Nasdaq (March Contract) - Massive Meltdown!Stocks have had a rough week as uncertainty over President Donald Trump's tariff shifts whipsawed markets and overshadowed otherwise encouraging signals about the economy.
With 4 continuous weeks of bearish price action, it does not look like there is a end in sight. Sellside liquidity @ 20248.75 has not been used as a form of resistance, indicating weakness in the markets.
Going forward, my bias is neutral going into Sundays opening price
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
S&P 500 (March Contract) - Stock Market Loses $5 Trillion!The S&P 500′s rapid 10% decline from a record high into correction territory has wiped out trillions of dollars in market value.
The market value of the S&P 500 at its Feb. 19 peak was $52.06 trillion, according to FactSet. Thursday’s decline put the index’s market value down to $46.78 trillion.
That makes for a total loss of about $5.28 trillion in about three weeks.
Will the rate announcements cause S&P 500 to sink lower into the abyss??
Reference: www.cnbc.com
Closing above 22600 will confirm the UPTREND As we can see NIFTY had been in downtrend taking resistance at the previously acting SUPPORT. Now following the candles we can see the RESISTANCE has been tested which has made it weaker hence any closing above 22600 can change the overall trend and can show 23500 in coming trading sessions so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching
Solana ($SOLUSD) - Monthly Demand InboundQuick TA for Solana $SOL. Many cryptos are at inflection points and will likely break higher or roll over from current prices (I think a move down is more likely, per long-term charts, and am hoping this happens for the sake of buying opportunities). Solana, like many other cryptos, has failed to develop meaningful 1D bullish momentum (RSI holding below 50). Should COINBASE:SOLUSD get another leg down, I'll be watching its behavior as it enters lower demand zones. 101.75-78.87 = monthly demand; 74.85-51.37 = weekly demand, but there are also buy areas higher. If Solana trades lower and approaches the aforementioned levels, use LTFs for signs of exhaustion/downtrend reversal. Personally, I wouldn't use "set-and-forget" buy limit orders; higher-beta cryptos may keep selling off until majors bottom/reverse and/or prices might not trade low enough to hit your limit price. I prefer more of a "hands-on" approach to trading, but to each their own.
On the road, so truncated analysis. Will update when I can. Thank you for your interest and let me know what you think!
Jon
@JHartCharts
BTC Monthly AnalysisMy current perspective is simple.
The market flips supply into demand
OR
The market taps into demand.
——————————————————
While there can be trades taken between levels with proper risk management, these zones should provide the best setups.
It’s okay to swing and miss; again with proper risk management.
I am long term bullish & short term bearish.
Dymension (DYM) - A quick 500% returnOn the above daily chart price action has corrected 90% inside the last 90 days. A number of reasons to take advantage of the situation, they include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) RSI trend reversal, higher lows print.
3) Significant confluence on past support / resistance (red circles) with regular bullish divergence.
4) The first big resistance is around 2.60 or 700% above.
Is it possible sellers keep selling after a 90% correction? Sure, you know emotions.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
ZB1! -MASSIVE Week Ahead With Interest Rates There is a strong correlation between bonds and yields and so far, the trajectory of price action for bonds has been in my favour, trailing higher and higher into the weekly premium SIBI.
115.18 is the equilibrium of the most immediate swing high to swing low and I am expecting a draw into this area.
116 is a low hanging, first target for next week that I am aiming for and would like to see how Sundays opening reacts (if that’s the case) with 116.
#TradeWithMky 99.9% Risk Free Area For BUY BITCOINhello there
"The first touch of this order block is always strong – higher highs confirm its reliability. 🚀 With clear support zones below, the price might consolidate before a significant breakout. A textbook HCH pattern could pave the way to new highs. 📈 Stay focused! #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #OrderBlockStrategy"
@TradeWithMky
TradeWithMky
#TradeWithmkyBTC
#BTC
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I suggest to do your own reseasch as well
consider you are resposible for you desications
EURUSD WEEKEND ANALYSIS 15th March 2025TECHNICAL SUMMARY
1W- since January 2025 price has been rising, this is after it finally broke the 1.04601 level that was held since October 2024 ( so we can simply identify the current move as a retracement of a general downtrend).
4H- price reached the 4H order block( green rectangle) and created a RSI divergence after a long upward push. If the price breaks the orange horizontal line thus giving us a change of character, I'll be looking to sell to around 1.05476 .
ADDITIONAL NOTE
1. Beware of high impact news
2. Do your own analysis too, feel free to share your thoughts
3. I'll update what happens later next week so that we can learn from how ever market will react. SO STAY TUNED
Dollar Index (DXY): Bullish Reversal is Coming?!
Dollar Index is stuck on a key daily horizontal support.
Analyzing the intraday time frames, I spotted an inverted head & shoulders
pattern on a 4H.
Its neckline breakout will be an important event that will signify a bullish reversal.
The index will continue recovering then.
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the underlined blue support
will push the prices lower.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
EUR/USD Trade Ideas Short or Long??? News is going to be heavy!Looking for the right signals for a long, Everything is explained on the chart. If I do not get the confluences I want I will not take the trade. If price action takes out lows I'll look for liquidity, retrace, or reversal and reaccess my trade for shorts. Major news coming out for USD this week so stay frosty!
[How to] Properly analyzing relative equal levels with orderflow🔑 This is a basic principle and idea overview of why price will behave a certain way around levels where double lows or highs are. Also reviewing what is called Low Resistance Liquidity. This happens when multiple levels are stacked going lower or higher without a stop hunt.
Share this with your trading partner 💪🏽
Momentum Trading Strategies Across AssetsMomentum trading is a strategy that seeks to capitalize on the continuation of existing trends in asset prices. By identifying and following assets exhibiting strong recent performance—either upward or downward—traders aim to profit from the persistence of these price movements.
**Key Components of Momentum Trading:**
1. **Trend Identification:** The foundation of momentum trading lies in recognizing assets with significant recent price movements. This involves analyzing historical price data to detect upward or downward trends.
2. **Diversification:** Implementing momentum strategies across various asset classes—such as equities, commodities, currencies, and bonds—can enhance risk-adjusted returns. Diversification helps mitigate the impact of adverse movements in any single market segment.
3. **Risk Management:** Effective risk management is crucial in momentum trading. Techniques such as setting stop-loss orders, position sizing, and continuous monitoring of market conditions are employed to protect against significant losses.
4. **Backtesting:** Before deploying a momentum strategy, backtesting it against historical data is essential. This process helps assess the strategy's potential performance and identify possible weaknesses.
5. **Continuous Refinement:** Financial markets are dynamic, necessitating ongoing evaluation and adjustment of trading strategies. Regularly refining a momentum strategy ensures its continued effectiveness amid changing market conditions.
**Tools and Indicators:**
- **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** This momentum oscillator measures the speed and change of price movements, aiding traders in identifying overbought or oversold conditions.
- **Moving Averages:** Utilizing short-term and long-term moving averages helps in smoothing out price data, making it easier to spot trends and potential reversal points.
**Common Pitfalls to Avoid:**
- **Overtrading:** Excessive trading can lead to increased transaction costs and potential losses. It's vital to adhere to a well-defined strategy and avoid impulsive decisions.
- **Ignoring Market Conditions:** Momentum strategies may underperform during sideways or choppy markets. Recognizing the broader market environment is essential to adjust strategies accordingly.
By understanding and implementing these components, traders can develop robust momentum trading strategies tailored to various asset classes, thereby enhancing their potential for consistent returns.
Source: digitalninjasystems.wordpress.com
$VIX spike to $80-100 incomingI think there's a large spike coming in VIX despite most people turning bullish on the market and bearish on the VIX.
Price has maintained elevated levels for the past few months, all of the RSIs are in extreme bullish territory and the move looks very similar to the spike that we got on August 5th.
Have no clue what will cause it, whether it's the fed meeting, gov't shutdown or some other outside factor, but the chart is looking like we should see a spike next week up to the $80-103 level.
Let's see how it plays out.
Skeptic | SPX Outlook: Bounce or Breakdown?Welcome back, guys! 👋I’m Skeptic , and today we’re diving into a complete analysis of SPX on the 4-hour time frame. We’ll break down the market structure and identify key long and short triggers for potential entries. Let’s get into it!
🔍 Market Overview
Starting with the weekly time frame, it’s clear that the major trend remains uptrend . However, the daily time frame shows that we’ve entered a secondary corrective downtrend . This has been mainly driven by recent trade tariffs between the U.S. and other countries, leading the Federal Reserve to hold off on interest rate cuts, causing a drop in risk assets like stocks and BTC.
On the 4-hour time frame , we’re currently in a range box that recently saw a fake breakout to the downside. The price quickly bounced back into the range, signaling buyer strength and seller exhaustion . This adds a slight long bias, as the probability of hitting targets on long trades might be higher.
💡 Long Setup
Our first long trigger comes after a break of resistance at 5,564.67 . To increase the probability, we should wait for momentum confirmation, such as 3 SMA crossover or any momentum indicator of your choice.
The main long trigger would be after a confirmed breakout of the range box at 5,641.22. Be cautious, as this entry might carry some risk, so confirmation is crucial.
🚩 Short Setup
For short positions, I’m looking for a break below support at 5,549.77 , signaling a breakdown of the range box. However, considering the previous fake breakout, I’d prefer to wait for the first down leg to complete, followed by a pullback or indecision candle before entering short.
Let me know your thoughts on SPX ! 💬 Drop any questions or ideas in the comments, and I’ll be happy to discuss them.
Let’s grow together, not alone! ❤
XAU/USD 14 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Previous analysis was not met as price printed a bullish iBOS. Support in the rise of price is largely due to the trump trade and tariff war which is causing market jitters.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has further printed a bullish BOS. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 13 March 2025
Analysis and bias has not been met, largely due macroeconomic events, particularly the Trump trade tariff war, which is causing uncertainty within the markets which is supporting Gold price.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
Within the structure following the iBOS, price has printed a several bearish CHoCH's with very minimal pullbacks before continuing bullish.
In order not to distort internal structure range I will apply discretion and not classify bearish CHoCH without considerable pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to print Bearish CHoCH which is supported by a pullback relative to recent price action.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Silver (XAG/USD) Analysis: Ready for the Next Move?Welcome back, guys! 👋I'm Skeptic , and today we're diving into an analysis of Silver (XAG/USD) on the 1-hour time frame to spot potential long and short triggers.
🔮 Daily Time Frame Insight
XAG/USD remains bullish on the daily chart as we’re consistently printing higher lows, maintaining the overall uptrend. Given the current economic and geopolitical tensions, caution is essential, but the bullish structure remains intact, so we can still anticipate further upward movement.
📈1-Hour Time Frame & Long Trigger
In the 1-hour time frame, the bullish momentum is clearly visible. Pullbacks are lengthy with large candles, while uptrends are sharp with smaller, more concentrated candles. This pattern indicates strong buying interest when momentum picks up.
Our primary long trigger will be a break above the 4-hour resistance at 33.00237 . Additionally, if the RSI re-enters the overbought zone during the breakout, it will add more confirmation and confidence to the long position, allowing us to increase our risk slightly.
📉 Short Trigger
For short setups, I’ll wait for a clear break of the support at 31.92637 , which also coincides with the previous low. If the downward move is sharp and decisive, this could signal a potential short entry. Until then, I’ll stay on the sidelines for shorts, as the overall trend remains bullish.
Let me know your thoughts and ideas on XAG/USD! 💬 Drop any questions in the comments, and I’ll be happy to discuss them. Let’s grow together, not alone! 🔥
XAUUSD 14.03 – Watching for Shorts After ExpansionAfter yesterday’s expansion move up, making higher highs, we are now looking for shorts targeting the Previous Month’s High (PMH) at 2955 and the 2935-2940 range (50% Daily retracement).
- Narrative: Possible expansion to retracement
- Current Price Action: Manipulation of yesterday’s high + lower timeframe break suggests shorts may be in play.
Refer to the video for a detailed breakdown.
#PipsnPaper #TradingView #XAUUSD #PriceAction
“USD/JPY | 30M CHoch > inducement > 4H Play”30M just gave a clean CHoCH, breaking a major LH, signaling bullish intent—at least for now. I’m waiting for inducement to be taken before price taps into my order block, lining up with the 4H move. The goal? Ride price up into 4H supply, then look for the sell-off from mitigation. Letting price show its hand first.
Bless Trading!