy with more companies having rumoured to add BTC to their balance sheet, demand is strong and does not seem to be going away as we go into the end of the quarter/year.
This week we have many different data releases from the UK, US & ECB. Naturally volatility is expected around these events, it also makes traders a little tentative to enter into trades, I would say this is more accurate during bear markets/ choppy conditions. Right now we're in a strong Bullrun and therefor the momentum is less news data driven and more a race for institutional buying, It's a given at this point that we're in a period of rate cuts and so that is factored into price.
Altcoins have seen a recent pullback despite BTC pushing higher, this is as a result of the BTC.D chart tanking when alts took the liquidity from BTC profits and so dominance did see a correction. This latest BTC move up while alts are down is just a continuation of BTC.D continuing its surge as it always does in the Bullrun before the true altseason where alts outpace BTC after a blow-off top.
This week I'd like to see BTC come through data events unscathed with altcoins bouncing off the 4H 200EMAs and starting the next leg up going into year end.
BTC Miner "Valuation" ChartThis is not advice on who to invest in, or what, do your own due diligence in checking through the total overall hashrate, the future plans of these companies and how diversified they are in their business operations. IE do they outsource some compute for data centers etc. Hint: Data center usage will be gigantic since it's already built and ready to plug and play so to say.
This is just a super simple analysis of the YTD of some miners I think are pretty decent. This is an incredibly risky "sector" but the larger guys with tons of built or in process of being built Megawatts available are not only positioned to benefit from the rise of bitcoin, and the potential for larger companies to scoop them up for their own ai / data center needs. Just my two cents. As always feel free to reach out for questions or leave a question in the comments. GL
MSTR 4H: Potential Breakout from Descending TrendlineMicroStrategy (MSTR) has been forming a descending trendline resistance since its recent peak around 520. The price has been consolidating near the trendline convergence point, showing signs of a potential breakout. Current price action suggests accumulation with higher lows forming.
Key Levels:
Major resistance: Descending trendline (currently ~410)
Current price: ~400
Trade Setup:
Looking for a confirmed breakout above the descending trendline with increased volume. A successful breach could signal the end of the current corrective phase and potential trend reversal.
Risk Management:
Place stops below recent swing lows. Watch for false breakouts and monitor Bitcoin correlation as it significantly influences MSTR's price action.
MSTR100 | Pennant | Potential LONGSitting onto a nice Volume Shelf here. What we see is a Pennant or a Ascending triangle forming here for a higher move up especially with the Price sitting onto a volume shelf.
Next PT is at the first Fibonacci PT 1.618 ratio at 1.2582266. If Price can get above that and hold we can move higher. For now a DCA strategy on this coin would work if pennant doesn't get invalidated.
I personally will buy at around .82 and then .73. Below that pattern will be invalidated and will need to change strategy.
PT based on Fibonacci ratio:
1.25 > 1.69 > 2.13 > 2.40 then ATH and maybe higher if hype follows.
MSTR - Inverse H&S Pattern with Clear Breakout TargetThis is an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern on MSTR 1-hour
Risk/Reward Analysis:
Entry Price: $440
Stop Loss: $400
Target Price: $520
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1R:2R
Details
Clear neckline breakout level around $440
Downside risk zone marked in red (-$40 from entry)
Upside potential marked in green (+$80 from entry)
The setup presents a favorable technical structure with a strong risk-reward ratio above 1:2.
MSTR following up with the bulls,dont try to counter the market!MSTR has been doing fantastically, so in the mid/short term overview until End of December / End of January - I am forecasting the bull run in crypto to continue, and as follow the bull run would continue with MSTR as well due to the fact as how centered they are with BTC.
Entry on market open -
Target 1 : 460$ per share
Target 2 :560$ per share
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
Crypto Stonks Are Booming! Top Crypto Stocks to Watch NowFrom Memecoins to Mega Stocks
While crypto traders have been focused on finding the next big memecoins like Doge , crypto-related stocks have also been performing well this year. In today’s analysis, we’ll dive into some crypto related stocks you might want to keep an eye on
1. Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN )
First on our list is Coinbase, the top US crypto exchange with a market cap of $48 billion. Since its IPO in April 2021, Coinbase has gained a reputation as a trusted exchange known for its regulatory compliance.
Besides its exchange services, Coinbase offers a self custody wallet popular among the crypto community, with over 10 million downloads. In February 2023, Coinbase launched its own layer 2 blockchain, Base , which has since recorded over $1 billion in total value locked and averages daily transaction volumes of over $400 million.
Coinbase has also played a part in advancing spot Bitcoin ETF approvals, forming a surveillance-sharing agreement with the Chicago Board Options Exchange in July 2023. Additionally, Coinbase partnered with **Stripe** in June to boost the global adoption of USDC. This partnership enables crypto payouts and a fiat-to-crypto onramp, making it easier for users to buy crypto with credit cards and Apple Pay through Coinbase Wallet. Coin is up over 350% since our first signal
2. MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR )
Next up is MicroStrategy, with a market cap of $26 billion. Known for its business analytics software, cloud services, and AI-powered analytics, MicroStrategy is more famous for its Bitcoin holdings, driven by the advocacy of Executive Chairman Michael Saylor.
Under Saylor's leadership, MicroStrategy became the first public company to adopt Bitcoin as a strategic investment in August 2020, citing its potential as a store of value. The company accumulated over 121,000 BTC by late 2021 and continued adding to its holdings, despite price volatility and leverage risks. As of 2024, MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin holdings have reached 226,500 BTC, and the company’s stock hit new all time highs, demonstrating its strong correlation with Bitcoin's performance. Mstr is 100% up since our first signal
3. Block ( NYSE:SQ )
Formerly known as Square, Block is a fintech company founded by Jack Dorsey and Jim McKelvey, with a market cap of $38 billion. Starting with small-business payment solutions like Square POS, Block launched **Cash App** in 2013 to provide a user-friendly platform for consumers, competing with services like PayPal and Venmo.
Cash App generates revenue through transaction fees, subscription payments, and Bitcoin sales. It even supports the Lightning Network for quick Bitcoin transactions. Beyond payments, Block owns a majority stake in Tidal, a music streaming service, showing its diverse portfolio.
4. Robinhood ( NASDAQ:HOOD )
Lastly, we have Robinhood, with a market cap of over $15 billion. Founded in 2013 by Stanford graduates Vladimir Tenev and Baiju Bhatt, Robinhood became known for its free, user-friendly trading app, which gained significant popularity during the COVID19 pandemic
Robinhood found itself in the spotlight during the 2021 GameStop and WallStreetBets saga, where it faced backlash for restricting trades on memestocks like $GME. This led to a lawsuit and a $70 million penalty from FINRA for misleading customers and service outages. Despite this, Robinhood continues to grow, boasting 23.9 million funded accounts and nearly $130 billion in assets under custody as of May 2024.
Robinhood has made some notable moves recently, including acquiring Pluto Capital, which provides AI-driven investment advice, and securing a deal to acquire crypto exchange Bitstamp.
Wrap up
If you’re wondering about Bitcoin mining stocks, don’t worry we had a separate analysis just for that. Crypto Bull market just started and be ready for more analysis
which stock or crypto coins you are bullish now and why?
$MSTR Analysis... Possible Scenario!This could be usable... I guess!😊
If we consider the length of wave A in calculating the end of wave C, we can establish a relationship between them, justifying the end of wave C. In this scenario, the current retracement is expected to continue to the $338 level, representing 61.8% of wave A!
Let's see how it goes!... Cheers
NASDAQ:MSTR #MSTR
MSTR is Back To Dotcom Boom Levels...Finally. But At What Cost?Self-explanatory chart. I called a major top for Bitcoin and Microstrategy back in 2022, detailing the possibility of much lower prices for both.
This ended up being correct, but only in the short term. Since then, both BTC and Microstrategy have surprised me to the upside. It's incredible that only now has MSTR reached a valuation it has not seen since the year 2000. Look at that volume! Mania levels.
Microstrategy now owns 386,700 Bitcoin, almost 2% of the entire 21 Million maximum supply. This is triple the supply ownership from 2022, when it was just over 100,000. That's triple the risk. What could go wrong?
It's impossible to know when this could all go up in flames, but I'm certainly ready to watch when it happens. These kinds of price moves and buying behavior are not sustainable. It is also starting to rub more and more Bitcoiners the wrong way - "this is not how it was meant to be!"
Meanwhile, Saylor continues to enrichen himself and shareholders. Not to mention, there is now at least one leveraged MSTR ETF. Again, what could go wrong? Some people have made a killing on this though. Congrats to them. Now it's time to take at least some profit. On the above chart, a breakdown from that orange trendline should indicate a top.
Let's see how it all unfolds. If price manages to hold up here, perhaps there will be at least one more leg up.
As always, this is meant for speculative purposes only. As shown throughout my work on this site, it's really easy to be wrong. I just find the guesswork part of the fun. Thanks for reading!
-Victor Cobra
Waiting RoomThe $100k BTC mark has been a mythological target for crypto traders for a very long time. It felt so near back in 2021, yet proved to be so far. In the end, we even went below $20k again before going back up this year. When you are reading this, 1 Bitcoin might well already be worth over $100,000. But for now, over the past 24h, it has continued to remain tantalisingly close to the magic number. Crossing this price point would be yet another major milestone in a year that has already seen the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. It is now a waiting game.
Once that $100k threshold will be inevitably crossed, all eyes will be set on what is next. Of course, as usual in moments of euphoria, crypto bulls compete with each other to set ever higher price targets. Will MIL:1M be the next one? Or is $500k already big enough? Many Bitcoiners will argue that the next target is gold Market Cap parity. After all, Bitcoin claims to be the digital gold with all of gold's benefits such as scarcity but with far easier movability and programmability on top. Gold's current market cap is $18 trillion. Bitcoin's market cap in the meantime is at around $2 trillion. The potential upside if this thesis plays out still seems juicy, particularly for traditional funds and investors who value Bitcoin's 'established' status as macro asset.
One of the main characters in the current market environment remains Michael Saylor, founder of Microstrategy (MSTR). Microstrategy is a legacy tech company that had seen its previous all-time high before the dotcom bubble burst in 2000. Since starting to accumulate Bitcoin in 2020, Michael Saylor has turned MSTR into a leveraged proxy for the Bitcoin price. Over the years, Microstrategy has sold additional shares and then used the proceeds of those sales to purchase Bitcoin. In addition, the company issues convertible debt offerings at 0% interest and uses the funds to buy more Bitcoin. These offerings are appealing to institutional investors because they offer exposure to Bitcoin while limiting the downside risk. The company's 2027 convertible bond, which also has 0% interest rate, trades 200% over par. MSTR's stock as well as its convertible bonds are now proxies of Bitcoin exposure. Microstrategy's Bitcoin holdings now stand at 331,200 BTC, worth $30.4 billion. This is almost 1.6% the entire Bitcoin supply. Meanwhile, the company's market cap is at $80 billion, showing a more than 2x premium over the company's Bitcoin holdings.
Many traders of course are deeply sceptical about this setup. Too much post-traumatic stress from the 2022 blowup not just of Luna/Terra but also of the Grayscale trade remains. For those who do not remember, the Grayscale Bitcoin fund was a pre-ETF Bitcoin fund that was open to traditional investors. It was essentially a proxy for holding Bitcoin. For years, it traded at a premium. Funds, such as Three Arrow Capital, would leverage up on Bitcoin, deposit into the fund and then sell fund shares at a premium. But when the premium flipped negative in 2021, it signalled the beginning of the end for many overleveraged funds and traders. The case of MSTR seems somewhat different, but traders should watch the amount of leverage at play and which direction the MSTR premium over Bitcoin will go for an indication of the market cycle.
Whichever way this goes, it certainly does fill like the markets still have room to run. So for now we all remain in the $100,000 Waiting Room. It should not be much longer from here.