400++ points and counting !As analysed, we had been adamant to our analysis when it went in our demand zone and it did went our way, though it’s not much but I believe it is the start of the new trend which is UPTREND. Hence as long as the low is not taken out, all dips can be bought so plan your trades accordingly.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Long Trade
4Hr entry
15min TF overview
Buyside trade
Pair BTCUSDET
Tue 27th Jan 25
8.30 pm
Tokyo Session PM
Entry 101488.1
Profit level 104633.6 (3.10%)
Stop level 100840.9 (0.64%)
RR 4.86
Reason: The buyside trade idea is based on the narrative of supply and demand observing price action on the 4Hr TF.
Potential trade setup on GBPUSDWe are looking at a short trade on GBPUSD based on the stretch strategy. There is trend,stretch and direction alignment with this trade on both 1h and Daily TF. Late entry was taken on price breakout after retracement. There is a high probability for range,previous daily high and range to be formed to the downside. We will exit the trade once range has been achieved.
Trader Order Details:
GBPUSD(Short)
E - 1.2407
SL - 1.2428
T - 1.2387
We will be tracking this move and updating the post as we go along on the charts and on video. Keep a look out for it traders.
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100USD): Assessing the Potential BreakoutOver the past few months, the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100USD) has demonstrated a clear upward trajectory, marked by higher highs and higher lows—a classic sign of sustained bullish sentiment. However, we've seen periods of consolidation and recent volatility - let's take a look at its current technical landscape.
Current Market Overview:
As of January 29, 2025, the NASDAQ 100 is trading at approximately 21,600, a level that has served as a significant pivot point in recent trading sessions. A decisive move above this threshold could validate the ongoing uptrend and open the door to further gains.
Key Levels to Monitor:
Immediate Resistance : The 21,600 level is crucial. A sustained break above this point could signal the continuation of the bullish trend.
Support Levels : Should the price retreat, the 21,300 - 21,200 are notable support areas to watch.
Recent Developments:
The market has recently experienced heightened volatility, notably a sharp dip around January 27, followed by an aggressive recovery. This shows how unpredictable the market can be and hints at continued bullish movement.
Strategic Considerations:
Breakout Confirmation : A sustained move above 21,600, ideally accompanied by increased trading volume, would provide stronger confirmation of the breakout.
Support Retest : If the price successfully breaches the 21,600 resistance, this level could transform into a support zone. A subsequent retest of this level as support could present a compelling entry opportunity for long positions.
However , considering the Fed decision and fundamental factors around todays announcement - the most likely scenario would be slightly hawkish or a hawkish pause , which would be somewhat negative for the index. This would allow price to experience a temporary drop back down to the previous support (demand) level of 21,200 before buyers re-engage.
Trading Strategies:
Long Positions on Breakout Confirmation : A clear break and close above 21,600 could signal a long (buy) entry.
Long Positions on Retest of Support : A pullback to the 21,200 support level (assuming it holds) could offer a better opportunity to enter long positions.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and it's essential to conduct your own thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use appropriate risk management techniques and trade responsibly. OANDA:NAS100USD IG:NASDAQ PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
Agora AI stock to moon?On the above 3 week chart price action has corrected 98% since early 2021. A number of reasons now exist to expect a reversal. They include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Support confirmation on past resistance.
3) Notice the 3 week hammer candle?
4) Significant resistances at 250% and 770%.
Is it possible price action corrects further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: You decide
Timeframe for long: This month or the next
Return: Not to sneezed at
Long trade
15min TF
Buyside trade idea
Wed 29th Jan 25
8.16 am
LND to NY Session AM
Entry 31.060
Profit level 31.200 (0.45%)
Stop level 31.030 (0.10%)
RR 4.67
Reason: Observing price action since Monday, the 27th of January 2025 and observing the buying momentum provided direction bias for this trade.
Will this stock skyrocket 500x to $700?Talk of the moment is tariffs and the impact they’ll have on business and individuals. Generally, nothing good. A zero sum game in WW opinion.
For a future preview, see Brexit for details. American citizens have chosen to impose economic sanctions upon themselves just like Brexit voters. As a result importers will be required increase their paperwork, add fees to raw materials prior to entering the country, impose checks and pass those costs onto the consumer. A consumer that is already weighted down on auto debt.
Ignoring the long term economic impacts one should appreciate the internal demand pressures from manufacturers now needed to replace expensive imports.
In my opinion a number of businesses now exist to reap this demand. The smaller the better.
“American Battery Technology” is one such business that stands to benefit from the surge in EV growth in the US. In particular on the topic of recycling. As tariffs take hold on the imports of raw material the recycling of old becomes an increasingly attractive alternative source.
The TA:
On the above 5 week chart price action has seen a 98% correction since January 2021. A number of reasons now exist for a bullish outlook, they include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Regular bullish divergence, settings used the same as January 2020 impulsive wave.
3) Support on past resistance, look left.
4) No share splits since 2004, excellent.
5) Short interest 9%, after a recent 70% correction?!
6) The bull flag, should it confirm, forecasts a 50,000% move or 500x to $700 area by December 2026. That’s a market capital of $60b for the industry of car battery recycling. Still small potatoes.
Is it possible price action continues to correct? Sure. Sellers, they love it.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: Investment
Risk: You decide
Timeframe for long entry: Now
Stop loss: will say elsewhere
Return: Lambo’s all round
XAUUSD - Gold awaits the Fed meeting!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. If gold rises to the previous ATH, we can look for selling positions at the ceiling marked with the target of the bottom of the ascending channel. A correction of gold towards the demand zone will provide us with its next buying position.
Sergio Ermotti, CEO of UBS, has warned that the anticipated interest rate cuts could be delayed if Donald Trump’s second-term tariffs take effect and drive inflation higher.
Speaking with Andrew Ross Sorkin of CNBC, he stated:
“I have been saying for some time that inflation is far more persistent than we initially thought. The key question now is how tariffs will impact inflation.”
He further added:
“Tariffs are unlikely to help in reducing inflation. Therefore, I do not expect rates to drop as quickly as many anticipate.”
With Trump’s trade policies in play, the risk of rising inflation is high, and a major clash between Trump and the Federal Reserve over interest rate cuts seems inevitable. Such tensions could negatively impact the U.S. dollar.
Meanwhile, Scott Bessant, the newly appointed U.S. Treasury Secretary, is proposing a gradual global tariff plan starting at 2.5%, which will increase monthly and could reach up to 20%. This strategy aims to give businesses time to adjust to the new economic landscape. The Financial Times reported this plan, citing anonymous sources for details.
At the same time, the U.S.Senate has confirmed Scott Bessant as Treasury Secretary with a majority vote. This decision comes as Trump imposes a 25% tariff on imports from Colombia, reinforcing his aggressive trade policy stance.
The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting is set to conclude today, and it is widely expected that interest rates will remain unchanged. However, analysts argue that gold markets are now focusing more on Trump’s policies rather than short-term aggressive monetary measures.
Gold prices rallied after Trump’s speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. In a video address to global business leaders and policymakers, he urged central banks worldwide to cut interest rates. Trump stated:
“I am strongly calling for an immediate rate cut, and this must happen globally.”
Economists note that Trump’s remarks contradict the current economic reality, as a relatively strong economy continues to fuel persistent inflation. In recent weeks, the Federal Reserve has warned consumers about growing upside inflation risks and is seeking to shorten the current monetary easing cycle.
Ahead of this week’s policy meeting, markets expect the Fed to hold rates steady, with only one rate cut projected for this year.
Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank, believes that the divergent views between Trump and the Federal Reserve have created uncertainty, benefiting gold as a safe-haven asset.
He further stated that the recent bullish momentum in the gold market suggests that the $2,800 price level may just be the beginning. Hansen concluded:
“As long as this uncertainty persists, I see no risk of overheating. Any downside break could trigger fresh buying interest.”
XAU/USD 29 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 27/01/2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to analysis dated 21 January 2025.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade continue bearish to complete it's pullback phase. Technically price should trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,786.060.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 28 January 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis and alternative scenario that as H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, it would come at no surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS to assist H4 TF in it's pullback phase.
This is how price printed. Strong internal low was targeted with price printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, show reaction at either premium of 50% EQ, or M15/H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,730.560.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
EURUSD - Will the dollar weakness stop?!The EURUSD currency pair is located above EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. Maintaining the drawn ascending channel will lead to a continuation of the upward trend towards the channel ceiling. A correction of this currency pair towards the demand zone will provide us with its next opportunity to buy it.
Donald Trump’s remarks about imposing 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico have sparked concerns among European companies. A report by Bank of America (BofA) highlights dozens of European firms that are vulnerable to these tariffs due to their supply chain dependencies and revenue exposure.
Among these companies, the Italian automaker Stellantis stands out. According to the report, Stellantis operates 16 supply chain links in Canada and derives 47% of its total revenue from North America. Similarly, the German auto giant BMW has 18 supply chain links in Canada and generates 26% of its revenue from the United States.
In the energy sector, the UK-based utility company National Grid, with a market value of €58 billion, has a significant presence in the U.S., where 50% of its assets and 54% of its revenue originate. Although its tangible supply chain exposure in Mexico and Canada is relatively low, its extensive operations in the U.S. make it highly susceptible to the negative impacts of these tariffs.
Eurozone Bank Lending Survey – January 2025:
• Credit Standards: In Q4 2024, corporate credit standards tightened due to rising perceived risks and reduced risk tolerance.
• Mortgage Loans: Credit standards for household mortgages remained unchanged, but lending conditions for consumer credit tightened further.
• Loan Demand: Mortgage loan demand surged significantly, while corporate loan demand remained weak.
According to analysts at Standard Chartered, financial markets are currently overly focused on Donald Trump’s economic policies, potentially overlooking the risks associated with this week’s Federal Reserve meeting.
The Federal Reserve is set to announce its latest interest rate decision today following a two-day meeting. It is widely expected that the interest rate will remain within the current range of 4.25% to 4.5%. However, investors are keen to find clues regarding the timing of future rate cuts. Based on market pricing, expectations suggest a 40-basis-point rate cut by December.
A key unknown factor influencing this outlook is Donald Trump’s policies. He has recently called on the Fed to lower interest rates. Additionally, his tariff policies, which include imposing high tariffs on both allies and competitors, could further drive inflationary pressures.
As a result, the Fed may proceed cautiously with its rate-cut cycle. However, Trump’s administration has not yet implemented widespread tariffs, though he has threatened to do so.
Meanwhile, some Fed officials have recently signaled a more hawkish stance. There is also speculation that the Fed may seek to assert its independence at the beginning of Trump’s new presidential term by resisting his demands. If the Fed takes such a position, Trump may respond aggressively, which could further heighten market uncertainty.
WTI: Will oil return to the upward trajectory?!WTI oil is located between EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of a downward correction towards the demand zone, the next opportunity to buy oil with a suitable reward for risk will be provided to us. A valid breakdown of the drawn downtrend line and preservation of the channel will pave the way for oil to reach the drawn ranges.
Under the pressure of imminent sanctions planned by the Trump administration and the debts Iran now owes to China, the country has begun offloading crude oil that had been stored in Chinese warehouses for years. This oil, shipped to China between 2018 and 2019 but not officially declared in Chinese customs records, was kept in isolated, pre-designated storage facilities. With storage costs reaching hundreds of millions of dollars, Iran is now obligated to cover these expenses. So far, 5.4 million barrels of oil have been removed from a Chinese port, transported by a total of four tankers.
According to a Bloomberg report, OPEC+ is likely to maintain its current supply policy in its meeting next week. This decision contradicts the request of U.S. President Donald Trump, who has urged oil producers to increase output to lower prices and exert more economic pressure on Russia to end the war in Ukraine. Under the current plan, oil supply restrictions will remain in place for this quarter and will gradually ease starting in April.
Donald Trump plans to sign an executive order to initiate the development of a “next-generation” missile defense system in the United States. This system, modeled after Israel’s Iron Dome, is designed to protect the U.S. from ballistic missile attacks, hypersonic missiles, advanced cruise missiles, and other modern aerial threats.
According to the released information, the executive order aims to establish an advanced space-based missile defense system capable of detecting and neutralizing missiles launched toward the U.S. Conceptually, this resembles Israel’s Iron Dome, which has been used for years to intercept and destroy rockets fired from Gaza. The U.S.government has already invested billions of dollars in developing Israel’s Iron Dome, and the American military possesses its own missile defense systems.
The order describes missile attacks as a “catastrophic threat,” but no details have been provided regarding the project’s costs or timeline. Developing a comprehensive missile defense system for a country as geographically vast as the U.S. is a highly complex and costly endeavor. Additionally, the emergence of next-generation missile threats, such as hypersonic missiles that travel at extremely high speeds, presents significant technical challenges. This indicates that the project will require substantial investment and time for completion.
“USD/JPY 4H-30M Precision Trade Setup: Reversal in Premium Zone”This trade Concept, focuses on the USD/JPY pair, using a top-down analysis to identify a reversal opportunity from a higher timeframe premium zone down to a key discount area.
4H Analysis
On the 4H timeframe, the market has been in a bullish rally, but it reached a critical supply zone marked near 158.200. This zone occur simultaneously with an inducement (IDM), where liquidity was likely trapped as buyers entered early into the trend.
• Bearish Clues: The price structure has shifted from higher highs (HH) to lower lows (LL), signaling a weakening bullish trend and a potential reversal.
30M Analysis
Dropping to the 30M chart, the price maintains a bearish structure, respecting the key IDM zone. Inducements and liquidity traps are evident, supporting the intention of a price rejection and continuation downward. The entry was refined within the 156.500 area for precision.
Trade Parameters
• Entry: 156.500
• Profit Target (TP): 153.725
• Stop Loss (SL): 156.700 (above the supply zone to account for volatility)
Expectations:
I anticipate price to continue breaking lower, targeting liquidity at previous swing lows (154.000) before heading to the higher timeframe demand zone around 152.300. The bearish momentum aligns with the overall 4H and 30M structures, making this a high-probability trade.
Let me know your thoughts on this setup or if you have questions about the analysis. Bless trading!
RTX Bullish Momentum – Move Toward $131.00 ExpectedNYSE:RTX is demonstrating strong bullish momentum, supported by moving averages and consistent upward strength in price action. The recent push above $125 confirms that buyers are in control, and suggests a likely continuation toward the $131.00 level.
A pullback toward $125–126 could provide an opportunity for buyers to step in, maintaining the rally's trajectory.
This setup aligns with the expectation of a bullish continuation, offering a potential long opportunity if pullbacks or consolidations occur near current levels.
ABT Strong Bullish Momentum – Move Toward $127.00 ExpectedNYSE:ABT is exhibiting strong bullish momentum, supported by a significant breakout above prior consolidation levels. The alignment of moving averages and the strength of recent price action suggest further upside potential, with the next logical target at $127.00.
The price has surged above key moving averages, including the 50 EMA, 100 EMA, and 200 EMA, all of which are trending upward. This confirms sustained momentum and further supports the bullish case.
Gold Price Analysis: Bulls Regain Control After CorrectionGold started the week with a correction, dropping to a low of 2730 on Monday.
Following this pullback, bulls regained control, pushing the price back above the key 2760 resistance level yesterday.
At the time of writing, the price is hovering around this level.
Even if there is a dip below 2760, the overall trend remains bullish as long as the 2745-2750 support zone holds.
In conclusion, I remain bullish as long as support holds and will look to buy on dips. Bulls could aim for a new all-time high as their target, while a daily close below 2745 would shift the outlook to bearish.