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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

Missed Trade Recap: EURUSD - SHORT, 19/12/2024EU Bias Analysis: Daily EPD had been achieved on the minor range and the 4H had established a bearish pro-trend. After reading between the messy price actions lines, I confirmed that short entries were in line with the 1H bearish range. Price pulled back to equilibrium at 50% and the short position could've been executed after entry confirmation. Grade: High Risk Why I Missed This Position: - This position was a high risk trade, and as I'm currently in phase 2 of the trait building protocol, I am only permitted to take low risk variations. - A low risk variation of this position would've seen price retrace to at least the 70.5% fib level without displacing and forming 1-sided FVG's. Once a 1H or 4H KI area was mitigated, I would then require an internal sweep of TBL on the 15M timeframe to satisfy trade parameters.
Short
by The_Modern_Day_Trader
XAU/USD 19 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: Yesterday's analysis played out as expected with price targeting weak internal low, printing a bearish iBOS. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is currently trading at premium of internal 50% EQ where we could see a reaction. Price could potentially trade up to M15 supply level before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,583.915 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD. Analysis of the daily timeframeHey traders and investors! Let me remind you, on the daily timeframe, there's a range. The upper boundary is 2726.295, and the lower boundary is 2536.855. The current seller's vector 6-7 has reached the first target of 2605.31, and the price has nearly hit the second target of 2581.445. The seller’s daily bar on December 18th showed good volume and spread. It is risky to look for short trades now since the price is at the lower end of the range. You can search for buying patterns as an idea for the buyer's vector 7-8 with a potential target of 2721.42. However, there are two factors to consider: 1. The seller’s daily bar from December 18th with good volume and spread indicates strong sellers, from which a seller could resume. To find a buying pattern, it would be ideal for the seller to resume from this bar (e.g., on the hourly timeframe) and be overcome by the buyer. 2. The price has not yet touched the buyer's zone (green rectangle on the chart), with its upper level being the second target (2581.445). To find a buying pattern, it would be ideal for the price to enter the buyer's zone and see the buyer's resumption from there. If both factors are met, the likelihood of a successful buying pattern will be significantly higher—observing the seller's resumption, the touch of the buyer’s zone, and the buyer’s resumption. I wish you profitable trades.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
BTC Market Cycle: Is Distribution Signaling a Coming Correction?BTC Market Cycle: Accumulation → Manipulation → Distribution 🚀 Timeframe: Weekly Analysis📉 BTC/USDT is following a classic Wyckoff Market Cycle, transitioning through three distinct phases 🎯 1️⃣ Accumulation Phase (2018–2020): Smart money accumulated BTC at low prices in a tight range after the previous bear market. Low volatility and bearish sentiment dominated this period. 2️⃣ Manipulation Phase (2022–2023): A choppy sideways market with false breakouts and shakeouts, designed to confuse retail traders and consolidate more BTC into institutional hands. 3️⃣ Distribution Phase (2024–2025): A euphoric uptrend, where institutions are likely offloading positions into the enthusiasm of retail buyers. This phase often marks the cycle peak. Trading Strategy 💡 - For Long-Term Investors : Consider scaling out positions during this distribution phase. Prepare to re-enter during the next accumulation cycle. - For Swing Traders : Look for reversal signals in the distribution zone. A confirmed breakdown could lead to significant retracement toward previous accumulation zones. Risk Management 🚨 - Be cautious of euphoria-driven rallies. - Watch volume and price action for signs of weakness (e.g., declining momentum, sudden sell-offs). Disclaimer⚡ This is not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management. 🔄Hope this analysis finds you well! BTC/USDT is showcasing a textbook Wyckoff Market Cycle with clear phases of Accumulation, Manipulation, and now Distribution. Are we nearing the peak, or could this rally surprise us further? Let me know your thoughts! 🔍
Long
by Supachai-Taechapisit
Ethereum - bearish divergence alert - Dec 19th, 2024** Trigger warning - the following post may cause skin irritation and involuntary expletives ** The entire market is bullish on Ethereum. All of social media is bullish on Ethereum. The Motley Fool is even bullish on Ethereum (Huge red flag!!) “Ethereum looks undervalued relative to its potential” source: www.fool.com ===================================================== The TA: Your only source of news should be the chart. The chart has a headline for you to read: “Strongest bearish divergence print since the 90% and 80% crashes of 2018 and 2021” Yes, the same specific settings used to track market pivots with divergence on Ethereum price action has printed once more. On the above 8 day chart price action prints negative divergence with multiple oscillators over an 80 day period. The bear flag forecasts price action to correct until $700. If you’re bullish on price action you have to reason why… why is this time different? (Trump said... yes, would never mislead that one) If you’re neutral on price action and considering a long entry, look left, is now that moment? If you’re bearish on price action, well then you’re in poor company and public enemy number one. Welcome to my world! Is it possible price action continues to rise? Sure! We’re in a bull market, din’t you get the memo? Is it probable? No. Ww
INDEX:ETHUSDShort
by without_worries
6
BTC following suite with the rest of the market's yearly closeWeekly levels are still keeping the HL > HH narrative. Going into the year we want to see the nearest weekly lows tested $94K down to the imbalance high around GETTEX:89K , the lower the better here. I believe BTC following suite with the rest of the market is seeking levels for the yearly candle transition. During this process we will expect a strong low to be placed to support the rest of the yearly surge to come. A clear support zone in the imbalance below on daily chart with volume profile POC also resting in this fib retrace range. As we can see on VP the bullish liquidity is heavy in this range. Although this range is heavy bullish, I do expect a deeper sweeping of weekly lows before the next year's candle finds its stable low. Daily chart >>
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by HollywooodTrades
Crude Oil is looking to clear it's nearest inefficient rangeKeeping it simple we can view this as a lower high > lower low sequence as the high we approached a few days ago was never broken. Clear inefficiency below should be the only range that will hold price up but my eyes are on the lowest daily orderblock at the extreme range retracement. Hourly view shows more detail with support levels being extremely disrespected denoting how sellers have been lurking in the wind. Volume profile also shows super bearish volume in these levels with a small support node below the range.
FX:USOILShort
by HollywooodTrades
Stock Of The Day / 12.18.24 / NUKK12.18.2024 / NASDAQ:NUKK Fundamentals. Second day of growth on the news of the acquisition. Technical analysis. Daily chart: Exit upwards from the annual accumulation. Premarket: Range movement on increased volume. Main session: We observe a confident upward movement at the beginning of the session after holding the previous day's high level 17.66. After acceleration and the formation of the top of 34.00, the price begins to tighten to the level of 23.00 against the upward movement. We consider a long trade to continue the movement in case the structure of the tightening is broken upward. Trading scenario: #pullback along the trend (#false tightening) to the level 23.00 Entry: 24.45 on the breakout of the tightening structure and an upward exit on increased volume. Stop: 22.69 we hide behind the level with a reserve for slippage. Exit: Close part of the position before the level of 34.00 (RR1/5), close the rest of the position on the return candle after the trading halted at 1:30 p.m. (RR 1/15). Trade potential: 1/15 P.S. Today's has shown a clear advantage of trading "In Play" stocks. Despite the fact that the market fell by 3%, NUKK did not notice this and continued to go one's own way, demonstrating significant growth and a very technical nature of the movement.
NASDAQ:NUKKEducation
by AlexX31
4
NAS/NQ are also preparing for the yearly transitionIf we are flexing daily Fib levels, I used the 21600 swing low as the base. If so we have achieved 75% today. It's also interesting that the volume profile POC (dashed) lies within the golden zone, which is also containing the Broken high retest point I believe we have down here over the next few weeks into mid January. Using the space between the broken support (breaker) and the new low as consolidation, we should be able to build a nice base for entry ticket into this coming year's candle high
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by HollywooodTrades