Long trade
🟢 Trade Journal Entry – Buyside Trade
📍 Pair: AUDUSD
📅 Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2025
🕒 Time: 3:00 PM (NY Session PM)
⏱ Time Frame: 1 Hour
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Entry Price 0.64738
Profit Level 0.65380 (+0.99%)
Stop Loss 0.64639 (−0.15%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 6.48 : 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
1HR TF Execution:
Entry aligned with bullish OB on the 1hr chart following a clean mitigation and rejection candle.
Stacked Confluences:
Liquidity sweep, OB retest, and session timing aligned for a high-conviction buyside setup.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Long trade
📍 Pair: EURUSD
📅 Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2025
🕒 Time: 3:00 PM (NY Session PM)
⏱ Time Frame: 1 Hour
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Entry Price 1.14816
Profit Level 1.15696 (+0.77%)
Stop Loss 1.14640 (−0.15%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 5:1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
1H Structure Entry:
Trade initiated at a key bullish order block on the 1hr timeframe, following higher-timeframe trend alignment.
XAU/USD 20 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
EURNZD: Bearish Move From Resistance 🇪🇺🇳🇿
EURNZD is going to retrace from a strong daily resistance cluster.
As a confirmation signal, I see a bearish breakout of a support line
of a rising wedge pattern on an hourly time frame.
Goal - 1.9144
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AUDNZD: Intraday Bearish Move Ahead?! 🇦🇺🇳🇿
AUDNZD nicely reacted to a key horizontal resistance level.
The price formed a bearish CHoCH on an hourly time frame
after its test.
I expect a retracement to 1.086 level.
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NASDAQ Analysis Stalking shorts on the Daily - nearby.
My weekly sentiment is bearish cause of technical factors.
Among the catalysts is bullish performance on the US Dollar index and price action compared to the US30 & US500.
Look to sell near 4H swing high, entry using the 15M bearish ChoCh only after three legs of bullish correction on the 1H frame into the highlighted levels of the swing high.
Anticipation is for the third leg to react bearish and the fourth leg to deliver impulse to the sell side.
GBPCAD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFS DH
entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.85000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.77
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
GBPCHF SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.10500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.17
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
XAU/USD 19 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GBPJPY: Pullback From Trend Line 🇬🇧🇯🇵
I think that GBPJPY may bounce from a rising trend line
that I spotted on a daily time frame.
As a confirmation, I spotted 2 intraday bullish breakouts:
a violation of a resistance line of a falling channel
and a breakout of a neckline of a cup & handle pattern.
Goal - 195.0
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDUSD SELL OFF (Counter-Trend Setup)(Daily) - Price hit Key resistance level at (0.60308 - 0.59985) and consolidated at the level attempting to breakout but failing and forming double top in 4H.
(4H) - Price formed double top at the Key resistance level (0.60308 - 0.59985) which is reversal pattern, neckline of the DT at (0.60031).
(4H) - Bearish market structure at the level price forming new lower high and lower low at (0.60578 - 0.60535)
(4H) - Rising trendline connecting low of the price at (0.58522 - 0.59556).
Entry ;
-We have 2 entry models;
1.Aggressive Entry at the Double top after the close of the bearish Engulfing Candle SL above double top at 0.60808
2.Conservative Entry wait for the break of the rising trendline to signal trend change from an uptrend to downtrend then execute.
Preponderance of (or Preposterous?) Evidence
I was just proposing yesterday staying neutral in SPY (the S&P 500 ETF). The FOMC meeting today (Jun 18th) was a big-nothing burger (so far), which supports my (non)position, but we'll see. I will update that post when the time is right (ATH, 200dma, or bust).
Today, though, the IWM (the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index ETF) and, surprisingly, a potential short position.
First, the IWM (see below) is overbought on a weekly chart, with the Stochastics being above 80 (more on Stochastics and weekly charts at a later date). For now, let's go with IWM being a little overbought, in the longer-term view.
Now, let's switch to the big daily chart at the top and look at the evidence for going short;
- IWM never really got above it's 200-day moving average (purple line),
- That same level was consistent with a lot of resistance ~213 (yellow circles),
- IWM has trailed this whole rally.
- It has broken and somewhat retested a trendline (light blue) from this most recent rally,
- It bounced off it's 61.8% Fibonacci level (orange line, not my favorite indicator for ETFs, but I often sneak a peek),
- It's at its previous resistance high around 209 (blue circles).
On the not-bearish side;
- The daily chart is less overbought (this has to happen on weakness, though),
- There's (a little) support at 199 but not really again until 172,
- I still feel like the All-Time-High (ATH) is a magnet for the S&P (but IWM has trailed).
That's (a lot) more (and better) points for being bearish.
I'll go short (via a ~90 day ITM put position*) if IWM breaks below 207.50, between that and 202. If it opens lower than 202, I'll wait for a pull-up.
The stop will be a close above the 200 day.
The target is 172 (the previous tariff low), but I will lighten/tighten up (by selling OTM puts* and/or moving stop down) as IWM drops (if it drops).
It may seem a bit duplicitous to be neutral on SPY while being bearish on IWM.
But sometimes you have to go with the Preponderance of Evidence (or will it prove Preposterous Evidence?)
An update will be coming.
*Sorry for bringing up options. One can just go short IWM. I will explain my option choice one day.
My ideas here on TradingView are for educational purposes only. It is NOT trading advice. I often lose money and you would be a fool to follow me blindly.
TSLA: Don't Sleep on the PullbackTesla’s bullish momentum is still in control – the weekly chart shows we’re still in an uptrend, and the trend is still our best friend. After a strong bounce from support a couple weeks ago, price is now rejecting off a weak resistance zone. Ideally, this pulls it back into my entry zone to retest the bottom or the 50% mark of the current swing. I’m using trend lines for guidance and expecting the next swing to push up into that confluence area. My golden zone is set between $367–$390, with partial profits be taken at $367 (top of the channel) and the rest near $390, where we meet the trend line. Stop loss is placed at $241, just below the level where momentum would likely shift.
GBPUSD Weekly: Price Action at Key Supply Zone Confluence• Long-Term Resistance Zone: The chart displays a significant purple-shaded "Key Level" resistance zone, approximately spanning from 1.3600 to 1.3800. Price has previously reacted to this zone as strong resistance on multiple occasions (e.g., in 2018 and 2021), indicating a historical area of supply. The current price action shows the market testing this zone once again.
• Bullish Market Structure from 2022 Lows: Following a substantial decline through 2022, the GBPUSD pair initiated a strong recovery, characterized by a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows since late 2022. This upward movement is encapsulated within a robust green ascending trend channel, signifying a dominant bullish bias on this timeframe.
• Identified Support Areas: A notable support zone is evident around the 1.2100-1.2200 levels. This area has historically acted as a strong demand zone, providing significant bounces for the price, most recently in late 2022 and early 2024.
• Current Price at Critical Confluence: Price is currently situated at the upper boundary of its long-term ascending trend channel and is simultaneously interacting with the established "Key Level" resistance zone. This confluence of technical elements suggests a pivotal point for the pair, where a decisive reaction from either buyers or sellers is anticipated.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
GBPUSD 1H OutlookGBPUSD 1H Chart: Technical Analysis of Bearish Channel and Key Support
Bearish Channel and Price Structure: The chart illustrates an initial bullish move followed by the formation of a descending red channel, suggesting a shift in short-term momentum to bearish. Price recently broke down from an earlier ascending structure, confirming a potential change in trend dynamics. The current price action shows a retracement back towards the upper boundary of this bearish channel and previous resistance levels.
Resistance Zone Confluence: The red-shaded area at the top represents a significant supply zone, indicating an area where sellers have previously dominated. This zone also converges with the upper boundary of the newly formed descending red channel, creating a strong confluence of resistance where selling pressure is anticipated to emerge.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: A Fibonacci retracement tool has been applied from the recent high (1.3624) to the recent low. The key retracement levels of 0.5 (1.3518), 0.618 (1.3543), and 0.71 (1.3563) fall within or immediately below the identified red resistance channel. These levels are often watched by traders as potential turning points or areas of re-accumulation/distribution.
Key Support Area & Target Zone: Below the current price, a wide green-shaded "Key Support Area" is identified, stretching from approximately 1.3440 down towards 1.3360. This zone likely represents a significant demand area where buyers are expected to re-enter the market, potentially serving as a target for a continued bearish move or a strong bounce point.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.