Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Long trade
15min TF overview
Trade Overview: GC1! (Gold Futures) Long Position
Entry Price: 3468.9
Profit Target: 3509.6 (+1.17%)
Stop Loss: 3462.2 (–0.19%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 6.07
Target Liquidity High: 3509.8
🕔 Entry Time: 5:05 AM
📅 Date: Tuesday, 22nd April 2025
🌍 Session: London AM
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Trade Reasoning
Intraday Market Structure:
The 5-minute timeframe revealed a bullish internal break of structure, signalling a short-term reversal and favouring buy-side continuation. Price had formed a higher low, respecting bullish structure and suggesting accumulation.
Long trade
Trade Overview: Silver (Micro Futures) Long Position
Entry Price: 32.475
Profit Target: 32.825 (+1.08%)
Stop Loss: 32.375 (–0.31%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.05
🕔 Entry Time: 5:00 AM
📅 Date: Tuesday, 22nd April 2025
🌍 Session: London AM
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Target Liquidity High: 32.825
Entry followed a liquidity sweep below a recent low, clearing out sell-side participants. Price then reacted strongly, with a bullish engulfing candle signalling a shift in control.
Long trade
Trade Overview: DOGEUSDT Long Position
Entry Price: 0.15701
Profit Target: 0.16355 (+2.95%)
Stop Loss: 0.15520 (–1.16%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 2.54
🕒 Entry Time: 7:15 PM
📅 Date: Monday, 21st April 2025
🌏 Session: Tokyo PM
The 5-minute timeframe showed a bullish internal structure shift, suggesting a short-term reversal. Additionally, the lower wick rejection indicated buy-stop liquidity being cleared, likely squeezing out early long positions before the true move began.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Long From Support Explained
There is a high chance that WTI Crude Oil will go up
from the underlined key daily support.
As a confirmation, the price violated both a neckline of an inverted
head & shoulders pattern and a resistance line of a falling wedge
on an hourly time frame.
Goals: 63.780 / 64.275
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GBP/USD London Session
📌 Timeframe:1H
📌 Bias: Bullish
📌 Key Levels:
- Sell-side Liquidity Target: 1H SIBI at 1.33930
- Bullish Entry Zone: Consequent Encroachment of the imbalance
- Final Target: 1.34300
Market Context & Analysis
- Asian Session Recap: Price opened and traded higher, leaving behind a **1H SIBI**, which was later tapped into.
- Liquidity Sweep: Price made a higher high before pulling back, now targeting sell-side liquidity at 1.33930.
- Bullish Setup Plan: Expecting price to sweep the **sell-side liquidity**, tap into the Consequent Encroachment of the imbalance, and confirm bullish momentum.
- Final Target: Anticipating a rally toward 1.34300, which aligns with a strong resistance level.
Execution Strategy
1. Wait for Price Action Confirmation
- Look for bullish rejection wicks or strong engulfing candles at the Consequent Encroachment zone.
- Avoid early entries; wait for liquidity grab and clear directional shift.
2. Entry & Stop-Loss Considerations
- Ideal Entry: Once bullish confirmations are observed post-liquidity sweep.
- Stop-Loss: Below the recent **liquidity sweep low** to ensure risk protection.
3. Risk-to-Reward & Position Management
- Aim for R:R ratio of at least 1:3, securing partial profits as price approaches 1.34300
- Monitor market conditions and adjust if necessary based on order flow dynamics.
GOLD (XAU/USD) : Finally time for a correction Technical Analysis:
1.) Elliott Wave 5-wave impulse is complete.
2.) RSI is overbought (typically >70 on most platforms) — this often signals a momentum slowdown and coming reversal.
Thus,
The Market is likely about to shift into corrective mode → A-B-C pullback, as you’ve sketched.
Market Psychology:
At Wave (5) + Overbought RSI, the psychology is typically:
Retail traders rush to buy the top.
Smart money prepares to exit or short.
Trigger events (fundamental catalysts) are only needed for acceleration, not for reversal to start.
Long trade
15min overview
Trade Overview: SOLUSDT Long Position
Entry Price: 138.794
Profit Target: 141.053 (+1.63%)
Stop Loss: 138.510 (–0.20%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 7.95
🕐 Entry Time: 1:00 AM (Tue, 22nd April 2025)
🗺 Session: Late NY Session / Tokyo AM Session
⏱ Observed Timeframe entry: 5-Minute TF
Trade Reasoning
Buy-Side Liquidity Targeted: Entry followed a liquidity sweep beneath a short-term low, triggering buy-side momentum from resting orders.
US30 bearish play setting upThe hourly chart is in a downtrend, and we are at that trend line.
On the 15m chart, the momentum of buyers has slowed down to the point where sellers hit it hard as shown by the black arrow.
We want to see the "Last strong buyer" failing to make a new high (or creating a fake high), retesting the horizontal and price falling out of bed.
Waiting for the retest is best but price might not retest before dropping.
USDJPY SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Weekly EMA retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 146.500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.99
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
NZDCAD SHORT Market Structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Weekly EMA retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure point
Around Psychological Level 0.82500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.31
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Gold or Bitcoin - Which is the better hedge for 2024?Short answer: Bitcoin
By the year end Bitcoin shall enjoy stronger gains. That is despite the 2-week Gravestone DOJI candle now currently printing on Bitcoin, which makes you wonder… what heinous price action awaits gold bugs?
On the above 3-day chart a ratio of Gold/Bitcoin is shown. If this ratio is downtrending (it is), Bitcoin will be worth more than Gold with each passing week and vice versa.
A Death Cross has now printed on the above 3-day chart after broken market structure. Expect the ratio to climb to confirm past support as resistance.
The 3-day death cross is significant. Look left. The last 3-day death cross printed on March 2016 (below). Gold lost 99% of its value against Bitcoin from that time. Now I’m not saying that is going to repeat, however the point would be that a 3-day death cross is not something you ignore.
Ww
3-day Death cross March 2016
Last year (2023) and the years before the same question:
Which is the better hold for preserving ones wealth?
In 2023, it was Bitcoin.
2023 idea
In 2022, it was Gold. Idea below. Bitcoin correction throughout 2022 made Gold the only option during the bear market.
2022 Idea
XAUUSD - When will the gold trend reverse?!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. A downward correction of gold towards the demand zone will provide us with the next buying position with a good risk-reward ratio. We expect a fluctuation of $10-15 in each range.
The global gold market has experienced notable shifts in trade flows following the removal of retaliatory tariffs on metals imposed by the Trump administration. According to data, a significant portion of gold that had been moved to New York since December is now being returned to Switzerland, its original destination.
Swiss customs data reveals that gold imports from the United States surged to 25.5 metric tons in March—the highest level in 13 months—up from just 12.1 tons in February. In contrast, gold exports from Switzerland to the U.S. dropped by 32%, falling to 103.2 tons.
For the first time in over 14 months, Comex-approved warehouses, part of the CME Group, have recorded consistent outflows of gold. These outflows indicate a reduction in U.S. futures premiums and a decline in trader anxiety following the removal of tariffs.
Switzerland has once again emerged as the primary destination for gold leaving American vaults, reaffirming its central role in global gold refining and logistics. Nevertheless, a portion of the gold stored in U.S. warehouses continues to serve as a hedge against market uncertainties.
In an average year, the U.S.consumes around 115 metric tons of gold in the form of physical coins and bars. Current data suggests that kilobar inventories held in CME warehouses are sufficient to meet this demand for nearly 12 years.
The gold market remains heavily influenced by geopolitical and economic factors. These developments highlight Switzerland’s importance in refining and transportation, as well as the United States’ significant role in gold storage and resource management.
Meanwhile, a growing number of economic forecasts are warning that the U.S. may be entering a period of “stagflation”—a situation characterized by stagnating economic growth coupled with persistently high inflation. Tariffs have the potential to drive up consumer prices while simultaneously slowing growth, placing financial pressure on households, particularly if the labor market deteriorates.
Central banks face serious challenges in responding to stagflation through monetary policy, as efforts to address one side of the issue often exacerbate the other. Even if the U.S. economy avoids a recession triggered by tariffs, many economists foresee rising risks of a painful stagflationary period.
While economic experts remain divided on whether former President Trump’s trade wars will ultimately tip the economy into recession, a large number of recent forecasts underscore the increasing threat of prolonged inflation combined with sluggish growth. Numerous analysts, including Federal Reserve officials, argue that tariffs are likely to hamper economic expansion and weaken the labor market, all while elevating consumer prices.
However, Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel Financial, is among those who believe the labor market and consumers remain resilient enough to help the economy steer clear of a full-blown recession—assuming recently announced tariffs are eventually scaled back.