Nasdaq Insights: Uncovering Today’s Opportunities 08-NOV-2024Rise and shine, traders! Start your day with actionable Nasdaq insights. Let's grow your skills together, one chart at a time.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
ZN Long 11/7/2024ZN is in a downtrend but price crossed above MA in 4hr chart. Placed a long position in confluence HV DZ. Taking a small risk because price crossed above, retested the MA but no FT. Risk= $78.13. Target= opposing SZ.
NG Short 11/6/2024NG is in a downtrend in daily and 4hr chart. Macro match. Price made LH DT. Placed a short position in HV SZ. Taking half risk because the zone is retest of above zone. Risk= $125. Target= opposing HV DZ.
SolanaHi guys
on the weekly time frame; If the red downtrend line breaks upwards, we may be ready to complete the flag pattern.
But the situation is not interesting here at the moment.
If the red support area ($104.5) is completely consumed, we expect a reaction from the area of $188.4 or $160.3, and the possibility of continuing the downward trend to the specified price area is strengthened.
If the support area of $104.5 is preserved and the downtrend line is broken upwards, our mentality for an uptrend will be strengthened.
What do you think?
How I Rode the Gold Trend Using Multi-Timeframe AnalysisHey Traders! 📈
I want to share an analysis of a recent opportunity on Gold that came up, focusing on using multi-timeframe analysis to spot a reaccumulation pattern.
Market Context:
On the daily timeframe, Gold was showing a retracement. By zooming into the 1H timeframe, I identified what seemed like a reaccumulation (REACC) model—giving a potential entry point to go long in this trending market.
The Entry Setup:
On the 1H TF, after a retrace, the price continued the uptrend with strong structure, confirming a breakout.
I entered long, aligning with the market trend and using a trailing stop to manage the position and capture potential further upside.
Floating PnL:
Right now, the trade is floating around 12RR and still trailing! This is a great example of how multi-timeframe analysis can help uncover high-probability setups.
This educational breakdown is meant to help others see the power of combining market structure and risk management to stay in profitable trades. Hope this helps you spot similar setups in the future! 🚀
Leave a comment if you surfed with this trend too!
FILECOIN LONG-SWING TRADINGI’m starting to go long on altcoins, beginning with Filecoin. I see a realistic target before the weekend, ahead of a potential breakout.
BINANCE:FILUSDT
This is a swing trade setup, with the plan to close it by the weekend or on Sunday at the latest.
Entry Strategy:
OTE (0.705) + FVA + FVG + Overlapping Defense
Trade Management:
Consider taking the first profit at the 1.62 Fibonacci level. However, with altseason on the horizon, I'm aiming higher—targeting the 2.62 level to close the trade if all goes as expected.
Altseason is approaching. Stay calm; there’s still time to position yourself for solid entries at good prices before December.
Recover or not: GBPUSD Week 45 Swing ZonesLast 2 weeks has shown some improvements in calculated SZ.
Will be looking to recover on losses from live trades.
Week 45 SZs are set.
Price action determines trades.
XAU/USD 07 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As highlighted in my analysis dated 31 October 2024: We should remain aware that the daily timeframe has been showing early signs of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation, suggesting that price could print a bearish iBOS despite H4 internal structure being bullish.
This printed as anticipated, with price printing a bearish iBOS that also confirmed the swing structure.
Price is now trading within an established swing range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the start of a bullish pullback phase.
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As detailed in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 06 November 2024, I noted that price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price printed to this expectation, successfully targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
Following this, price has printed an additional bearish iBOS and a bullish CHoCH, confirming the internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to target the weak internal low after reacting from either the premium of 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone.
Note: Considering the Fed’s softer stance, and rising geopolitical tensions, price volatility is likely to remain elevated.
M15 Chart:
ETH Price Setup: Why $2,840 Could Spark the Next Big Move
BINANCE:ETHUSD has been underperforming compared to BINANCE:BTCUSD and some other major cryptocurrencies, yet recent developments hint at a potential shift. Despite facing a significant resistance cluster, ETH has shown resilience by breaking above a key volume profile Point of Control (POC) level on the higher timeframe, signaling the early stages of a bullish sentiment shift.
However, to sustain this momentum, CRYPTOCAP:ETH needs to conquer a critical resistance zone, marked by a 1-week Fair Value Gap (1W FVG) and a 1-day Order Block (1D OB) – a challenging area that will likely test ETH’s ability to break out.
Chart Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Major Resistance Zone (1W FVG & 1D OB)
The most immediate challenge for ETH is closing above the resistance zone around $2,840. This area is crucial because it combines a 1W FVG and 1D OB, both of which create a barrier that ETH needs to break through for the next leg up.
A decisive close above this level on the daily chart would turn the 1D OB into a breaker block, potentially flipping it from resistance to support and laying the foundation for a more sustained bullish displacement.
Volume Profile POC Breakout
ETH has already broken above the higher timeframe volume profile Point of Control (POC), a positive sign that suggests market interest and liquidity are shifting upwards. This break above the POC adds to the semi-bullish case, as it often signals a potential move towards filling the FVG above.
Entry Into the 1W FVG (SIBI)
Should ETH successfully close above the $2,840 level, it would enter the 1W FVG, opening up the possibility for a larger upward move. Once in this zone, buyers could gain confidence, triggering additional buy-side liquidity and a rally towards $3,100 - $3,300.
Trade Setups
Swing Trade Setup
Entry: Look for a close above $2,840. Ideally, wait for a retest of this level to confirm it as a breaker block before entering long.
Target:
Primary Target: $3,100 - within the 1W FVG zone.
Secondary Target: $3,300 - higher end of the FVG, where resistance may intensify.
Stop Loss: Set below the 1D OB, around $2,750, to protect against a failed breakout and retracement.
Rationale: A breakout and successful retest of $2,840 would signal strength, allowing ETH to push into the FVG and potentially rally toward $3,300. If buyers are strong, this could lead to a medium-term bullish trend.
Scalping Setup
Entry: Enter long on quick pullbacks to $2,750 - $2,770, close to the 1D OB support zone, or during any small dips within this range.
Target:
First target at $2,840 for a quick profit.
Second target around $2,900 - $2,950 if momentum is strong.
Stop Loss: $2,730, slightly below the 1D OB level to protect against larger sell-offs.
Rationale: For scalpers, buying dips around the 1D OB level provides a quick entry with a high probability of retesting the resistance at $2,840. This setup allows for short-term gains while taking advantage of potential volatility near the key resistance area.
Looking forward to hearing your thoughts on this!
Trade safe folks,
Cheers
EURGBP - How will BOE decisions affect the pound?The EURGBP currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term descending channel. In case of an upward correction due to the meeting of the Central Bank of England today, we can see the supply zones and sell within those zones with appropriate risk reward. Breaking the specified support range will pave the way for this currency pair to continue its decline
Britain’s Treasury Secretary, Reeves, stated that it is still too early to make changes to economic forecasts following the U.S. election. He also expressed confidence that trade flows between the UK and the U.S. will continue under Trump’s presidency, noting that during Trump’s previous term, the two nations had a strong and constructive relationship. Reeves showed optimism about Britain’s role in shaping the global economic agenda.
Meanwhile, the risk of a German government collapse appears more serious than ever. The German government has entered a new phase of political crisis that could potentially lead to the final breakdown of the ruling coalition.
Last Friday, a document from Germany’s Finance Minister, Christian Lindner, was leaked, outlining his plans for economic reform in Germany. This document analyzes the economic challenges facing the country and offers proposals, such as corporate tax cuts and increased working hours. With internal tensions peaking, the likelihood of government collapse has risen.
ECB Vice President De Guindos stated that the European Central Bank is committed to a data-driven, meeting-by-meeting approach and is increasingly confident in achieving the 2% inflation target. Goldman Sachs, in its latest report, has lowered its GDP growth forecast for the Eurozone in 2025 to 0.8%, down from the previous forecast of 1.1%. This revision was attributed to potential threats stemming from Trump’s tariff policies following his reelection.
XAGUSD - Silver Vs FOMC?!Silver is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term bullish channel. If the decline continues due to the FOMC today, we can see demand zone and buy within that range with a suitable risk reward. If the upward trend continues, silver can be sold within the specified supply zone.
World Bank analysts believe that silver is a precious metal worth monitoring in 2025. The World Bank has recently updated its commodity market forecasts. While gold is expected to maintain its strong performance within the broader market, analysts have forecasted weaker demand extending from next year through 2026.
The analysts noted, “Demand for gold from central banks and the jewelry sector, which together constitute about two-thirds of global demand, is likely to decrease due to unprecedented high prices.” Nevertheless, the World Bank sees greater potential in silver, given expectations that rising demand and limited supply will help support prices.
World Bank analysts further stated, “Silver demand is anticipated to increase steadily in the forecast horizon, driven by its dual financial and industrial uses.” With supply growth lagging behind the positive factors supporting demand, silver prices are projected to increase by 7% in 2025 and by 3% in 2026, following an expected 20% increase in 2024.
Many analysts expect silver to outperform gold by 2025, as it is currently priced well below its intrinsic value.
Nomura believes that a second Trump administration would focus heavily on tariff and tax policies, potentially leading to inflationary pressures and slower economic growth. Nomura forecasts that the Federal Reserve will respond prudently to these changes. The Federal Reserve is expected to implement two rate cuts this year, followed by a single cut in 2025, and then take a prolonged pause on further cuts.
NZDUSD -DXY will continue its upward trend?!The NZDUSD currency pair is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe. In case of a downward correction, we can see the demand zone and buy within that zone with a suitable risk reward. Crossing the specified resistance range of this currency pair will provide the path for its ascent to higher price targets.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has stated that geopolitical tensions are considered a risk to financial stability. Concerns about these tensions have recently grown, and the potential impacts of these risks cannot be ignored. The RBNZ has also pointed out that the economic policies of former U.S. President Donald Trump would lead to increased inflationary pressures. Hawksby, an RBNZ official, noted that central banks have the capacity to manage the global ramifications of these policies.
Orr, the head of the RBNZ, mentioned that the world may have reached a peak in global trade, and Trump’s return to the White House could pose additional challenges for central banks. Trump has discussed imposing global tariffs of 10-20%, higher tariffs with China, reductions in corporate and personal taxes, and the lifting of bureaucratic regulations.
George Saravelos, a senior analyst at Deutsche Bank, has identified two key points regarding this situation: caution in making fundamental market changes and the way Trump’s and the Republicans’ policies are priced in. Saravelos believes these changes are not solely political but are also linked to the structure of financial markets. He notes that high-risk global assets are tracking the upward trend in U.S. equities, which has resulted in high-risk commodity currencies performing better. However, he stresses that this trend should not be easily projected into the future, and potential shifts in correlations should not be overlooked.
According to him, the U.S. election results are historic and could lead to structural changes in the markets, potentially breaking previous correlations. This implies that the U.S. market could continue to grow, while other global markets may experience negative performance. Saravelos also observes that markets are currently evaluating a relatively balanced set of policies, which differ from the election promises, particularly regarding budget deficits and tariffs. He believes that if Trump’s plans are implemented, there is a possibility of further increases in the valuation of the dollar and other financial instruments.
EU DECLINE??Looking to catch a 6RR short on EU as price has reached the base of the 15 min range. A 100 pip breakout unlikely from here.
ONLY TIME WILL TELL
Read The EURUSD Market Let's Read EURUSD Price Action after Mr. Trump is Elected as next US President, Good Luck With Your Trades <3
GOLD Outlook: 07-NOV-2024Good morning, traders! Welcome to today's GOLD market analysis. Compare my price action insights with your own charts and enhance your trading skills.
Nasdaq Outlook: 07-NOV-2024Good morning, traders! Welcome to today's Nasdaq market analysis. Compare my price action insights with your own charts and enhance your trading skills.
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MGC Long 11/6/2024MGC is in a downtrend. Price is testing daily DZ (blue box). Placed a long position in HV DZ. Taking half risk because it is a countertrend trade. Risk= $125. Target= 1:1 and HV SZ.
NG Short 11/6/2024NG is in a downtrend in 4hr chart. Placing a short position in 1hr HV SZ above MA. Risk= $250. Target= 1.1:1.
TSLA: Insanely Bullish! What to Expect Next? | D & W charts.In our previous analysis, we identified that TSLA was looking for its 21-week EMA, a classic region of support, where a very good reversal signal materialized.
Now, the price has resumed its previous uptrend, and we see it breaking through the most crucial resistance point at $265, which we also warned about in our last public study, the link to which is below this post.
Now, let's update you on the key points to keep an eye on.
Daily Chart (Left)
Gap Closure: Tesla has closed a significant gap from July 2023 at $289.52, which could act as a resistance level. Remember that gaps work as magnets when tthe price reverses. This gap closure often signifies an area where the stock might face selling pressure as previous buyers look to exit.
Support at $265.13: Previously a resistance level, this $265.13 area now serves as a future support based on the principle of polarity. Holding above this level would be a bullish signal, while a drop below might suggest weakness.
EMA Support: The stock is trading above its 21-day EMA, suggesting ongoing bullish momentum in the near term.
Weekly Chart (Right)
Approaching Next Resistance at $299.29: The weekly chart shows the next significant resistance level at $299.29. A break and hold above this level could open up more upside, potentially attracting more bullish interest.
EMA Support on Weekly: Similar to the daily, the 21-week EMA is supporting Tesla’s price, adding confidence for bullish traders.
Conclusion:
Tesla's chart shows bullish momentum with recent gap closure near $289.52 and support from the $265.13 level. Even if we see a top signal, the $265 area is supposed to be our next technical support level, and a pullback wouldn't ruin the bullish thesis to the $300 area - in fact, it would probably just be another buying opportunity, near a support level, when the R/R ratio is optimised. There is no technical evidence suggesting that it could correct for now, but we need to watch the price action very closely, as TSLA's price has just closed an important gap.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
MCL Long 11/5/2024MCL is in an uptrend. Placed a long position in confluence HV DZ (the upper zone). Waited for price to break previous high. Risk=$220. Target= 1:1 and 3:1.
MGC Short 11/3/2024MGC is in a downtrend in 4hr chart with a cross below, retest and follow through (FT). Placed a short position in 1hr HV confluence SZ. Taking half risk because daily and 4hr trends don't match. Also, price is rallying from daily DZ (Blue box). Risk= $125. Target= 1:1 and 3:1.
MGC Long 10/29/2024MGC is in an strong uptrend. Made ATH. Placing a long position in 1hr HV DZ far away from MA. Hence, taking half risk. Risk= $124. Target= 1:1 and 3:1.
Incoming 60% correction for ASML HoldingOn the above weekly chart price action has seen a strong 200% upward move since 2022. No doubt a move in part caused by the AI mania.
Is now a good time to buy?
Seeking alpha says “Buy the dip”
“ASML has returned to growth after revenue declines, with flat revenue expected for 2024 and growth anticipated in 2025, driven by new EUV tools.”
“Despite a 53% QoQ drop in net bookings, ASML's backlog remains strong at €36B, supporting a revised 2025 revenue outlook of €30-35B.”
A quick Google leads to no shortage of “buy the dip” articles. But then again, Google is not what it once was, with many paid for bias articles are evident.
The best News and outlook will always be the chart.
On the above weekly chart:
1) Price action and RSI support failures.
2) Broken market structure.
3) Look left, support and resistance, red arrows. The 2021 market top confirms resistance in October 2024. This is a significant warning.
4) The bear flag. It is has not yet confirmed, but a breakout is evident. A back test would be ideal, towards $800 area. The flag forecasts a 60% correction to support.
Is it possible price action continues to rise? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade, short from $800
