POTENTIAL EURUSD SHORT OPPORTUNITY...POSITION TRADEHello hello TradingView family! Hope you guys are doing amazingly well! Just wanted to come on here and make another post for a potential longer term opportunity I am seeing on the major currency pair EURUSD. So put your seat belts on and let's dive in!!
OK so I'm going to keep this very very simple. Not because I don't want to go in depth but because my trading is very simple and I'm just going to give it to you straight. So here are the points
1. Price is @ monthly supply
2. Price has made new highs & sitting at a monthly fib extension
3. Monthly RSI overbought conditions
4. Weekly has bearish divergence forming
5. Weekly/Daily buyer is slowing down
Make sense? If not..then I know you will figure it out. Watch for price to potentially poke a little higher but nice confluences for a fall in price. Appreciate you all!
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
EURUSD - Potential buying opportunityLooking at EURUSD
We are still very bullish with no sign of it slowing.
I am aware of a potential weekly liquidity point to the left, however, until EURUSD shows its hand it's important that we still remain bullish.
We have set up a lovely liquidity point before a lovely demand area.
So I will be setting a pending order at the demand area after the New York close and the Asian session begins.
Alpine F1 Team Fan Token (ALPINE)On the above weekly chart price has corrected over 80% since 2022. A number of reasons now exist to be long. They include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Regular bullish divergence. Multiple oscillators print positive divergence with price action over a 3 month period.
3) Price action confirms support on past resistance.
Is it possible price action corrects further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: 6%
Timeframe for long: now
Return: 400%
SPA - Next Alt to MOON ??SPA is an altcoin that could make great increases in the near future.
Even though it's currently still trading under the moving averages in the Daily, once it turns there is good upside potential for this alt.
On the bright side, we observe higher lows for SPA:
One should also consider that this may be as good as it gets in terms of a low after the big dip, because a 47% correction is quite something:
IF that diagonal trendline of higher lows doesn't hold, I'd look at these zones next even if just for a wick:
And from here, we can really start to see BIG increases, IF you have the patience:
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COINBASE:SPAUSD
GOLD 30M ANALYSIS (LONG)In this analysis we're focusing on 30Min time frame. If we look in this 30Min chart, we have supply area and demand area. And we have also a minor resistance level. Now what I'm looking for that price move impulsively upside after sweeping all SSL. I'm expecting that price will come back and retest (3310 - 3305) area at least. So keep an eye on these level, confirmation is key.
Second Condition:
If price break above 3332 and close above 3332 with strong momentum than we will plan a buy trade on retracement.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#XAUUSD 30M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
XAU/USD 26 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Silver - overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors!
Hourly Timeframe
📍 Context
The hourly chart is in a sideways range.
Currently, the buyer has the initiative, potential target 36.55.
📊 Key Actions
The 35.30 level on the hourly timeframe has worked well. This level marks the correction extreme within the dominant buyer initiative (i.e., an initiative where the correction is less than 50%).
A seller attack bar (IKC) targeting the lower boundary of the sideways range was absorbed by the buyer, and this absorption led to a renewed buyer. Targets visible on the chart - Hourly and daily timeframe: 36.55 and 36.89
Daily Timeframe
📍 Context
Currently, the buyer has the initiative, potential target 36.89.
📊 Key Actions
On the daily timeframe, there was also a seller IKC bar attacking the lower boundary of the buyer's initiative, which was bought back by the buyer.
🎯 Trade Idea
Potential buying patterns can now be monitored at: 36.20, 36.05, 35.67, 35.458
With targets set at: 36.55, 36.89, 37.32.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
GBPNZD BREAK & RETEST OF KEY LEVEL.(DAILY) - Price is in an uptrend.
(DAILY) - Price hit Key Resistance level at (2.27722 - 2.27208) was rejected and sold off to the previous broken resistance now turned support at (2.25925 - 2.25197).
(H4) - Price formed Double bottom higher low which is a bullish pattern at (2.25925 - 2.25197).
(H4)- 50 EMA touching our Key level at (2.25925 - 2.25197) and acting as support.
Stop Loss at new higher low (2.25497)
Target at 2.27722.
NZDUSD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.60000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.06
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USDJPY LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs DH
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure point
Daily EMA Retest
Around Psychological Level 145.000
H4 EMA Retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.67
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
NZDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Weekly EMA Retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.82500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.26
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Short trade
1Hr TF overview
🔻 Trade Journal Entry – Sell-side Trade
📍 Pair: AUDUSD
📅 Date: Wednesday, June 25, 2025
🕒 Time: 5:00 AM (London Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 1 Hour
📉 Direction: Sell-side
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 0.64939
Profit Level 0.64393 (−0.84%)
Stop Loss 0.65091 (+0.23%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 3.59 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
Premium Pricing at OB Rejection:
Price entered the premium zone and tapped a 1HR bearish order block, offering a clean entry for short positioning.
Long trade
📍 Pair: LINKUSD
📅 Date: Monday, June 23, 2025
🕒 Time: 11:00 AM (NY Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 4 Hour
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Entry Price 11.892
Profit Level 14.925 (+25.50%)
Stop Loss 11.408 (−4.07%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 6.27 : 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
High Timeframe Execution:
Trade executed from a 4-hour bullish order block, positioned at the base of a previous impulsive move.
Liquidity Engineering & Sweep:
The setup formed after a sweep below the previous 4H demand, collecting liquidity before reversing direction.
Long trade
🟢 Trade Journal Entry – Buyside Trade
📍 Pair: BTCUSDT
📅 Date: Monday, June 23, 2025
🕒 Time: 10:00 AM (NY Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: Not specified (assumed 4Hr or intraday swing)
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 101,705.24
Profit Level 108,783.85 (+6.96% %)
Stop Loss 99,579.47 (−2.09%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 3.33 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
High-Conviction Buyside Play:
Entry aligns with the broader BTCUSD bullish structure, supported by consistent higher-timeframe momentum.
Liquidity Grab Below Key Low:
Market swept downside liquidity near $99,600 before reversing sharply, indicating smart money accumulation.
Stop level moved (2.86%)
Short trade
🔻 Trade Journal Entry – Sell-side Trade
📍 Pair: GBPUSD
📅 Date: Wednesday, June 25, 2025
🕒 Time: 5:00 AM (London Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 4 Hour
📉 Direction: Sell-side
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 1.36148
Profit Level 1.34186 (−1.44%)
Stop Loss 1.36356 (+0.15%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 9.43 : 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
4HR OB Rejection in Premium Zone:
Entry taken off a confirmed bearish order block after price tapped into a premium zone at the top of the internal range.
London Session Liquidity Sweep:
Trade captured the classic London stop-hunt above a short-term high, initiating a sell-off and confirming smart money movement.
Short trade
4Hr TF overview
🔻 Trade Journal Entry – Sell-side Trade
📍 Pair: EURUSD
📅 Date: Wednesday, June 25, 2025 (You wrote June 15th — adjusted to match your current date sequence)
🕒 Time: 5:00 AM (London Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 4 Hour
📉 Direction: Sell-side
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 1.16072
Profit Level 1.14888 (−1.02%)
Stop Loss 1.16244 (+0.15%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 6.88 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
4HR Premium Entry from Bearish OB:
Trade executed at the upper end of the internal range, where price tapped into a high-probability bearish order block.
London AM Stop-Hunt:
Price swept a prior London session high before rejecting, indicative of engineered liquidity and smart money distribution.
Break of Structure & Momentum Confirmation:
Following the sweep, price broke internal structure to the downside, confirming bearish intent.
Bitcoin - overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors!
📍 Context
On the daily timeframe, the market is in a sideways range.
The boundaries are marked with black lines.
Buyer initiative is currently active.
Targets: 108,952; 110,530; 111,980.
📊 Key Actions
The seller attempted twice, on increased volume, to break down below the range, but both times the buyer brought the price back inside. Only seller wicks remained below the lower boundary.
🎯 Trade Idea
🔹 Look for long setups from 105 500 -104,622 or the 103,400–100,718 zone.
There is no context for short trades at the moment.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
XAU/USD 25 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Long trade
🟢 Trade Journal Entry – Buyside Trade
📍 Pair: SOLUSDT
📅 Date: Monday, June 23, 2025
🕒 Time: 10:45 AM (NY Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: Not specified (assumed 4Hr or intraday swing)
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 134.93
Profit Level 148.19 (+9.83%)
Stop Loss 130.20 (−3.51%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 2.80 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
Range Expansion Setup:
4H Demand Tap / Rejection:
Price respected a previously unmitigated bullish OB near $130 before printing consecutive higher lows.
Volume Increase + Session Alignment:
The NY session entry coincided with a volume surge and expansion candle, indicating breakout momentum.