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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

EURUSD 3-7 Mar 2025 W10 - Weekly Analysis- EU Rate - US NFP WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 3-7 Mar 2025 W10 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment The EUR/USD pair faces a slightly bearish bias this week, driven by key economic events, geopolitical risks, and trade uncertainties. Key Events to Watch: 🔹 ECB Interest Rate Decision (March 6) – Markets expect a 25 bps rate cut to 2.50%. A dovish ECB could pressure the euro, while any hints of a pause may provide support. 🔹 U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (March 7) – Forecast at +133K jobs, with unemployment steady at 4.0%. Weak data could weigh on the USD, while stronger payrolls and wage growth may boost it. 🔹 Trump’s Tariffs & Trade War Risks – New U.S. tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China take effect March 4, with potential auto tariffs on Europe looming. These policies favor the dollar by driving risk-off sentiment. 🔹 Geopolitical Tensions – U.S.-Ukraine relations deteriorated after a public Oval Office clash between Trump and Zelenskiy. Further instability could impact investor confidence and increase safe-haven demand for the USD. Trading Strategy: ✅ Bearish Scenario: A dovish ECB, strong U.S. NFP, and escalating trade risks could push EUR/USD down. ✅ Bullish Scenario: If the ECB signals a rate-cut pause and U.S. jobs data disappoint, EUR/USD may test 1.055–1.06 . Overall, the fundamental backdrop leans in favor of the USD, but volatility is expected, especially around the ECB and NFP releases. Traders should stay alert to geopolitical developments and tariff announcements that may shift sentiment. Weekly Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Internal Bearish (Pullback Phase) 🔹In Swing Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS) 3️⃣ 🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase. 🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicated that the liquidity was enough as per previous weeks analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS. 🔹Price pulled back after the Bullish CHoCH to the Weekly Demand formed and showed reaction after volatile week. 🔹With the previous week Bearish close, weekly is consolidating between 1.05xx and 1.02xx 🔹Still the recent Bullish Fractal and Demand holding but failed to break the high (1.0533) so there is a probability to target the low 1.0285/10 and could extend to continue the Bearish INT Structure with iBOS. Daily Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone. 3️⃣ 🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone. 🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low. 🔹Price failed for the 2nd time to close below the Weak INT Low after mitigating the Daily Demand formed from the failure to close below the Weak INT Low which triggered aggressive Bullish reaction and mitigating the Daily Supply Zone formed from the recent Bearish CHoCH. 🔹After Supply mitigation, price continued Bearish following the Bearish INT Structure continuation phase. 🔹With the Weekly is consolidating the Daily consolidation range showing that we are failing to continue Bullish and with the recent Bearish CHoCH we are back to the Bearish INT Structure continuation and we may target the Weak INT Low (At least 1.0285). 🔹Price could pullback to the recent Daily Supply before continuing down. 🔹Expectation is set to Bearish with cautious of the Liq. built above 1.05333 and the range we are in. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand) 🔹INT Bearish (Adjusted my INT structure to align with the previous Bullish move) 🔹Complex Swing INT Structure 2️⃣ 🔹As the Swing is Bullish, expectations were set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High and create a Bullish BOS after the Deep Pullback to the Swing Demand. 🔹During the Swing Bullish Continuation after the Deep Pullback, INT Structure kept holding Bullish to fulfill the Bullish continuation phase. 🔹With price reaching the Swing Extreme Premium zone and the expectation of breaking the Weak Swing High, price failed 2 times and with the 3rd attempt it created a Bearish iBOS. This indicated that the Swing INT structure is Complex and the Daily/Weekly TFs are still in play. 3️⃣ 🔹After the Bearish iBOS, we expect PB, there is no clear POI for price to initiate PB except the Liq. at 1.03730 which was swept on Friday and 1.03173 before mitigating the last clear 4H Demand. 🔹With the recent Bearish iBOS, the PB could start at anytime. The Liq. swept from 1.0373 could provide that PB otherwise we will continue Bearish till the clear 4H Demand (Which I doubt that it could provide the continuation) but with LTF shifting Bullish, we can follow that. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
Xrp to the MOON? SeekingPips Long Buying XRPUSD ALL DAY!⭐️ Now today I have tons of messages asking me about XRP ⭐️ ❗️Ladies and gentlemen 🟢SeekingPips🟢 has been long bias for the past 4 years at least and especially long XRPUSD All year on this platform with plenty of before the fact TRADE CALLS .🚀🚀🚀 ✅️ Now you know I wanted another dip below the shaded area mentioned last week on Saturday 22 February. (Go Back & See For Yourself) ✅️ We got what we wanted and even a momentary sub $2 XRP I hope you were filled on your LIMIT ORDERS. ⚠️ My exact words were "Just for the records tho sub $2 I fill my pockets" ❓️NOW WHAT❔️ 🌍It's VERY EASY , knowing that over 90% of so called TRADERS LOOSE MONEY in the markets and ALSO that they ENTER THE MARKET IN A RUSH WITHOUT MUCH OF A PLAN but they will sit in a LOOSING POSITION for far TOO LONG and EVEN CLOSE THEIR POSITION as soon as they have a SLIGHT PROFIT.🌍 ℹ️ Your job can be VERY SIMPLE. With knowing the above all one has to do to CAPITALISE ON THIS INFORMATION is the EXACT OPPOSITE. ⚠️You DON'T HAVE TO BE A GENIUS to make MONEY in the market but you do have to HAVE A PLAN and ACT ON IT RELIGIOUSLY ⚠️
COINBASE:XRPUSDLong
by seekingpips
Price is reaching support levels - Bulls are about to take over.Price is mainly driven by wedges, We have a falling wedge on the weekly chart which hasn't been broken yet and we also seem to have an ascending wedge on the daily chart, which price has broken out of without forming a proper correction, And we also have an ascending wedge on the hourly time frames initiating a correction towards the broken daily wedge. I am expecting a rejection when price reaches current support levels, which could push the price higher for a proper correction before falling long term.
Long
by Mlando17
GBP/USD Kicking Off March 2025 and Ending Q1Monthly View: The February monthly candle closed bullish, remaining within the Buy Side Imbalance (BISI) formed in November, which is still being respected. Liquidity was swept in January, indicating that price is still being magnetized towards the imbalance and the level of 1.2800. I anticipate that price might trade below the monthly close before making an upward move. Weekly View: The weekly candle closed bearish and tapped into a weekly BISI at 1.2560, where a reaction could occur. My main focus is on the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 1.2550, which could act as the final support before targeting 1.2700 and possibly higher. Note that after recent meetings, the dollar strengthened, causing price to drop and leaving behind a daily sell-side inefficiency. I would like to see price fill this inefficiency before taking out liquidity at 1.2550 and 1.2800. Daily View: The daily FVG at 1.2550 is crucial and could be the final support level before targeting 1.2700 and potentially higher. 4-Hour View: There is a bearish FVG and liquidity at 1.2645, which might influence price movements. 1-Hour View: The 1-hour chart is heavily bearish and currently in a Sell Side Imbalance (SISI) that might drive the price lower at the open. I expect price to potentially take out 1.2550 and find support at 1.2530 before heading upwards. Keep an eye on upcoming news this week including nfp Key Levels to Watch: 1.2800 (monthly target) 1.2560 (weekly BISI) 1.2550 (daily FVG and potential support) 1.2645 (4-hour bearish FVG and liquidity) 1.2550 and 1.2530 (1-hour support levels)
Long
by hskarue
USD/JPY - Fresh Outlook for the WeekThe setup is lining up clean—(4H SSL swept), priming the market for bullish intent. My focus? (Buys on the 30M TF,) targeting either (4H internal supply ) or a full reach toward (4H highs). Game plan is simple: • Wait for the market to open. • Watch for bullish momentum and confirmation on the 30M TF. Now, (one thing to note)—we still have (untapped internal supply )from recent structure that could cause a reaction. But here’s what’s giving me conviction:( major 4H/12H SSL inducement has been taken,) signaling that price could push higher. At this point, it’s all about (letting price show its hand.) I’ll wait, watch, and (strike when the confirmations align. )Let’s see how it plays out. Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
S&P 500 (March 2025) - End of January AnalysisS&P breaks the two week winning streak, finishing 1% down in rough trading conditions as China’s AI push weights amid bevy of corporate reports. With the news being released by Donald Trump that 25% tariffs will be imposed on Mexico and Canada + 10% for China, this could be seen as a bullish signal for the stock index. But sometimes bullies don’t always get their way and we could be in for a short term retracement targeting the lows of October’s bullish order block @ $5,856 - $5,776
CME_MINI:ESH2025Short
by LegendSince
Gold to print historic 30% correction?On the above 2 week chart Gold price action has completed the much anticipated Cup and Handle forecast to $2700, which was where Without Worries dabbled with a “short” position and was promptly stopped out much to the bugs delight. Price action has rallied 180% since the 2016 lows, amazing. The increased Money supply / Money printing is the reason I’m often given for this historic rally. The facts are the money supply has increased 68% since the 2016 lows and not 180%, which would price an ounce at $1750 today. Now I know someone will be quick to comment my being selective with dates. To that end we can go back further, 18 years since that fits over the well understood business cycle, which is approaching its peak. Since 2007 money supply has increased 195% with Gold price action 400%. This is a bubble. This idea is not about fundamentals however, it is technical only. 1) Price action is in bubble territory. Look left, 50% above the 5 week Gaussian channel saw corrections of at least 30%. 2) Price action on the 2 week chart prints the strongest negative divergence since the positive divergence in December 2013 at 1190 an ounce. 3) The $2000 support breakout has never confirmed support. 4) On the weekly chart a bearish engulfing candle prints as price action enters the Bollinger Band. A correction to 2730 is now highly probable. Is it possible price action continues up? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww 5 week Gaussian channel Weekly bearish engulfing
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by without_worries
21
Weekly Edge – Week 09 Reflection & Prepping for Week 10### Weekly Edge – Week 09 Reflection & Prepping for Week 10 ## Market Overview & Higher Timeframe Structure ### Quarterly Chart – Bullish Expansion Continues - Q1 2025 remains bullish, trading above Q4 2024 and holding within the upper 50% of its overall range. - The last six consecutive quarters have printed higher highs and higher lows, demonstrating strong momentum and breakout behavior. ### Monthly Chart (February Close) – Key Points of Interest (POIs) - Imbalance POIs: - 2780 aligns with the October 2024 short-term high (2790). - 2730 serves as another imbalance level of interest. - November 2024 high at 2760 remains untested on the monthly chart. - Price Action Observations: - February closed above January, reinforcing bullish continuation. - Wick rejections at higher prices signal some resistance. - These POIs provide opportunities for long continuation trades and short-term targets for potential pullbacks before continuation. ## Weekly Chart – First Bearish Close of 2025 - Week 09 printed the first bearish weekly candle of the year, closing below the last two weekly periods and engulfing both. - Price traded into the weekly imbalance (2820–2860) and saw profit-taking into Friday’s close, showing intraday bullish sentiment. - Despite the bearish close, weekly structure remains bullish overall, with no confirmed trend reversal yet. ## Daily Chart – Initial Structural Shift - Break in structure to the downside: - The daily range low of 2860 was taken out, and price closed below it. - For a confirmed daily trend change from bullish to bearish, price needs to print a lower high followed by another lower low. - Short-Term Intraday Bias: - Looking for longs back into the recent consolidation range around 2860. - Watching for short setups from POIs within the range, particularly if price prints a lower high. ### Key POI for Shorts - 2900–2920 (Failed imbalance, now acting as an inversion level). - This area sits within the premium end of the recent bearish swing and aligns with the most recent 4H consolidation before expanding to new lows. ## March Trading Focus & Community Themes ### Scaling In Model Success - February’s execution of scaling in at springs and upthrusts worked well. ### Profit-Taking Optimization - March’s priority is to refine systematic exits, balancing drawdown control while letting winners run. ### Market Structure & Multi-Time Frame Analysis - Continuing to map structure across timeframes using hand-drawn charts. - Improving recognition of daily swing trades aligned with lower timeframe setups. ### Exit Strategy Refinement - Monitoring price action to develop clear exit rules. - Ensuring profits are protected while allowing strong trades to run. ## Looking Ahead – Key Plans for Week 10 - Monitoring longs off the weekly imbalance high (2860) back into the daily POI. - Tracking how price responds at 2900–2920 for potential short setups. - Continuing to develop and optimize scaling, exits, and market structure recognition in March. The focus remains on trading with clarity, confidence, and control. #WeeklyEdge #HandDrawnCharts #ScalingIn #MarketStructure #TradeExecution
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipsnPaper
BTCUSD: Bearish Pattern Meets Bullish Liquidity – What’s Next? 📉 Bearish Outlook on LTF On the 12H timeframe, a Head & Shoulders pattern is in play, with a projected target of $59,117.99 . This level aligns perfectly with the liquidity zone on the 4D chart, making it a key area of interest. 📈 Bullish Outlook on HTF If buyers step in at this liquidity zone ($58,890.48) , BTC could see a second retest of the higher timeframe range before potentially reclaiming bullish momentum toward $146,750.87 . 🔍 Smart Money Perspective: - A breakdown to GETTEX:59K confirms the Head & Shoulders pattern. - A strong reversal from liquidity could turn this move into a second retest , fueling a long-term uptrend. 🎯 What’s Next? Are we seeing a bearish continuation or the foundation for a massive reversal? Share your thoughts below!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ProcessAndIntercept
Stock Of The Day / 02.28.25 / DV02.28.2025 / NYSE:DV Fundamentals. Quarterly and annual earnings reports did not meet expectations. Technical analysis. Daily chart: All-time low of 16.11 is ahead. Premarket: Gap Down on moderate volume. Trading session: The price breaks through 16.11 at the opening of the trading session without any visible reaction, but on the pullback, we see a clear hold of the 15.90 level and a tightening to the level. We are considering a short trade to continue the primary impulse in case of holding 15.90. Trading scenario: #pullback along the trend (#false tightening) to the level of 15.90 Entry: 15.61 when the structure of the tightening to the level is broken. Stop: 15.95, we hide it behind the level with a small reserve. Exit: Close part of the position at 15.07 when the structure of the downtrend is broken. After that, the upward movement did not develop and the downtrend continued. Close the remaining part of the position at 14.09 when the structure of the downtrend is broken again. Risk Rewards: 1/3
NYSE:DVShort
by AlexX31
LONG ON GOLDGold has fell almost $100 or 1000 pips since Monday from its high. Its currently at a major demand level that was created 2/7/25 that caused it to rise $100 points to 2/24//25. History from 2/7/25 looks like it will be repeating itself. Dollar (DXY) looks bearish and PCE news comes out at 8:30 for Inflation which I believe will come out bad causing the dollar to tank and gold as well as the indices to rise. I will be buying gold looking to catch that $100 move or 1000pips. See you at the Top! OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BBIDF
2
GBPUSD Monthly close Feb Price Action Overview: Price broke out lower after sweeping Monday and Tuesday's high. President Trump's speech discussed a 25% tariff on EU exports to the US and uncertainties in the UK. This led to a stronger dollar, breaking the perceived Tuesday weekly low and making Wednesday the weekly high above @1.2700. Market Relationships: Trump and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer have maintained a good relationship, which might result in a beneficial bilateral agreement, potentially leading to a tariff-free exchange. Session Analysis: Asian session lows have already been taken out. Expectations are for the Asian highs to be reached after filling the imbalances left in the early London session @1.2590. Price will target the sell-side imbalance (SIBI) left on Thursday (yesterday) @1.2645, taking out yesterday’s NY highs. From that point, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data could move the price lower. Weekly and Monthly Outlook: Today is the final day of the week (bearish), which left a buy-side imbalance (BISI) unfilled @1.2560, which might be filled later. This is also the final day of the month (bullish). Keep in mind the PCE data release today. Confluence Analysis: The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) has made a higher high, while EURUSD has made a higher low, indicating a potential confluence and divergence. This confluence suggests that the price might run in the opposing direction shortly after, adding to the overall market dynamics.Price Action Overview: Price broke out lower after sweeping Monday and Tuesday's high. President Trump's speech discussed a 25% tariff on EU exports to the US and uncertainties in the UK. This led to a stronger dollar, breaking the perceived Tuesday weekly low and making Wednesday the weekly high above @1.2700. Market Relationships: Trump and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer have maintained a good relationship, which might result in a beneficial bilateral agreement, potentially leading to a tariff-free exchange. Session Analysis: Asian session lows have already been taken out. Expectations are for the Asian highs to be reached after filling the imbalances left in the early London session @1.2590. Price will target the sell-side imbalance (SIBI) left on Thursday (yesterday) @1.2645, taking out yesterday’s NY highs. From that point, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data could move the price lower. Weekly and Monthly Outlook: Today is the final day of the week (bearish), which left a buy-side imbalance (BISI) unfilled @1.2560, which might be filled later. This is also the final day of the month (bullish). Keep in mind the PCE data release today. Confluence Analysis: The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) has made a higher high, while EURUSD has made a higher low, indicating a potential confluence and divergence. This confluence suggests that the price might run in the opposing direction shortly after, adding to the overall market dynamics.
Long
by hskarue