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MSTR

MSTR in big trouble. target 350... or worse.MSTR in many ways has become a proxy for the bitcoin trade. With 91k bitcoin at an average price around 21k, the bulk of MSTR's market cap comes from it's bitcoin assets, not it's actual business. In many ways, this chart could resemble a descending triangle, but really we are just going to follow the bitcoin chart. While BTC hit my ~42k target today, I see it going down further still - perhaps as low as 30k in the coming weeks. That would imply nearly 30% more downside for bitcoin - putting MSTR around 330 from today's price. However, given the support I see aroudn 350, it is possible their actual business may kick in and offer the extra 20/share. There is also a remote, but real risk things could get substantially worse for MSTR. Due to their leveraged play of buying bitcoin with debt, it is possible (again, remote) that a precipitous drop in bitcoin price could cause certain covenants in their bonds to force liquidation at low prices on bitcoin. Depending how low, it is conceivable (I don't know the details of their offering!) this could trigger other things that may be bad for shareholder, such as a secondary or something else. These risks seem very real, although most likely they would hedge or reduce exposure as things moved in this direction. Lastly, it is worth noting the weekly chart momentum indicators on MSTR here does not look very promising either.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by tacosaurus
I like this one long termAnyone thats a fan of BTC knows of Michael Saylor and they know that this is his company and he basically is the biggest bitcoin bull there is. This stock has a heavy correlation with BTC because of their holdings and moves more tightly with it. Because I dont think we are going below 60k again on BTC and we recently had a buy up and pull back. This in my opinion is great location to be long MSTR. I have some volume areas zoned out, but personally I only look at them as areas it might pause or to use as trade location. I really dont think what drives BTC and this stock have a great deal to do with volume zones like normal stocks do, but as crypto matures it very likely will stabilize and become more predicable. There arent many shares of MSTR available either the float is reported as 7.04m shares and an incredible 100.93% being held by institutions. This means you're not going to see a lot of intraday volume like other stocks, in other words, not a lot of paper hands hold this. The options premium is very juicy on this, they are wide and low volume but I've been able to get filled in the ballpark of mid after working my limit orders a bit. Get ready to cancel and resubmit your order a few times. But I have been able to sell some thick premium in there. I own some shares in long term investment accounts and trade the options for shorter term. I only make long trades on this one though. If it gets to a point where it seems BTC might back off or hit a new resistance, its really just time to let it do its thing until it comes back near the trend line to go long again.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by Rikity
2
BTCUSD to ~42k?I love bitcoin, but this run is looking pretty tired. The top may come soon - in the next few weeks as the coinbase IPO comes out. However, technically I see a lot of things getting weak in this chart. First, the bearish divergence between the RSI making lower highs while BTCUSD made higher highs. Next, we have a MACD that while turning up recently seems to be more tepid that the previous advances. In other words, buyers seem to be getting tired. I think we could find our way to the ~~ 42k range (or possibly even 30k, a full 50% retracement), lets say in the next month or two. To me, this shorter term view looks like we're heading down. Some decent mechanisms to play short include puts on MSTR, RIOT, MARA, CAN, BTBT. Ultimately I think this 59k level is the real test, but if you wanted to give some room, I would say if we confidently moved north of 62k this idea is wrong. otherwise my target remains 42k.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by tacosaurus
SPRT next crypto miner leader Interesting play and even on existing business model CEO has a history of building companies. Didn't see this one coming but even with today's move we believe this is far from over. Have fun and enjoy the ride! Fundamentally should be multiples folds higher based on the competitive metrics and although it moved today once people do some work on this are realize what they got it should start to get real attention vs the day traders. $btc bitcoin miner
SLong
by Hatchetaxe