Gold is expected to fall below 3300, continue to short gold!Fundamentals:
1. Pay attention to whether the geopolitical conflicts escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran, etc.
Technical aspects:
Although the gold price gradually rebounded after hitting 3320 points, the current rebound momentum is relatively weak. The gold price has turned from strong to weak, and the short-term "M"-shaped top structure formed by 3435 points and 3414 points above has suppressed the upward space of the gold price. Therefore, we still focus on shorting gold after the rebound. First, we focus on the resistance area of 3355-3365 points above. If the gold price rebound fails to successfully break through this area, the gold price will fall again and is expected to continue to fall to around 3280 points.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold after gold rebounds to the 3355-3365 area, target price: 3340
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Gold Long – Patience Paid OffBeen stalking this setup all session…
Price swept 30M liquidity and gave that clean CHoCH. I locked in once 5M confirmed with a juicy liquidity grab + OB mitigation. Classic SMC flow—no rush, just precision.
This is that type of move where you sit back and let the market come to you.
Entry locked, targeting those 30M highs.
Let’s ride this wave.
#XAUUSD #Gold #SMC #SmartMoney #Forex #Liquidity #OrderBlock #CHoCH #DayTrading #FundedTraderGrind
Bless Trading!
BTCUSD - Supply Zone Talkin' Heavy / 4H PerspectiveA lot of people screamin' bullish right now, but me? I let the charts talk louder than the crowd.
Marked up BTC off request, But you know I dont touch charts unless I see the logic. And right here? We sittin' pretty deep in a 4H supply zone, tapping into premium pricing. Higher timeframe context backs the area - Liquidity swept, inefficiences filled. You feel me?
Next step? I'm sliding down to the 30M mid timeframe, looking for that internal shift in structure - that clean CHoch to the downside . Once I get that confirmation, it's game on.. Anticipating a sell - side reaction, not just off hope, but off logic and precision.
I aint here to guess, I'm to execute. until the buyers show me dominance with structure, i'm bearish - biased and patient.
Let's see if BTC repsects the zone......
Otherwise? We adapt and flip the narrative like a real techician.
Let the market talk. I just translate.
- #SMC #BTCUSD #SmartMoneyTrader #PriceAction
#SupplyZone #CHoCHLoading #TrustTheProcess
Gold in a Range — Caution for BuyersHey traders and investors!
On the daily timeframe, gold remains in a sideways range (marked by black lines).
The seller's initiative is still active and hasn't reached its target yet.
A seller zone has formed — highlighted by a red rectangle on the chart.
It’s better to look for buy setups around 3260 and 3201-3167.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
5/8/25 - UL: new SELL mechanical trading signal.5/8/25 - UL: new SELL signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system.
UL - SELL SHORT
Stop Loss @ 65.43
Entry SELL SHORT @ 62.58
Target Profit @ 56.37
Analysis:
Higher timeframe: Prices have stayed below the upper channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Keltner Channel and reversed.
Higher timeframe: Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic) classic 1-2-3/2B SELL pattern...where the current highest top breakout price is less or only slightly peaking higher than the preceding top price.
Stock Of The Day / 05.08.25 / ADMA05.08.2025 / NASDAQ:ADMA
Fundamentals. Negative earnings report
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Pullback on an uptrend. We mark the level of 18.80 formed by the trend break in April 2025.
Premarket: Gap Down on moderate volume.
Trading session: The downward movement from the opening of the trading session is stopped at the level of 18.80. After the first touch of the level, the price makes a small pullback and forms an accumulation above the level of 19.00. We are considering a long trade in the countertrend in case of holding the level of 19.0.
Trading scenario: #rebound from the level of 19.00
Entry: 19.38 when exiting upward from the accumulation above the level.
Stop: 18.96 we hide it below the level with a small reserve.
Exit: We observe a strong impulse movement without a trend structure. It is optimal to cover such movements in parts upon reaching certain risk-rewards targets (1/3, 1/4, etc.) with subsequent tightening of the stop. Cover the last part of the position at a price of 21.36 upon the appearance of a reversal candlestick pattern.
Risk Rewards: 1/4
P.S. In order to understand the idea of the Stock Of The Day analysis, please read the following information .
US500 - Which way will the stock market go?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, one can look for further S&P buy positions with a good risk-reward ratio.
In its meeting last night, the U.S. Federal Reserve decided to keep the federal funds rate steady within the 4.25% to 4.50% range. This decision comes amid growing concerns about simultaneous rises in inflation and unemployment, particularly driven by the tariff policies of the Trump administration.
This marks the third consecutive time this year that the Fed has held rates unchanged, reflecting mounting economic uncertainty and fears of stagflation.Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned that the combination of high inflation, slow economic growth, and rising unemployment could lead the economy into stagflation. He noted that newly imposed tariffs could delay the disinflation process for up to a year or more.
The Trump administration has introduced steep tariffs, including a 145% levy on imports from China. These measures have contributed to rising prices and slower economic growth, placing additional strain on monetary policymakers.
Following the Fed’s announcement, stock markets exhibited volatility. The S&P 500 initially fell but ended the day higher. Bond yields declined, while the U.S. dollar strengthened.
Powell emphasized that future monetary policy decisions will be heavily data-dependent, and the central bank stands ready to act swiftly if necessary. He acknowledged that the economic outlook remains uncertain, requiring cautious and adaptive policy management.
Faced with escalating uncertainty and inflationary pressures stemming from new trade measures, the Fed has adopted a cautious stance. Given the current mixed economic indicators, the central bank is expected to maintain its interest rate policy until the economic picture becomes clearer.
Economists at Goldman Sachs have issued a warning that U.S. inflation is on the rise and may reach 3.8% by the end of 2025. According to their analysis, the weakening of the U.S. dollar and the implementation of tariff policies are the main drivers of increased inflationary pressure. Additionally, changes in import demand could elevate production costs and further intensify price increases.
The Wall Street Journal reported that new tariffs may raise the prices of smartphones and laptops by up to 30%. Contrary to popular belief, this inflationary impact may not be temporary and could result in sustained upward pressure on prices.
Meanwhile, ahead of the FOMC meeting, Alphabet (Google’s parent company) saw its stock plunge over 8%, falling to $149.50. Eddy Cue, a senior executive at Apple, disclosed that for the first time in April, user activity on browsers and search engines had declined. In response, Apple is exploring the integration of AI-powered search into its browsers—a move that could pose a serious threat to Google’s advertising revenue.
Simultaneously, President Trump announced he would not enforce the AI content restriction law, initially introduced during the Biden administration and scheduled to take effect on May 15. This decision comes just before his trip to the Middle East, where countries like Saudi Arabia and the UAE have voiced frustration over chip access restrictions.
Trump administration officials are currently drafting new legislation aimed at tightening control over the export of advanced chips. This initiative may form part of a broader agreement, as the UAE has pledged to invest up to $1.4 trillion in U.S. technology and infrastructure over the next decade.
CadChf daily bias confirmedGood day traders, I’m back with CadChf but this one is special cause it provides us a clean setup where I will get an opportunity to explain some of ICT concepts that I look for and have made me the trader I am today but I’m not here to talk about Michael!! Just his thoughts behind this type of setup.
Well my excitement is that this setup is happening on the daily timeframe so hopefully it’ll be much more understandable. First let’s start with some tape reading on the left hand side we can see that price has been bearish and have reason to believe that price has bottomed as we can see that price left a low only to later take out creating a new one than made a run higher shifting structure on the lower TF’s but here on the daily what price did was leave the first presented FVG which you can see on the chart I have marked it. Back to the tape, if you take a closer look at that F.PFVG you’ll see that price only touch the upper quarter of the level and price made a move higher. Here why I said this one was special👂 ICT teaches how to look at price from a naked eye just by dividing gaps, FVG and OB’s and more.. by 4 quarters and FIB retrace works wonders here 0,25,50,75,100. 50 being the midpoint. Price from experience since paying attention to details always comes for the F.PFVG midpoint ATLEAST!🔊
If you look at the chart again you’ll see a red arrow pointing to that wick’cosidered a gap’, now if we consider that wick a gap than we gonna treat it as one. If you take you FIB and get the levels you’ll see price was a few pips shy of the midpoint of that gap!!👂
Our narrative than becomes…we wanna see price reach the midpoint of that wick considered a gap. Than we gonna shoot down if we can just get to that midpoint 🤞🏾
Because we cannot I repeat we cannot trust price, we can expect it to disrespect that buyside but not close higher 🛑✋, our draw on liquidity is the one below.
Please study this setup carefully 🙏🏽🙏🏽