Nvidia could still be seriously overvaluedIf the release of DeepSeek's AI models really is as disruptive as some suspect, Nvidia bulls could be seriously questioning if they want to hold onto the stock for the long haul. And that means some bulls could be looking to offload into a bounce while bears seek to fade into them. I highlight some key levels for bears to keep an eye on.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst City Index and Forex.com
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
NIFTY showing signs of REVERSAL !!As we can see despite the weak opening, NIFTY managed to recover strong but closed forming a doji structure which shows indecision which indicates that bears have lost their dominance and bulls are likely to take control hence keeping SL below the demand zone on closing basis, one can go long POSITIONALLY despite weakness that might occur so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
Nasdaq (March 2025) - FOMC Fireworks! #S1E2Tuesday played out exactly as expected, with the daily timeframe retracing inside of the previous days trading range.
Previous sellside liquidity pool was tagged but a failure to close below the red line gives me the indication that we could see a continuation to the upside, attacking the new week opening gap for this week.
Looking forward to FOMC Wednesday as there is a lot of volatility on offer!
GU 1H Sell Idea 1/25/25Since price is rejecting a monthly consolidation zone from 12/1/23, I would like a retest on the bottom of my 8H level to continue bearish at least up to the Daily Consolidation Zone that was created on 1/10/25.
Lower Lows and Highs have already started to form on the 1-5m, while the 15m is currently consolidating at market closure on 1/24/25. Also, the W. D, 4H, & 1H have all rejected the Monthly Consolidation Zone as of 1/24/25 market closure.
If the higher time frames line up, the sells will be valid.
XAUUSD/GOLD BUY LIMITGold yesterday took out liquidity and consolidated for a while now it just made a change in a state of delivery now there's probabilities gold will continue going long, because there's also a FVG formed that wiull confirm my entry so am gonna place a buy limit on 2747.205 and target the low hanging fruit the latest high that i see and call it a day, but yhere's prpbabilities that it migh continue going long or not trigger my entry, but am comfortable with that i will wait for the trade to come to me.
EURUSD showing bullish momentumEvening traders, this is my analysis on EUR/USD as we can see our downtrend was broken a while back and we are now in a bullish move and seems it might continue for a while If it breaks above the newest Higher High, every detail is provided on the chart and the best entry point which has the highest probability of winning
Trade Recap: USDJPY - SHORT, 28/01/2025UJ Bias Analysis: Price was trading lower into 1D discount with a bearish 4H trend & so Resistance entries were in consideration. Short entries were in line with the 1H range and price pulled back into OTE before entry confirmation was received on the micro-timeframes.
Grade: Low Risk
NASDAQ SHORTNQ just took out the previous day low and made a market structure shift and now am waiting for the current candle stick to close below the mss level and the sibi to stay open so i can have all my confirmation aligned but on the 5 minutes the trade is valide and it's already a sell, targeting the NDOL, first TP and the Take Profit is on the minor sell side liquidity. xoxo
Long trade
15min TF overview
Buyside trade
NY to Tokyo Session PM
Mon 27th Jan 25
6.45 pm
Structure Day
Entry 0.000018925
Profit level 0.000019926 (5.29%)
Stop level 0.000018725 (1.06%)
RR 5
The buy-side trade idea is based on the narrative of the supply-and-demand structure on the Day TF.
1Hr TF overview
Entry 15min
GBPUSD - Bullish Break + Demand ZoneHello traders
GBPUSD broke the daily trendline that was holding it in a downtrend. After this break, GU is looking bullish. But please note that this could be a fakeout.
After this break, price left an fvg on the daily timeframe and a demand zone on the 4H.
This is the daily chart with the breakout
I am looking to take a trade on the demand zone expecting price to go up.
GBPUSD SELL SELLGU has just sweeped the previous week high, and closed back on the ranger after sweeping the previous week high and made a change in state of delivery, formed an fair value gap as marked, and a little one i entered on, there's probabilities that will will drop to the London low, where it's my target. 🎯
2025 Jan W5- Potential Swing to the Upside [EU]Idea Qualifiers:
- Market retraced to discount
- Minor OB hit
- Liquidity swept
- 15m BoS with gap formed
Idea Invalidations:
- Invalidation high is hit before entry
Notes:
- The BoS is very tight, but does not have the structure of a liquidity grab on lower timeframes.
- The retracement is therefore expected to be deep, drawdown should be expected.
- A 1m refinement was used for the limit entry, experimenting to see how well I have a read on these.
- Looking out for potential change of characteristic at the OB highlighted above as this buy move could be the retracement after a reversal (especially considering the structure on the left). Expecting to have a strong reaction to that blue box above.
- Will hold this position while selling from that blue box if an opportunity is given.
Trade Score: Grade B
If the BoS was stronger, it would have been an A.
XAU/USD 28 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 27/01/2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to analysis dated 21 January 2025.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade continue bearish to complete it's pullback phase. Technically price should trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,786.060.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis and alternative scenario that as H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, it would come at no surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS to assist H4 TF in it's pullback phase.
This is how price printed. Strong internal low was targeted with price printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, show reaction at either premium of 50% EQ, or M15/H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,730.560.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
EUR/GBP - Potential Short Day TradeHi all..
Price on HTF is currently Bullish to make sure to use risk management here. This is a pullback trade hunter into HTF Demand zones.
This LTF Trade Consists of a internal protected High for price to return back into a the discount zone. We can see nice slow price action heading slightly bullish hoping before we see a nice drop.
Entry is set at two positions:
First being a simple Demand zone
Second being a Mitigation Block just under a FVG telling me price wants to hunt that Imbalance
Good Luck if you decide to Follow
SWING TRADE SETUP ON EURUSD We had a nice move to the upside yesterday following a shift on the 1H timeframe, Hope some of you were able to catch the move to the upside.
If not there is another setup that I am looking at. This is a swing setup and if played out I expect for TP to be hit within the week.
The main thing to keep in mind is that we have interest rate decisions for both the FED and ECB.
Depending on how the numbers come out this setup will stay valid or EURUSD will break below the invalidation point and continue it's move to the down side. Good risk management is key with these news events.
EURUSD. Daily Timeframe AnalysisHey traders and investors!
The price has formed a sideways range.
Sideways Range Boundaries:
• Upper boundary: 1.06300 USD.
• Lower boundary: 1.03319 USD.
Movement Vectors in the Range
The beginning of the last seller's sub-impulse (within the seller's impulse 4-5 in the range) is marked at 1.04584, which is near the 50% level (1.04271) of the last seller's impulse (vector 4-5 in the range).
Buyers showed strength near the lower boundary, forming a buyer's zone (green rectangle on the chart), which may serve as support for further upward movement. The current buyer's vector is 5-6, with a potential target of 1.06098.
Volume Analysis
An increase in volumes is visible on the chart on January 24 and 27, 2025. The high volume at this level indicates active participation from both buyers and sellers. Special attention should be paid to the concentration of volumes on January 27 and 24 in the upper parts of the bars (blue line on the chart), which are above 1.04584. Currently, the seller has pushed the price back below 1.04584 (the beginning of the last seller's sub-impulse). This means that the volumes of the previous two days remain above. It looks like a level manipulation (false breakout).
Key Trading Levels
Buying Opportunities:
• Look for buying patterns around 1.03319 (lower boundary).
• A breakout above 1.05333 could open the way to 1.06098.
Selling Opportunities:
• Sellers may defend the 1.04584 level - look for selling patterns near this level. Potential targets - 1.03417, 1.03120 (monitor the reaction at 1.04116).
The hourly timeframe can be used to identify entry points.
I wish you profitable trades!