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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

ES Trade Idea: Key Levels and Strategies Amid Macro UncertaintyCME_MINI:ES1! ES futures opened with a gap down on Sunday. With numerous macro headlines, President Donald Trump’s comments on the Fed’s decision last week, and ongoing trade war tariffs, traders may struggle to distinguish what truly matters for the markets from the noise. In our opinion, do not let macro headlines cloud your judgement. Have a trade plan and be ready to adjust with market conditions and volatility. One way to mitigate risk is by utilizing micro CME contracts , allowing for more precise risk management during volatile market conditions. Additionally, you can participate in the CME and TradingView paper trading competition, giving you the opportunity to test your skills in The Leap without risking real money. Remember, it's NFP week, and several other key economic data releases are also on the calendar. In our view, it is important to zoom out and reduce key levels on your charts to ones that are significant. Key Levels: Key levels represent areas of interest and zones of active market participation. The more significant a key level, the closer we monitor it for potential reactions and trade setups in alignment with our trading plan. (mcVAH) micro composite value area high: 6,134.25 Key LIS/Yearly Open: 5,949.25 (mcVAL) micro composite value area low: 5,914.25 (CVAH) Composite Value Area High: 5,924 Scenario 1: Long above Key LIS Our key LIS is still Yearly open as it was discussed in last week’s idea. We are looking for long trade setups at this level. Scenario 2: Short below Key LIS If the price moves lower and holds below a key level, we will look for short trade setups targeting our green support zones on the chart from mcVAL and CVAH confluence.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by EdgeClear
CL Trade Idea: Key Levels & Strategies Amid VolatilityNYMEX:CL1! With Trade War 2.0 unfolding, managing risk in futures trading is more crucial than ever. One way to mitigate risk is by utilizing micro CME contracts , allowing for more precise risk management during volatile market conditions. Additionally, you can participate in the CME and TradingView paper trading competition, giving you the opportunity to test your skills in The Leap without risking real money. Crude Oil Futures: It’s the start of a new month. We saw our last week’s idea “scenario 1” partially play out before prices pulled back higher towards our neutral LIS. As mentioned above, it is our opinion that current situations and macro news may result in heightened volatility, so it is important to trade what you see and not what you think. Do not get fixated on your view on the market. Be ready to shift and adapt as the markets evolve on the hard right edge. Instead of recapping and presenting a macro update today, we will shift our focus on the charts. Looking purely at price, time, volume, and key levels to create a plan for the week. Key Levels to Watch Key levels represent areas of interest and zones of active market participation. The more significant a key level, the closer we monitor it for potential reactions and trade setups in alignment with our trading plan. Micro Composite Value Area High (mCVAH) January 2025 : 76.00 January 2025 mid- range: 74.96 February Monthly Open: 74.14 Micro Composite Value Area Low (mCVAL) January 2025 : 71.82 Yearly Open: 70.52 2024 Mid- Range: 70.40 Scenario 1: Rejection confirmation at January 2025 Mid Price has attempted to push above January 2025 mid and was rejected. This was a key level of interest to validate longs in our last week’s trade plan. Rejection of this level and price now below monthly open. There is room for prices to shift lower towards mcVAL Jan 2025 and test of key bull support at yearly open and 2024 mid range. Scenario 2: mcVAL 2025 to act as intermediate support If we see this level hold, in our opinion, Crude oil may be establishing a new range capped within mcVAH and mcVAL Jan 2025 until we see a break of either side. That said, intra day volatility may increase with headline news impacting prices. As always it is paramount to manage your risk as losses are an inherent part of trading. What are you focusing on amid all the headline news? We'd love to hear your thoughts!
NYMEX:CL1!
by EdgeClear
XAUUSD Gold: After correction, a new ATH?The XAUUSD rose to a high of 2786 on Friday, only 30 pip down than the previous all-time high (ATH). Bulls may be able to enter the market at more advantageous times because the price is currently in a correction phase. The area around 2740 is a key confluence support and may be a desirable entry point. The end of the correction and the possibility of a new ATH would be signaled by a reversal from this region and a break back above 2760. However, the positive view would be halted and caution would be advised going forward if the daily close fell below 2740.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by NexusTradesZone
AUDNZD - 29 Jan 2025 SetupAUDNZD Market structure are making N pattern on the market structure with strong Bearish drop. Spotted supply area on H4 Timeframe (Red Rectangle). its a good structure after the price creating a new Low breaking our last bearish structure to the downside. Entry Position : Short Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line) Stop Loss : Slightly above supply area (Red Line) Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea. Thanks Coffee Trade Team
Short
by CoffeeTrade_Official
XAU/USD 03 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned in my analysis dated 31 January 2025, price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS which was in-line with previous analysis. Price had printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation, I also mentioned that I would monitor price. Price did not pull back deep enough, therefore, I will apply discretion and ignore the previous CHoCH. Price continued bullish before pulling back, printing another bearish CHoCH. Price also traded down to discount of 50% EQ, therefore, we are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,817.215. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Similar to H4 TF you will note an iBOS which is marked in red. I have again applied my discretion as price did not pull back enough to substantiate a further bullish iBOS which would have significantly narrowed the internal range relative to recent price action. Price continued bullish and pulled back, printing a bearish CHoCH which continued bearish to discount of 50% internal EQ. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,817.215 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
HSI is about to have a 2000 points trend continuation ? 1. Trade war priced-in since November when Trump wins. it's still within sideways range bound and did not drop to September low. 2. China’s AI catch up play: US AI related stocks has been risen ALOT last 2 yrs. Funds likely to take some profit as valuation not attractive and US LLMs functionality not a lot better than those Chinese LLMs, also Chinese LLM has cost advantage for commercial- hence global money will bet some in China AI (Imo, It is beyond the foreigner's expectation for AI in China to catch up that quick. ） 3. US is rising uncertainty short term (USD liquidity + Debt and deficit issue + vulnerability of US treasuries + DOGE job cuts + trade war), with US relatively high valuation, the global money demands more return (China is the most hated market last few years and it is market good for short term speculative) which is attractive for global funds to allocate more to China and weight less on US, as I think US is going for a pull back in short term. 4. Retracement from top seems to be able to hold at this current level of 19000-20000 and did not continue to fall further, now testing weekly MA 200 level, I think it is likely to go across in near term. (or test back 19300 level and back up again) I think it is nice to open position for short term speculation as the risk reward is attractive. Need to watch out how the weekly candle plays out though. Long term China fundamental debt deflation issue still remains and china chose strong RMB over reflating the economy.
HSI:HSILong
by Heidiii_F
1
Incoming 50% correction for NVIDIA to $50Patiently we waited and finally it has happened.It was the month of January 2025 when this immense bubble would break support. 2 years after it first confirmed in September 2022. A number of reasons now exist for a bearish outlook. Look left. On the above 5 week chart: 1) Price action and RSI support breakouts. 2) RSI support confirms resistance on past support. 3) Looking left previous corrections were at least 50% from the support exit, that’s $50 today should that repeat. 4) Looking left the chart suggests this correction is over after 210 days. In other words August 10th presents a unique long term investment opportunity. Is it possible price action continues upward trend? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by without_worries
50
Bitcoin - Bitcoin lost $100,000?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin’s upward correction and its placement in the supply zone will allow us to resell it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. In the past trading week, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw an inflow of $560 million, though this represents a significant decline compared to the previous two weeks. Meanwhile, as of January 31, 2025, U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a minor outflow of $45 million, though this decline was not particularly drastic. At the same time, Standard Chartered Bank has advised investors in a new research note to view Bitcoin’s drop below $100,000 and the over 6% single-day decline in the crypto market as a buying opportunity. Jeff Kendrick, Head of Digital Asset Research at Standard Chartered, stated: “Hope is not a strategy.” He further explained: “When hope disappears, digital asset prices tend to fall by 10% to 20%.” Despite recent market volatility, Standard Chartered remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s price trajectory in 2025. The bank’s research suggests that growing institutional interest could accelerate Bitcoin’s potential surge to $200,000 by the end of the year. Last week, Donald Trump fulfilled two key promises to the crypto industry: 1. Granting clemency to Ross Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road, who is regarded as a symbolic figure among Bitcoin and libertarian communities. 2.Signing an executive order on cryptocurrencies, which aims to enhance regulatory transparency for digital assets, promote stablecoins, prevent the debanking of the crypto sector, and ban the creation of a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). In parallel, Jeff Kendrick of Standard Chartered also warned investors to pay close attention to altcoins, referring to cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin that are expected to experience significant growth in the coming year. He stated: “As soon as we enter the second phase, in my view, the altcoin season will begin.” Kendrick further noted that institutional flows will primarily drive Bitcoin and Ethereum investments, partially offsetting the rotation into altcoins. Responding to the growing interest in Bitcoin and Solana, MetaMask is planning to expand beyond Ethereum. The company is currently working on integrating Bitcoin functionality while simultaneously exploring decentralized finance (DeFi) opportunities across multiple blockchain ecosystems. Meanwhile, Texas Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick has identified the establishment of a state Bitcoin reserve as a top priority for 2025. Texas, already a pioneer in adopting Bitcoin at the state level, continues on this path despite challenges at the national level. If the proposal is approved, Texas will become the first U.S. state to hold Bitcoin as a financial reserve on its balance sheet, a move that could accelerate Bitcoin adoption within the U.S. financial system.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
NAS100 - Tariff War, the scourge of the stock market?!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index corrects towards the indicated trend line, we can look for the next short-term buying positions in Nasdaq. The Nasdaq being in the demand range will provide us with the conditions to buy it with a reasonable reward to risk. While the world remained focused on the first week of the Trump administration, a relatively unknown Chinese startup shocked the tech industry last week by releasing an open-source AI tool. This tool, developed with significantly fewer resources and at a much lower cost than its American counterparts like ChatGPT, has managed to match and, in some cases, surpass its U.S. rivals. The startup, DeepSeek, has gone even further by making its tool freely available for download. Only those who wish to use the company’s API, which allows seamless integration with existing applications, are required to pay a fee—amounting to just 3% of the cost of competing tools. Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order on Saturday imposing sweeping tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China. He pressured these nations to curb the flow of fentanyl and illegal immigrants from Mexico and Canada into the U.S.—a move that could reignite inflation and hinder global economic growth. In response, Mexico and Canada, two of the U.S.‘s largest trading partners, immediately vowed to impose retaliatory tariffs. China, on the other hand, announced that it would challenge Trump’s decision at the World Trade Organization (WTO) and take additional “countermeasures.” Under three executive orders, starting Tuesday, imports from Mexico and Canada will be subject to a 25% tariff, while Chinese goods will face a 10% levy. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau responded by stating that Canada will impose a 25% tariff on $30 billion worth of U.S. goods starting Tuesday, followed by an additional $125 billion in tariffs three weeks later. Trudeau warned that these tariffs would increase grocery and fuel costs for American consumers, potentially shut down auto assembly plants, and restrict the supply of nickel, potash, uranium, steel, and aluminum. He also urged Canadians to avoid traveling to the U.S. and boycott American products. As investors looked for clarity from this week’s Federal Reserve meeting, Wall Street was left uncertain, now anticipating that the Fed will likely keep rates unchanged until late in the year.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
STRONG UPTREND FORMING UPGood day traders, as we can see that AUDCAD has high Market volatility and the current trend is really clear but we can see Bulls have the advantage A Change of Character(trend) occurred and we can see a NEW HIGH formed, giving us a sign bulls might be in control The best move would be to wait for the market to break above the NEW HIGH and wait for a retest that will confirm that buyers indeed took over the market and are in control, meaning we can BUY but if it breaks below the Major low, then it means this set up failed and sellers are taking over
Long
by StarleXtheTrader