Silver Struggles at Resistance – Bearish Setup in Play?Since reaching the 32.30 resistance zone last Wednesday, OANDA:XAGUSD has been trading in a range-bound consolidation phase.
On Friday’s NFP release, the price spiked back into this resistance area but quickly reversed, closing the day near the 31.70 support level.
Currently, Silver is rebounding once again from this support, which could present a good shorting opportunity for sellers.
My bias is bearish as long as 32.50 resistance holds, and I expect a potential decline toward 31.00 in the near term.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
EUR/USD Range-Bound but Ready to Break Higher? Since the beginning of the year, EUR/USD has been trading within a range, fluctuating between 1.0200 and 1.0440, aside from a few temporary spikes in both directions.
While the overall trend remains bearish, I anticipate a relief rally in the near future, which could push the price toward the 1.0650–1.0700 zone in the medium term.
In the short term, the market remains stable, with a strong support base forming around 1.0200. Given this setup, my bias is bullish, and I’m looking to buy dips, targeting 1.0500 as the first key resistance level.
XAU/USD 10-14 February 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
Since my last weekly analysis price has printed a bullish iBOS. Bias and analysis has been accurate over the last few months.
Price is now trading within a fractal high and internal low.
Bearish ChOCH positioning is denoted with a blue shorter dotted line and is very well positioned to print bearish CHoCH which is the very first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation
Note:
With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 February 2025 that price could continue bullish to bring CHoCH positioning closer to recent price action. This is how price printed.
Price proceeded to print a bearish CHoCH which is in-line with previous intraday expectation.
Price is now trading within a confirmed internal range, however, I will be closely monitoring this.
You will note price has targeted weak internal high but failed to close above. This is potential liquidity grab to fuel the bearish pullback phase to facilitate HTF bearish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,882.310.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
NIFTY ready for 24000 now..?As we can see NIFTY has taken support around 23500 levels after getting rejected at the trendline and based on the election results, we can expect NIFTY to open very strong and hence will open above the trendline which will also break the structure hence if it sustains and doesn’t closed below the trendline then we may see quick 24000 in NIFTY else NIFTY will get in very serious zone so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
DXY Deep Dive: A Structured Approach to Weekly Trade PreparationApplying the "Where, What, Next" Methodology for Multi-Timeframe Analysis
This example demonstrates how to conduct a structured weekly analysis using DG for long-term trades. The same methodology applies to shorter-term trades by starting with the weekly timeframe and refining the analysis down to 60-minute or even 15-minute charts.
Methodology Overview
1️⃣ Where is price? (Location in the focal timeframe and lower timeframes)
2️⃣ What is it doing? (Look at structure and flow: is it trending, rejecting, consolidating?)
3️⃣ What is next? (Anticipated flow: if an area is up, lower timeframe areas near it should also be up and act as strong support.)
DXY 3M with 12M – The Big Picture (Quarterly & Yearly View)
🔎 1️⃣ Where is price?
Price is in Quarterly Area 5 and within a Quarterly C-wave .
It rejected the static yearly top and sits in Yearly Area 4, in line with the yearly trend.
Currently below the yearly live and static ETOP, as well as the 3M live ETOP.
📊 2️⃣ What is it doing?
Trend, slope, and flow are all up , indicating strong bullish momentum.
The rejection from the yearly static ETOP suggests price is seeking new energy before resuming a move.
Price is hovering near potential PLdot refresh areas on both 3M and 12M .
🚀 3️⃣ What is next?
If price respects the 3M and 12M PLdot refresh areas (105.55-105.64) , expect a push higher.
If price fails to hold, then the next key support areas should be observed to assess structural integrity.
Alternative scenario : If price tests but fails to reclaim the 3M static ETOP, a downward correction may be in play.
DXY 1M with 3M – Monthly & Quarterly Context
🔎 1️⃣ Where is price?
Price recently completed a C-wave up and rejected Area 5 in February.
The PLdot refresh occurred in the static area, signaling a possible re-test zone.
It is currently trading in Area 4 , aligned with an upward trend.
📊 2️⃣ What is it doing?
The monthly trend, direction, and slope are up .
However, next month’s slope and PLdot are turning down , indicating a potential slowdown or congestion phase.
🚀 3️⃣ What is next?
For the 3M YES scenario to play out, the monthly timeframe should enter a congestion phase, allowing price to retest the 12M and 3M PLdot refresh areas before resuming upward movement.
If price fails to hold , the next downside structure should be evaluated.
DXY 1W with 1M – Weekly Execution Framework
🔎 1️⃣ Where is price?
Weekly price is currently in Area 3 and in the third candle of a downtrend.
Price closed below the PLdot, reinforcing short-term bearish sentiment.
📊 2️⃣ What is it doing?
The projected weekly direction suggests congestion as price tests previous support and resistance levels.
🚀 3️⃣ What is next?
Resistance Levels:
First resistance at the monthly live PLdot .
Stronger resistance at 109.16 - 109.27 (5-1 down monthly + 6-1 down weekly).
Support Levels:
First support at 6-5 Up monthly & 5-3 Up monthly.
Stronger support at static monthly PLdot & weekly static EBOT.
Very strong support at live monthly EBOT + previous week’s 5-2 & 5-2 extension around 106.5.
DXY 1D with 1W – Daily Execution Strategy
🔎 1️⃣ Where is price?
Daily price is in Area 4, with a CE candle projecting a target of ~108.5 for next week.
Friday’s direction was down, but the slope was swinging.
Monday’s expected direction is up.
📊 2️⃣ What is it doing?
First level of resistance : Weekly Live PLdot + static ETOP 108.16.
Stronger resistance :
6-6 Down + 5-2 Down levels.
CE target lies between these levels .
5-2 Down extension + Monday’s exhaust top = very strong resistance .
Support levels:
First support: Monday’s static PLdot at 107.8.
Stronger support: Weekly 5-3 Up.
Very strong support: Envelope bottom with 5-2 Up + 5-2 Up extension.
🚀 3️⃣ What is next?
Key Trading Insight:
If price fails to reach a C-wave target such as the bottom of the exhaust zone, it signals potential market reversal.
If price enters congestion, it should revisit 2-3 PLdots back—failure to do so signals a shift.
Final Thoughts & Key Takeaways
✅ Apply the "Where, What, Next" method for structured analysis —start with location, assess structure, then anticipate flow.
✅ Use PLdot refreshes & support/resistance zones as trade signals to gauge momentum.
✅ Monitor price reactions at projected targets —failure to reach them is itself an actionable signal.
✅ Multi-timeframe analysis ensures better trade execution —always align lower timeframes with higher timeframe trends.
📢 Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any financial losses incurred as a result of this analysis.
🔍 Stay disciplined, trade smart, and let price action guide you! 🚀
EUR/GBP - Weekly Outlook (Strong AMD Model)After breaking this Chart down I have found a setup I am very happy with. I shall break this down to help you understand my process.
4H Chart Only...
Firstly we start off with a strong Buy side Liquidity sweep. This tells me that price wants to target its next lot of Liquidity which is further down towards the labels Demand zone.
We noticed a CHoCH which would have been a nice trade if you could have captured that move BUT.. you still have time! In my eyes I see a valid AMD Entry Model with Accumulation with some price evaluations followed buy a Manipulation then on the LTF changing character once again giving me a strong confluence that price will push down harder to give us the valid distribution. We haven't see any form of tap of supply zones so I would like to see price pull up and wick into some sort of LTF Supply as we want this Distribution to continue running.
Once we break this Liquidity Trend Line it will be a very high Probability Trade Setup so you could look for sells after taking that Breakout too
Good Luck to the Traders that decide to follow.
USD/CHF - Weekly Outlook Welcome traders.
USD/CHF is gifting us with some very nice clean Market Structure. Not to speak to soon but let me explain my theory..
Higher TF shows we are close to a supply zone. Price has multiple times pushed price down for a big sell off 3 times now.. except we haven't seen a Higher TF Liquidity Sweep. This to me tells me we still are Bullish and need to have a large Bullish movement to close off above the Buy side Liquidity to claim. Price has also failed twice now to break Structure to the sell side in theory telling me buyers are still currently in control
4H- This TF shows in more details the amount of Liquidity sitting higher and that second Line is where I would like to close above before seeing any signs of a reversal.
Recently price has had a CHoCH and we are now looking for our Buy setup. Price has had a confident run before market Closure leaving behind Imbalance to fill.
I see two Demand zones 1 being within a 1H TF and the second being deeper in this Daily Range. Price needs to return to the Discount zone. As noted I will be looking for strong Buys once price has made 15-30 Bullish CHoCH once we have returned back into the Imbalance
Good Luck to all the traders that decide to follow and be sure to comment to share your thoughts
EUR/USD - Weekly Outlook (Strong Plan)Hi all,
This is a very strong and so far my favourite plan so far in this weekly outlook, let me explain..
Larger TF show clearly we are in a Bearish Run.. We shall keep jumping into this run to catch further profits. We can see lower Imbalance to take so at this point I will continue selling into the Higher TF Demand zone.
Smaller TF we are looking to capture these strong pullbacks to jump into sells, so far we can notice price has respected this Supply Zone taking out the Buyside Liquidity. This is good confirmation that price now wants to seek lower Liquidity.
We then follow price to notice a strong CHoCH before we see fundamentals pushing price strongly down during market closure last week. We caught a really nice buy setup to fill that Imbalance but now we have once again broken structure in smaller TF
Now looking at were we are now with market closure we are in a range of which I would like to see price creep up into that dotted line being our Premium Range to get a good selling price to sell off to break further structure.
Be sure to comment on your thoughts towards this trade Idea.
Good luck to the traders that decide to follow
GBP/AUD - Weekly OutlookSmaller TF only for this Trade Idea.. let me explain
So far from market close we can see a fair amount of detail with why I believe we are about to see a large Bullish movement.
So far we have been respecting a strong Bearish Trend, we have come down into a strong Demand zone which also is tapping into my Golden OTE zone.
On the 1H TF we can notice a confirmed change of character telling me as long as we don't take out this swing low which we shouldn't as it protected due to taking previous swing Liquidity out. Because of this I only can see recent Buy side liquidity.
Price currently has Been respecting a 1H IFVG which ICT can use a confirmation for Entry Models.. I don't trade ICT concepts although this does give me confluence in this market.
Ideally we are taking a breakout trade from this Liquidity Trend Line for strong Bullish structure to follow. This could possibly be a nice intraday swing due to Overall Bullish Movements
Good Luck to all the Traders that decide to follow along
EURUSD 10-14 Feb 2025 W7 - Weekly Analysis - US CPI/PPI/PowellThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 10-14 Feb 2025 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
Weekly Chart Analysis
Daily Chart Analysis
4H Chart Analysis
Economic Events for the Week
Market Sentiment
Mixed Labor Market Signals
The February 7 NFP report showed 143K new jobs (below expectations of 170K), signaling potential cooling in the labor market. However, strong wage growth (0.5% MoM, 4.1% YoY) and a 4% unemployment rate (down from 4.1%) suggest lingering inflationary pressures.
Markets may interpret this as a "Goldilocks" scenario: cooling job growth could delay Fed rate hikes, but elevated wage inflation keeps stagflation risks alive.
Tariff Volatility and Trade Uncertainty
Trump’s tariffs (10% on China, delayed 25% on Canada/Mexico) dominate market psychology. While tariffs are a negotiation tool, their sudden implementation and reversal create uncertainty. For example:
Automotive and energy sectors face direct risks due to integrated North American supply chains.
Consumer goods (e.g., electronics, produce) may see price hikes, amplifying inflation fears.
Retaliatory measures from China add to global trade tensions.
Week major news events
Fed’s Powell testifies
ECB Lagarde Speech
US CPI, PPI and Retail Sales
EU GDP
Given the forecasts and the recent NFP report showing slower job growth, market sentiment could be cautious. If the CPI and PPI readings come in higher than expected, it could reinforce concerns about inflation and lead to USD Strength. Investors might seek safe-haven assets.
Conversely, if the CPI and PPI readings are in line with or lower than expectations, it could provide some relief to the markets and support a more positive sentiment which will lead to Weaker USD.
Weekly Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹Internal Bearish
🔹In Swing Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS)
3️⃣
🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase.
🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicated that the liquidity was enough as per previous week analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS.
🔹Price pulled back after the Bullish CHoCH to the Weekly Demand formed and showed reaction after a volatile week.
🔹Price still looking bearish to target the Weak INT low to target the Weekly unmitigated demand. Ultimately targeting the Swing Weak Low.
🔹Noticing that the Bearish INT Low didn’t pullback to at least the INT Structure EQ (50%) so there is a chance that price could hold the current Weekly Demand to fulfil the i-BOS pullback phase which will require MTF to confirm this scenario.
🔹Expectation is set to Bearish continuation targeting the Weak INT Low and the unmitigated Weekly Demand.
Daily Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone.
3️⃣
🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone.
🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low.
🔹Price failed for the 2nd time to close below the Weak INT Low after mitigating the Daily Demand formed from the failure to close below the Weak INT Low which triggered aggressive Bullish reaction and mitigating the Daily Supply Zone formed from the recent Bearish CHoCH.
🔹After Supply mitigation, price continued Bearish following the Bearish INT Structure continuation phase.
🔹Expectations is price to continue Bearish to target the Weak INT Low and hopefully we get a confirmed close which is fulfilling the Weekly target of continuing Bearish.
🔹Notice that if the Daily formed a Bullish CHoCH (Currently above the recent mitigated Supply) this will shift my outlook to the Weekly Scenario of a deep pullback of the Weekly INT Structure to at least the Structure EQ (50%). MTF required to shift Bullish to confirm.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios:
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to Bearish to target the Weak INT Low as long LTFs are staying Bearish.
Economic Events for the Week
XAUUSD Buy Limit OrderWow, we have a strong push to the up, and I think in this pull back we'll have some reaction in this area.
Let's see what happens...
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Xauusd Buy Limit OrderHi everyone.
We've missed our previous trade.
Now in higher TF I think this area has a good potential to set a buy limit order.
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Gold Buy Limit OrderOur previous order was based on the higher TF and it's still valid.
I think for the lower we can use this area to set order.
Let's see what happens...
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Inverted Double Hammer with Doji (A RARE FORMATION) !!! BTCUSDFolks,
An ' Inverted Double Hammer with Doji ' pattern is potentially forming by the end of this week on the daily timeframe.
An Inverted Double Hammer with Doji consists of two inverted hammer candles followed by a doji and then fourth candle that closes green above the closing prices of the previous three candles.
On the weekly timeframe, a similar pattern appeared during August 2023. If an Inverted Double Hammer with Doji successfully forms, we may likely see a trend reversal for the BTCUSD pair.
BTCUSD has resistance at 10 D SMA & 50 D SMA and also has support at $95,500 which is very closer to 100 D SMA trend line, If the Sunday (February 9, 2025) candle closes above the closing value of the previous three candles, which is ~ $96,600, then I plan to initiate a long position with at least 10x leverage, targeting a close at the weekly highest closing value (~$104,400).
Let's see what happens this Monday. Wish me good luck. Play safe, b]#DisciplineWithStopLoss before you invest. 🤞
#ChartPatterns
#SwingTrading
#BTCUSD
#PatienceIsKey
#RektProofTrade
#ProtectYourCapital
170% rally for Koma INU ??Requested TA, more than once.
On the above daily chart price action has dropped over 80% since early December. A number of reasons now exist for a long position, they include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Volume, a lot of new volume. See MFI breakout.
3) Reversal / hammer candle.
4) Resistances as shown, first 170% above. After that, blue sky.
Is it possible for price action to correct further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: high, tiny market cap
Timeframe for long: sooner than you think
Forecast: 170%