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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

QQQ Technical Short OpportunityTechnical SHORT opportunity in QQQ: 1. QQQ failed to fill gap from Friday. Very weak upward progression over the last 4 days 2. Thursday’s candle is a “bearish hanging man” 3. The last bearish wave retraced 66% of the prior upward move 4. There have been multiple tests of immediate support level (495-498) 5. QQQ has been weaker than S&P over the past 5 days Profit target can be placed near the high-volume node at 488 Please note that the long-term trend remains “bullish,” and a short-term downside auction does not indicate an immediate reversal.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by hermes_trisme
2
S&P 500 Weekly Recap: A Struggle to RecoverLast week’s market action reflected the ongoing struggle for recovery after the previous week’s sell-off. The market opened cautiously, with buyers stepping in to regain ground lost during the prior downturn. Despite early hesitation, bulls managed to push prices higher, eventually filling the gap created by the earlier sell-off. However, this recovery faced significant resistance from sellers, resulting in minimal upward progression in daily closes. Strength in the recovery was primarily driven by Financials (XLF), which set a new all-time high. Other sectors, however, remained subdued, aligning with the broader market's hesitant tone. While this selectivity isn’t necessarily negative on its own, when combined with other signals, it may indicate growing risk aversion and a lack of conviction among market participants. It is also worth zooming into the lower timeframes. The 584 level provided key support but was retested multiple times during the week, which is not a good sign for buyers. Persistent tests of support typically indicate weakening demand, and bulls should be cautious of this development. Additionally, it was remarkable to observe how the rally went precisely to the Value Area Low ( 596 ) of the previous consolidation zone. Buyers should note that the market failed to push higher and close within the value area, signaling potential exhaustion of the current recovery attempt. The immediate objective for the bulls is to push above 596 , reclaiming the previous value area, which would provide stronger validation for the recovery. On the other hand, bears will be focused on taking down the 584 level, where there is likely big liquidity pool. Next week is rich in terms of key events. The FOMC minutes are scheduled for release on Tuesday, preceded by significant economic data on Wednesday. These releases will be closely scrutinized as investors remain deeply concerned about the possibility of a recession. Any signals pointing toward a slowing economy could spark fear and trigger increased volatility. While the long-term market trend remains intact, the warning signs outlined above suggest that investors should hold off on adding to their positions for the time being. P.S. ES futures are currently rising in the pre-market session. If this momentum doesn't transform into a sell-off after the bell, it will certainly be a positive sign for the buyers.
AMEX:SPY
by hermes_trisme
HAL:NSE FLAG&PoleBullishPAT.1Yr. ReadyForBO DTF/WTF SWING/POSIT. HAL Stock Analysis Trade Plan: Entry: 25% of the total quantity at 4676 DTF Close, with an additional 50% added at 4078 DTF Close Price. Add Balance progressively Stop Loss: 4075 Target 1: 5650 Target 2: 6150 Hold for a period of SIX months to ONE year or until the target 2 is reached. Chart Pattern: The stock has Formed a FLAG&POLE PATTERN in About a Year to touch an all-time high (ATH) of 5674. Technical Indicators: The stock’s daily timeframe (DTF) shows that the price is currently trading between 50 and 200 EMA. The EMAs are in Transitional sequence of alignment. A potential bullish FLAG Channel trend in formation on the DTF/WTF timeframe. Wait for BO & Retest to seek Entry as above. Volume Analysis: There has been a gradual decline in Volumes since the price correction Started Four months ago, the Sellers have reduced considerably, wait for the Flag Structure BO on DTF to seek Entry. Prioritize Watch List: Keep this stock in your watch list for further analysis and potential trading opportunities. Disclaimer: This information is solely for educational and reference purposes. Trading inherently carries risks, and it’s crucial to exercise caution and conduct comprehensive research before making any investment decisions. Make sure you have a well-defined risk appetite, proper position sizing, and a stop-loss order based on your risk tolerance. Review your Portfolio periodically. Exit positions when the price closes 7-8% below your entry point or Earlier basis your Risk profile. Consider re-entering the market when the trend reverses.Before engaging in any trading activities, it is paramount to thoroughly comprehend these technical analysis concepts and conduct extensive research on the stocks you are interested in. Furthermore, consulting a certified financial advisor can offer valuable insights and guidance before making investment decisions. Technical Analysis Concepts: Multiple Time Frame Analysis (MTFA): Daily Time Frame (DTF): Used for short-term analysis and identifying trends. Weekly Time Frame (WTF): Provides a broader perspective and helps in trend confirmation. Monthly Time Frame (MTF): Ideal for long-term analysis and trend analysis. All-Time High (ATH): The highest price reached on a specific chart. Lifetime High (LTH): The highest price reached over the entire chart’s history. Stop Loss (SL): A predetermined price level at which an investment is automatically exited to limit potential losses. Swing Trade: A trading strategy that involves holding positions for a significant period, typically few weeks to months. Positional Trade: A trading strategy that aims to capitalize on long-term trends and position oneself accordingly. CHART PATTERNS Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle (RBC&H): A pattern that signals a potential reversal from a downtrend. Breakout (BO): A price move closure above a resistance or below a support level. Flag & Pole BO: (F&P BO) Bullish Continuation Pattern Consolidation : Price Typically Swings between a Range for a period of Time Long or Short basis the MTFA. Breaking out of this range UPWARDS is an opportunity to BUY and DOWNWARDS is SELL opportunity. Moving Averages: Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A popular moving average that places more weight on recent price data. Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA): A moving average that gives more weight to high-volume stocks. Fibonacci Retracement/Extension: Trend-based Fibonacci Retracement: Used to identify potential support and resistance levels during re-tracements. Trend-based Fibonacci Extension: Used to identify potential breakout levels during extensions.
NSE:HALLong
by billpramod
HAL NSE Flag&Pole BO WTF SWING/POSITIONALHindustan Aeronautics STOCK Analysis TRADE PLAN (DTF Close Price for SWING /POSITIONAL) ENTRY -4680 25% Qty, Add 50% 4950 qty Add Progressively on DTF Close SL - 4420 TARGET -SWING-01- 5365 , TGT02--6150 Hold For a 1+ Year or TGT 2 Chart Pattern : STOCK had a 9 Month Streak to Touch an ATH of 5659, Retracing to 38.2% FIBO Level fin MTForming a Bullish Flag Pattern. Price has just BO of a 3M 2W Pullback on MTF. INVESTORS can also enter above 5100 LVL for TGT 02. INDICATORS EMA : The Price is Currently Trading above 20EMA, and 20EMa below 50EMA in DTF. STOCK EMAs are currently in Transitional stage of alignment with reasonable Volumes indicating start of a bullish Trend on DTF. FIBO/E : Currently the price is below 50% FIBO Retracement Level, Early Entry can be take as per your risk ability. Safe Investors Enter above 4950-5000 Price lvl. Volumes: NA Keep in your Priority Watch List Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk appetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry).and re enter when trend reverses... Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended. MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis DTF -Daily Time Frame WTF-Weekly Time Frame MTF- Monthly Time Frame ATH-All Time High LTH -LifeTime High RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle BO- Breakout Close EMA -Exponential Moving Average FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension SL Stop Loss TBD- To be Decided CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure FVG Fair Value Gap 20VMA -20Volume Moving Average SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
NSE:HALLong
by billpramod
PPLPHARMA NSE POLE & FLAG BO DT/WTF SWING/POSITIONALPIRAMAL PHARMA STOCK Analysis TRADE PLAN ENTRY -230 50% Qty, Add 50% qty 243 DTF Close SL -186 (Note: SL is deep below the Weekly Low since there is a FVG in WTF TARGET --01-243 (Swing) , TGT02--306 Hold For a 06M-1 Year or TGT 2 Chart Pattern : STOCK had a 6 Month Streak to Touch an ATH of 243, Retracing in Equal time to 23.6% FIBO Level forming a Bullish Flag Pattern indicating a Bullish continuation.. INDICATORS EMA : The STOCK Price has Trading above 50EMA, and bouncing up from 20EMA in DTF. STOCK EMAs are currently in ascending alignment 20 to 200EMA where on 1th an 5.3%+ price rise with Volumes indicating start of a bullish Flag Breakout Trend on DTF/WTF. FIBO/E : Currently the price is above 20% FIBO Retracement Level, Early Entry can be take as per your risk ability. Safe Traders Enter above 230. Volumes: There is a uptrend in Volume above the 20VMA on the DTF & Weekly Charts for10-12 Weeks even during the Pullback. Keep in your Priority Watch List Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk appetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry).and re enter when trend reverses... Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended. MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis DTF -Daily Time Frame WTF-Weekly Time Frame MTF- Monthly Time Frame ATH-All Time High LTH -LifeTime High RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle BO- Breakout Close EMA -Exponential Moving Average FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension SL Stop Loss TBD- To be Decided CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure FVG Fair Value Gap 20VMA -20Volume Moving Average SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
NSE:PPLPHARMALong
by billpramod
MUNJALAU NSE RBC&H BO WTF/MTF SWING/POSITIONALMUNJALAU STOCK Analysis TRADE PLAN ENTRY -118- 133 50% Qty, Add 50% qty 147 DTF Close SL -107 TARGET --01-154 Swing , TGT02--178 Hold For a 1-2 Year or TGT 2 Chart Pattern : STOCK had a formed a 6Y6M RBC and Handle of 8M. INDICATORS EMA : The Price is consistently Trading above 50EMA 4-5 Months on DTF, and 200 EMA to 21EMA are aligned in DTF/WTF . FIBO/E : Currently the price is above 23.6% FIBO Retracement Level, Early Entry can be take as per your risk ability. Safe Traders Enter above 147. Volumes: There is a uptrend in Volume on the Weekly Charts for recent 3 Weeks and after the Pullback. Keep in your Priority Watch List Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk apetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry). Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended. MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis DTF -Daily Time Frame WTF-Weekly Time Frame MTF- Monthly Time Frame ATH-All Time High LTH -LifeTime High RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle BO- Breakout Close EMA -Exponential Moving Average FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension SL Stop Loss TBD- To be Decided CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure FVG Fair Value Gap 20VMA -20Volume Moving Average SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
NSE:MUNJALAULong
by billpramod
VEDL NSE ATH RBC Y14-5M BO WTF/MTF PositionalVEDL Analysis TRADE PLAN ENTRY -521 SL -475 TARGET --01-600 , TGT02-780 Hold For a Year or TGT 2 Chart Pattern : STOCK has recently broken its Long Term 14Y 5M ATH of 495 forming a 12Y-1M RBC on the WTF/MTF. The Stock is Consolidating for 2+Quarters now and Broken the 495 Strong Resistance Level. VEDL has crossed a medium term 2Y1M RBC Currently in a consolidation phase INDICATORS EMA : The Price is Currently Trading above 20EMA, and in Aug 2nd week 20EM crossed closed near 50EMA in DTF. STOCK EMAs are currently aligned in a ascending order pointing upwards 200 to 20 indicating a bullish Trend on all MTF too. FIBO E : After the Bounce-back from 38% FIBO Retracement Level in WTF, Price is currently trading above the previous Impulse uptrend with ChoCH at 340 on WTF Volumes: There is a contestant Volume buying above the 20EMA average for 7-8 months Keep in your Priority Watch List Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk apetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry). Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended. MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis DTF -Daily Time Frame WTF-Weekly Time Frame MTF- Monthly Time Frame ATH-All Time High RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle BO- Breakout Close EMA -Exponential Moving Average FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension SL Stop Loss TBD- To be Decided CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure FVG Fair Value Gap SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
NSE:VEDLLong
by billpramod
TATASTEEL:NSE BULLISHFlagBO ATHRBC2Y-7M onDTF/WTF/MTF PositionalTATA STEEL Technical Analysis Chart Pattern : TATA STEEL has recently broken its ATH of 159 forming a 2Y-7M RBC on the DTF/WTF. Currently on a Pullback to form a Handle. The Handle Bullish Flag has also been broken on WTF. ENTRY on BO of WTF High 1st Week Oct24. INDICATORS EMA : The Price is Currently Trading above 9/20EMA, and 20EM crossed above 50EMA recently in DTF. STOCK EMAs are currently aligned in a ascending order 200 to 20 indicating a bullish Trend on DTF/WTF. FIBO E : After the Bounc-back from 50% FIBO Retracement Level since a week, Price is currently trading near the 23.6% FIBO Retracement level of 168 on DTF with Impulse uptrend and ChoCH indicated at 155 on DTF Volumes: There is a uptrend in Volume on the Weekly Charts for2 Weeks after the 12 weeks Pullback. TRADE PLAN ENTRY -157 or Previous WTF High BO High Price SL -141 or Monthly Low Close Price TARGET 01-184 (17%), TGT02-222 (41%) Hold For a Year or TGT 2 Keep in your Priority Watch List Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity recommended, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis DTF -Daily Time Frame WTF-Weekly Time Frame MTF- Monthly Time Frame ATH-All Time High RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle BO- Breakout Close EMA -Exponential Moving Average FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension SL Stop Loss TBD- To be Decided CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish BOS -Break Out Structure SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
NSE:TATASTEELLong
by billpramod
What A Way To End The Year As Well As The TrendOANDA:GBPUSD This has to be the best idea am dropping hear on trading view so far, because of it's risk to reward ratio, which is over 1:10, highly rewarding. And it just looks unassuming 🤦‍♂️😎 Lets analyze, looking at the 1D timeframe, a more responsible timeframe to look out to in a Daily or intra day trade of a bearish currency pair (GBPUSD), the last two long red candlesticks evolves from the last created resistance zone, leaving those fair value gaps behind, and as well as unmitigated. When the fair value gap is filled to the immediate supply or resistance zone by the buyers, as we can currently see them riding on the pullback, we expect to market to drastically continue the trend, thereby making us a new lower low. In other words, a lower timeframe is required to see clearly the structures produced by the sellers, ofwhich placing your entry on the last created and unmitigated structure, and your stop loss slightly above it's lower high minimizes your risk and maximizes the return. An instance on the 30Min timeframe of GBPUSD, same timeframe where the liquidity is clearly visible as well, when the pullback breaks through the trend line(liquidity) into the demand zone, the downtrend just irresistibly continues until it makes a new lower low. Remember if you can't see the liquidity, then you're the liquidity. Peace 🕊️💯
Short
by Samchi01
1
XAUUSD - The rise of gold is over!?Gold is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe. In case of a corrective movement with low momentum, we can witness the continued rise and see supply zones and sell within that range with a suitable risk reward. After enduring two weeks of sharp declines following Donald Trump's election victory, the gold market bounced back with a strong bounce last week. The price of this precious metal grew in all trading sessions of the week and by Friday afternoon, with an increase of nearly 150 dollars, it once again attracted the attention of investors. Commerzbank commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes that the Swiss Federal Customs Service released data on gold exports in October this week. "These data showed very different trends. Deliveries to China were significantly weaker at just 5 tonnes. Almost no gold was exported to Hong Kong. On the other hand, exports to India have increased. However, the export level in October was still relatively low at 11.7 tons. A little more gold than the previous month has been delivered to America. However, inflows of 30 tonnes into US-listed gold ETFs, reported by the World Gold Council (WGC), in October were higher than the 9.4 tonnes reported. The sharp increase in Swiss gold exports to the UK to 31.9 tonnes is surprising, although gold ETFs listed there recorded outflows in October, according to the World Gold Council. Darin Newsom, chief market analyst at Barchart.com, stated in his analysis of the future trend of gold: "The path of movement of gold is still upward. But due to the speed and intensity of the recent upward trend, there is a possibility of a sudden correction in the market. This risk increases due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the United States and the end of the month." He also emphasized: "Despite this, geopolitical factors continue to play a decisive role in the market. The current chaos has overwhelmed technical analysis and Russian President Putin has not backed down from his nuclear threats. These conditions will most likely lead investors to buy gold until the end of 2024." Next week, the US economic calendar will be shorter than usual due to the Thanksgiving holiday, but several key reports will continue to be in the focus of traders. On Tuesday, the Conference Board's consumer confidence index for November and new home sales for October will be released in early market hours. Next, the minutes of the last meeting of the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) are published. On Wednesday, key data releases will be limited to the early hours of the day due to the Thanksgiving holiday. The market will watch the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) core inflation index for October, which is one of the key indicators considered by the Federal Reserve to assess inflation. At the same time, the statistics of durable goods orders and the weekly report of unemployment claimants will also be published. Then, pending home sales figures for October will be released, which will provide a clear picture of housing market trends.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
XAU/USD 25 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation analysis dated 22 November 2024 played out as price successfully printed a bullish iBOS in-line with bullish internal structure, however, price has now printed a bearish iBOS in-line with H4 TF undergoing a bearish pullback phase. Price has yet to print a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), which is crucial to establishing an internal range and indicating the initiation of bullish pullback phase. CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal high. Alternative Scenario: H4 Timeframe has indicated bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH, therefore, bearish momentum on M15 may be limited. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders are advised to exercise caution and remain vigilant for potential whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin stabilize above $100,000?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Risk On sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. We will look for bitcoin selling positions in the range of the channel ceiling (weekly). Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. The break of the charted channel will pave the way down for Bitcoin. Bitcoin buying positions can be looked for in the two specified demand zones. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. Michael Saylor, founder of MicroStrategy and a prominent Bitcoin advocate, is set to present a Bitcoin investment strategy to Microsoft’s board of directors next month. On November 19, Saylor announced that he would have three minutes to outline the investment plan to the board. This development follows Saylor’s headline-making proposal last month, where he offered to help Microsoft generate $1 trillion in revenue through a Bitcoin-based treasury strategy. In an October post on X, Saylor urged Satya Nadella to reach out if he wanted to secure the next trillion dollars for Microsoft’s shareholders. The proposal came after reports that Microsoft shareholders would vote on a proposal to consider Bitcoin as a reserve asset. However, the board of directors blocked the proposal. Nevertheless, market observers noted that major shareholders like Vanguard, BlackRock, State Street, and Fidelity will play a critical role in the company’s final decision. With $78 billion in cash reserves, Microsoft has made significant investments in companies such as Skype and OpenAI but has yet to allocate any funds to Bitcoin or related assets. Saylor argues that this approach is short-sighted and urges tech giants like Microsoft, Apple, and Google to consider Bitcoin as a superior alternative to cash reserves. According to Saylor, if Apple had invested $100 billion in Bitcoin, it could have grown to $500 billion, and the company would now have a $500 billion business growing at 20% annually. Last week, altcoin trading volumes surpassed $300 billion for the first time since 2021. Meanwhile, lawmakers in Pennsylvania have introduced a bill in the state’s House of Representatives that would allow the state treasury to allocate up to 10% of its funds to Bitcoin. If passed, the law would enable the Pennsylvania Treasurer to invest part of the state’s $9.7 billion general fund and its nearly $7 billion “rainy day” fund in Bitcoin. Bitcoin itself has surged past $99,000, marking its largest monthly candle in several years. So far, the cryptocurrency has recorded a 40.67% monthly gain. Donald Trump, the president-elect, has nominated Scott Bessent, a prominent hedge fund manager and cryptocurrency advocate, as the next Treasury Secretary. Bessent, founder of Key Square Group, is expected to play a pivotal role in shaping Trump’s economic policies and has supported the president-elect’s plan to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve. Bessent’s nomination will require Senate confirmation. If approved, he will oversee the administration’s economic agenda, including tax reforms and cryptocurrency-related policies. His extensive experience in finance and investment is expected to influence the Treasury Department’s approach to emerging financial technologies. Google searches for Bitcoin have reached their highest level in a year. Meanwhile, Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis of Wyoming told CNBC, “The proposal I’ve put forward, and one that President Trump has discussed, involves creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve.” She added, “This digital asset acts like a gold standard, and a strategic Bitcoin reserve is a way to integrate it into our system.” She explained that the Federal Reserve’s 12 banks currently hold reserves that include gold certificates, which can be revalued at fair market value. Senator Lummis proposed converting these gold reserves to Bitcoin, thereby eliminating the need to print new dollars to establish this reserve.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
NAS100 - Nasdaq will stabilize above 21 anytime?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index rises towards the specified supply zone, you can look for Nasdaq sell positions to target the bottom of the ascending channel. Nasdaq buying positions will be at the bottom of the channel and the demand zone after the continuation of the corrective movement The housing sector was in the spotlight last week. The market has regained attention following an unexpected surge in mortgage rates, which have risen by nearly 75 basis points since the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut during its September meeting. According to Freddie Mac, the average rate for 30-year mortgages climbed to 6.8% in the week ending November 21, offsetting much of the reductions seen in August and September. Existing home sales increased by 3.4% in October, breaking a two-month decline. However, it’s important to note that October’s data largely reflects homebuying activity from late September, a period when mortgage rates were trending downward. Despite this rise, the annualized sales rate of 3.96 million units in October remains sluggish. By comparison, the 2021 average was about 6.1 million units, with current declines largely attributed to higher yields on mortgage-backed securities (MBS). Consumers remain relatively resilient, continuing to spend at a strong pace. October’s retail sales data exceeded expectations with a 0.4% increase, supported by upward revisions to previous figures. This trend indicates that households are entering the holiday season under favorable economic conditions. In the upcoming week, durable goods orders data is anticipated. This segment, particularly aircraft orders, has experienced significant volatility in recent months. Challenges in the aviation industry are among the main reasons for this instability. While strikes may have impacted production last month, Boeing data reveals that only 63 new aircraft orders were placed in October, roughly matching the prior month’s figure. As a result, conditions in October are expected to have stabilized somewhat. Overall, demand appears to be leveling out, yet uncertainties regarding corporate investment spending persist. Although borrowing costs and interest rates have been decreasing, the extent and intensity of these declines remain uncertain. Federal Reserve officials have recently acknowledged that, due to strong economic data and sticky inflation, rate cuts in the coming months are likely to proceed gradually and at a slower pace. Additionally, even though U.S. elections have concluded, it is still unclear which policies, particularly tariffs, will be implemented. This week, several regional indicators—such as the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index, the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, and the Chicago Fed National Activity Index—will be released. Monitoring these data points could provide a clearer picture of the U.S. economy’s health and serve as leading indicators for assessing upcoming economic releases. Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently indicated that both headline and core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) indexes are expected to rise from 2.1% to 2.3% and from 2.7% to 2.8%, respectively, in October. If these projections materialize, the Fed may still proceed with a rate cut in December. Should the PCE report fail to offer clear guidance on the Fed’s next move, investors will turn their attention to the minutes from the November monetary policy meeting, which will be released on the same day. Additionally, other critical data, such as personal income and spending, durable goods orders, and the second estimate of Q3 GDP growth, will be published on Wednesday. According to CME data, market participants estimate a 56% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in the upcoming Fed meeting on December 18, while a 44% chance of holding rates steady is also considered. These probabilities could shift with the release of more data ahead of the meeting. Furthermore, the minutes from the November FOMC meeting are also expected this week.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
Weekly Crypto Facts: What to expect next?Hello traders and investors! Last week saw several interesting developments in crypto assets that may influence the situation in the coming days. BTC : The breakout impulse from the range on the weekly timeframe continues. This marks the fourth weekly consecutive bullish candle, with declining volume (!) compared to the previous three. This could indicate a lack of interest from both buyers and sellers at these price levels. We might see a consolidation period. A similar situation occurred recently on the daily timeframe, where consolidation lasted for six days before a new buying impulse formed (see the post from November 15). Note that the key candle for the breakout is now from November 11. DOT : The price formed a buyer's impulse on the weekly timeframe, surpassing 6.611 (the starting level of the last seller's impulse on the weekly chart). The volume and spread of the weekly candle are impressive. It’s possible that the price may rise further without a correction. If there is a pullback to 7.775–8 and the buyer resumes, it could present a buying opportunity. OP : The price broke out above the range’s upper boundary on the weekly timeframe (1.989). The weekly candle’s volume and spread are impressive. On the daily chart, the price has been consolidating above 1.989 for three days. We are watching for the price’s reaction to 1.989—whether the buyer will defend the breakout from the range. The key candle of the last buying impulse on the daily chart from November 21 crosses 1.989. If the seller pushes the price back into the range and defends this return (at 1.989), it could be an opportunity to look for short positions. SOL : The price updated its all-time high at 259.9. The weekly candle’s volume is declining, which may indicate a lack of interest from both buyers and sellers at these levels. A consolidation period could be ahead. We will assess the seller's reaction by the end of this week. TON : Factors have emerged favoring the realization of the buyer’s vector within the range on the weekly timeframe, with a target of 7.260. Good luck with your trading and investments!
by AlexeyWolf