NZDJPY price action trading n a weekly timeframe, the market revisited a previously tested zone. On the 1-hour chart, it broke out of this zone, and on the 15-minute chart, a backtest of the breakout level is currently occurring. Based on this setup, I’m planning to enter a trade.
Trade Plan:
Take Profit (TP): Targeting the last swing high.
Stop Loss (SL): Placing it below the last resistance level.
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): Aiming for a minimum of 1:3.
This setup offers a high-probability trade with a favorable risk-reward ratio, capitalizing on the breakout and backtest confirmation.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Long trade
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📈 Pair: SOL/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND → NY Session PM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
🆔 Trade ID: #SOL-0511B
📅 Date: Sunday, 11th May 2025
🕐 Time: 1:00 PM
🔹 Entry Price: 172.541
🔹 Profit Target: 178.912 (+5.02%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 172.316 (-0.31%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 16.24
The buyside breakout was confirmed during the LND to NY session transition. Price action displayed sustained momentum through prior resistance, accompanied by strong volatility during the session overlap. Market structure and order flow favoured continuation, with a clear liquidity void overhead. The entry signal was triggered as price reached the previous and pivotal zone — the Sellside/Buyside In Balance (SIBI) area — further validating directional intent.
NAS100 - Stock Market Expects a Devastating Week!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect corrective moves from the specified range, but if the index corrects towards the demand range, we can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with a good risk-reward ratio.
U.S. stock futures responded positively to signals from both Chinese and American officials. Looking ahead to the coming week, investor focus is squarely on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report from the United States—marking the first chance to assess the impact of the new tariffs implemented on April 9.
Meanwhile, ongoing trade negotiations between the U.S. and China remain a crucial factor, with significant implications for inflation, Federal Reserve policy, and overall market expectations. In addition to inflation data, retail sales figures and the preliminary results of the University of Michigan sentiment survey could influence market outlook regarding interest rates—especially since price stability and full employment remain core mandates of the Federal Reserve. At present, Fed officials are working to maintain a cautious stance in order to anchor inflation expectations. However, if clear signs of economic weakness emerge, that stance could shift rapidly—something that several Fed officials have already openly acknowledged.
Retail sales, in particular, could provide a different narrative about the health of the economy. After a notable 1.5% jump in March, estimates suggest that growth in April slowed to just 0.1%. This deceleration may reflect consumer reluctance to spend, stemming either from inflationary pressures or broader economic uncertainty.
Thursday’s data release will include the Producer Price Index (PPI), industrial production, and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index—offering a clearer picture of supply-side dynamics and the performance of the industrial sector.
On Friday, attention will turn to a fresh batch of economic indicators: building permits, housing starts, the New York (Empire State) manufacturing index, and especially the University of Michigan’s preliminary consumer sentiment survey. This survey has gained importance in recent months due to notable increases in both one-year and five-year inflation expectations. As recent charts indicate, while consumer confidence has plummeted to multi-year lows, inflation expectations have trended upward—a worrisome combination that could limit the Fed’s ability to ease monetary policy.
Although concerns about a U.S. recession persist, recent data suggest more of a “gradual slowdown” rather than signs of an imminent crisis. In March, both the CPI and PCE indices declined, indicating a temporary easing of inflationary pressures. However, this trend may reverse in April, as the broad implementation of reciprocal tariffs likely raised import costs—particularly for Chinese goods, which now face duties as high as 145%.
New estimates indicate that these tariffs could add 2.25% to core inflation over the next year, effectively reversing the progress made in 2024 on taming price pressures.Prior to the Trump administration’s tariff announcements, economists had differing views on inflation, with some expecting it to approach the Fed’s 2% annual target by year-end. Contrary to trade experts, Trump claimed that sellers would not pass these price increases on to consumers.
Goldman Sachs’ analysis this week suggests that Trump’s tariffs could push inflation to levels not seen since the post-pandemic price surge. The broad import taxes announced between February and April may have a substantial impact on the economy, and consumers are likely to feel the effects first at the checkout counter. Goldman economists estimate that the tariffs could drive annual inflation—as measured by core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE)—to 3.8% by December, marking the highest rate since 2023. The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge rose 2.6% last year.
This metric remains above the Fed’s 2% target and has shown limited progress toward that goal since 2023. The last time inflation was below this benchmark was in January 2021.
A renewed wave of price increases could severely strain American household budgets—particularly if the labor market also weakens, as many economists anticipate. This would also represent a significant setback for the Federal Reserve, which has kept interest rates elevated since 2022 in an effort to combat post-pandemic inflation.
While inflation hovered around 3% at the beginning of 2024 with little change, it saw a notable drop in March. Many analysts forecast that inflation will continue to decline and approach the 2% target by the end of 2025.
Walker and Peng’s analysis factored in both the direct effects of tariffs—most of which will likely be passed on to consumers—and several indirect consequences. The trade war has unexpectedly weakened the U.S. dollar, reducing Americans’ purchasing power.
Moreover, some manufacturers may shift production away from China, where tariffs are particularly severe, to locations with higher production costs. As a result, American consumers may end up paying significantly more for imported goods, especially in categories like consumer electronics and apparel.
Short trade
4Hr TF overview
🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📉 Pair: NZD/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session AM
🧠 Setup: Descending Channel Breakdown
🆔 Trade ID: #NZDUSD-0512A
📅 Date: Monday, 12th May 2025
🕐 Time: 1:00 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 0.59251
🔹 Profit Target: 0.58484 (-1.28%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.59443 (+0.34%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.99
🔍 Reasoning:
Sellside trade executed following a breakdown from a descending channel formation during the Tokyo AM session. Price action respected the upper trendline multiple times before failing to hold mid-channel support. The breakdown confirmed bearish intent with increased momentum and order flow alignment. Target set below the channel’s lower boundary, aiming to capture liquidity resting beneath the structure.
BTC Flag Formation Showing Signs of Weakness – Bearish Move Load“Been watchin’ this here price action dance within a fine-lookin’ upward flag for a spell now. Marked her clean—upper bound, lower bound—like a gentleman watches over his estate. But I do declare, this structure’s lookin’ mighty tired. Reckon a bearish drop’s comin’ ‘round the bend real soon. Y’all best be ready.”
Bless Trading!
BTC - Ready for a breakout?Hey traders and investors!
On the 10-day chart, an intriguing situation is unfolding.
Sellers tested the Key Candle of the previous accumulation breakout — level 89,256, and the buyer’s initiative resumed.
Then, a manipulation (false breakout) occurred at the 89,256 test level. Volumes reveal the narrative: sellers sold off at high volumes, while buyers absorbed on declining volumes.
Now, a buyer zone has formed below, with the upper boundary at 99,475.
Just a few steps away from the ATH. A pullback is always possible, but for now, there are no signs of weakness (even a pullback to 89,256 wouldn't disrupt the bullish structure).
Now, the main question:
💡 How far up? +30,000?
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Copper Eyeing Key Reversal Point – Will It Break Above 4.68152 ?Copper is currently hovering near the 4.68152 🔼 resistance after rebounding from the 4.50280 🔽 support. Price is reacting to the 50-period SMA, which is slightly above current levels and may act as a dynamic resistance. The overall structure remains mixed with recent lower highs, but bulls have stepped in at key support.
Support at: 4.50280 🔽, 4.27241 🔽, 4.04129 🔽
Resistance at: 4.68152 🔼, 4.83230 🔼, 4.95323 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A breakout and retest above 4.68152, and ideally a clean move above the 50 SMA, could signal bullish continuation toward 4.83230 and 4.95323.
🔽 Bearish: A strong rejection at 4.68152 or a drop below 4.50280 could send price back toward 4.27241.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Will ceasefire result in another rally..?Following the agreements, we’ve agreed to ceasefire agreements which is both a win win situation for INDIA as it had both punished Pakistan and showed china levels of their air defence equipments hence we can expect NIFTY to strongly recover from here till the ceasefire is breached which could result in act of war and bloodshed of market so plan your trades accordingly.
Long trade
15min TF
1min TF entry
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📈 Pair: BTC/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
🆔 Trade ID: #BTC-0511A
📅 Date: Sunday, 11th May 2025
🕕 Time: 6:01 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 104,241.54
🔹 Profit Target: 104,964.71 (+0.69%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 104,168.57 (-0.07%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 9.91
🔍 Reasoning:
Buyside breakout trade following structural expansion above short-term resistance. The market showed momentum buildup and an impulsive break, indicating a strong buy-side presence. The target is set near the upper liquidity zone in alignment with the breakout projection.
1min TF
Long Trade
15min overview
30sec TF entry
🟩 Buyside Trade Idea
📈 Pair: SOL/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakout + FVG + Demand Flip
📅 Date: Sunday, 11th May 2025
🕟 Time: 4:30 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 172.632
🔹 Profit Target: 180.249 (+4.41%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 172.260 (-0.22%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 20.00
🔍 Reasoning:
Confirmed buyside directional bias following a break of trendline liquidity. Consecutive Fair Value Gaps (FVGS) formed during upward movement, showing consistent institutional flow. A former supply zone flipped to demand, and the prior consolidation phase has been mitigated, providing confidence in a continuation toward higher liquidity zones.
📌 Status: Planned
5min TF overview
EURUSD: Liquidity Grab & Bearish Outlook 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD broke and closed below a key daily horizontal
support cluster on a daily.
After a breakout, the broken structure turned into a strong resistance
and was retested.
I spotted a confirmed liquidity grab on an hourly time frame
and a consequent bearish imbalance candle.
Probabilities will be high that the price will drop
at least to 1.122
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Ripple: Potential for Growth!Hey traders and investors!
🚀 Many crypto assets have reached their local targets.
I can’t predict what will happen next, but I can track how new candles shift the probability of continued growth or decline.
Ripple has strong growth potential.
Both the weekly and daily timeframes show sideways ranges (marked by black lines), with the buyer’s initiative active.
Decision candles (IKC)* on both timeframes interacted with the lower boundary of the buyer’s initiative.
A buyer zone has formed on the weekly timeframe near the lower boundary — marked by a blue rectangle on the chart.
With targets aligning on both timeframes, there’s 25% to first target.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
* Decision candles — candles with increased volume inside initiatives. IKC — the highest-volume candle within initiatives inside a sideways range
Wishing you profitable trades!
Short trade
15min TF overview
🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📈 Pair: SOL/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
📅 Date: Sunday, 11th May 2025
🕝 Time: 2:30 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 174.933
🔹 Profit Target: 171.559
🔹 Stop Loss: 175.380
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 7.55
Reasoning
Sellside trade taken after observing weak follow-through on previous bullish movement. Price action showed signs of exhaustion below a key resistance level, with a lower high forming on reduced volume. This indicated potential distribution. Entry was timed following a clean break of minor intraday support during the Tokyo AM session, aligning with short-term bearish structure and targeting nearby resting liquidity.
Long trade
15min TF
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📈 Pair: SOL/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | NY Session PM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
📅 Date: Saturday, 10th May 2025
🕔 Time: 5:00 PM
🔹 Entry Price: 172.541
🔹 Profit Target: 176.110 (+2.07%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 172.316 (-0.13%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 15.86
Buyside trade undertaken after reinforced failed sellside delivery from the previous setup. This behaviour suggests strong underlying buyside pressure. Target liquidity is observed higher up, aligning with continuation expectations.
Aptos scalp n swing trade setupAptos is facing daily Order Block resistance , While on Weekly clearly showing to take out the previous high 15-16$, It's a weekly TF so it will take time. On a day trade you can take long position from the mentioned zone, while in upcoming days it's gonna hit 7.42$ at least to fill the imbalance even if it's a bear market. If any 1hr candle closes below the mentioned zone then it will take correction for short term of period then it will take flight to towards the 15-16$. If you are investor then accumulate between 4.5-5$ and set tp and forget it. If you wanna take the long position then take it from the mentioned zone if candle closes below the zone then wait for the retest and close on breakeven.