My Thoughts #013The pair is still quite bullish...
I would look for sells
if we get to the supply zone and get a choch I would sell then for now I just think it will push up to the supply zone before we get that drop.
As you can see it's the buy before the sell that Choch so that is why I think it will mitigate the Zone before dropping...
Yet I am not. Saying it might not sell from the point it's at but it's just my perspective
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Multiple Time Frame Analysis
BTCUSD IS BULLISH BUT TRUMP MIGHT SPOIL IT, BEWARE!🧠 Context:
We’re looking at BTCUSD after a textbook liquidity sweep, demand zone reaction, and clear structure shift. This chart beautifully displays institutional order flow, giving us a high-probability long setup.
🔍 Detailed Breakdown:
✅ 1. Liquidity Sweep & Demand Reaction:
Price made a sharp move downward into a previous demand zone (marked red).
The move into 104,169–104,451 region swept sell-side liquidity resting below previous lows.
The strong bullish engulfing candle from that zone confirms mitigation of a bullish order block.
🔁 2. Break of Structure (BoS):
Post-demand tap, BTC broke above a minor supply structure, forming a higher high.
This is our confirmation of a short-term bullish market structure shift.
🎯 3. Entry Setup:
Price retraced slightly after the break of structure and appears to be forming a higher low.
Current price is around 105,309, a potential entry for longs.
🧱 4. Target Zones:
TP1: 105,800 – fill inefficiency zone
TP2: 106,130.21 – supply zone / previous high
SL: Below demand zone (~104,150) — below OB and liquidity sweep
🧊 5. Volume Profile Insight:
High volume node concentrated at the lower consolidation, signaling accumulation.
Price is now trading above POC, supporting a bullish continuation narrative.
🧭 Conclusion:
This BTCUSD setup shows classic Smart Money reversal mechanics:
✅ Liquidity grab
✅ Order block tap
✅ Structure break
✅ Volume confirmation
📈 Bias: Bullish
🎯 Long targeting 106,130
🛑 SL below 104,169
🔔 Manage risk and monitor lower timeframes for confirmation. BTC has room to run, but always watch reaction at key zones.
Long trade
4Hr TF overview
Trade Journal Entry — PEPEUSDT (Buyside Trade)
🗓 Date: Sunday 1st June 2025
⏰ Time: 12:00 PM
📍 Session: London PM
📈 Timeframe: 4-Hour (Swing Setup)
📊 Market Structure Tool: Higher Low Formation + FVG Entry
🧠 Confirmation Tool: Break of Structure + Discounted Entry Zone
15min TF overview
🔹 Trade Details:
Entry Price: 0.00001188
Take Profit: 0.00001356 (+14.14%)
Stop Loss: 0.00001138 (−4.21%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.36
🔹 Technical Breakdown:
Market Structure:
Price formed a higher low in line with bullish trend continuation.
Long trade
BTCUSDT (Buyside Trade)
🗓 Date: Sunday, 1st June 2025
⏰ Time: 5:30 PM
📍 Session: New York PM
📈 Timeframe: 15-Minute (Intraday Setup)
📊 Market Structure Tool: Break of Structure + FVG (Fair Value Gap) Retest
🧠 Confirmation Tool: RSI overbought
🔹 Trade Details:
Entry Price: 103,982.44
Take Profit: 105,989.05 (+1.93%)
Stop Loss: 103,730.44 (−0.24%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 7.96
🔹 Technical Breakdown:
Market Structure:
The price broke out of its recent range and confirmed a higher high.
Entry taken on retest into a bullish FVG within the discount zone.
Order Flow / Liquidity:
The liquidity grab below the short-term low provided a clean spring setup.
Quick absorption followed by a bullish engulfing candle confirmed entry.
XAUUSD - Will Gold Hold $3,300?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If gold corrects towards the two demand areas, it can be bought with a risk-adjusted reward.
Following a tense market open yesterday, driven by escalating military tensions between Russia and Ukraine, the two sides concluded their negotiations in Istanbul. According to an Axios correspondent, Russia presented Ukraine with a formal peace proposal during the talks, outlining terms for a ceasefire and an end to the conflict.
Interfax reported that Russia issued an official memorandum listing its proposed conditions for achieving a ceasefire.
Key points in the document include:
• A full withdrawal of Ukrainian military forces from territories currently under Russian control, including Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson.
• The complete removal of all existing economic sanctions and a mutual agreement to refrain from introducing new sanctions.
• A proposal to reestablish economic relations, including the resumption of natural gas transit through Ukraine.
• A demand for Ukraine to reduce its military personnel and weaponry, along with explicit guarantees of its non-nuclear status and a strict ban on deploying any nuclear arms on its territory.
• The memorandum also calls for the termination of general military mobilization in Ukraine and the initiation of a demobilization process as part of the path toward a ceasefire.
On the other side, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Kyiv and Moscow have agreed to a prisoner exchange involving 1,000 soldiers from each side. This exchange includes an additional 200 individuals per side compared to previous agreements. Zelensky described the deal as “another step in the right direction,” and noted that the lists of detainees would be exchanged between the countries later this week.
In U.S. economic news, the latest update from the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model forecasts a 4.6% annualized growth rate for real GDP in the second quarter of 2025. This is an upward revision from the previous estimate of 3.8% released on May 30. The revision followed new data releases from the U.S. Census Bureau and the ISM. In particular, personal consumption growth was raised from 3.3% to 4.0%, while private domestic investment was adjusted from –1.4% to +0.5%.
On the trade front, according to a draft letter obtained by Reuters, the Trump administration has urged participating countries to submit their best trade proposals by Wednesday. The goal is to accelerate talks with multiple partners ahead of a five-week deadline.
This draft, issued by the Office of the United States Trade Representative, provides a glimpse into how President Trump plans to wrap up complex trade negotiations with dozens of nations. These negotiations began on April 9, when he temporarily suspended his “Freedom Day” tariffs for 90 days—until July 8—following turmoil across equity, bond, and currency markets in response to the broad scope of the tariffs.
According to the draft, the U.S. is asking countries to submit top-tier offers across key areas, including tariff and quota proposals for importing American industrial and agricultural products, as well as plans to remove non-tariff barriers.
Stuart Jenkins from Goldman Sachs stated that elevated tariffs on steel and aluminum have likely contributed to a weakening of the U.S. dollar. On Friday, President Trump announced that these tariffs would double starting Wednesday, reaching 50%. Although metals represent a relatively small portion of U.S. imports and the broader impact may be limited, Jenkins noted that this move illustrates the administration’s continued ability to impose tariffs, even in the face of potential legal challenges.
AUDCAD | HnS Pattern | 500pips DownPrice action has continued selling off after retesting the previous breakout below the neckline and will be looking to hit another 500pips+
When looking at local price action on lower timeframes the double top rejection at ~0.90 has entered a distribution phase which is signaling price to fall further with the first target at 0.88 and so on.
For price to hit the last target around 0.855 I would like to see a break first then a retest/distribution phase.
EURUSD Sell – June 2, 2025 (Re-entry)Still maintaining the same HTF bearish bias – daily OB + D trend direction, with liquidity above W/D highs already swept.
After initial stop-out, price offered a cleaner entry: reacting from a 15m POI, followed by a clear BOS on the 1m timeframe.
Plan is to enter on the retest of the 1m OB left behind after the break.
First TP at 1:3 RR, with extended targets below Asia lows if momentum continues.
Nasdaq giving hints of bearishness failing to close above rangePlease review what I think I'm seeing. If you have any comments in regard to these potential levels they are always welcome.
I believe we may be actually bearish from here but without a daily close below the highest block, my decided choice must be neutral. Purely mechanical analysis will save your portfolio 💎
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EURCAD BUYPrice is in a Weekly Uptrend.
Price attempted to reverse with head & shoulders but failed instead making new higher low at (1.54797).
Price is making rising higher lows and higher highs as it approaches head & shoulders neckline.
Key Support & Resistance level that is tested multiple times at (1.56981 - 1.56659) the more a level is tested 80% chance it breaks.
Rising trendline in H4.that price has respected.
If price breaks and closes above 1.57608 the B.O is confirmed.
For more conservative entry wait for the retest to confirm the BO and enter the trade
EURUSD Short June 2, 2025EURUSD Sell – June 2, 2025
Bearish narrative across the board. HTF aligned with daily OB + D trend, plus clear liquidity sitting at previous weekly and daily highs.
On LTF, we had clean 15m bearish structure forming during Asia, and price tapped into the HTF OB during London open, rejecting from session high.
Entry was based on tap (0.5% Risk) and will reenter with another 0.5% after 1m BOS.
Partials taken at 1:3 RR, with final TP set at Asia low for full move.
DXY Update..PWL takenGood day traders I’m back yet again with another update but this this it’s DXY(dollarindex)).
Price has taken previous week’s low, and for me that’s the manipulation phase in the power of 3 because my bias is bullish on the dollar and bearish on foreign currencies. Price has taken the PWL in a zone/area where we saw price react higher in that BPR zone/area. For the rest of the week I personally believe we can expect higher prices on DXY, Atleast till the midpoint of that gap above price. ICT teaches more on the importance of that halfway/midpoint of gaps and other PD arrays.
Since we are in a discount zone we can expect price to move higher into the premium range of the daily TF dealing range and our first liquidity (internal) is also inside the premium zone.