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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

Bottom in for the dollar against the EuroI know many people are calling for the decline of the dollar and to invest in Europe, but the chart shows a different picture. The chart shows that the dollar has bottomed against the Euro and looks set to make a run at the highs. I think over the coming months/years, the dollar will go back above par against the Euro and will likely outperform the Euro for the coming years. The recent decline in the dollar was just to backtest support, and now that we have done that, I think the bottom is in. Breaking above the trend line should accelerate the bullish move.
Long
by benjihyam
7
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Lose $100K Support?!On the four-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 and is in its short-term descending channel. One can look for buying opportunities for Bitcoin from the channel bottom. If the resistance level is broken, the path to the rise and its reach to the level of $107,000 will be prepared for Bitcoin. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market, and capital management will be more important in the cryptocurrency market. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. Bitcoin has been in the spotlight again in recent days, especially as its price fluctuates within the psychologically important range of $101,000-$102,000 and its fundamental indicators are sending mixed signals. The first and perhaps most important element in Bitcoin’s fundamental analysis is the accumulation trend by large financial institutions and corporations. According to data published by websites such as CoinShares and the Financial Times, more than $87 billion worth of Bitcoin is currently held by companies such as MicroStrategy, Tesla, Block, and ETFs, which is approximately 3.2% of the total BTC supply in circulation. This clearly shows that Bitcoin has established itself as a store of value in the portfolios of professional investors, although there is still no consensus on its function as a “digital gold”. In this regard, analysts such as Román González of A&G have predicted that Bitcoin could reach the $200,000 range by the end of the year; on the other hand, some more conservative analysts such as Jacqui Clarke believe that Bitcoin still lacks measurable intrinsic value and should not be viewed solely as an alternative asset. This conflict of views shows the depth of complexity in analyzing Bitcoin. From the perspective of onchain, or intra-network data, the picture looks a little more cautious. The volume of active addresses last week was in the 1.0-1.1 million range, which is lower than in previous bullish periods (such as late 2021). Also, the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) index, which measures the potential profit potential of investors, fell slightly from 2.29 to 2.20, indicating that the market is somewhat cooling off from the short-term heat. Also, on June 22, more than 5,200 Bitcoins were removed from exchanges, which is usually a sign of long-term accumulation and a decrease in short-term selling pressure. On the other hand, Bitcoin’s behavior in the face of geopolitical crises shows signs of a change in the dominant market narrative. During the recent tension between Iran and Israel, Bitcoin fell by nearly 4%, unlike gold, which experienced significant growth. This challenges the assumption that Bitcoin is a “hedging” or “safe haven” asset and shows that BTC is still registered more as a risk-on asset in the minds of market participants. This is considered very important as investors look for tools to hedge inflation or protect against economic shocks. In terms of correlation with traditional markets, Bitcoin is also on a path to further integration with classic assets. The 30-day correlation index between Bitcoin and the S&P500 is now around 0.78, and academic studies predict that the correlation will grow to 0.87 at some point in 2024. This means that Bitcoin’s movements are more aligned than ever with the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, interest rates, stock market conditions, and global liquidity flows. Therefore, in the current situation, the impact of US macro data or central bank decisions plays a decisive role in Bitcoin’s volatility. Finally, Bitcoin price prediction models in recent days also reflect this complexity. Websites such as Bitfinex, Changelly, and analysts from institutions such as Brave New Coin have estimated that Bitcoin could reach the $125,000-$135,000 range this summer if macroeconomic conditions remain stable, and even if institutional capital continues to flow and there are no macro crises, reaching $150,000 by the end of the year is not out of the question. However, such scenarios require maintaining the current level of liquidity in the market, the absence of drastic tightening measures by the Federal Reserve, and the control of geopolitical risks. In short, Bitcoin is in a situation where, on the one hand, its supporting fundamentals are stronger than ever; With institutional inflows, accumulation of long-term addresses, and reduction of inventory on exchanges. On the other hand, the market remains highly vulnerable to macroeconomic and political risks and continues to show volatile reactions. This situation has led to Bitcoin becoming not only a speculative tool or growth investment, but also gradually becoming a part of professional portfolios with a carefully composed risk management mix. Its medium-term outlook is positive, but with one important condition: stability in global inflation and continued institutional capital flows.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Is Alt season dead? - June 2025Let me start by saying, Youtube influencers are lying to you. The collective narrative (from those links shared with me) talk almost exclusively about the same set of narratives for triggering “alt season”: M2 money supply. The printer will be turned on any minute. The FED is going to cut rates, the market will then explode. Institutions are buying the dip! “Blackrock fills Ethereum long positions” etc A dollar collapse. The real season begins in 2026, stack now! It is the same rubbish time and time again. Rarely will one of those influencers << Look left << to tell you the News as it is written on the chart. Let me tell you the News… The highly anticipated "alt season," where alternative cryptocurrencies (alt coins) significantly outperform Bitcoin, faces considerable challenges to deliver the much awaited “alt season” where everything blows up. However I’ve long argued those days are behind us, we’re not going to see an “alt season” again, at least not in the sense many understand the term "alt season". Alt season refers mainly to those tokens that reside outside the top ten crypto tokens. The total market cap of this cohort outside the top 10 is referred to as INDEX:OTHERS total, as is shown in the main chart. Now I’ve long argued corrections for Ethereum to $700 and below, Litecoin to $20 and lower, generally legacy tokens should perform the worst during this bull market, that outlook does not change. Why so pessimistic? Headline 1 - Support and resistance It is that simple. look left. Each alt season closed a monthly candle above the monthly 7 SMA and monthly 10 SMA (Green areas) before getting underway. Not only has this not happened during this bull market, support from the rising channel has failed and if the current monthly candle closes as it (in 7 days), then past support shall confirm as resistance. This would mean a collapse back to the 2017 market top of circa $50 billion. Headline 2 - Bitcoin halving The truth is “alt season” began in May 2024, that is if you’re a believer in the halving cycles. If you’re a believer then you must accept this bull market comes to an end in 90 days. The orange vertical lines represent each Bitcoin halving, occurring in August 2016, June 2020, and lately May 2024. The so called “alt season” would follow the halving for a 518 day period. There is only 90 days left for alt tokens to do their stuff before this cycle comes to an end. However, influencers only seem to talk about how great 2026 is going to be and how now is the time to start stacking. Instead 2025 is really going to create a whole new number of bag holders of dead projects. Headline 3 - The number of circulating tokens In January 2017 there was 8885 tokens, the good ole days. June 2020, still only 19,500 tokens Fast forward to June 2025 and we have 17.45 million tokens. Utterly ridiculous. The sheer proliferation of alt coins, now numbering in the millions, creates an overwhelming supply that far outstrips demand. This fragmentation of liquidity means that even when some tokens see brief pumps, it's often selective with only a handful of projects having strong narratives or specific utility that truly thrive. The simple truth is the market must kill off millions of those dud projects to free liquidity to the few that matter. If you really must know where the money is going to come from that causes growth in the remaining winners, it is from the realisation that a number of those projects are dead. That includes projects such as Ethereum and Litecoin. Both those charts share an important distinction no one wants to talk or hear about. There are projects out there that’ll buck the trend, do you know which ones they are? Not everything will collapse to zero. Ww
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS
by without_worries
55
EURUSD -> Bullish Idea 22/06/2025(ICT x Volume Profile)OANDA:EURUSD 🎯 Bias: Bullish 🕒 Timeframe: H1 primary, H15 confirmation Happy sunday traders! Following President Trump’s strikes on Iran, I expect an initial bearish reaction in the Asian and London Sessions, then a bullish reaction in the NY sessions as sellers push the USD lower. However, the prevailing trend context remains bullish: the hourly chart has shifted structure (MSS) and broke structure to the upside. I anticipate a liquidity sweep below the recent lows, before a retracement into the 15-minute fair value gap (FVG) which aligns with the volume profile, then continuation higher to target the weak high and into the swing highs marked.
Long
by bobphamm
EURUSD| Weekly OutlookSame story as last week — still patiently waiting for the major engineered liquidity above to get cleared before considering any meaningful longs. That said, EU is currently offering a clean structure for short setups into the downside order block. Everything is lining up technically, but it’s important to note this is a counter-trend move — and personally, I’m not taking it. It’s tempting when structure looks this clean, but I know it’s not my proper approach. For me, the real play is still higher — waiting on that bull-side OB mitigation to align with the bigger picture narrative. Until then, I’ll let others chase while I sit on my hands. Pure discipline only. Bless Trading!
by Juicemannn
7
ETHUSDT – Trade Recap & Daily Bias for June 21Trade Recap (June 20): I. First thing I did was mark out a DOL on the daily — price was hovering near a swing low, and I started noticing trend-side liquidity building up on the lower timeframes. So my directional bias for today was short. II. I marked the daily open. III. With a short bias in mind, I waited for a Turtle Soup setup right above the daily open. IV. The equal highs above were clean and obvious — textbook liquidity. V. Once that liquidity was swept, I dropped to the M15 to watch how price reacted — waited for a clean displacement away from that zone before getting involved. Daily Bias (June 21): Still leaning short. We’re pretty close to a weekly FVG, which might act as a magnet. If price forms liquidity during the day and takes it out in-session, I’ll look to short again. Bread and Butter & Turtle Soup
Short
by harmonik0
Long trade 1min TF entry 🟢 Trade Journal Entry – Buyside Trade 📍 Pair: BTCUSDT 📅 Date: Saturday, June 21, 2025 🕒 Time: 11:45 AM (NY Session AM) ⏱ Time Frame: 1 Minute 📈 Direction: Buyside 📊 Trade Breakdown: Entry Price 103,468.8 Profit Level 103,639.8 (+0.17%) Stop Loss 103,420.3 (−0.05%) Risk-Reward Ratio 3.53: 1 🧠 Context / Trade Notes: 1-Minute TF Scalping Setup: Trade executed on ultra-low time frame during late NY AM volatility window — ideal for short bursts of movement and precision entries. Liquidity Sweep Below Minor Low: Entry taken after price dipped below a small intra-session low, triggering a liquidity grab before a quick reversal.
Long
by davidjulien369
1
Long trade 15 min overview 🟢 Trade Journal Entry – Buyside Trade 📍 Pair: ETHUSDT 📅 Date: Saturday, June 21, 2025 🕒 Time: 2:00 AM (Asian Session AM) ⏱ Time Frame: 15 Minutes 📈 Direction: Buyside 📊 Trade Breakdown: Entry Price 2422.81 Profit Level 2474.60 (+2.14%) Stop Loss 2415.04 (−0.32%) Risk-Reward Ratio 6.67 1 🧠 Context / Trade Notes: BOS 5th June – 4HR Low Wick: Break of structure observed on June 5th from a 4-hour low wick. Observing the current NY session sweep of the liquidity from the London low wick signalled Sellside exhaustion. Order Block & Retest: A bullish OB formed on a prior swing, with a clean mitigation of price (Fri, 20th price range) and BOS, confirming buy-side interest. 5min TF Observation - entry: Narrative: Utilising DRT levels (coined by Ali Khan) to navigate the range and unfolding price action. Target imbalance zone 1Hr.
Long
by davidjulien369
GBPUSD: Bearish After Opening 🇬🇧🇺🇸 There is a high chance that GBPUSD will drop after the market opening. I see a strong bearish confirmation after a test of a recently broken trend line. The price formed a head & shoulders pattern and violated its neckline on an hourly time frame. Goal - 1.3425 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
NASDAQ Bread and Butter & Turtle Soup Example XIIaight, so im gonna break down a trade i took on nasdaq today using a setup i picked out myself from the ict concepts. just my own flavor of it, ya know before i knock out at night, i open up the charts real quick — just tryna see if there's any clean liquidity chillin’ nearby. if there aint, i shut it down and catch some solid sleep. but if there is... bingo baby this basically means i might just wake up rich tomorrow, bro. on the daily, im seeing two strong green days back to back, and right above that boom some equal highs just sitting there, begging to get run. they are even cleaner on the 1h. bias locked in. im waking up tomorrow and hunting longs, simple as that. i mark up the daily open first thing. if im lookin for longs, i wanna see some turtle soup under the open. if im hunting shorts, i need that setup above the open. thats just how i roll. if there is a swing low, trend liquidity, or some equal lows carryin over from yesterday, im locked in on those levels for turtle soup. if not, im just chillin, waitin for price to build some fresh liquidity during the day and then snatch it. in this setup, i got some leftover liquidity from yesterday plus a clean 4h fvg sittin there like a neon sign. next, i check the time. liquidity grabs usually hit during one of the killzones depends on the pair, but im watchin asia, london, or new york sessions. then i scope out if there is any news droppin around that time, especially stuff that could move the pair. no point in getting blindsided. and yeah, i always peep correlated pairs too sometimes they snitch before your chart even says a word. when all the stars and planets line up just right, that is when I drop down to the 15m and wait for a clean csd to show up. but here is the thing i dont jump in the second i see it. i wanna see price actually leave the liquidity zone. yeah, it might lower my rr a bit, but the win rate goes way up. It keeps me outta those fake-ass turtle soups that look good at first but just wanna wreck your stop. once im in the trade, i usually try to close out half the position the same day take profits where the chance of price reversing is damn near zero. then i let the other half ride toward my target liquidity. just lettin it breathe, do its thing. thats it, peace out
FUSIONMARKETS:NAS100Education
by harmonik0
1
*USDJPY| Weekly Breakdown - Bulls Took OverUJ was all bullish this week, no question about it. The chart made it clear—30M structure stayed intact, and market flow shifted heavily in favor of the buyers. Liquidity was taken along the way, with higher lows stacking up clean, setting the stage for further continuation to the upside. Not overcomplicating this one—bulls won the battle, and structure confirmed it. Now we look for smart ways to join that strength as price builds momentum into next week. Stay with the flow, not against it. Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
*NAS100| Weekly Breakdown - Structure Is PriceWhew—Nasdaq was a wild one this week, but once you master structure, liquidity, and OBs, the chaos turns into clarity. Price held my 30M demand zone, even after a sketchy wick-based reaction early on. First long position? Quick scalp to the highs—in and out, no burger 🍔. Didn’t wait for a full mitigation at first—anticipated the bullish momentum by staying aligned with structure. Later, price came back and mitigated the zone with body closes, confirming the intent for another long setup into next week. Yes, I hold trades over weekends—because here’s what I’ve figured out: “Price is structure. Structure is price. Master that, and it flows exactly how it should.” This week was just another example of that. Bless Trading!
IG:NASDAQLong
by Juicemannn