DOW JONES (US30): Bullish Reversal Confirmed?!
Dow Jones finally looks strong.
I see a high momentum bullish candle after
a confirmed liquidity grab below the underlined demand zone.
I expect up move at least to 41750 resistance.
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Multiple Time Frame Analysis
LONG ON ETHEREUM (ETH/USD)Ethereum has given a change of character (choc) to the upside on the 4 hour timeframe...
followed by a nice sweep of engineered liquidity!
Its currently respecting a key demand are and I believe it will now rise for 300-500 points this week.
I am buying Eth to the next level of resistance.
How Low Could the Nasdaq Go?The Nasdaq-100 has pulled the broader market lower since late February. What could be next for the tech-heavy index?
The first pattern to consider is the 20,315 level: its post-election pullback low on November 15. NDX slid below that price in early March and rebounded to stall at the same area last week. That could make some chart watchers think old support has become new resistance.
The index also peaked at its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), which may suggest the longer-term trend has grown more bearish. The falling 8- and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) may paint a similar picture in the shorter term.
That combination of patterns, including a lower high at old support, could make traders expect a lower low. The September trough near 18,400 may be a logical place to look.
We’ll next consider two important charts impacting the Nasdaq.
First, Apple NASDAQ:AAPL made a potentially lower high at its falling 21-day EMA. It also stalled at a 50 percent retracement of a recent move. The 50-day SMA may be nearing a “death cross” under the 200-day SMA, as well.
Second, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index NASDAQ:SOX closed slightly below its previous low from April. Does it face risk of a further breakdown?
If those two charts result in bearish price action, it may additionally keep pressure on NDX.
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Long trade
Pair USDCAD
Buyside trade
Mon 31st March 25
5.00 pm (NY Time)
NY Session PM
Structure - (Day)
Entry 4Ht TF
Entry 1.43382
Profit level 1.47241 (2.69%)
Stop level 1.42525 (0.60%)
RR 4.5
Buyside trade idea:
Reason: Break of channel to the upside
Indicators: WMA (100) EMA (50) observed as additional bias
Bitcoin - Where will Bitcoin go?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin’s downward trend and its placement in the demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it again.
The continued rise of Bitcoin will also lead to testing of selling transactions from the supply zone. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
Since March 14, inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have maintained a positive trend. For seven consecutive days, these ETFs have recorded net capital inflows without any outflows. This marks the first instance in 2025 of such a consistent streak of inflows into Bitcoin ETFs.
The assets under management (AUM) of actively managed ETFs in the United States have surged over the past two years, surpassing $1 trillion—a more than threefold increase. This remarkable growth indicates a rising investor interest in strategies beyond index-based funds.
Bitcoin had an overall positive week, whereas the S&P 500 and global equity markets suffered declines due to ongoing concerns over tariffs and persistent inflation. The S&P 500 closed the week lower, dropping to $5,580—just 1.2% above its recent low from March 13. Meanwhile, despite experiencing pullbacks, Bitcoin remains 9.3% above its previous low of $77,000, recorded on March 10.
Strategy, following its latest acquisition, now holds 2.41% of the total global Bitcoin supply.Given that a significant portion of Bitcoin has either been lost or remains dormant in wallets, this stake represents nearly 4% of the actively circulating supply.
About a month and a half ago, Eric Trump, son of former President Donald Trump, tweeted that it was the perfect time to buy Ethereum. Since that tweet, however, Ethereum’s price has dropped by approximately 35%. This highlights the risk of making investment decisions solely based on endorsements from well-known individuals.
Trump Media & Technology Group, owned by U.S. President Donald Trump, has announced a partnership with the cryptocurrency exchange Crypto.com to launch a range of exchange-traded products (ETPs) and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This includes a multi-crypto ETF (the first of its kind) and ETPs comprising digital assets and securities from various sectors, including the energy industry. Crypto.com will provide the underlying technology, custodial solutions, and crypto asset management services.
In the second half of March, the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant rebound, reigniting optimism among traders. However, historical analysis suggests that the crypto market often moves contrary to mainstream expectations. When bullish sentiment—such as the phrase “To the Moon”—becomes widespread on social media, it may signal an impending price drop. Conversely, when negative sentiments like “Crypto is dead” or “Bitcoin is a scam” become dominant, this could indicate a potential price surge.
Therefore, investors should pay close attention to market sentiment and exercise caution in their decision-making. Recognizing that markets may move against the prevailing consensus can help in formulating more strategic investment approaches.
NZDCHF: Bear Trap & Pullback From Support 🇳🇿🇨🇭
It looks like we have a bearish trap on NZDCHF after
a test of a key daily support.
The price went way below that but recovered steadily,
forming a double bottom pattern.
A formation of a bullish imbalance candle on an hourly
indicate a very likely bullish movement.
Goal - 0.5035
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SUPERUSDT P: Analyzing the Pattern of Explosive GainsAnalyzing SUPERUSDT P's historical cycles with gains ranging from 236% to 361% over consistent time intervals. Key support and resistance zones identified for potential entries and exits:
Entry Strategy: Accumulate near strong support zones ($0.50 - $0.53) after correction phases.
Exit Strategy: Target resistance levels between $1.20 - $1.75 for potential profits based on previous price action.
Tracking volume surges and cyclical trends for optimal timing.
EU LONG SETUP UPDATEJust a small update on my long setup. Last week we closed below the previous week's low without taking the high and that's all I need to consider it a valid pullback. This week onwards I would expect price to eventually continue going higher towards that the weekly liquidity.
On the daily timeframe we can either start going higher following lower time frame structure but if we go lower and create a new internal range I will wait for price to give bullish internal structure before targeting the weekly high.
SPY $545 Downtrend ContinuesSymbol: SPY
Timeframe: 30-minute chart (for your analysis)
Bias: Short (after the anticipated bounce)
Prediction: I anticipate a short-term bounce in SPY from Friday's sell-off towards the upper level of the weekly regression channel, around 560. I plan to look for a short entry at this level, expecting the price to then continue its downtrend towards the monthly regression channel support around 545.
Analysis:
Weekly Trend Channel (Blue Double Lines): The blue double lines on my chart represent a weekly trend channel for SPY. This channel was determined by performing a linear regression on the price action over the past week. The upper and lower boundaries of the channel are set at two standard deviations away from this linear regression line. This method helps to identify the statistically probable range within which the price is likely to trade over the weekly timeframe.
Monthly Trend Channel (Yellow Double Lines): Similarly, the yellow double lines indicate a monthly trend channel. This channel is derived from a linear regression of SPY's price action over the past month, with the boundaries set at two standard deviations. I expect SPY to eventually find support within this monthly channel, with the lower boundary currently around the 545 level. This is my primary downside target.
Recent Price Action and Anticipated Bounce: The aggressive 2% downtrend on Friday likely pushed SPY towards the lower end of the weekly channel, potentially creating oversold conditions in the short term. I am anticipating a bounce from this sell-off towards the upper boundary of the weekly channel, which I estimate to be around 560. This level is expected to act as resistance.
Short Entry Opportunity: I will be closely watching price action around the 560 level, which coincides with the upper boundary of the weekly regression channel. If I observe signs of rejection or bearish confirmation at this resistance, I will look to enter a short position.
Contributing Factors: President Trump's aggressive tariff policies continue to contribute to market uncertainty and the overall bearish sentiment, supporting the technical outlook for further downside.
Conclusion:
I am predicting a short-term bounce in SPY to approximately 560, which aligns with the upper level of the weekly regression channel. I will be looking for a short entry at this level with the expectation of a subsequent move down towards the monthly regression channel support around 545. This strategy aims to capitalize on a potential retracement within the established downtrend, guided by regression-based trend channels and influenced by fundamental concerns regarding tariff policies.
Disclaimer: This is my personal analysis and not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
Skeptic | EURCHF: Trend Strength or Weakness? Trade SetupsWelcome back, guys! 👋I'm Skeptic.
Today, I’m bringing you a multi-time frame analysis of EURCHF , including both long and short triggers, along with a few educational tips. Let's dive in!
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🕰️ Daily Time Frame Analysis:
After a solid accumulation phase and breaking above resistance, we've successfully shifted the trend to uptrend . Given the major trend direction, it's better to focus on long positions .
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⏳ 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Following the uptrend, we've formed a bullish ascending triangle, indicating a potential continuation. You might think that the RSI downtrend signals trend weakness, but here’s the key point:
- Lack of follow-through on the downside shows trend strengt h. If it was genuine weakness, we’d have seen a sharp downward move already.
This makes the bias towards long positions stronger .
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🚀 Long Setup:
After breaking the resistance at 0.9649 7, we can consider a long position. A breakout of the RSI trendline to the upside would be an extra confirmation.
📉 Short Setup:
To go short, we first need a breakdown from the ascending triangle, followed by a break below the key support at 0.95726.
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🎯 Target Setting:
You can use the height of the triangle or your own support/resistance levels to set targets. I’m not here to tell you where to place your stop loss or take profit since that heavily depends on your strategy, stop size, and R/R ratio.
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💬 Final Thoughts:
I always provide the key levels and setups, but it's up to you to adapt them to your own strategy.
Thanks for sticking around until the end of this analysis.
See you on the next one!💪🔥
NIFTY still looks weak! As expected NIFTY still seems to be consolidating between our levels and yet to decide its upcoming trend but looking at global cues, we can expect NIFTY to open weak but the zones could act as a strong demand and supply done hence till NIFTY sustains below our above either zones, the trend will not be confirmed so wait for proper setups and confirmations and plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
12/23/24 - PFE: new BUY mechanical signal.12/23/24 - PFE: new BUY signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system.
PFE - BUY
Stop Loss @ 24.80
Entry BUY @ 26.71
Target Profit @ 29.54
Analysis:
1. On the Higher timeframe - Prices have stayed above the lower channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Channel
2. Higher timeframe - Trader Vic's (Victor Sperandeos) 1-2-3/2B Buy pattern...where the lowest current bottom breakout price is greater than the preceding bottom price
1/21/25 - RIGL: new BUY mechanical trading signal.1/21/25 - RIGL: new BUY signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system.
RIGL - BUY
Stop Loss @ 16.25
Entry BUY @ 21.81
Target Profit @ 27.80
Analysis:
Higher timeframe: Prices have stayed above the lower channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Keltner Channel and reversed.
Higher timeframe: Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic) classic 1-2-3 BUY pattern...where the current lowest bottom breakout price is greater than the preceding bottom price.
Higher timeframe: Price peaked below the ATR (Average True Range) breakout low and then reversed.
IAG Stock Took some heat! Is there anything to take here?🟢SeekingPips🟢 has this on the radar.
⭐️ Have your levels ready and wait for your A+⭐️ Setup.
ℹ️ Our levels are here marked out.
I have ZERO interest in taking a position here however a deeper sell-off and I will start paying attention.❗️
⚠️ ALERTS set and LEVELS marked.
🟢Now go away and ENJOY your WEEKEND and lets HURRY UP AND WAIT and lets see what NEXT WEEK has for us👍