Exactly as PLANNED and ANALYSED! We had been on the negative side despite of multiple green candle formation and told to sell every rise and our patience did paid off. Now we can see it has closed around the breakout zone and testing the previously acting resistance but following the global cues, we can expected another weak opening inside the structure hence any opening inside the structure could lead to bearish continuation with trendline acting as a resistance. A recover is likely to occur and a bullish position can only be made if NIFTY closes itself above the structure so plan your trades accordingly.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
XAU-USD 07-11 April 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025.
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action.
The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
Price continued bullish repositioning bearish CHoCH positioning closer to current price action.
Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Price has very nearly printed a bearish which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Expectation is for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and the repricing of Gold.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 04 April 2025.
Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
Short trade
Trade Breakdown – Sell-Side (Crypto Weekend Setup)
📅 Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
⏰ Time: 3:00 PM NY Time (NY Session PM)
📉 Pair: DOGE/USD
📉 Trade Direction: Short (Sell)
Trade Parameters:
Entry Price: 0.16821
Take Profit (TP): 0.16173 (+3.85%)
Stop Loss (SL): 0.17009 (-1.12%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.45
Reasoning:
Demand Turned to Resistance" — this signals a bearish shift in structure:
I assume a likely failed rally, where previous demand could not hold for confirmation bias
and price seemed to respect the demand zone (highlighted blue) as resistance, giving confluence for a short. Targeting a pivotal low, suggesting a liquidity grab or structure retest.
Short trade
15min TF overview
Trade Breakdown – Sell-Side (Intraday Crypto Setup)
📅 Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
⏰ Time: 9:00 AM NY Time (NY Session AM)
📉 Pair: BNB/USD
📉 Trade Direction: Short (Sell)
Trade Parameters:
Entry Price: 592.98
Take Profit (TP): 586.78 (+1.05%)
Stop Loss (SL): 594.97 (-0.34%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.12
Reason: Based on the narrative of supply and demand, ideally taken after a bearish confirmation on the 15min and BTCUSD pair as confluence for directional bias confluence
EURUSD OUTLOOK APRIL 7 - 11This is my outlook for the week. Current price action is extremely bullish and judging from the fundamentals and tariff news it might stay this way for some time.
On the technical side we are reacting from a monthly and weekly bearish order block but without a bearish BOS on the 4h, which also aligns with a bearish change of character on the weekly, I will still be long biased.
I am going to be looking for lower time confirmation to continue bullish. If there is a 4H internal shift I will wait for bullish internal shift but if we do not get that I will still trade accordingly.
Bigger correction down for goldHi traders,
XAUUSD did exactly what I've said in my outlook last week. I said we could see (a little) more upside because this pair was already in (grey) wave 5. So after wave 5 was finished, it started a bigger correction down.
Next week we could see more consolidation for this pair.
But let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for more development of the bigger correction down.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
More down for SPX500USDHi traders,
Could an outlook be more accurate then this? Last week I said that SPX500USD could see more downside. I also annotated the liquidity on the chart where we could see a reaction.
And what did price? It took the liquidity, made a correction up (orange wave 2) and dropped.
Did I know the news before? No of course not. This is the power of Wave analysis.
If you've followed my outlook, you could have made much profit.
Now for next week we could see a small correction up and more downside for this pair.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction up on a lower timeframe to trade shorts.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
1/17/25 - RS: new BUY mechanical trading signal.1/17/25 - RS: new BUY signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system.
RS - BUY
Stop Loss @ 264.20
Entry BUY @ 288.06
Target Profit @ 323.11
Analysis:
Higher timeframe: Prices have stayed above the lower channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Keltner Channel and reversed.
Higher timeframe: Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic) classic 2B BUY pattern...where the current lowest bottom breakout price is only slightly peaking lower than the preceding bottom price.
Higher timeframe: Price peaked below the ATR (Average True Range) breakout low and then reversed.
Starknet (STRK) 800% move to print? April 5th, 2025** for the months ahead **
On the above 2 day chart price action has corrected 80% since late 2024. A number of reasons now exist to consider a long position. They include:
1. Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2. RSI trend reversal.
3. Regular bullish divergence.
4. There are two resistance levels to consider look out for, one at 400% and the next at 800%
Is it possible price action continues to correct? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
GBPUSD: Potential Pullback Trade Explained 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD closed this week, respecting a key daily horizontal support cluster.
Analyzing the intraday price action, I spotted a nice double bottom pattern
on an hourly time frame.
To buy the pair with a confirmation after the market opening,
I suggest waiting for a bullish breakout of its neckline.
An hourly candle close above will confirm a violation.
A bullish move will be expected at least to 1.296 level then.
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$VIX spike to $80-100 incomingI think there's a large spike coming in VIX despite most people turning bullish on the market and bearish on the VIX.
Price has maintained elevated levels for the past few months, all of the RSIs are in extreme bullish territory and the move looks very similar to the spike that we got on August 5th.
Have no clue what will cause it, whether it's the fed meeting, gov't shutdown or some other outside factor, but the chart is looking like we should see a spike next week up to the $80-103 level.
Let's see how it plays out.
Stock Of The Day / 04.04.25 / AREB04.04.2025 / NASDAQ:AREB #AREB
Fundamental. Increased media activity of Andy Ross CEO of American Rebel Holdings.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: A protracted downtrend, the stock is trading near the historical minimum. There is a possibility of a Short Squeeze.
Premarket: Gap Up on increased volume.
Trading session: After an unsuccessful attempt to break through the 6.0 level downwards, the price turned around and formed an uptrend. We observe a price tightening to the 9.0 level against the upward trend with a very clear hold of the level in the interval from 10:30 am to 11:30 am. We consider a long trade to continue the upward movement in case the tightening structure is broken upwards.
Trading scenario: pullback along the trend (false tightening) to level 9.0
Entry: 9.89 aggressive entry on the breakout of the tightening structure and exit upwards on increased volume.
Stop: 8.89 we hide it below the level with a small reserve.
Exit: Close part of the position around 14.90 when a reversal candlestick pattern appears (RR1/5), close the remaining part of the position on the impulse with increased volume (RR 1/10).
Risk Rewards: 1/10 max
P.S. In order to understand the idea of the Stock Of The Day analysis, please read the following information .
PL Dot Shapes (Detailed Summary)This idea shall focus on the behavior and structure of PL Dot Shapes, which are crucial in identifying market trends, congestion phases, and potential reversals. Let's deep dive on how to interpret PL Dot formations and recognize patterns that signal market movements.
1. Understanding PL Dot Behavior
- Trend:
PL Dots form a straight line, indicating a clear market direction. A trend stops when the market enters congestion.
- Congestion:
PL Dots move horizontally or “snake” sideways, signaling indecision or balance between buyers and sellers.
- Higher Time Period (HTP) Influence:
PL Dots from the HTP influence those in the Lower Time Period (LTP). Inconsistencies between them may indicate no clear pattern.
- Dot Distance:
Refers to the vertical price difference between consecutive PL Dots.
- Increasing Dot Distance: Indicates trend continuation or strength.
- Decreasing Dot Distance: Suggests trend exhaustion or potential reversal.
2. Key PL Dot Patterns
✅ Yes Pattern (Energy Termination Pattern)
Indicates the end of a trend and potential reversal. This pattern is characterized by signs of exhaustion:
1. PL Dot Pullback: PL Dot moves off the main trend channel, and the angle starts sloping down.
2. Decreasing Dot Distance: Dots get closer together, signaling waning momentum.
3. Exhaustion Signs: The dot pulls within range, with closes moving towards the PL Dot, causing congestion entrance.
4. Block Occurrence: Price likely returns to the area of 2-3 dots back.
5. Crest Formation: A PL Dot crest forms, indicating a potential market top.
6. Directional Shift: Dot directions begin turning downward.
7. Challenges: Be alert to price challenging PL Dot crests and valleys.
---
❌ No Pattern (Non-Termination Pattern)
Indicates that the trend is likely to continue without exhaustion:
1. Similar early behavior to the Yes Pattern but lacks signs of exhaustion.
2. No Significant Pullback: PL Dot may pull within range, but no congestion entrance signs appear (bullish).
3. Price Holds: Prices do not return to the 2-3 dots back area.
4. Weak Crests: No strong crest formation, or it's shallow.
5. Stable Direction: Dot direction struggles to turn down.
6. No Challenges: No challenges to PL Dot crests or valleys, confirming trend strength.
---
3. Trend Pattern (Trend Continuation Pattern)
Describes the start or continuation of a trend, especially in the LTP:
1. Dot Opening: PL Dot opens up, with increasing distance between dots, signaling strong momentum.
2. No Exhaustion: Continuation without signs of exhaustion.
3. Energy Refresh: If price reaches the area of 2-3 dots back, expect high energy on any PL Dot refresh.
4. Dots Out of Range: PL Dots move outside the prior bar’s range, confirming a strong trend.
5. Strong Challenges: Challenges to crests only add momentum to the trend.
6. Stable Direction: Dot direction maintains strength with minimal reversals.
---
4. PL Dot Shapes in Congestion
When the market is in congestion, expect the following:
1. Sideways Dots: PL Dots snake sideways, indicating market indecision.
2. Support/Resistance Holding: The 6-1 lines hold both sides of the congestion area.
3. Congestion Exit Signs: Look for signs indicating the market is ready to break out of congestion.
---
Key Takeaways:
- Trend Continuation: Increasing dot distance and out-of-range dots suggest a strong trend.
- Trend Exhaustion (Yes Pattern): Decreasing dot distance, dot pullbacks, and crest formation signal potential reversals.
- No Pattern: Indicates no exhaustion, suggesting the trend will continue.
- Congestion Behavior: PL Dots snake sideways with key support/resistance levels holding firm.
Understanding these patterns helps traders anticipate market behavior, identify trend reversals early, and manage trades effectively.
SHORT ON EUR/USDEUR/USD has finally given a change of character to the downside and is currently pulling back into a supply area.
The dollar is gaining strength due to Tariffs and looks like it will rise.
I will be selling EUR/USD with a sell limit order looking to catch over 200-300 pips over the next few days.
XAU/USD 04 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed as per yesterday's alternative scenario whereby price has printed a bearish iBOS due to H4 TF being in, although not as yet confirmed, in bearish pullback phase.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has already traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ, therefore, price to target weak internal low priced at
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Long-Awaited Recover
It looks like Dollar Index is going to pullback
after a test of a significant support cluster on a daily.
A strong bullish imbalance candle that was formed on an hourly
time frame shows a strong buying interest from that zone.
I expect a bullish movement at least to 102.35
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
IAG Additional Price Levels • LSE • Airlines Group Stock • FTSE⚠️ IAG Going to plan, looks like it's a TRUMP DUMP 🤣
Now is the TIME TO HUNT the stocks for your PORTFOLIO.
ℹ️ When TRUMP causes a DUMP I accumulate SIT BACK and just WAIT fornthe PUMP...🚀
These additional price levels will be used as an additional filter to TIME an ENTRY ONLY IF the BIDS come in 🟢SeekingPips🟢 NEEDS to see some VOLUME🚀🚀🚀