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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

USDCHF - towards 0.90810?OANDA:USDCHF is currently approaching a key support level that has acted as a strong base for upward price movement. Recent price behavior suggests this level could once again turn into a significant demand zone. If we see confirmation of bullish sentiment—such as increased buying activity or reversal candlestick patterns—there’s potential for the price to go towards 0.90810, aligning with the current trend. If the support is broken, it may point to a reversal in momentum, potentially leading to further declines. I am prepared for potential volatility to adjust the risk management accordingly.
Long
by TrendDiva
EURUSD 24-JAN-2024 NY SESSION 4H: Swing & Int Bullish Expecting PB M15: Swing & Int Bullish. Buys: Phase A. Pro Swing+Pro Counter -Not HP -Need to wait for LQ to build below impulsive move -No 4H zone to target -Can follow M15 continuation, If LQ is taken out -Target Swing High M15 -Better take traders after EQ mitigation touch Sells Phase D. Counter Swing + Counter Internal -Agressive -Playing Internal Pullback -Sell after M15 CH -After strong Liquidation Note: For Education purpose only
by ganeshmudhun
XAUUSD: Trump set the markets on fire!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour time frame and is in its ascending channel. Our initial position today will be to buy gold. If gold rises to the previous ATH, we can look for selling positions at the ceiling indicated by the upward trend line. It appears that Trump has softened his stance on tariffs, a shift that has significantly impacted the dollar. He has stated that he prefers using tariffs as a tool to control China rather than directly imposing them. Currently, a 10% tariff on Chinese imports might be implemented, though this is far from the 60% tariff he had proposed during his campaign. If Trump has taken a more lenient approach toward China, could he adopt a softer stance on other countries as well? Perhaps. Regardless, the tailwind that supported the dollar since December has officially shifted direction. The dollar seemed to hold Trump’s “trump card”—quite literally—at the start of the new year. But was that truly the case? If you recall, Trump’s stance on the dollar this time contrasts sharply with his first term in office. Now, Trump favors a weaker dollar—or at least that’s what he said last year. The only viable option to achieve this is pressuring the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates more quickly, and it seems that’s precisely what he’s trying to do. He now claims that he “understands interest rates better than the Federal Reserve” and insists that rates should be reduced “immediately.” However, this does not necessarily mean the Fed will alter its current policy. The Federal Reserve’s mandate typically operates beyond political influence, but Trump could ease the situation if he merely talks about tariffs without taking action. This would help alleviate inflation concerns, but we might need to wait a few more months to be certain, which is likely what Federal Reserve policymakers would prefer. That said, one can never rule out the possibility of Trump abruptly changing his mind. For now, however, it seems the dollar has started the new year under Trump’s influence. As tariff concerns fade, the focus will shift back to inflation and labor market data to determine where the economy heads from here.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
XAU/USD 24 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action. Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range. Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later. Intraday Expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line. It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price printed as per yesterday's analysis by trading down to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. Price has printed a bullish iBOS and subsequently as bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pulback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,778.455. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Brent - What will Trump's oil policies be?!Brent oil is in the 4-hour timeframe, between EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its medium-term ascending channel. We will look for oil selling opportunities on the supply zone. If the $75 level is broken, we can see the continuation of the downtrend. On the other hand, we can buy in the demand zone with a risk-reward approach. When Donald Trump launched his election campaign, he threatened to impose 25% tariffs on America’s largest trading partners unless they addressed their trade surpluses with the U.S. Analysts described this idea as risky. However, Bloomberg has reported that, while this strategy is far from subtle, it has proven effective. This threat turned importers into U.S. customers. Energy importers from Asian countries began purchasing more crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the United States, aiming to appease Trump before he took any action on tariffs. Saul Kavonic, an energy analyst at MST Marquee, told Bloomberg that U.S. trading partners view LNG purchases as a tool for negotiating tariffs with the Trump administration. He added that since last November’s election, orders for U.S. energy shipments have risen. Shortly after the election, Trump specifically suggested that the European Union should buy more LNG from the U.S. to offset its significant trade surplus. At the time, Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, stated there was no reason why the EU couldn’t replace Russian LNG with American liquefied gas. However, her statement was perhaps not the most well-considered. The EU’s preference for Russian LNG and its hesitation toward American LNG primarily stems from pricing issues. Even this year, the region’s purchases of Russian LNG have reached record levels. As reported by the Financial Times earlier this week, the EU is highly sensitive to price considerations. According to an EU official, price remains a critical and determining factor. Bernd Lange, head of the European Parliament’s trade committee, previously remarked that Europe’s demand for LNG could align with America’s eagerness to sell more.He added that discussions on this issue are feasible. Trump has consistently emphasized his interest in deals that benefit the United States above all. On his first day in office, Trump revoked Biden’s executive order that halted permits for new LNG export capacity. This decision will expand U.S. export capacity over the next four years, potentially lowering prices depending on demand levels. The World Trade Organization’s chief warned that reciprocal tariff retaliation could result in a double-digit reduction in global GDP, a scenario that would have catastrophic consequences.
BLACKBULL:BRENTShort
by Ali_PSND
GBPUSD - UK away from the tariff hype?!The GBPUSD currency pair is located between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of a downward correction of the currency pair, we can buy this currency pair within the specified demand zone. If the upward trend continues due to the release of today's economic data, we can see the supply zone and sell within that range with an appropriate reward for the risk. According to Bloomberg, the UK is likely to face repeated technical recessions after a decline in its economic growth potential, which has left the economy more vulnerable to growth shocks. Analyses indicate that the UK’s trend growth rate—the maximum rate at which the economy can sustainably grow without causing inflation—has dropped from an annual average of 2.5% between 1955 and 2009 to just 1.2% in the coming years. The UK’s Chancellor of the Exchequer, Rachel Reeves, stated that recent movements in the bond market were not directed against the UK. She added that, based on bond yield trends this year, the UK is in alignment with its peers. Reeves emphasized the need for patience, as there are still two months left until the Office for Budget Responsibility delivers its forecasts. She expressed confidence in the ability to boost growth figures and mentioned that, if necessary, new fiscal measures would be announced on March 26. However, Goldman Sachs predicted that the Bank of England would cut interest rates six times by next year, citing the UK’s entry into a recession. Meanwhile, Donald Trump questioned Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s decisions on interest rates, stating that he plans to speak with the central bank’s head “at the right time.” Trump remarked, “I think I understand interest rates much better than they do, and certainly better than the person who is primarily responsible for making these decisions.” Key Points from Trump’s Virtual Speech at Davos: • Government spending has exceeded projections by $1.5 trillion. • The United States has experienced the highest inflation in its history. • America has the largest oil reserves in the world and will utilize them. • The U.S. will become the global capital of AI and digital currencies. • Congress will pass the largest tax cuts in American history. • If you don’t manufacture your products in the U.S., you will absolutely pay tariffs. • If oil prices drop, the war between Russia and Ukraine will immediately end. • I want interest rates to be reduced immediately!
Long
by Ali_PSND
EURUSD 24 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - EU & US PMIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 24 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Nothing much changed in sentiment since Tramp inauguration, yesterday Trump ease the tone on tariffs which gave optimism in the market (Risk Off) and weakened the dollar across the board. Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings. Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook. US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation after BOS 2️⃣ 🔹As expected, price created a bullish BOS as per the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback. 🔹Price didn’t mitigate any supply after the BOS so there is a high probability that we will continue up till we reach the 4H or Daily supply to initiate a BOS pullback phase (Can’t be ruled, we always have the expectation that a pullback will start at any time after any break of structure). 🔹Price mitigated the 4H demand within the 4H bullish INT structure and currently targeting the 4H Weak INT high. 3️⃣ 🔹My expectations is set for price to continue bullish till we mitigate a 4H/Daily supply. 🔹Will be following the LTF to follow the expectation of bullish continuation while putting in consideration the probability of a bearish move for the bullish BOS pullback phase that can start anytime. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish / ii Structure Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹After the Bullish BOS, price still holding bullish respecting the Bullish INT Structure. 🔹INT Structure Strong low liquidity swept and price mitigated the 4H demand zone to continue bullish. 🔹** 15m Swing is currently the 4H swing and I started mapping the ii Structure until I can reset my 15m Swing with a bigger price range. 3️⃣ 🔹Currently ii Structure is bullish and we are in continuation phase to target the Weak INT High. 🔹Expectations is that price to continue bullish and to mitigate the 4H/Daily Supply zone to maybe initiate a pullback phase.
by Amr-Sadek
Trump, BOJ could be the ideal divergent theme for USD/JPY bearsWe've just seen the BOJ deliver a hawkish hike, where they upgraded their inflation forecasts and cited rising wage pressures. This leaves the door open for further hikes this year. Meanwhile, Trump is now trying to strongarm the Fed and global central banks to lower interest rates immediately. Together, this is the ideal divergent theme currency traders crave. And the icing on the cake for USD/JPY bears would be if Trump begins his attack on a strong USD (which I think he will). Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Short
by CityIndex
1
Stock Of The Day / 01.23.25 / SMR01.23.2025 / NYSE:SMR Fundamentals. Neutral news background. Technical analysis. Daily chart: Uptrend. We mark the previous day's high at 26.50. Premarket: Increased activity without a clearly defined trend movement. Trading session: The upward movement from the opening was stopped at 26.50. The pullback did not lead to a change in trend and we are observing an unsuccessful second attempt to breakout the level at 10:30 a.m. After that we are observing a very small pullback, which indicates the weakness of sellers. We are observing a retest on decreasing volumes after breakout the level at 10:42. We are considering a long trade to continue the upward movement. Trading scenario: #breakout-retest (#tightening-retest) of level 26.50 Entry: 26.86 above the high of the retest. Aggressive entry into the breakout without waiting for a retest is acceptable, when setting a stop behind the low of the last pullback. Stop: 26.47 we hide it behind the level. Exit: In this trade, it is quite difficult to manage the position following the trend, so taking profit with RR 1/3 or higher will be a good result. Risk Rewards: 1/6 P.S. In order to understand the idea of the Stock Of The Day analysis, please read the following information .
NYSE:SMRLong
by AlexX31
2
Potential trade setup on S&P 500We are looking at a long trade on S&P 500 based on the stretch strategy. There is trend,stretch and direction alignment with this trade on both 1h and Daily TF. Early entry was taken on swing high breakout on 1h for a trend change. There is a high probability for range,previous daily high and range to be formed to the upside. We will exit the trade once range has been achieved. Trader Order Details: S&P 500(Long) E - 6083 SL - 6066 T - 6122 We will be tracking this move and updating the post as we go along on the charts and on video. Keep a look out for it traders.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by masterthemarkets2010
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) - How Long Do We Hold $100,000 For?Happy new year traders! This is a perfect time to do a review on BTCUSD as it's the 1st month where you see the beginnings of the 6-Month candle form, which can be very powerful for gauging a bias. MASSSSIVEEE movements from 2023 onwards, booking returns of over 550% if you bought during the beginning of that year. When you think about a healthy market, you also consider the likelihood of a retracement which, in Bitcoin's case has not occurred since 2022. The question isn't if but when...
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by LegendSince