"BTC 30M Breakdown - Reversal Cooking?"Major HH just got taken out with a clean punch to the upside - but the game ain't over. Liquidity is stacked at the top, price consolidating like it's getting ready to reverse. I'm watching closely for that SSL/IDM sweep to tap into the 30M OB sitting below.
If price respects the OB and doesn't blow through, I'm hunting that CHoch flip for sniper entries on the reversal. Simple play. Clear intent. Execution time coming soon.
#BTCUSD #SmartMoney #CHoCH #LiquiditySweep #OrderBLock #30MPrecision #4HFrameControl
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Euro’s 1.13 Lifeline: Can ECB Rate Cuts Outweigh Hawkish Holds? EUR/USD stabilised near 1.1275 amid mixed signals: the ECB’s rate-cut bets (driven by Eurozone inflation at 2.2%)* vs. the Fed’s "higher-for-longer" stance. Traders await U.S. jobless claims and German industrial data to break the stalemate.
GBPUSD - Pound’s Resilience TestedThe BoE cut rates by 25 bps to 4.25% with a rare split vote (7-2), while the Fed held rates steady at 4.50%, amplifying policy divergence. GBP/USD fluctuated between 1.32121 and 1.34028 closing at 1.33034 as traders weighed UK GDP upgrades against Fed inflation warnings.
"BTC 4H Playbook Unfolding..."Price just broke a major LH, flashing bullish intent and confirming we're in IDM collection mode. I'm eyeing that clean 4H OB for a sweet mitigation and internal structure alignment. If we snag that 30M CHoCH after the liquidity sweep, I'm executing. Precision, patience, and pressure. Let's work.
#SmartMoney #BTCUSD #PriceAction #4Hto30MFlow #TraderLife
Dow Jones - Fed’s ‘No-Cut’ Gamble BackfiresDespite Disney’s heroics, the Dow closed the week at $41,376 (-0.20%), weighed by Fed Chair Powell’s warning that tariffs could spike inflation and unemployment. Barclays’ “mild recession” forecast added pressure, while utilities (XLU +6.9% YTD) emerged as safe havens.
Nasdaq -Bitcoin’s $104K Frenzy Steals Nasdaq’s ThunderAs Bitcoin surged to $104,350 (up 9.5% weekly), retail traders pivoted to crypto, leaving Nasdaq’s momentum muted despite Lyft’s 21% pop on buyback news .
Going forward, I will be interested to see if Nasdaq is lagging behind Bitcoin and we can see bullish price action up into premium PD arrays.
$6 Trillion Rollercoaster: Trade War Jitters Clash With FedThe index swung wildly as Trump’s 145% China tariffs and hints of an 80% reduction collided with Fed Chair Powell’s cautious stance on rates. Despite a midweek rally, the S&P 500 ( NYSE:ES ) closed the week down 0.46% at $5,684 reflecting investor paralysis ahead of U.S.- China trade talks.
Dollar Plunge To 97.921: Trump’s Tariff Tsunami Erodes DollarDollar Index fell to 97.921, its lowest since April 2025, as Trump’s aggressive tariffs on critical minerals and China trade retaliation spooked investors.
Analysts warn the dollar’s status as a reserve currency is under threat, with foreign holdings of U.S. assets declining sharply.
However in the short-term, dollar might see appreciation up into premium PD arrays, namely the weekly fair value gap outlined.
US10Y - Yield Volatility Amid Fed Policy StanceThe 10-year Treasury yield fluctuated between 4.30% and 4.39% this week, closing at 4.382% on May 9.
The Federal Reserve maintained benchmark rates at 4.50%, dismissing pressure from the Trump administration for cuts. Chair Powell emphasised persistent inflationary risks and labor market stability, reinforcing a cautious "higher-for-longer" stance.
4.400% intermediate term buyside liquidity is a point of interest going forward.
Long trade
15min TF overview
1min TF entry
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📅 Date: Saturday, 10th May 2025
🕔 Time: 5:00 AM (LDN Session AM)
🔹 Entry Price: 2367.28
🔹 Profit Target: 2490.46 (+5.20%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 2363.65 (-0.15%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 33.83
Reason: Price reached a pivotal support level indicative of a buyside trade. Based on the narrative of supply and demand
1min TF
NZDCHF SHORtsEntry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.50000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 6.98
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Dow Jones Month of May Has Revealed Its Hand The first 10 days has trades in May and it has now shown its hand on what type of cycle this is. It is not a trending cycle nor a market maker cycle but a range bound cycle.
Just like in February, the Monthly open, in orange, is going to be major support until it breaks through it.
The purple line is May's FOMC release.
Look for a flush of the two equal lows and price to form a bottom slightly under the Monthly Open before a rally higher.
FOMC releases are used as MAJOR, MAJOR support and resistance levels. Expect May's FOMC level to do the same. Expect May's Monthly Open to be the price that price mean reverts around.
The average Monthly range is 3000 ticks. Using the Monthly open as roughly the 50% area, the range should be about 39,200-42,200
Below is a guide for upcoming daytrades and what to look for:
A layering into FOMC with the removal of the three lows. Two of which are suspended above the FOMC level
Major support trade where price flushes the lows under the Monthly Open and a rally back inside.
A short trade after price runs the highs of the two equal highs inside of the peak high.
Moral of the story?
Break out your range playbooks and fade every break. Look for highs and lows to be put in under/ over major swings. Price will run these levels.
USDCAD: Bullish Move Will Continue 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD will likely continue rising after a retest of a recently
broken significant daily resistance cluster.
A double bottom pattern formation on its retest provides
a strong intraday bullish confirmation.
Canadian fundamentals data strengthened buyers even more.
I think that the pair is going to reach 1.3955 level soon.
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Waiting for Altseason?Hey traders and investors!
🚀 Overview of the Altcoin Market without BTC & ETH (TOTAL3)
📊 Volume Analysis of TOTAL3:
Previous POC: $1.7 trillion — the level where volumes accumulated after the last rally and correction.
Current POC: $820 billion — the level where major volumes have concentrated over the past 5 weeks. This is 10% below the current market cap.
To the Previous POC: There's still 19% potential upside to reach the previous POC.
📈 What Does It Mean?
The shift in POC downwards suggests buyers are active at $820 billion, potentially forming a new support zone and a point for continued growth.
💬 What do you think — a signal for growth or just calm before another drop? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Wishing you profitable trades!
My Thoughts #006My Thoughts
Are that we still continuing with the bullish trend still waiting for a choch on the 4h demand zone to take my trade as illustrated...
We need to see the pair move from bearish to bullish trend in line with the overall trend
The pair could sell
use proper risk management
Let's do the most
Ethereum, ridiculously oversold - $2.5k soon - April 16th, 2025Currently Without Worries has a higher timeframe “short” opened on Ethereum since $3800. It was not popular. (see idea below - By the way, 32 likes 2.7k views? You want me to keep posting or not?! Like to let me know otherwise off I go!)
Corrections in price action are never in a straight line, just as within a bull market. At this moment in time on the above 8 day chart price action has not been this oversold since the bear market of 2018 with an RSI below 30. The mindset of sellers today is 100% emotional.
What should you expect?
A rally to $2500, which is market structure. This rally will draw in fresh exit liquidity and no doubt invite a number of spiteful public comments “You’re wrong!”.
Regardless, the chart is our News, a rejection from market structure will take price action down to the long anticipated forecast area of circa $700 (see below) and confirm the expected bull trap.
Ww
Ethereum $3800 short idea
Ethereum to $700 idea