Long trade
15min TF overview
1min TF entry
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📅 Date: Saturday, 10th May 2025
🕔 Time: 5:00 AM (LDN Session AM)
🔹 Entry Price: 2367.28
🔹 Profit Target: 2490.46 (+5.20%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 2363.65 (-0.15%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 33.83
Reason: Price reached a pivotal support level indicative of a buyside trade. Based on the narrative of supply and demand
1min TF
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
NZDCHF SHORtsEntry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.50000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 6.98
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Dow Jones Month of May Has Revealed Its Hand The first 10 days has trades in May and it has now shown its hand on what type of cycle this is. It is not a trending cycle nor a market maker cycle but a range bound cycle.
Just like in February, the Monthly open, in orange, is going to be major support until it breaks through it.
The purple line is May's FOMC release.
Look for a flush of the two equal lows and price to form a bottom slightly under the Monthly Open before a rally higher.
FOMC releases are used as MAJOR, MAJOR support and resistance levels. Expect May's FOMC level to do the same. Expect May's Monthly Open to be the price that price mean reverts around.
The average Monthly range is 3000 ticks. Using the Monthly open as roughly the 50% area, the range should be about 39,200-42,200
Below is a guide for upcoming daytrades and what to look for:
A layering into FOMC with the removal of the three lows. Two of which are suspended above the FOMC level
Major support trade where price flushes the lows under the Monthly Open and a rally back inside.
A short trade after price runs the highs of the two equal highs inside of the peak high.
Moral of the story?
Break out your range playbooks and fade every break. Look for highs and lows to be put in under/ over major swings. Price will run these levels.
USDCAD: Bullish Move Will Continue 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD will likely continue rising after a retest of a recently
broken significant daily resistance cluster.
A double bottom pattern formation on its retest provides
a strong intraday bullish confirmation.
Canadian fundamentals data strengthened buyers even more.
I think that the pair is going to reach 1.3955 level soon.
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Waiting for Altseason?Hey traders and investors!
🚀 Overview of the Altcoin Market without BTC & ETH (TOTAL3)
📊 Volume Analysis of TOTAL3:
Previous POC: $1.7 trillion — the level where volumes accumulated after the last rally and correction.
Current POC: $820 billion — the level where major volumes have concentrated over the past 5 weeks. This is 10% below the current market cap.
To the Previous POC: There's still 19% potential upside to reach the previous POC.
📈 What Does It Mean?
The shift in POC downwards suggests buyers are active at $820 billion, potentially forming a new support zone and a point for continued growth.
💬 What do you think — a signal for growth or just calm before another drop? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Wishing you profitable trades!
My Thoughts #006My Thoughts
Are that we still continuing with the bullish trend still waiting for a choch on the 4h demand zone to take my trade as illustrated...
We need to see the pair move from bearish to bullish trend in line with the overall trend
The pair could sell
use proper risk management
Let's do the most
Ethereum, ridiculously oversold - $2.5k soon - April 16th, 2025Currently Without Worries has a higher timeframe “short” opened on Ethereum since $3800. It was not popular. (see idea below - By the way, 32 likes 2.7k views? You want me to keep posting or not?! Like to let me know otherwise off I go!)
Corrections in price action are never in a straight line, just as within a bull market. At this moment in time on the above 8 day chart price action has not been this oversold since the bear market of 2018 with an RSI below 30. The mindset of sellers today is 100% emotional.
What should you expect?
A rally to $2500, which is market structure. This rally will draw in fresh exit liquidity and no doubt invite a number of spiteful public comments “You’re wrong!”.
Regardless, the chart is our News, a rejection from market structure will take price action down to the long anticipated forecast area of circa $700 (see below) and confirm the expected bull trap.
Ww
Ethereum $3800 short idea
Ethereum to $700 idea
BTCUSD - Supply Zone Talkin' Heavy / 4H PerspectiveA lot of people screamin' bullish right now, but me? I let the charts talk louder than the crowd.
Marked up BTC off request, But you know I dont touch charts unless I see the logic. And right here? We sittin' pretty deep in a 4H supply zone, tapping into premium pricing. Higher timeframe context backs the area - Liquidity swept, inefficiences filled. You feel me?
Next step? I'm sliding down to the 30M mid timeframe, looking for that internal shift in structure - that clean CHoch to the downside . Once I get that confirmation, it's game on.. Anticipating a sell - side reaction, not just off hope, but off logic and precision.
I aint here to guess, I'm to execute. until the buyers show me dominance with structure, i'm bearish - biased and patient.
Let's see if BTC repsects the zone......
Otherwise? We adapt and flip the narrative like a real techician.
Let the market talk. I just translate.
- #SMC #BTCUSD #SmartMoneyTrader #PriceAction
#SupplyZone #CHoCHLoading #TrustTheProcess
Skeptic |EUR/USD : Bearish Breakout Unlocks Deep Corrections!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s start this Friday morning with a fresh EUR/USD analysis—some juicy setups are waiting! 😊 Our previous long position after the 1.13485 resistance break turned out to be a fake breakout, hitting our stop loss. But the short trigger I mentioned below 1.12676 activated, hitting a 2:1 R/R with a safe stop loss. Now, we’ve seen a pullback to that broken level, and if the trend continues, we can find more solid triggers. Stick with me to break it all down! Let’s start with the Daily Timeframe. 📊
📅 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
The upward channel on the daily chart has finally broken , and when we talk about a channel break, we don’t mean a weak one—this was confirmed by two strong bearish candles. We might see a pullback to the channel, but if not, a break below the 1.12006 support could send us into a deeper correction toward 1.08454 . To confirm a full trend reversal, we’d need to see lower highs and lower lows on the daily.
So, with this in mind, it’s smarter to take positions in lower timeframes (like 4H or below) in the direction of the current bearish momentum to boost your win rate and R/R. Let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe for the actionable setups.
⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
After a prolonged box range and a fake breakout above the box’s ceiling, the price has now broken lower and is pulling back. For our short setup, we already have a position open from above at 1.12676 . But after a break of 1.12012 (which aligns with daily support), we can add to our position—with proper capital and risk management, of course.
Another confirmation for the short? The RSI entering oversold territory can be a solid signal. Why oversold? We need tools to gauge momentum, like SMA, RSI, or volume (though volume only works well in crypto since forex volume isn’t transparent due to bank transactions, etc. In crypto, every transaction is recorded, so volume is reliable). RSI is one of my go-to tools for spotting momentum shifts, and it’s been a profit machine for me. But remember: oscillators and indicators aren’t entry signals —they’re confirmations for the setups we’re trading. Want to learn more? I could drop a few YouTube videos on RSI alone—it’s worth the deep dive! 📚
For a long setup , we’d need a return to the box range and a break above resistance at 1.13740 to open a long. I’m not giving any long triggers before that because, as we said, the daily momentum has shifted to a downtrend, and we don’t want to trade against the higher timeframe flow.
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
Gold in a Range — Caution for BuyersHey traders and investors!
On the daily timeframe, gold remains in a sideways range (marked by black lines).
The seller's initiative is still active and hasn't reached its target yet.
A seller zone has formed — highlighted by a red rectangle on the chart.
It’s better to look for buy setups around 3260 and 3201-3167.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Stock Of The Day / 05.08.25 / ADMA05.08.2025 / NASDAQ:ADMA
Fundamentals. Negative earnings report
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Pullback on an uptrend. We mark the level of 18.80 formed by the trend break in April 2025.
Premarket: Gap Down on moderate volume.
Trading session: The downward movement from the opening of the trading session is stopped at the level of 18.80. After the first touch of the level, the price makes a small pullback and forms an accumulation above the level of 19.00. We are considering a long trade in the countertrend in case of holding the level of 19.0.
Trading scenario: #rebound from the level of 19.00
Entry: 19.38 when exiting upward from the accumulation above the level.
Stop: 18.96 we hide it below the level with a small reserve.
Exit: We observe a strong impulse movement without a trend structure. It is optimal to cover such movements in parts upon reaching certain risk-rewards targets (1/3, 1/4, etc.) with subsequent tightening of the stop. Cover the last part of the position at a price of 21.36 upon the appearance of a reversal candlestick pattern.
Risk Rewards: 1/4
P.S. In order to understand the idea of the Stock Of The Day analysis, please read the following information .
Dxy bullish idea for next week - MMBMThis is a bullish possibility for DXY price action for next week.
Monthly:
- Price took a swing low confluent with a bearish breaker in discount and closed above the level;
Weekly:
- Price Took a swing below monthly swing with a bullish reaction. If this week closes with above previous weeks high, it confirms a bullish weekly swing;
Daily:
- Monday printed the likelly low of the week
- A daily fair value gap is open allow with a volume imballance around monday open signalling bullish price action - a retrace to these levels would be a good buying opportunity.
4h:
- there is a market maker buy model in play.
- as of now, price already printed an intermidiate term low signalling that low risk buy myght have happened.
News forecast:
- I expect NFP to either retrace price to daily fvg or daily volume imbalance and leave a bullish reaction.
- FOMC next week might bring the volatility to complete the mmbm
Thank you for reading