Gold Fails to Hold the Fear – Ceasefire Triggers 500+ Pip DropIn yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out that despite the weekend escalation in the middle-east, which triggered a gap up in Gold, the price action didn’t confirm the fear narrative. Gold failed to hold its gains – a clear sign of weakness.
📌 What happened next?
Throughout the day, Gold attempted multiple pushes toward 3400 – but each effort was met with strong selling pressure.
Then came the ceasefire announcement… and Gold dropped hard, now trading around 3320, locking in over 500 pips of profit from my short setup.
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❓ More importantly, what’s next for Gold?
More important than the short-term noise is what the charts are now telling us:
📉 Weekly chart? Bearish.
🕯️ Daily chart? Also turned bearish after last week’s indecisive price action.
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📌 Strategy remains the same:
I continue to sell rallies, and I’m now watching the 3280 support zone for a possible test in the coming hours.
Patience. Discipline. Let the market come to you. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
GBPUSD Sell - June, 24📍Context:
Reaction from Weekly & Daily OBs
Price tapped into a 4H OB
Asia low to fill
15m & 5m POIs showing clear rejection
Presence of wicks signaling slowdown + bearish engulfing confirming seller control
📍Entry:
Based on 15m imbalance left behind
SL placed above recent highs – structure still valid
🎯 TP:
Minimum 1:3 RR
Final target: Asia lows
Bottom in for the dollar against the EuroI know many people are calling for the decline of the dollar and to invest in Europe, but the chart shows a different picture.
The chart shows that the dollar has bottomed against the Euro and looks set to make a run at the highs.
I think over the coming months/years, the dollar will go back above par against the Euro and will likely outperform the Euro for the coming years.
The recent decline in the dollar was just to backtest support, and now that we have done that, I think the bottom is in.
Breaking above the trend line should accelerate the bullish move.
Long trade
🟢 Trade Journal Entry – Buyside Trade
📍 Pair: ETHUSDT
📅 Date: Monday, June 23, 2025
🕒 Time: 8:00 AM (NY Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: (Assumed 4Hr TF)
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 2422.81
Profit Level 2474.60 (+2.14%)
Stop Loss 2415.04 (−4.08%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 2.91 : 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
NY Session AM Execution:
Trade entered at the start of the New York session, aiming to capture directional momentum amid strong ETH volatility.
Liquidity Sweep Confirmation:
Clear stop-hunt below prior swing low sets up the reversal conditions
GOLD 30M ANALYSIS (LONG)In this analysis we're focusing on 30Min time frame. If we look in this 30Min chart, we have supply area and demand area. And we have also a minor resistance level. Now what I'm looking for that price move impulsively upside after sweeping all SSL. I'm expecting that price will come back and retest (3310 - 3305) area at least. So keep an eye on these level, confirmation is key.
Second Condition:
If price break above 3332 and close above 3332 with strong momentum than we will plan a buy trade on retracement.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#XAUUSD 30M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
USDCAD - Long triggered We have entered into the discount area of the most recent swing point on USDCAD. With doing this we have taken out all the areas of liquidity within the trading range so it was time to look for potential long moves.
Now at current price we have had a great example of AMD where by we
Accumulate
Manipulate
and then the hope is that we begin to distribute higher.
There was also a nice fair value gap that was left behind on the 5min
So all that was left to do was execute.
Let us see how it plays out.
Win or lose great entry super happy with the trade. Lets see how it goes
GBPJPY| Midweek OutlookEven though it’s midweek, I wanted to share an update on GBPJPY and walk you through the process so far.
Price has been showing clear bullish structure from the 4H down to the 30M, so I remained patient and waited for price to revisit and mitigate a bullish order block — and that’s exactly what we got.
Now that mitigation has played out, I’m watching closely for LTF confirmations to line up. Ideally looking for entry opportunities around 196.006 – 195.922, depending on how the lower timeframes react and confirm.
Not rushing anything — just executing based on structure, mitigation, and confirmation. I’ll continue updating as price develops.
#GBPJPY #SMC #OrderBlock #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #ForexTrading #GJSetup #MidweekOutlook #InducementKing #DayTrader
Bless Trading!
AUD/JPY at Risk of Breakdown as Bullish Momentum FadesAUD/JPY failed to follow through on a bullish breakout above 94.00, despite initial signs of strength from a bullish hammer and inverted H&S pattern. The pair has since printed a bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart to take prices near the lows of its range of the past week.
With the 1-hour RSI (2) hitting oversold levels, a minor bounce is possible, but risks remain skewed to the downside. A break beneath 93.70 would confirm a range breakdown and open the door to a deeper pullback towards the high-volume node (HVN) at 93.85.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com.
Long trade
📍 Pair: DOGEUSDT
📅 Date: Tuesday, June 24th, 2025
📈 Direction: Buyside
TIME: 2.45 PM (NY time)
NY Session PM
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric
Entry Price 0.16375
Profit Level 0.16581 (+1.26%)
Stop Loss 0.16337 (−0.23%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 5.42: 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes – ICT Inversion FVG Model
Fair Value Gap (FVG): The trade was executed based on ICT’s Inversion FVG model, where a previously bearish FVG was broken to the upside and then revisited as a bullish support zone.
🔍 Liquidity Sweep + Displacement:
Price swept a short-term sell-side low, triggering stops before sharply displacing upward, forming a bullish break in market structure and the FVG.
1min TF Entry
Long trade
🟢 Trade Journal Entry – Buyside Trade
📍 Pair: DOGEUSDT
📅 Date: Monday, June 23, 2025
🕒 Time: 11:00 AM (NY Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 4 Hour
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 0.15395
Profit Level 0.17081 (+10.95%)
Stop Loss 0.14844 (−3.58%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 3.06 : 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
4H Order Block Execution:
Entry triggered at the retest of a 4-hour bullish order block following price rejection and a bullish engulfing structure.
EURUSD Midweek Outlook | 3H - 15M Dual ViewLeft side chart shows the 3H Bird’s Eye structure — price swept the recent highs but failed to follow through, signaling external bull weakness. That shift in narrative tells me price may be prepping to drop, potentially targeting the SSL below before gathering fuel to attack major highs.
Right side zooms in on the 15M — I’m patiently watching for a clean lower high to break (CHoCH) followed by a pullback to confirm a sell entry. Until I get that proper LTF trigger, I stay on the sidelines. Execution always follows alignment.
Bias: Short
HTF Structure: 3H sweep of highs, showing weakness
LTF View: Waiting for 15M confirmation (break + retest)
Target: SSL below
Mindset Note: Trade what’s shown, not what’s felt. Stay sharp, stay patient.
Bless Trading!
Long trade
📍 Pair: PEPEUSD
📅 Date: Monday, June 23, 2025
🕒 Time: 8:00 AM (NY Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 4 Hour
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 0.00000912
Profit Level 0.00001046 (+14.69%)
Stop Loss 0.00000866 (−5.04%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 2.91 : 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
4H Order Block Entry:
The trade took off after a clear bullish order block formed, following a price tap into prior demand with a wick rejection.
Liquidity Grab Below Lows:
Price swept a 4H swing low before reversing, suggesting institutional accumulation below retail stops.
Midweek XAUUSD Insight | Dual View SetupPair: XAUUSD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (Left Panel – 3H): Price action has been moving within bullish structure, with a major higher low currently holding strong. This HL is the key pivot I’m watching for continuation.
Refinement Zone (Middle – 30M): We’ve tapped into a 30M OB and are now sitting in mitigation territory. No signs of reversal yet, but the setup is maturing.
Entry Technique (Right Panel – 15M View): Just waiting for that classic Smart Money confirmation — LTF CHoCH, liquidity sweep, then return into OB. Will refine down to 5M for precise entry if price plays out clean.
Entry Zone: Waiting on confirmation around the OB zone
Target Zones: Based on HTF structure continuation
🧠 Mindset Note: Setup is solid, but patience wins. Let the story unfold — we only strike with clarity and precision.
Bless Trading!
XAU/USD 24 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GOLD. Daily Timeframe overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors!
Daily Timeframe
Market phase : sideways. Seller's initiative.
Boundaries marked with black lines.
Gold followed an alternative scenario from the previous review toward 3435. The buyer played out the 8-9 vector of the range on the daily timeframe, and now the initiative has shifted to the seller. The seller's targets are 3245 and 3201 — areas to watch for potential buy patterns aiming for a new ATH. The price might get stuck in the 3293–3271 zone. If a strong buyer reaction occurs, a reversal may happen in this range.
The ideal area to look for buy patterns is around 3201.
Selling is risky.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Long trade
📍 Pair: LINKUSD
📅 Date: Monday, June 23, 2025
🕒 Time: 11:00 AM (NY Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 4 Hour
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Entry Price 11.892
Profit Level 14.925 (+25.50%)
Stop Loss 11.408 (−4.07%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 6.27 : 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
High Timeframe Execution:
Trade executed from a 4-hour bullish order block, positioned at the base of a previous impulsive move.
Liquidity Engineering & Sweep:
The setup formed after a sweep below the previous 4H demand, collecting liquidity before reversing direction.
XAUUSD Bullish OutlookThis chart captures a highly strategic bullish setup on XAUUSD, rooted in Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and institutional trading principles. The market has performed a major liquidity sweep, dipping below previous lows to collect resting sell-side liquidity before reacting sharply from a key demand zone.
Why Bullish? The Confluences:
Liquidity Sweep:
Price manipulated below a significant structural low to trap late sellers and activate institutional orders. This move into deeper liquidity suggests the smart money is building long positions.
Extreme P.O.I. + Demand Zone:
The blue zone marks a high probability reversal area where demand outweighs supply. This zone is validated by historical reactions and refined to align with an Order Block (OB) a clear footprint of institutional accumulation.
Bullish Structure Anticipation:
After the reaction, price is expected to form a series of higher highs and higher lows, confirming bullish market structure. Multiple resistance levels are in sight, each one representing an objective for price to reach in its journey upward.
Entry Point: $3,343 – $3,330
Located inside the OB and demand zone, this is where price is likely to build a base for upward continuation.
Stop Loss: Below $3,324
TP1: $3,363 (first internal structure break)
TP2: $3,375 (mid range target)
TP3: $3,383 (structural high retest)
TP Final: $3,405 (liquidity target above EQH)
Remember confirmation is key before execution.
#GOLD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
ZBCN: Looking for support to hold and AVWAP's regained
CRYPTOCAP:ZBCN
D/30m chart
We have had out first real pullback on the daily. It's holding the midline, held the GP. I played the break of the triangle on Sunday and took it to the ATH AVWAP (black). I'm wanting the same squeeze that threw that triangle north to hold as support now as buyers defend their positions.
I want to see a shake out below that green AVWAP, I want it to hold and proceed higher. then and only then do we stalk our entry.
I want a break and a pullback test of that red/green AVWAP. If I see that, its a buy on the other side of the "V".
GBPUSD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.35000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.52
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
ADA | BTC | ET | Why ALTSEASON is COMING SOONAfter a -34% retracement, ADA is ready to go higher alongside with the rest of the alt market.
We see a very interesting phenomena here, were ADA also represents a large part of the larger alts: BTC pulls back, ETH is starting to increase or trades sideways (before the increase) whilst the alts dip.
This is actually BULLISH for alts, showing the very clear rotation between BTC, ETH and top 15 alts.
If we look at the macro of ANY of the alts I've been working through recently, a similar pattern appears - a clear bottom, followed by a sideways trade. This is usually the point just before the big ALTS season.
We actually see this pattern at the end of the 2018 rally, as well as after the 202- Covid dip:
The bottom line -
ADA and other alts are gearing up for their ALTSEASON. With patience, we will soon see some great gains across the markets.
GBPCHF: Pullback From Support 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF is going to pull back from a wide daily support cluster.
I see a strong intraday bullish confirmation and a bullish
imbalance candle after the news.
Goal - 1.0986
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