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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

USD/JPY Technical Analysis SELLDaily Chart Overview: On the daily timeframe, USD/JPY has been trading within a descending wedge pattern, signaling a potential breakout. The price recently approached the key support level at 141.74 before rebounding upward. We now see price consolidating near 143.76, close to the wedge's upper boundary. Should the pair break above this resistance, the next target would be 146.49, a significant level seen in the previous price action. If the pair fails to break higher, expect a retest of the support at 141.74. This wedge pattern could be setting the stage for a directional move in the coming sessions, with the bias currently leaning toward a bullish breakout. 4-Hour Chart Overview: On the 4-hour chart, the price is reacting after testing a strong supply zone around 144.00, pulling back to 143.75. Two potential scenarios could unfold here: A continued bearish move towards the key support levels at 142.97 and 141.59. A reversal from the current level with a retest of the supply zone and a possible push to break the upper resistance near 146.48. Traders should monitor price action closely at these levels, as a break above the supply zone could lead to significant upside momentum. Conversely, failure to hold the current support could trigger a larger pullback. 1-Hour Chart Overview: On the 1-hour chart, USD/JPY formed an ascending channel which recently broke to the downside. The price is currently hovering around 143.80 after rejecting the 144.08 resistance level. The recent bearish price action hints at further downside potential, with a target towards 142.78, where demand could step in. This aligns with the lower target area identified on higher timeframes. If price action remains bearish, traders should be cautious of a short-term retest of the broken channel before continuing lower. However, should bulls manage to reclaim the 144.08 level, it would invalidate the bearish outlook, and focus would shift to the previous highs. Conclusion: USD/JPY is at a critical juncture, with key levels to watch for in the short term. On the upside, a break above 144.08 and a successful retest of the wedge on the daily chart could see the pair targeting 146.48. On the downside, failure to hold current support could push the pair towards 142.78 and 141.74. Keep an eye on price action around these critical levels for potential trading opportunities.
Short
by FourtradesTV
9/30 Market Surge: SP500, Crypto, and Whale AccumulationOverview: The AMEX:SPY closed strongly today, spurred by dovish remarks from Jerome Powell during a press conference. Powell signaled that the economy is cooling and reiterated the Federal Reserve’s commitment to achieving 2% inflation. As a result, 61% of traders now anticipate a 1 basis point rate cut in November, while 39% expect a 2 basis point cut. The AMEX:SPY had been gradually sliding earlier in the day, but Powell’s comments fueled a rally, allowing the index to engulf Friday’s red candle. Trading volume for the SPY ETF more than tripled during the press conference, reaching levels similar to Wednesday, September 18, when the recent rate cut was announced. Bullish. The tech ETF NASDAQ:QQQ didn’t manage to engulf Friday’s candle but still saw a solid rally, accompanied by trading volume that was 10x higher than usual. BlackRock continued its buying spree, acquiring $72.2 million worth of BTC, which is below their usual $118 million purchases. Over the past six days, BlackRock has accumulated nearly half a billion dollars worth of BTC and an additional $100 million of ETH. Is this how whales are dollar-cost averaging into the market? BTC TA: W: BINANCE:BTCUSD saw a sharp sell-off originating from Asia early Monday. Despite this, it remains above the Bollinger Band MA at $62.8k. The point of control for the current bull move is at $63k, with key weekly and daily resistance at $64k. BTC must hold within the $63k-64k range to maintain the bullish trend; failing to do so could signal one of the year’s largest bull traps. D: The recent correction has halted precisely at the point of control, where the most trading activity occurs. However, the RSI remains overbought at 73.4, and the MACD shows bearish histogram divergence. Bearish. 4h: On shorter timeframes, RSI has moved into oversold territory. Additionally, the VWAP oscillator has crossed above the 0 line, signaling short-term bullishness. A rebound to the $64.7k Fibonacci 0.618 level is possible. Bullish in the short term. 1h: Price broke through the weekly and monthly resistance at $64 k but is struggling to maintain this level due to significant selling pressure. Neutral to bearish. Altcoins Relative to BTC: Top altcoins have started pumping again after Monday’s correction. Coins like SUI, APT, and FTM posted gains of more than 7% by early Tuesday. These altcoins have proven that the recent correction was not a bull trap and are leading the market in this cycle. Even if BTC remains range-bound, altcoins could continue to pump, interpreting the situation as a non-bear market scenario. Bull Case: The bull trap has been avoided, and the market has resumed its uptrend. With additional liquidity expected from future rate cuts, the correction is seen as a temporary pullback. The Federal Reserve's dovish stance increases the likelihood of more liquidity flowing into speculative assets like crypto. Bear Case: The market may still be caught in a massive bull trap. Altcoin buyers at these levels could find themselves overexposed if the broader market falters. Fear and Greed Index: Currently at 47.89, the index has pulled back from the "Greed" area and is now just below the midpoint of 50, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market. Prediction: If BTC fails to reclaim $64 k , sentiment may shift bearish in the near term. Conversely, reclaiming this level could pave the way for further upside, with a first target of $67k.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by EvgenCapital
XAU/USD 01 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. The price has continued its surge, reaching all-time highs with minimal pullbacks. The bearish swing pullback phase has now been confirmed by a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), which also establishes the swing range. Currently, we are trading between the swing high and the fractal low. In yesterday's analysis, I noted that the internal range had narrowed significantly, allowing the price to confirm the swing pullback phase by printing the bearish iBOS. This is now reflected in the price action. Intraday Expectation: We expect the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, indicated by a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), denoted with a blue dotted line. However, since the bullish CHoCH is positioned in the premium zone, confirmation of the internal low will only occur if the price retraces to the 50% equilibrium (EQ). H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Price met expectations by targeting a weak internal low and printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). As previously mentioned, price action has been erratic due to ongoing macroeconomic data and heightened geopolitical tensions. Since the last analysis, price printed another bearish iBOS, followed by a bullish iBOS after reacting from an M15 demand zone. Recent bearish Change of Character (CHoCH) suggests the potential initiation of a bearish pullback phase, though this is not confirmation but an indication. I will closely monitor this as the CHoCH positioning is near the internal high, requiring discretionary judgement. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target the 50% equilibrium or the M15 supply zone before aiming for a weak internal high. It's important to remain cautious, as the H4 timeframe has confirmed swing pullback phase with a bearish iBOS, which may limit upside momentum. With rising geopolitical tensions, Gold is likely to remain highly volatile in the short term. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
$WOO Key LevelsWOO experienced an unexpected 25% surge in the last 24 hours, now gaining attention following its listing on Korean exchanges Coinone and Bithumb . On the weekly timeframe, the price has bounced off a higher timeframe consolidation zone. Currently, the price is retesting a key level at $0.22 on the daily chart. The recent upward move has created imbalances, with the current support levels around $0.197 and $0.18. If the price holds above $0.18, I anticipate a potential move towards $0.26 to $0.30.
by Tealstreet
NZD/USD Top-Down Market Analysisvisit fourtrades.com for more Daily Timeframe: In the daily chart, NZD/USD is trading within a key resistance zone around 0.6340 to 0.6380. This zone has been tested multiple times, and the price is showing signs of potential rejection, with bearish pressure building up. Traders should watch for a decisive breakout above the resistance to confirm bullish momentum, while a rejection could lead to a downward move towards the support levels around 0.6295 and 0.6252. Key Levels: Resistance: 0.6380 Support: 0.6295, 0.6252 4-Hour Timeframe: In the 4-hour chart, we can see the price has broken below a rising channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum. The pair is now retesting a supply zone between 0.6340 and 0.6360. This level could act as a resistance, and if the price fails to break above this zone, we may see a continued downward move towards the next demand zone around 0.6290. Additionally, the footprint marked around 0.6320 shows an important reaction level. If this area holds, it could signal a continuation of the bearish trend. Key Observations: Bearish Channel Breakout Retest of Supply Zone (0.6340 – 0.6360) Potential targets: 0.6290, and possibly 0.6257 1-Hour Timeframe: The 1-hour chart shows the pair breaking below a bear flag pattern, a continuation signal of the previous bearish momentum. The price is hovering near the 0.6330 level, and there are two potential scenarios from here: Bullish Scenario: If the price pushes back above 0.6340, we may see a short-term move towards 0.6360 or higher. Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 0.6330 and holds, expect the market to test 0.6300 and then 0.6250. Traders should keep an eye on these levels, as they represent critical points for potential trade setups in both directions. Conclusion: NZD/USD is at a key inflection point. On the higher timeframes, the pair is testing important resistance levels, while on the lower timeframes, the breakdown of the rising channel suggests further downside potential. Traders should be cautious and wait for clear confirmations—either a break above resistance for long positions or a continued rejection for short trades. Keep an eye on the 0.6340 and 0.6290 levels for the next possible move.
Short
by FourtradesTV
Day 2 AI Analyzing my trading ideasThe following chart is not very different from the first except I wanted to focus on a smaller timeframe initially I wanted to focus on the 4h timeframe but the big picture wouldn’t be as clear. I started off sending a picture of the 4h chart to AI and asking if it recognized any patterns, of which it mentioned 3 patterns a Head and shoulders, a rising wedge, and a symmetrical triangle. The rising wedge we talked about yesterday. So I decided to go for the head and shoulders (in this case an inverted HAS) after drawing the HAS on the chart myself I sent a new picture of it to AI and asked what it saw (the yellow price lines were added before posting to highlight the possible target AI suggested. Below is the description I got, keep in mind AI is not to be used as a trading tool by any means, but I like to play with the fact that it takes my emotions away from trading. Disclaimer again, I’m no professional and this is not trading advice. This is what AI said about my chart. Let’s break down the analysis again with this correct interpretation. ### Key Observations: 1. **Inverse Head and Shoulders Formation**: - The **left shoulder** forms around early June, the **head** dips lower in mid-July, and the **right shoulder** forms in September. - This pattern suggests that after a downtrend, there’s potential for a bullish reversal. 2. **Neckline**: - The **dotted green line** (around $65,000) appears to act as the **neckline** of the pattern. This is a key resistance level that, once broken, would confirm the bullish reversal. ### Possible Outcomes: - **Bullish Scenario**: - If the price breaks **above the neckline** (around $65,000), it would confirm the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a potential upward movement. - To estimate the potential target, measure the distance between the **head** and the **neckline**. The head dips to around **$50,000**, and the neckline is at **$65,000**, which gives a difference of **$15,000**. - Adding that difference to the breakout point at **$65,000** suggests a potential upward target of around **$80,000**. - **Bearish Scenario**: - If the price fails to break the neckline and instead reverses back down, the key support levels to watch would be the **right shoulder level**, which is around **$55,000**, and the **$50,000** level at the head. - A breakdown below these levels could invalidate the bullish reversal, leading to further downside pressure. ### Conclusion: The **Inverse Head and Shoulders** is a classic bullish reversal pattern. If the price breaks above the **$65,000 neckline**, we could see Bitcoin target **$80,000** based on the pattern's projected move. However, failure to break the neckline would mean the pattern is not yet confirmed, and we might see the price retest support around **$55,000** or **$50,000**.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Kevinwastaken
Accumulation, Manipulation and DistributionPrior to overcoming the 4-hour rejection block, price formed a consolidation phase, indicative of accumulation. This was followed by a volatile bullish move that successfully mitigated the rejection block, entering a manipulation phase. Subsequent price action led to a displacement, clearing the swing. Currently, we observe a bearish sentiment, anticipating a corrective hike to fill the imbalance and respect the fair value gap at 1.51200. The fair value gap shall be our entry with the demand zone at 1.50200 as the target from this expected distribution phase delivery…
by tokelohomi
Incoming 200% extension for DocuSign?On the above 3 week chart price action has corrected almost 90% since mid-2021. The correction has now printed a break of resistance. The resistance breakout was preceded by significant bullish divergence. This divergence is measured over the same period of time as the bearish divergence that signalled the market correction. There are no stock splits. Is it possible price action continues to correct? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww Type: Investment Risk: You decide Timeframe for long: Act sooner than late. Return: 200%
NASDAQ:DOCULong
by without_worries
8
AUDCAD: Leveraging Probabilities for Strategic Long PositionsKey Fundamentals Supporting Bullish Bias: - Recent strength in commodity prices, particularly iron ore, benefiting Australia's export-driven economy - Expectations of a less hawkish stance from the Reserve Bank of Australia, potentially supporting economic growth - Relative weakness in the Canadian dollar due to concerns over the housing market and oil price volatility By utilizing probabilities in chart analysis, I can identify optimal entry points for AUDCAD longs while managing risk effectively. This approach allows for a more systematic trading strategy, aligning with the current bullish bias in the AUDCAD pair. 12M: 2W: HOURLY TF:
Long
by Jasminex1x2
JP Morgan Chase (JPM): Bearish Scenario on the HorizonYou have to hear us out on this one, as we are presenting a very bearish scenario, but we will explain why we think it could unfold this way. First, let's look at the weekly chart (yes, the weekly chart). This chart shows a near-perfect Elliott wave and Fibonacci count, respecting all the important theoretical points well. If this analysis is correct, we are currently in the last push of wave (5) to end this large cycle. After that, we should see lower prices for a higher wave II. We give the current wave (5) a maximum target of $271, but it is more likely to drop before we reach that level. In the the main chart, we zoomed in to make it clearer. Everything depends on whether we are correct about wave (3) and wave (4). If our count is accurate, wave (3) should conclude between the 227.2% and 261.8% levels. NYSE:JPM has formed a bearish divergence on the RSI, and if the stock drops below $190, we expect prices to fall further, ideally between $178.46 and $149, for one last push higher to conclude this cycle. It will take some time until we get there, but good things take time, and we are ready for it to play out. Alerts are set, and the plan is in place. 😎
NYSE:JPMLong
by freeguy_by_wmc