Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Bitcoin death cross! April 7th, 2025** short term analysis, the days ahead **
Short version: Very positive.
Long version:
The Death Cross prints tomorrow, April 7th, 2025. For many retail traders who use moving averages the read will be highly negative. However history tells us that is rarely true.
What is a death cross?
1. The 50 day SMA (Simple Moving Average - blue line) crosses down the 200 day SMA.
and
2. Price action is under the 200 day SMA.
Over the years variations of this post have been made by Ww.. perhaps you remember?
The dotted line is the forecast direction of price action using the Box-Jenkins approach.
www.investopedia.com
Why positive?
Look left - Past Bearish crosses on the daily chart (whilst in a confirmed bull market, which remains true, crosses in a bear market are ignored.)
August 2024, 100% rally after death cross
September 2023, 190% rally after death cross
March 2020, 600% rally after death cross
Is it possible this time is different? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
EURUSD ENTRY CHART On this Setup, We are still Bullish, cause the DXY for us is till Bearish until a close of the day or mid day, ON eurusd , Market trend is still Bullish, price came to retest a broken resistance, with a 2h demand zone, our first Confluences have been seen, with 200ma additional Confluence on the 30mins, Our Entry still remains valid until the Close of the Mid Day or Daily Close. Thank You.
30% Bitcoin correction to circa $72kOn the above 2 day chart price action has printed 100% gain since September. A number of reasons now exist for a bearish outlook in the near term. They include:
1) Price action failed support.
2) RSI and MFI failed support.
3) Strong bearish divergence with price action. 10 oscillators price negative divergence with price action at this time.
4) The $72k forecast is the 50% Fibonacci level.
5) What will happen to overbought alt tokens? Nothing good.
Is it possible price action continues to print higher highs like most Youtube shills are calling for? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
XAU/USD 07 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 04 April 2025.
Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed as per last Friday's analysis by targeting weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has subsequently printed a bullish iBOS indicating bullish phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15/H4 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,970.215
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
USD/CHF: Back at Support – Will Buyers Step In?Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDCHF Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Market Review: Full Higher Time Frame Review of NASDAQ bear runI hope this get's featured 🎯
The simplest macroeconomic review of NASDAQ you may see this year.
It's all a fib retracement. That's all I have to say for now 🔪 Share this with someone looking for a good review 💰
**Video was cut short by a minute or two but the general idea was complete
NASDAQ New Week Gap will tell you everything you need to knowIf you watched my idea update from Friday, I was saying that the sellside monthly lows as well as the 2023 yearly high are being targeted.
Low and behold, we hit all targets on the weekly gap drop. Let's see how price approaches the new week opening gap mid level (dashed white). It will definitely hit that level before the end of the week.
If it does not, that means we have super easy sellside targets to hit after a clear rejection back below tested highs as always.
Share this with someone needing easy targets 🎯
GBPCAD Its been a month since price broke out of the weekly resistance and now we are retesting. Got an H4 support that has been broken, if price goes back above the zone giving a retest we could see movement to the next week resistance zone of 1.90000. Also price action is similar to what happened on 5th Jan 2023.( Daily TF)
LONG ON GBP/JPYGJ has Taken a dive since last week.
The Jpy Index is now over brought and should begin falling.
This will cause most of the XXX/JPY pairs to rise.
EJ, NJ, and GJ all look great for a buying opp.
GJ has a morning star on the 15min TF, I am waiting for price to pullback to the FVG or demand area on the 15min TF before entering long.
This is a sell limit order risking 65 pips to make over 300 pips.
See you at the top.
XAUUSD MARKET REVERSAL (BUY)During Friday’s NFP we saw heavy selling pressure on Gold. With Gold showing clear market structure breaking the previous higher low swing high, a sign of market reversal is in place creating a new higher high.
💡Scenario 1
Waiting for price to retest demand zone, and if it doesn’t break below we can aim to enter at this demand zone for buys. Targeting previous supply zones.
💡Scenario 2
If price breaks below the demand zone I will wait to see how price reacts at the previous demand zone for a better buy entry to the upside.
🧠CONCLUS
If all this is invalid then we will see a continuation to the downside. However, looking at this market structure and a trend reversal taking place creating higher higher and higher lows, it is a clear indication that price is reversing and becoming bullish. Wait for confirmation of candlesticks on 15min & 5min time frame, for either a bullish engulfing candlestick or, a shooting star.
Bitcoin Analysis - Bear Trap Complete - Bullish Reversal StartedBitcoin recently swept the liquidity resting at the $78K level, taking out the previous lows before initiating a strong reversal with a double break of structure to the upside. This signals that smart money has engineered liquidity to trap retail traders and induce early shorts before driving price in the intended direction.
The move up has left behind a well-defined bullish order block in confluence with a fair value gap, which held firmly on the retracement. This confirms that institutional positioning is present, and the market is now efficiently repricing higher. The fact that price reacted strongly from this zone further reinforces that smart money has absorbed sell-side liquidity, and the path of least resistance is now to the upside.
With liquidity now resting above the descending bearish trendline, price has a clear target. The bearish trendlines, especially in the context of a corrective move, act as a liquidity magnet. Retail traders shorting into this structure are providing the fuel for the next leg up, as their stops accumulate above each lower high. The market makers and algorithmic liquidity providers understand this, and price is now gravitating towards that liquidity pool. The inefficiencies left on the chart from the recent aggressive down move also suggest that these imbalances need to be filled, further strengthening the case for continued bullish expansion.
The entire bearish move preceding this was nothing more than a well-structured inducement. It served to lure in breakout sellers, create the illusion of a sustained downtrend, and trap liquidity at the lows before the true direction was revealed. This is a classic example of manipulation before expansion. This principle repeats across all timeframes and market conditions.
With this in mind, the most probable scenario now is a continuation towards the next major liquidity pool above the bearish trendline, likely leading price into the 92K–98K range where a significant daily order block sits. This area will be critical to observe, as it could act as a distribution zone where smart money starts offloading positions. However, until then, the structure remains decisively bullish, and every retracement into demand zones should be seen as an opportunity to position long, rather than a sign of weakness.
ETHUSDSaturday we broke out of H4 support, retested and price gave us a very short move before reversing back up giving us what looked like a fakeout to the upside and now we are back below the H4 support zone with current H4 candle looking to close as a bearish engulfing. Target is still the weekly support around 1,555