GBPUSD Week 9 Swing Zone/LevelsLast week saw a few pinched pips and also few losses. This highlights the benefit of having a good risk to reward ratio.
Weekly zone and levels are mapped based on previous week daily high-low relationship (ie Monday HL in relation to Tuesday in relation to Wednesday HL, etc). This generates a fairly accurate levels with actual price action determining trades.
SL, stoploss is usually btw 10-15pips
TP, Takeprofit is 5-10x that, with sl moving to BE, breakeven once trade pinches +20pips.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
BITCOIN - $88,000 PERFECT DELIVERY! *LATE UPLOAD*I'm absolutely gutted I could not upload this post before the new weeks candle.
Due to technical difficulties, I had to re-upload 2 hours worth of work whilst having a jam packed weekend.
If upload was made on Sunday, my bias would be short. But due to the current circumstances, I must be neutral as $88,000 weekly equilibrium has been delivered.
Sitting on my hands awaiting for the next run.
GBP/USD - Pound Pummels Dollar!With three consecutive weeks of bullish price action, we have seen the impact it's had on the Dollar index, sliding to new weekly lows. If this continues, we can expect the continuation of GBPUSD to run up into the 1.27000 region.
We have seen the successful delivery of bullish price action last week. When will this run end?
USD/CAD rallies for fourth day into resistanceUSD/CAD has continued higher for a fourth day, but I suspect this is part of a countertrend move around a larger move lower.
Market positioning his extreme levels of record short exposure to CAD futures last year, and many of these bears refused to return despite USD/CAD continuing higher. The sharp reversal lower from 1.48 also suggests we have seen a significant top on the pair.
I am now seeking evidence of a swing high around the 1.4386 HVN (high-volume node) and for momentum to realign with the sharp selloff witness at 1.48.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
AUD/USD dip could be nearing its inflection pointAfter a 3-week rally which stalled around the 64c handle with a shooting star candle, a pullback was almost inevitable. but we have already seen AUD/USD fall for four consecutive days, and recent history shows its bearish streaks tend to max out at five down days. Given support is nearby and the AU-US 2-year yield is rising, I am now seeking a swing low around the 0.62750 - 0.6300 area for at least a minor bounce.
But if the recent swing low on the US dollar index gives way, perhaps something much bigger.
A break above 0.6420 opens up a run to 0.6500.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
BOME to Boom 500% by end of March?Price action has corrected 85% since mid November, a number of reasons now exist to have long exposure. They include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Regular bullish divergence. Look left.
3) Falling wedge confirmation forecasts circa 550% extension.
Is it possible price action continues correcting? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Incoming $1trillion dollar correction for crypto people... ** weeks ahead **
Is the market top in? This next move in the market will certainly convince the crypto folks that it is.
According to social media, Youtube influencers etc.. the bull run is just beginning.
That is in despite of a swathe of News article headlines “Bitcoin reaches new all time high $100k” and the janitor I have not spoken to in 10 years asking me if I'm buying Bitcoin.
The signs are there.
On the above 6 day chart, the TOTAL crypto market capitalisation, currently 3.57 trillion dollars price action has risen 46% since the November breakout. A number of reasons now exist for a bearish outlook:
1) Price action and RSI support breakdowns. Indeed the November breakouts requires confirmation of support on past resistance to allow for continuation. That's a long way down.
2) Support is exactly $1 trillion below at $2.57 trillion.
3) Price action is at a significant Fibonacci extension, look left.
4) This signal is found across the entire crypto market on both 6 day and weekly charts, in other words there is confluence across timeframes. That is important.
Is it possible speculators keep throwing good money after bad in the hope price go up? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Bulls make money.
Bears make money.
Pigs get slaughtered.
TOTAL3 - Hanging man
OTHERS total - Hanging man
TESTING PATIENCE As we can see NIFTY despite trying is not able to close itself inside the structure which indicates lurking weakness in coming sessions but intuition says we may see NIFTY’s weekly candle could probably close inside the structure leading to the end of bear trend and change of trend so plan your trades accordingly .
GBPUSD Weekly Review: Feb 24th - 28thThe cable is still showing bullish with dollar concerns on the rates and the pound being stronger at the moment.
Last week
Monday & Tuesday: Consolidation
Wednesday: Downward breakout, filling the imbalance, forming the week's low
Thursday: Price rallied higher, taking out buy-side liquidity and ERL @1.2666
Friday: Price traded lower to close the week, closing in a 4hr buy-side imbalance
Forecast and Key Levels:
Immediate bounce off @1.2630
Potential targets if trading lower:
Weekly BISI @1.2560
Lower @1.2550
Targets on the upside:
Last week's high @1.26800
Buy-side liquidity @1.27300
Ultimate target @1.28000 which is at the monthly sibi
DXY Confluence:
DXY has a daily FVG (Fair Value Gap) to be filled, which could lead to a move lower targeting @105.40
EU and the world will aslo be following closely the Germany elecions 23rd/feb/2025.
IS USDJPY HAVE BUY SIDE LEQUIDITY?USDJPY is Sweep Buy Side Lequidity now sell side Lequidity Rest In Upside Market Will Go And Hunt These Lequidities That I Mentioned In Chart Be Patience Be Discipline With Your Strategies Without Knowing Market Behaviors Not Put Your Harder Money.
This Is Analysis Not A Financial Advice DYOR.
BTC Trade✅ After testing POI 1W (FVG) & triggering FL 1D ($89,100), we got a 4H VC → Taking a LONG position targeting the nearest FVG 1D zone
📈 Plan:
Expecting liquidity pool formation & its raid as price delivers.
Watching for VC 1D buyer formation—if confirmed, targeting 1W TF levels.
⚠️ Risk Factor:
50% FVG 1W ($85,480) remains unfilled → Potential sweep before upside continuation.
XAU/USD 26 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis and bias.
Price has printed a bearish CHocH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,954.955
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed as per alternative scenario analysis whereby I mentioned that as we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS, which price printed.
As a result of the bearish iBOS, we now have a confirmed swing high.
Price has also printed a bearish CHoCH and traded in to premium of internal 50% EQ.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price should target weak internal low priced at 2,888.180.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart: