Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Forming INVERTED H&S pattern in smaller time frame! As we can see NIFTY recovered strongly influenced by RIL result but we are still weak below the supply zone hence unless the high is broken every rise can be sold unless the high the broken then a strong uptrend can se been in NIFTY as it can be seen forming an inverted head and shoulders pattern and its neckline has been tested multiple times now hence any closing above the given structure could show unidirectional rally so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
$TSLA back to $148-155 before correction is overDespite the bounce over the last few days, TSLA's price action is still bearish overall.
I think it's likely that we find resistance here or at $290, and then work our way back down to the lower support levels at $148-155.
I think once we get down to those levels, it'll be a good long term buy and we can see price go back to $700+.
Skeptic | EUR/USD 4H Range Breakout: Key Long & Short TriggersEUR/USD on the 4-hour timeframe is currently trapped in a consolidation box, where a breakout above the ceiling or below the floor could provide excellent trading opportunities. I’m Skeptic , and in this analysis, we’ll dive into EUR/USD across multiple timeframes to identify key long and short triggers. Stick with me until the end for a complete breakdown! 🚀
Daily Timeframe: Uptrend Context 🟢
On the daily chart, EUR/USD remains within an uptrend channel , maintaining a bullish major trend. Recently, after hitting the channel’s upper resistance, the pair corrected toward the midline, a critical support zone within the channel. However, the reaction at the midline lacked strong bullish momentum, leading to a 4-hour range consolidation . This could signal the end of the correction, potentially setting the stage for a continuation of the downmove toward the lower channel boundary.
4-Hour Timeframe: Range Dynamics 🔍
On the 4H chart, EUR/USD is oscillating between 1.13904 (resistance) and 1.13153 (support) . A key observation: after the initial bounce from the 1.13153 support to 1.13904, subsequent tests of this support failed to push back to 1.13904. This indicates waning buyer strength at the 1.13153 support, increasing the likelihood of a breakout below. Additionally, while bullish candles in this range are larger, we’re seeing smaller, frequent green candles, suggesting buyer exhaustion within the box.
For traders eyeing a short setup , this weakening support at 1.13153 offers a compelling opportunity. You can take on slightly higher risk by placing a sell-stop order below 1.13153 instead of waiting for a confirmed breakout candle (this is my personal approach). A short trigger would be validated by a break below 1.13153, with RSI entering oversold as a strong confirmation. Short targets: 1.12692, with a potential extension to 1.12006.
For a long setup , a breakout above 1.13904 could signal a resumption of bullish momentum, targeting the upper channel boundary on the daily chart. Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering long to avoid false signals.
DXY Correlation: Additional Confirmation 📈
Let’s also consider the US Dollar Index (DXY). After a recent rally, DXY has entered a time-based correction, visible as a pullback to a descending yellow trendline. A break below DXY’s support at 99.195 would reinforce our EUR/USD long setup, while a breakout above the trendline and 99.876 would strengthen our EUR/USD short setup. Both scenarios offer sharp price movements with attractive risk-to-reward (R/R) ratios, making these triggers highly actionable.
Final Thoughts 🙌
Thanks for joining me in this detailed EUR/USD analysis! I’m Skeptic, and I share daily forex and crypto insights. If you found this useful, please follow for more content! 🔥
EurUsd- Pay attention to 1.1310Recap:
As discussed in last week's update, EURUSD bulls started losing momentum, and a correction became likely.
Current situation:
• The move from 1.1400 to 1.1577 appears to have been a blow-off top.
• Price is now stuck in the middle of the range, showing signs of weakness.
Key level to watch:
• 1.1310 is critical support.
• A confirmed break below could open the path toward the 1.1100 area.
Trading plan:
➡️ I am closely monitoring the 1.1310 zone for a potential breakdown and continuation lower.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAU/USD 28 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and Bias remains the same as analysis dated 24 April 2025.
Price printed as per my note yesterday whereby I mentioned that we should be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback.
Price subsequently printed a bearish iBOS which confirms internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded up to just short of premium of internal 50% EQ where we are seeing a reaction. Price could potentially trade further into premium of 50%, or H4/M15 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,260.190.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Long trade
Trade Overview: NZDUSD – Long Position (Trade 1) & 2
Entry Price: 0.59545
Take Profit: 0.60138 (+1.00%)
Stop Loss: 0.59391 (–0.26%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.85
🕕 Entry Time: 6:00 PM (NY Time)
📅 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
🌍 Session: New York to Tokyo Overlap (PM)
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Reasoning Narrative
Price action on NZDUSD leading into the New York close suggested bullish intent, as price had formed a higher low within a broader 1h bullish structure.
EURCHF: Pullback From Support 🇪🇺🇨🇭
There is a high chance that EURCHF will bounce
from a recently broken horizontal resistance.
After a breakout, it turned into support with a high probability.
As a confirmation signal, I see a tiny cup & handle pattern
on an hourly time frame and intraday bullish imbalance.
Goal - 0.9422
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin - Successful Bullish Price ActionLovely bullish draw into discount but the question i am asking myself now is how long will we see conditions like this for?
From Wednesday, we have been rangebound with little to no movement inside of the balanced price range so the prices to keep an eye out on will be the breakout points @ $91,685 - $95,976 going forward this week.
Price Action + Fundamentals Point to Dollar StrengthThe current market environment presents compelling evidence for a bullish move in the US Dollar Index (DXY). While some patience is required, the setup is increasingly favorable for the dollar to appreciate in the coming weeks and months.
Key Factors Supporting a Bullish Move:
Monthly Close Above 100.160:
A critical technical level to monitor is the monthly close above 100.160. If achieved, it would signal a strong bullish breakout, setting the stage for a continuation higher. Given current price action and market dynamics, this scenario looks highly probable. However, if the price fails to close above 100.160 and instead breaks below it, we could potentially start looking for short opportunities.
Bond Market Strength (30Y, 10Y, 5Y):
This past week, we witnessed notable strength across the US bond market. Yields declined as prices rose, typically a positive signal for the dollar as it reflects capital inflows into US assets.
COT Report Insights:
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a critical shift: commercial traders, often considered the "smart money," are beginning to accumulate long positions in the dollar. This change in positioning historically precedes significant bullish moves.
Seasonal Patterns:
Seasonality also favors the dollar during this period. Historically, the dollar tends to strengthen in the mid-year months, aligning perfectly with the current technical and fundamental landscape.
Targets:
Initial Target: 106.120
Given the accumulation signs and supportive macro backdrop, a move towards 106.120 seems very realistic.