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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

short trade 🟥 Sellside Trade Log 📉 Pair: AUD/USD 🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session AM 🧠 Setup: Breakdown from Ascending Channel 🆔 Trade ID: #AUDUSD 📅 Date: Monday, 12th May 2025 🕐 Time: 1:00 AM 🔹 Entry Price: 0.64382 🔹 Profit Target: 0.63714 (-1.04%) 🔹 Stop Loss: 0.64630 (+0.39%) 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 2.69 🔍 Reasoning: Sellside trade based on a breakdown below an ascending channel. Price failed to sustain support near the upper boundary and broke below the channel, signalling a shift in market structure. This setup confirmed the potential for a move lower, with entry positioned near the breakdown point, targeting the next level of support below the channel.
Short
by davidjulien369
Short trade 1Hr TF overview 🟥 Sellside Trade Log 📉 Pair: EUR/USD 🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session AM 🧠 Setup: Breakdown from Triangle + Resistance 🆔 Trade ID: #EURUSD-0512A 📅 Date: Monday, 12th May 2025 🕑 Time: 2:00 AM 🔹 Entry Price: 1.12309 🔹 Profit Target: 1.10713 (-1.42%) 🔹 Stop Loss: 1.12424 (+0.10%) 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 13.88 🔍 Reasoning: Sellside trade taken following a breakdown from a triangle formation, with price rejecting firmly from a well-established resistance zone. The structure showed compression into resistance, followed by a decisive break to the downside during the Tokyo AM session. Entry was timed at the base of the pattern as momentum shifted, aligning with expected liquidity sweep beneath the formation.
Short
by davidjulien369
1
XAUUSD - Is Gold Going Down?!Gold is trading in its descending channel on the four-hour timeframe, between the EMA200 and EMA50. A downward correction in gold will open up buying opportunities from the demand areas. Investors in the precious metals market witnessed another week of gold’s strong performance. Although overall optimism about a potential reduction in trade tariffs slightly slowed gold’s momentum, robust demand from Asia and other global regions provided solid support, preventing any major market correction. At the beginning of the week, gold prices fell by over 1% on Monday as news of a trade agreement between the U.S. and China prompted investors to shift toward riskier assets. This drop occurred alongside easing geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan, which also contributed to a calmer market atmosphere. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamison Greer announced that the two nations had reached an agreement during negotiations in Geneva, Switzerland. The deal, which is expected to be released as a joint statement, signals a reduction in trade tensions that had escalated in recent weeks with tariffs reaching as high as 145% on Chinese imports. As part of the agreement, the U.S. and China plan to establish a joint economic and trade consultation mechanism to continue discussions on tariffs. President Donald Trump hinted last week at a potential reduction in tariffs to 80%, although the official details of the deal have yet to be disclosed. Adam Button, Chief Currency Strategist at Forexlive.com, commented that in the current market environment, it is difficult not to be bullish on gold. However, he warned that any de-escalation in U.S.-China tensions could dampen the strength of gold’s rally. He added, “Even though a 50% reduction in tariffs wouldn’t be the final chapter, if implemented, it would represent fairly rapid progress and a positive sign for both parties.” In addition to trade developments, the easing of tensions in Kashmir and a ceasefire agreement between India and Pakistan have also reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold. The ceasefire, brokered by the United States, remained largely intact over the weekend. Adrian Day, CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management, stated that his outlook on gold remains unchanged. He explained, “Rising concerns over a potential U.S. recession, coupled with cautious optimism about easing trade tensions—especially between Washington and Beijing—could exert pressure on gold. However, gold’s notable resilience against price declines indicates underlying demand that has not yet fully entered the market.” Meanwhile, Darin Newsom, Senior Market Analyst at Barchart.com, firmly maintained a bullish view on precious metals. He said, “If I had to write one analytical sentence on the market board, it would be: Precious metals must rally. I emphasize ‘must’ because nothing is certain in the markets. My bearish call last week was wrong, and it’s clear that technical analysis has become almost obsolete—especially in today’s world where algorithm-driven trading dominates.” After a week largely influenced by the Federal Reserve’s meeting and tariff-related headlines, market focus now shifts to a data-heavy week featuring a broad range of U.S. economic indicators. The action kicks off Tuesday with the release of the April Consumer Price Index (CPI), a report that could offer insights into whether the Fed might cut interest rates in its June meeting. The real highlight, however, is expected on Thursday, when key reports are scheduled to be published, including the Producer Price Index (PPI), retail sales figures, jobless claims data, and two major regional indices—the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey and the Empire State manufacturing index. Amidst this flood of information, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is also set to deliver a speech in Washington, which could serve as a major catalyst for market movement. To wrap up the week, markets await Friday’s release of the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for May—a report often viewed as a psychological gauge of American consumer behavior.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
NZDJPY price action trading n a weekly timeframe, the market revisited a previously tested zone. On the 1-hour chart, it broke out of this zone, and on the 15-minute chart, a backtest of the breakout level is currently occurring. Based on this setup, I’m planning to enter a trade. Trade Plan: Take Profit (TP): Targeting the last swing high. Stop Loss (SL): Placing it below the last resistance level. Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): Aiming for a minimum of 1:3. This setup offers a high-probability trade with a favorable risk-reward ratio, capitalizing on the breakout and backtest confirmation.
Long
by yuvawealth
Long trade 🟩 Buyside Trade Log 📈 Pair: SOL/USDT 🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND → NY Session PM 🧠 Setup: Breakout 🆔 Trade ID: #SOL-0511B 📅 Date: Sunday, 11th May 2025 🕐 Time: 1:00 PM 🔹 Entry Price: 172.541 🔹 Profit Target: 178.912 (+5.02%) 🔹 Stop Loss: 172.316 (-0.31%) 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 16.24 The buyside breakout was confirmed during the LND to NY session transition. Price action displayed sustained momentum through prior resistance, accompanied by strong volatility during the session overlap. Market structure and order flow favoured continuation, with a clear liquidity void overhead. The entry signal was triggered as price reached the previous and pivotal zone — the Sellside/Buyside In Balance (SIBI) area — further validating directional intent.
Long
by davidjulien369
NAS100 - Stock Market Expects a Devastating Week!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect corrective moves from the specified range, but if the index corrects towards the demand range, we can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with a good risk-reward ratio. U.S. stock futures responded positively to signals from both Chinese and American officials. Looking ahead to the coming week, investor focus is squarely on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report from the United States—marking the first chance to assess the impact of the new tariffs implemented on April 9. Meanwhile, ongoing trade negotiations between the U.S. and China remain a crucial factor, with significant implications for inflation, Federal Reserve policy, and overall market expectations. In addition to inflation data, retail sales figures and the preliminary results of the University of Michigan sentiment survey could influence market outlook regarding interest rates—especially since price stability and full employment remain core mandates of the Federal Reserve. At present, Fed officials are working to maintain a cautious stance in order to anchor inflation expectations. However, if clear signs of economic weakness emerge, that stance could shift rapidly—something that several Fed officials have already openly acknowledged. Retail sales, in particular, could provide a different narrative about the health of the economy. After a notable 1.5% jump in March, estimates suggest that growth in April slowed to just 0.1%. This deceleration may reflect consumer reluctance to spend, stemming either from inflationary pressures or broader economic uncertainty. Thursday’s data release will include the Producer Price Index (PPI), industrial production, and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index—offering a clearer picture of supply-side dynamics and the performance of the industrial sector. On Friday, attention will turn to a fresh batch of economic indicators: building permits, housing starts, the New York (Empire State) manufacturing index, and especially the University of Michigan’s preliminary consumer sentiment survey. This survey has gained importance in recent months due to notable increases in both one-year and five-year inflation expectations. As recent charts indicate, while consumer confidence has plummeted to multi-year lows, inflation expectations have trended upward—a worrisome combination that could limit the Fed’s ability to ease monetary policy. Although concerns about a U.S. recession persist, recent data suggest more of a “gradual slowdown” rather than signs of an imminent crisis. In March, both the CPI and PCE indices declined, indicating a temporary easing of inflationary pressures. However, this trend may reverse in April, as the broad implementation of reciprocal tariffs likely raised import costs—particularly for Chinese goods, which now face duties as high as 145%. New estimates indicate that these tariffs could add 2.25% to core inflation over the next year, effectively reversing the progress made in 2024 on taming price pressures.Prior to the Trump administration’s tariff announcements, economists had differing views on inflation, with some expecting it to approach the Fed’s 2% annual target by year-end. Contrary to trade experts, Trump claimed that sellers would not pass these price increases on to consumers. Goldman Sachs’ analysis this week suggests that Trump’s tariffs could push inflation to levels not seen since the post-pandemic price surge. The broad import taxes announced between February and April may have a substantial impact on the economy, and consumers are likely to feel the effects first at the checkout counter. Goldman economists estimate that the tariffs could drive annual inflation—as measured by core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE)—to 3.8% by December, marking the highest rate since 2023. The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge rose 2.6% last year. This metric remains above the Fed’s 2% target and has shown limited progress toward that goal since 2023. The last time inflation was below this benchmark was in January 2021. A renewed wave of price increases could severely strain American household budgets—particularly if the labor market also weakens, as many economists anticipate. This would also represent a significant setback for the Federal Reserve, which has kept interest rates elevated since 2022 in an effort to combat post-pandemic inflation. While inflation hovered around 3% at the beginning of 2024 with little change, it saw a notable drop in March. Many analysts forecast that inflation will continue to decline and approach the 2% target by the end of 2025. Walker and Peng’s analysis factored in both the direct effects of tariffs—most of which will likely be passed on to consumers—and several indirect consequences. The trade war has unexpectedly weakened the U.S. dollar, reducing Americans’ purchasing power. Moreover, some manufacturers may shift production away from China, where tariffs are particularly severe, to locations with higher production costs. As a result, American consumers may end up paying significantly more for imported goods, especially in categories like consumer electronics and apparel.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
Short trade 4Hr TF overview 🟥 Sellside Trade Log 📉 Pair: NZD/USD 🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session AM 🧠 Setup: Descending Channel Breakdown 🆔 Trade ID: #NZDUSD-0512A 📅 Date: Monday, 12th May 2025 🕐 Time: 1:00 AM 🔹 Entry Price: 0.59251 🔹 Profit Target: 0.58484 (-1.28%) 🔹 Stop Loss: 0.59443 (+0.34%) 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.99 🔍 Reasoning: Sellside trade executed following a breakdown from a descending channel formation during the Tokyo AM session. Price action respected the upper trendline multiple times before failing to hold mid-channel support. The breakdown confirmed bearish intent with increased momentum and order flow alignment. Target set below the channel’s lower boundary, aiming to capture liquidity resting beneath the structure.
Short
by davidjulien369
BTC - Ready for a breakout?Hey traders and investors! On the 10-day chart, an intriguing situation is unfolding. Sellers tested the Key Candle of the previous accumulation breakout — level 89,256, and the buyer’s initiative resumed. Then, a manipulation (false breakout) occurred at the 89,256 test level. Volumes reveal the narrative: sellers sold off at high volumes, while buyers absorbed on declining volumes. Now, a buyer zone has formed below, with the upper boundary at 99,475. Just a few steps away from the ATH. A pullback is always possible, but for now, there are no signs of weakness (even a pullback to 89,256 wouldn't disrupt the bullish structure). Now, the main question: 💡 How far up? +30,000? This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Copper Eyeing Key Reversal Point – Will It Break Above 4.68152 ?Copper is currently hovering near the 4.68152 🔼 resistance after rebounding from the 4.50280 🔽 support. Price is reacting to the 50-period SMA, which is slightly above current levels and may act as a dynamic resistance. The overall structure remains mixed with recent lower highs, but bulls have stepped in at key support. Support at: 4.50280 🔽, 4.27241 🔽, 4.04129 🔽 Resistance at: 4.68152 🔼, 4.83230 🔼, 4.95323 🔼 Bias: 🔼 Bullish: A breakout and retest above 4.68152, and ideally a clean move above the 50 SMA, could signal bullish continuation toward 4.83230 and 4.95323. 🔽 Bearish: A strong rejection at 4.68152 or a drop below 4.50280 could send price back toward 4.27241. 📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
CAPITALCOM:COPPER
by SPOT_FX