EurUsd- Pay attention to 1.1310Recap:
As discussed in last week's update, EURUSD bulls started losing momentum, and a correction became likely.
Current situation:
• The move from 1.1400 to 1.1577 appears to have been a blow-off top.
• Price is now stuck in the middle of the range, showing signs of weakness.
Key level to watch:
• 1.1310 is critical support.
• A confirmed break below could open the path toward the 1.1100 area.
Trading plan:
➡️ I am closely monitoring the 1.1310 zone for a potential breakdown and continuation lower.
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Multiple Time Frame Analysis
XAU/USD 28 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and Bias remains the same as analysis dated 24 April 2025.
Price printed as per my note yesterday whereby I mentioned that we should be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback.
Price subsequently printed a bearish iBOS which confirms internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded up to just short of premium of internal 50% EQ where we are seeing a reaction. Price could potentially trade further into premium of 50%, or H4/M15 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,260.190.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Long trade
Trade Overview: NZDUSD – Long Position (Trade 1) & 2
Entry Price: 0.59545
Take Profit: 0.60138 (+1.00%)
Stop Loss: 0.59391 (–0.26%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.85
🕕 Entry Time: 6:00 PM (NY Time)
📅 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
🌍 Session: New York to Tokyo Overlap (PM)
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Reasoning Narrative
Price action on NZDUSD leading into the New York close suggested bullish intent, as price had formed a higher low within a broader 1h bullish structure.
EURCHF: Pullback From Support 🇪🇺🇨🇭
There is a high chance that EURCHF will bounce
from a recently broken horizontal resistance.
After a breakout, it turned into support with a high probability.
As a confirmation signal, I see a tiny cup & handle pattern
on an hourly time frame and intraday bullish imbalance.
Goal - 0.9422
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Bitcoin - Successful Bullish Price ActionLovely bullish draw into discount but the question i am asking myself now is how long will we see conditions like this for?
From Wednesday, we have been rangebound with little to no movement inside of the balanced price range so the prices to keep an eye out on will be the breakout points @ $91,685 - $95,976 going forward this week.
Price Action + Fundamentals Point to Dollar StrengthThe current market environment presents compelling evidence for a bullish move in the US Dollar Index (DXY). While some patience is required, the setup is increasingly favorable for the dollar to appreciate in the coming weeks and months.
Key Factors Supporting a Bullish Move:
Monthly Close Above 100.160:
A critical technical level to monitor is the monthly close above 100.160. If achieved, it would signal a strong bullish breakout, setting the stage for a continuation higher. Given current price action and market dynamics, this scenario looks highly probable. However, if the price fails to close above 100.160 and instead breaks below it, we could potentially start looking for short opportunities.
Bond Market Strength (30Y, 10Y, 5Y):
This past week, we witnessed notable strength across the US bond market. Yields declined as prices rose, typically a positive signal for the dollar as it reflects capital inflows into US assets.
COT Report Insights:
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a critical shift: commercial traders, often considered the "smart money," are beginning to accumulate long positions in the dollar. This change in positioning historically precedes significant bullish moves.
Seasonal Patterns:
Seasonality also favors the dollar during this period. Historically, the dollar tends to strengthen in the mid-year months, aligning perfectly with the current technical and fundamental landscape.
Targets:
Initial Target: 106.120
Given the accumulation signs and supportive macro backdrop, a move towards 106.120 seems very realistic.
Long trade
BNBUSDT Buyside Trade
Date/Time: Sunday, 27th April 2025, 2:45 AM (New York Time)
Pair: BNBUSDT
Session: Tokyo to London Transition
Entry TF: 15-Minute
🔹 Entry: 598.55
🔹 Take Profit: 606.20 (+1.28%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 597.03 (–0.25%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 5.03
Trade Reasoning
Bullish consolidation just above a reclaimed support zone after a minor liquidity sweep.
Weekly candle close is here! Bearishness to start!!?As we can see NIFTY has formed signs of indecisiveness in bigger time frame as we had been waiting for weekly candle close in the structure making it look weak. Now our view just shifts from buying on dips to selling on rise till it closes above the previous high and hence keeping small stop losses we can make new fresh selling positions here for bigger targets so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
Long trade
DOGEUSD Buyside Trade – Full Journal
Date/Time: Sunday, 27th April 2025, 2:40 AM (New York Time)
Pair: DOGEUSD
Session: Tokyo to London Transition
Entry TF: 15-Minute
🔹 Entry: 0.17906
🔹 Take Profit: 0.18264 (+2.00%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.17857 (–0.27%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 7.31
Trade Reasoning
Consolidation breakout during low liquidity hours provided an early sign of bullish interest.
Long trade
SOLUSDT Buyside Trade – Full Journal
Date/Time: Sunday, 27th April 2025, 2:30 AM (New York Time)
Pair: SOLUSDT
Session: Tokyo to London Transition
Entry TF: 15-Minute
🔹 Entry: 146.882
🔹 Take Profit: 149.060 (+1.48%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 146.293 (–0.40%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.70
Trade Reasoning
15-minute bullish structure formed with a breakout above a short-term consolidation zone.
NZDCHF SHORTS Market structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.50000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 6.98
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Gold in a Sideways RangeHello traders and investors!
The 3283 level, which was the sellers’ target on the daily timeframe, was confidently defended by buyers.
The attacking seller’s candle at this level showed high volume but was absorbed by buyers.
On the 1H timeframe, the market is moving sideways, with active buyer initiative.
The boundaries of the range are marked on the chart with black lines.
It is reasonable to expect the price to move toward the upper boundary of the range at 3363–3370.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Long trade
ETHUSDT Buyside Trade – Full Journal
Date/Time: Saturday, 25th April 2025, 7:55 AM NY Time
Pair: ETHUSDT
Session: London AM
Entry TF: 5min
🔹 Entry: 1789.52
🔹 Take Profit: 1826.93 (+2.88%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 1775.30 (–0.42%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 5.40
Trade Reasoning
Price showed bullish structure with higher lows forming leading into the London open.
Long trade
Trade Overview: BTCUSD – Long Position
Entry Price: 94,355.20
Take Profit: 95,775.76 (+1.51%)
Stop Loss: 93,945.35 (–0.43%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.51
🕚 Entry Time: 11:45 AM (New York Time)
📅 Date: Saturday, 26th April 2025
🌍 Session: NY AM
🧭 Entry Timeframe: 15-Minute TF
Reasoning Narrative
BTCUSD formed a bullish falling wedge structure on the 15-minute timeframe, signalling a likely breakout to the upside. Price action respected the wedge boundaries with multiple touches before showing a compression toward the apex, hinting at an imminent move.