A Bearish OpportunityThe market has been forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, but with weaker broken highs. An hourly liquidity sweep led to a swift bearish movement, clearing the swing low at 1.47490. Anticipating a flip to level 1.48000 for a bearish entry.
Trade Plan:
- Entry: 1.48000
- Stop Loss: 1.48500 (50 pips)
- Target: 1.45912 (over 200 pips)
- Risk-Reward Ratio:
Market Analysis:
- Market structure: Higher highs and higher lows, with weaker broken highs
- Liquidity sweep: Hourly sweep led to a swift bearish movement
- Swing low: 1.47490
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Incoming 50% for Dogecoin ??**short term analysis - Days and weeks ahead**
On the above 3 day chart price action has enjoyed a massive 320% rally over the last 2 months thanks to you know who.
A number of reasons now exist to be “short”, despite the myriad of long ideas currently on the platform.
1) Price action prints bearish divergence.
2) Price action was recently outside the Bollinger Band. We know 95% off all price action trades around the mean, which is currently 50% below.
3) Remaining on the Bollinger Band notice the slight inward curve (red arrows)? This is informing you the current extension in price action is now exhausted.
4) Lastly, support and resistance. 20 cents was resistance for multiple months. Healthy market structure would see past resistance confirm as support before the continuation of the uptrend.
Is it possible price action continues upwards and onwards? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
SILVER POTENTIAL BOUNCE PLAY BUY OPPORTUNITYHey everyone hope you are having an amazing day! I just wanted to come make another post here on this Thanksgiving week here in the States and give some insight to what I see for the commodity Silver! Hope this brings some value and you guys can pull some nuggets from this! Cheers
OK so here is a breakdown based on each timeframe for what I am seeing!!
1W (Weekly) Timeframe:
**price is overall bullish
**price is coming back to a previous area of demand (buyers)
**weekly fib retracement confluence with level
1D (Daily) Timeframe:
**price is coming to previous demand around $29 per ounce
**will be at a extreme discount zone (relevant to current market trend)
**may be in oversold conditions on the RSI tool
4H (Hourly) Timeframe:
**waiting to watch how price momentum from sellers is coming into zone
**waiting for lower timeframe confluence
Hope you guys enjoy this post please boost and follow the page for more analysis and potential setups! Cheers!
AUDUSD ENTRY CHARTFirst, AUDUSD Mid-Term Trend is BULLISH, also we have the confluence of DXY, as we expect DOLLAR to be weaken today, also after the market GAPs, price has come back to fill it, with a H4 DEMAND ZONE, refine to the 30mins tf, we got our Confirmation Entry, and we decide to take the Trade and also share it for everyone for free. So if this SETUP matches with your IDEA, you can join us.. We will give UPDATE in the UPDATE SECTIONS. Thanks
XAU/USD 26 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
USDJPY: Your Trading Plan Explained 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY is trading within a rising parallel channel on a daily.
The price is currently testing its support.
To buy the market with a confirmation,
watch carefully a bullish flag pattern on a 4H time frame.
A bullish breakout of its resistance and a 4H candle close above will
give you a strong bullish signal.
With a high probability, the price will keep rising then
and reach at least 155.3 level.
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of a channel's support on
a daily may push the prices lower.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Risk could plunge in 2025 if AUD/JPY clues are correctAUD/JPY is a classic barometer of risk. So I find it quite interesting to see that price action clues on the monthly chart are not too dissimilar to what we saw ahead of the GFC high in 2007. And if AUD/JPY plunges, the chances are it means global markets will also be in turmoil.
MS.
Bullish Reversal OpportunityAnalysis:
The daily demand zone is acting as a base in this emerging bullish market, as price failed to break below. We have two broken structures, followed by a sell-side liquidity sweep that cleared the swing high, providing displacement.
Trade Idea:
- Entry: Buy at the demand zone around 0.81500
- Stop Loss: Below the demand zone around 0.81300
- Target: 0.82300, based on the broken structures and liquidity sweep
- Risk Management: Position sizing and stop-loss levels should be adjusted according to individual risk tolerance
is a 200% rally for Shoals Technologies about to print?This is a 6 month forecast.
On the above 6 day chart price action has corrected 80%.
A number of reasons now exist for a bullish outlook. They include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Strong regular bullish divergence.
3) No share splits.
4) 12% short interest.
5) The forecast is to the upper channel resistance.
Is it possible price action corrects further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: you decide
Timeframe for long: This month
Return: 200%
Stop loss: will say elsewhere
80% collapse for unicorn eVTOL manufacturer Archer Aviation?Following the successful “short” of eVTOL manufacturer Lilium (idea below), we’re going to target another. This time, Archer Aviation.
The principles behind this idea are the same as was with Lilium, mixture of fundamentals and technical analysis.
For some years I’ve been watching with interest the electrification attempts of the helicopter. Referred to as eVTOL (electric vertical takeoff and landing), various companies around the world are competing for market dominance with their winning design.
There’s a realisation coming to many electric cars owners that will inevitably spill over to eVTOL.
1) Range anxiety.
2) Hazardous battery fires are hard to extinguish.
3) The mass-based energy density of batteries is in the range of 0.1 to 0.27 kWh/kg. In comparison, gasoline is 13 kWh/kg.
For me, no. 3 is the killer of electric transportation via battery, whether it be on road or flight you carry weight than never depletes during use.
4) Proven certified technology.
I’m a safety aerospace engineer by trade. When moving people around even for short flight, safety is above all. There can be nothing more important. eVTOL is complex technology, especially when compared to a regular helicopters. I’m not saying they are not safe, but proving they are remains a long way off.
Almost all eVTOLs require an airfield to operate. Helicopters do not. Have been invited to a number of demonstrations over the years, the one thing that continues to strike me is how far certification for safe flight actually is. Easily 10+ years. These business are advertising a very different picture, which is disingenuous in my opinion.
The chart -
On the above 12 day chart price action has been printing lower highs for the last year. Since then there is broken market structure with uptrend channel support failure.
The bear flag continuation pattern projects a 80% correction. On confirmation, such flag patterns meet the target 77% of the time. That’s a huge statistic to ignore.
On RSI, a breakout of support is also visible.
Is it possible price action grows? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Go short from anything near $4
Lilium short