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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

EURGBP...PULLBACK OR REVERSAL? POTENTIAL LONG OPPORTUNITYHello hello TradingView fam! Hope you are are doing super well and having an incredible start to 2025. I just wanted to come on here and share a potential opportunity I see on the EURGBP currency pair. SO sit back, enjoy, and hope you get some value from this post! OK so first thing first. Higher timeframe. You can see from the title of my post "pullback or reversal" that we potentially have a trend shifting move at hand before us. Now you may be asking "how do you know?" and the short answer is I DONT...BUT the market leaves clues. And my mentor taught me that the market is a receipt for the bigger players displaying there interest...or lack of it. SO for me, when looking at this currency pair I can see back in December of 2024 a low was created around 0.82250 (round psychological number) on this pair before a large, strong rally from the buyers led prices to break multiple week/month highs. This is significant because if retail traders are not the ones moving the markets (because they are not) then we have to realize the larger players were so interested in this price that they bought up enough volume to cause the prices to have that very significant reaction. SO AS RETAIL TRADERS we should take that as a HUGE clue that when prices are coming BACK TO THAT ZONE OF PRICE they may be interested again...ever heard of "History Repeats Itself?" OK so that is the reasoning behind my bias that we may have a reversal on our hands and a potential continuation to the upside. Here are some confluences that add to that in terms of my technical analysis clues to give a few. 1. Daily is in uptrend (now making higher highs & higher lows) 2. RSI is oversold 3. Fibonacci alignment with zone (showing % of discount essentially) OK guys so that is my breakdown for EURGBP!!!! As I'm writing this as well I see that prices opened up very gapped to the downside!! WOW!! Keep eyes on guys my bias still remains...Cheers!
Long
by JosePips
WMT Showing Bullish Momentum – Move Toward $99.00 ExpectedNYSE:WMT is demonstrating strong bullish momentum, driven by consistent price strength and support from key moving averages. The recent price action confirms buyers' dominance, with a clear uptrend evident on the chart. The stock has advanced steadily, breaking out of prior consolidation zones, and is now poised to target the $99.00 level, which serves as the next significant milestone. This setup aligns with the expectation of a bullish continuation, offering a potential long opportunity if pullbacks or consolidations occur near current levels. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here!
NYSE:WMTLong
by THE-BUFFALO
XAUUSD - Where will gold go?!US President Donald Trump has raised serious concerns among global economies and financial markets by threatening to impose punitive tariffs on the country’s largest trading partners. So far, he has imposed a 10% tariff on goods imported from China, delayed the implementation of 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, and indicated that the European Union will be the next target of his trade policies. However, beyond the political hype, tariffs have important practical and economic effects. Tariffs are actually a type of tax on imported goods that, like other taxes, are a source of revenue for the government. Many countries impose these taxes to protect domestic production, as tariffs increase the price of foreign goods and therefore strengthen the competitiveness of domestic products. Trump, however, is using this tool not only to support domestic industries but also as leverage in his foreign policy. One example of this policy is his decision to postpone the imposition of new tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, which was made after the two countries agreed to implement stricter measures to control immigration and combat drug trafficking at their common borders. Tariffs were once a major source of revenue for the US government, but their share has declined significantly over the past century. According to an analysis of official data by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, as of last year, tariffs accounted for less than 3 percent of total federal revenue. If the tariffs were to be permanently imposed, as Trump initially proposed, the total additional costs to American importers over the next decade could reach $1.1 trillion. The nonpartisan Tax Foundation estimates that the policy could lead to tax increases of up to $110 billion by 2025 alone. The think tank also estimates that tariffs on China, which began under Trump and expanded under Biden, currently generate $77 billion in revenue for the U.S. government annually. Economic studies show that ultimately, American consumers and businesses will bear the brunt of these tariffs. While some foreign producers may lower their prices or accept some of the costs from American importers, in many cases, companies will raise the prices of their goods to compensate for the additional costs, and those costs will be passed on to consumers. A look at recent U.S.-China trade relations provides a clear example of the impact of tariffs. During Trump’s first term, he imposed a series of tariffs on Chinese imports, including steel, aluminum, and industrial engines. The policy has reduced China’s share of U.S. imports from about 20 percent in 2018 to 14 percent by 2023. Meanwhile, official demand for gold continues to play a major role in the precious metal’s market, keeping prices near record levels. It’s not just emerging market central banks buying gold to protect their currencies. Krishan Gopal, senior analyst for Europe, the Middle East, and Africa at the World Gold Council, pointed to data released by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in a social media post that showed Taiwan’s central bank increased its gold reserves in October. According to the report, the official gold reserves of the Central Bank of Taiwan reached 424 tons three months ago. Despite the recent volatility in the gold market, analysts believe that the continued purchases of central banks will continue to be the main factor in maintaining the bullish trend of the precious metal. Joy Yang, global head of index product management at MarketVector Indexes, said that with the increasing geopolitical uncertainties caused by Trump’s economic policies and the slogan of “America First”, central banks are looking for more neutral assets to preserve the value of their reserves. According to him, these policies of the Trump administration have made gold a more attractive option for countries that want to protect themselves against economic risks and reduce their dependence on the US dollar and Treasuries. Katie Kriski, commodity market strategist at Invesco, also believes that the high demand for gold by central banks continues to create significant value for retail investors. He also predicted that this trend will not stop in the near future, citing the People’s Bank of China as one of the most prominent examples of this behavior in the global gold market. Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. A correction towards the demand zone for gold will provide us with the next buying opportunity with a good risk-reward ratio.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
GBPUSD - Will the dollar return to the bullish trajectory?!US President Donald Trump has once again shown his mastery of political bluffs. He pushed negotiations with Mexico and Canada to the brink of crisis, there were numerous reports of increased tariffs and tougher measures, but in the end, he canceled everything. Instead, only a few symbolic measures were announced at the border, many of which had been discussed before. Now it seems that this scenario will be repeated again in the next 30 days. That this was a bluff was predictable from the beginning, but it was a challenging experience for analysts and markets. If you didn’t have a moment of doubt during this process, you probably weren’t paying close enough attention. But that’s the Trump strategy: in the market you have to have a strong belief that you are on the right track. When everyone is panicking, you have to stay calm and watch the process from the outside. The trade war has caused significant volatility in financial markets, and it’s not easy to make a profit in this environment. One of the main challenges was the timing. Last week, Trump announced that Mexico and Canada could do nothing to prevent the tariffs. But just days later, the two countries made almost no concessions and no tariffs were imposed. The signs of a shift in direction were already clear. The most important sign was the comments of Kevin Hassett, the White House economic adviser, who indicated that the talks were changing direction. He shifted the focus of the discussion to the problem of drugs and fentanyl, a shift that indicated that the Trump administration was looking to declare a victory in the negotiations. When even CNBC analysts noticed the change, it was clear that the direction of the talks had changed. “It doesn’t seem like you believe that these tariffs are going to happen, or that they will last very long,” one of the network’s hosts told Hassett in an interview. How did the financial markets react? The currency market was one of the best indicators to understand developments. While the stock markets were volatile, the trends in Forex were more transparent and occurred without random disturbances. The focus of attention on financial markets today is the Bank of England’s monetary policy decision. The Bank of England is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, starting the new year. The decision will not come as a surprise, as OIS market data shows that traders have priced in a cut with a probability of around 92%. The cut will take the Bank of England’s policy rate to 4.50%, while policymakers continue to gradually reduce interest rates. However, the most important part of the decision will be the central bank’s statement and tone. The results of the December vote showed that there is a division among BoE policymakers. Dhingra, Ramsden and Taylor had voted for a 25 basis point cut earlier in the same meeting. The Bank of England continues to insist that “a gradual approach to removing monetary policy constraints remains appropriate.” This will remain the watchword for monetary policy today, even if interest rate cuts are implemented. But economic uncertainties remain. The December inflation report showed that price pressures have eased, but the trend is not sustainable. Analysts have made a few key points: • The decline in inflation has been driven largely by falling service prices. • But a closer look suggests that the decline may be temporary. Rob Wood of Pantheon Economics explained that the ONS’s calculation method has led to a drop in airline prices on December 10. The drop came before the Christmas break, when prices would normally have been expected to rise. Overall, the disinflationary trend remains unsustainable. With core inflation still above 3%, the Bank of England remains committed to keeping price pressures in check. Future Forecast: • The Bank of England will cut interest rates today as expected, but will emphasize that future actions will depend on economic data. • Traders do not expect interest rate cuts in February and March, but have forecast the next cut for May 2025. • In total, interest rate cuts for 2025 are estimated at around 83 basis points. Since the Bank of England is unlikely to make any clear commitments on the future course of its policies, the impact of this decision on the value of the pound and government bonds (Gilts) is expected to be limited. The GBPUSD currency pair is located between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of a downward correction, the pair can be bought within the specified demand zone.
Long
by Ali_PSND
XAU/USD 06 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 05 February 2025 As mentioned in analysis dated 04 February 2025 that price could continue bullish to bring CHoCH positioning closer to recent price action. This is how price printed. CHoCH positioning has now changed, which is denoted with a blue dotted line. Price is trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH, which is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 05 February 2025. As mentioned yesterday, whereby it was stated that I will continue to monitor price. You will note I have marked the bullish iBOS in red. This is due to the fact price did not pull back enough to substantiate a further bullish iBOS as this would have significantly narrowed the internal range relative to rent price action. Price continues to make higher highs with current ChOCH positioning denoted with a blue dotted line Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH. Alternative scenario: As H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, it would be viable to consider price targeting strong internal low, priced at 2,722.215. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart :
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAGUSD - How far will silver go?!On the 4-hour timeframe, silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its ascending channel. If the correction continues, we can see a demand range. We can buy in that range with an appropriate reward to risk. Gold demand in China is showing signs of a strong rebound, even as the physical flow of gold from the UK to the United States continues. Meanwhile, analysts at Heraeus Precious Metals have indicated that there is evidence suggesting that the growing demand for silver in the solar industry may have peaked. Last week, both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank acted in line with market expectations. The Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged, while the European Central Bank implemented a 25-basis-point rate cut. Regarding silver, Heraeus analysts questioned whether China could sustain its rapid growth in the solar energy sector. They reported, “The total installed capacity of photovoltaic (PV) panels in China reached 886.66 gigawatts in 2024, marking a 46% increase compared to the previous year. This 277-gigawatt expansion exceeded industry forecasts and surpassed China’s own 2024 capacity projections by 17 gigawatts. However, while this growth is remarkable, it falls short of the record 54% increase seen in 2023, following a 28% rise in 2021. This trend suggests that China may be approaching its peak photovoltaic capacity growth.” The analysts also noted that, over the past two years, rapid solar energy growth has been driven by unprecedentedly low photovoltaic module prices, largely due to intense competition among manufacturers. They explained, “However, in 2025, polysilicon producers (GCL and Tongwei) have agreed to limit their production, while solar module manufacturers (Jinko, JA Solar, and Canadian Solar) have reached a minimum pricing consensus to restore profitability. This could drive up the price of solar modules, leading to higher capital costs for projects.” They added, “Projections indicate that 232 million ounces of silver were used in 495 gigawatts of photovoltaic applications in 2024. If installation rates remain steady year-over-year, solar demand for silver could reach a record 270 million ounces in 2025, an increase of 39 million ounces.” Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bassett announced that the Trump administration is focusing on reducing the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds rather than the Federal Reserve’s short-term interest rate cuts. Over the weekend, Trump remarked that the Federal Open Market Committee’s decision not to cut interest rates was a “good” move, indicating his emphasis on 10-year yields. This policy could contribute to financial stability and help control inflation. However, some analysts have warned that Trump’s measures, along with spending cuts by his ally Elon Musk, may not have a significant impact, as a large portion of U.S. government expenditures remains allocated to healthcare, social security, and defense. According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, economists at Morgan Stanley no longer anticipate that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates in March. They now predict only one rate cut in 2025, expected in June. As Morgan Stanley stated, “The implementation of tariffs earlier than expected is likely to halt the downward inflation trend at a higher level, making any short-term rate cuts impossible.”
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Gold. Daily and hourly TFHey traders and investors! On the daily timeframe, another buyer's impulse, which has not yet been completed (waiting for a short bar). Three bars with increased volume are at the bottom of the impulse, below 2,806. The last two daily bars have decreasing volume. On the hourly timeframe, the price has formed a sideways range. The current seller's vector is 5-6, with a potential target of 2,859.975. Buying Strategies Buying (long) setups should be considered from the lower levels of the range at 2,859.975 – 2,858. On the daily timeframe, given the current situation, buying opportunities can be looked for below the close of the last bar with increased volume – 2,814.710 Selling Strategies Looking for selling (short) setups is risky, but if desired, it is reasonable to do so from the upper levels of the hourly range at 2,873.340 - 2,882. Alternatively, below 2,858, when the seller breaks out of the range downward and confirms this breakout. I wish you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
BTCUSDT. Daily and Hourly TFHey traders and investors! On the daily timeframe, the price is in the middle of the range. The current seller's vector is 13-14, with a potential target of 91,231. On the hourly timeframe, the price is below the lower boundary of the range. The current buyer's vector is 8-9, with a potential target of 100,777. Selling Strategies Selling (short) setups should be considered from the upper levels of the range: - For the hourly timeframe: 100,777 and 102,500. Alternatively, below 96,150, when the seller breaks out of the range downward and confirms this breakout. - For the daily timeframe: 102,500 – 109,588. Buying Strategies Buying (long) setups should be considered from the lower levels of the range: - On the hourly timeframe, the price is currently in this zone. However, the lower boundary of the hourly range has been traded through. Looking for buy setups below 99,149 is risky, while above 99,149, the risk-reward ratio may not be favorable until the potential target is reached (100,777). - On the daily timeframe, key levels to consider for buying are 91,231 – 89,256. I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
#TradeWithMky 99.9% Risk Free Area For BUY BITCOINhello there "The first touch of this order block is always strong – higher highs confirm its reliability. 🚀 With clear support zones below, the price might consolidate before a significant breakout. A textbook HCH pattern could pave the way to new highs. 📈 Stay focused! #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #OrderBlockStrategy" @TradeWithMky TradeWithMky #TradeWithmkyBTC #BTC #BTC #TradingView I suggest to do your own reseasch as well consider you are resposible for you desications
Long
by TradeWithMky
Potential sell Daily - US30 As you can see, the pattern, this is a potential sell. The RSI is at 65 and it may go above 70, this will allow price to hit 45000, it is good. Weekly FIb represents at high. It may go down after this week on an easy, it all ads up with the trading war with China and it may help that Mexico and Canada are on puase of 30 days. only risk 0.5% or 1% of account. If it plays well, then this will be a good put for the end of this week and mids next week. Keep in mind scalping and day trading will be a good call as well if the daily and lower Time frames play the part. Follow for more ideas. Nozuk
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by Nozuk