Stromm | GOLD Bullish Continuation in PlayIt’s good to see Gold OANDA:XAUUSD getting the attention it deserves again. But honestly, the performance it’s putting in right now is just insane.
If you zoom into the 4-hour chart, you’ll spot a clear Demand Continuation Pattern:
Rally → Base → Rally.
In simple terms: strong move up, sideways consolidation, strong move up again.
The first rally pushed Gold up 9.77% within a few days, followed by a sideways base, and then another 9.6% rally straight into the $3,500 mark.
With commodities like Gold, you really feel how powerful psychological levels are — $3,000, $3,500, $4,000 — all massive magnet zones where large investors naturally look to take profits.
Now, after tagging $3,500, we’ve pulled back.
If this Demand Continuation structure holds, here's how I see it playing out:
Inside the current base, there’s a 4-hour order block, and it’s the one I’m watching most closely.
Ideally, we get a push up into the 4h Balance Price Range between $3,336–$3,347, followed by a rejection that sweeps the Previous Weekly Low, tagging that 4h order block for a proper retest.
From there, a move toward the 8h Balance Price Range would be good.
Now, two possibilities:
Best case for bears: After retesting that 4h zone, we fall further — possibly targeting $3,050.
Sneaky scenario: We fake a drop to trigger stop-losses, push back up toward $3,510, then properly roll over.
On the monthly chart, it gets even more interesting:
Given the massive rejection off $3,500, I wouldn’t rule out a much deeper retracement toward $2,500–$2,000 before Gold makes another serious attempt at $4,000.
That would perfectly fit into a larger Elliott Wave structure, completing a Wave 3 or setting up a Wave 5 push later.
(And yes — catching a Wave 3 top is brutal — especially when it is an all-time high)
Unless geopolitical events massively change the landscape, it feels like $3,500 is a strong local top — for now.
But if the world starts burning again?
Gold might have other plans.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Boeing to $300 - Falling wedge** The year ahead **
On the above 6 day chart price action has corrected over 50% since December 2023. A number of reasons now favour a long position, they include:
1. Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2. Support on past resistance.
3. Double bottom on price action (yellow arrows)
4. Falling wedge breakout confirmation with forecast to $300 area
5. The Majority of other traders are bearish. Remember, trading has a high fail rate.
www.tradingview.com
Is it possible price continues to correct as others suggest? For sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: Trade
Risk: <= 6% of Aerospace & Defence
Return: 60% from current levels
Stop loss: Will say elsewhere
May 6, 2025 - EURUSD Sell📉 Bias: Bearish | Risk: 0.5% (+0.5% potential add-on) | 🎯 Targets: 1:3 (75% off), final TP > 1:8
🧠 Reasoning:
Price reacted from Daily Orderblock, broke structure on 15m ⛓️.
Refined entry from 15m OB → 5m OB for more precision on the tap entry🎯.
2x Asia lows below = high-probability targets 🔻.
Looking to add 0.5% if 1m BOS + retracement OB confirm.
⚠️ Note:
There’s unmitigated Asia High & 15m OB above, but too far to affect today’s bearish idea.
EURAUD breakout? Multi-timeframe trigger in focusEURAUD is up 13% since February, driven by euro strength and Aussie weakness from China’s slowdown. A breakout could be coming, but short-term bearish momentum means we wait for better alignment before jumping in.
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May 6, 2025 GBPUSD Sell📉 Bias: Bearish | Risk: 0.5% | 🎯 Targets: 1:3 (take 75%), final target ~1:7
🧠 Reasoning:
Price reacted from a Daily / Weekly Orderblock with confluence from a 15m OB
Asia Low as target provides clean downside structure
Morning Star formed inside the OB → entry taken at the imbalance left behind
10 pip SL covers highs efficiently ✅
Skeptic | XAU/USD Analysis: Gold’s Next Big Move Is Brewing!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s kick off the morning with a deep dive into XAU/USD —gold’s serving up some exciting opportunities right now! 😊 Activating our triggers could spark a sharp move, potentially reigniting the major trend from before, so stick with me to the end of this analysis. As always, we’ll start with the Daily Timeframe to get the big picture. Let’s dive in! 📊
📅 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
It’s clear as day—the major trend is bullish . We’re seeing higher highs and higher lows, which, per Dow Theory, confirms a solid uptrend. After gold hit a peak at 3502.48 , it entered a secondary corrective trend, pulling back to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. This correction was healthy, and the price action suggests the uptrend still has plenty of juice left. 💪
Post the sell-off candle on May 1, it looks like the correction might be done, and we’re now heading to test the resistance at 3425.31 . If that level breaks, we could see the major uptrend resume with some serious momentum. With this in mind, let’s zoom into the 1-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short triggers.
⏰ 1-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
The last trigger I used for a long position was at 3270.75 , and it’s been performing nicely so far. But if this growth is to continue—and the correction is truly over—we’re about to see some explosive moves. The long trigger I’m about to share is worth the risk. Plus, if we don’t enter longs around these levels, it’ll get trickier later. A break above 3494.51 could come with heavy shadows, hunting stop losses, or it might spike too fast, leaving us without a good entry. So, the smarter play is to enter now with lower risk and higher R/R. Here’s the plan:
Long Setup 📈
Open a long position after a break above resistance at 3383.61 .
Target? The previous ceiling is a good start, but don’t close too early. Enter with the mindset that if the ceiling breaks, you’re already in a position, sitting pretty. Personally, I’m keeping my earlier long from below open, letting those profits run for peace of mind later. 😎
Short Setup 📉
For shorts, patience is key. Wait for a rejection from these levels, followed by a break below support at 3270.75 . That’s when we open a short position. No rush to short just yet—gold’s not showing signs of a momentum shift. But if it does, we could see deeper corrections, so keep both triggers on your radar. 🐻
🧠 Why This Matters
Spotting these triggers in a multi-timeframe setup gives us an edge, aligning short-term moves with the bigger trend. It’s all about stacking the odds in our favor. Want more insights like this? Check out my latest article on multi-timeframe strategies —it’s a game-changer! 📚
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
XAUUSD – The Setup’s Already BreathingFlipped to the 15M so they don’t see the precision… but this is 5M business.
IDM below that HH is baiting price back in—liquidity needs to get swept.
Once the zone’s kissed, I’m hunting the micro LH to get smoked.
The move’s already loaded… just waiting on the trigger.
They watching. I’m waiting. That’s the difference.
Bless Trading!
GU Long – Clean CHoCH Flip Off 30M OBCaught the buy after price tapped into a clean 30M order block—sat back and waited for that CHoCH flip to confirm the bulls were stepping in.
Didn’t force the entry. Let the structure shift, watched the reaction, then locked in.
Now holding toward the highs with full control—trade’s in motion and I’m just managing the play.
Patience > impulse. Let the market tell you when it’s ready.
Bless Trading!
EU – Sniper Precision Off the 5M OBMarked my 5M order block off the last sell candle before the internal break of structure. Price showed bullish reaction early, but I didn’t flinch—no need to chase or expand the zone.
Skipped the 10M OB, stayed patient, and let price build the narrative:
• CHoCH forming
• Liquidity sweep in motion
• IDM cooking
Now I’m posted, waiting for price to tap into my 5M OB and flip with a micro LH for the entry.
No guessing. No rushing. Just letting the market come to me.
Bless Trading!
Choosing the Right TimeframeHey traders and investors!
Selecting the right timeframe can reveal a clear picture of price movement. But don’t forget — the higher timeframe always has priority.
🔹 On the 12H, Bitcoin is in a sideways range.
The move from 78,500 to 95,000 could’ve been anticipated — a buyer Decision candle (IKC) formed at the lower boundary of the range gave a strong signal.
The boundaries of the range are marked with black lines on the chart.
What about now?
🔸 No signs of strong selling.
🔸 The last Decision candle (IKC) at the top of the range belongs to the buyer.
🔸 The buyer has already taken out its high.
📉 For shorts — we need seller strength, ideally with price moving below 91,660.
📈 Longs can be considered on lower timeframes, aiming for their local targets.
Not every timeframe gives clear context.
What timeframes do you use to analyze and find trade setups?
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
BITCOIN - April ReviewIt's a make or break for Bitcoin right about now guys.....
Either we see all-time highs booked at $109,000 or we see capitulation to $73,000 and lower! Right about now, I can't seem to make a confident decision on whether Bitcoin will gravitate lower into lower timeframe PD arrays before targeting ATH or if a news event occurs plummeting the price in a heartbeat down to record levels.
You think $40,000 is not possible??
GOLD - April ReviewGold has been on an absolute tear this year, with gains of up to 30%!
I hate to say but the more turmoil that the world economy faces, the higher Gold prices will rise as this market is predominantly a event driven market meaning it takes fundamental news for the market to move like crazy, just like what we have been seeing recently
Long trade
5min TF ovewrview
📘 Trade Journal Entry
DOGEUSDT (Buy Side)
🗓 Date: Monday, 5th May 2025
⏰ Time: 12:00 PM
📍 Session: London to New York PM Transition
🪙 Pair: DOGE/USDT
📈 Direction: Long (Buy Side)
🔹 Entry Details:
Entry Price: 0.16894
Take Profit: 0.17375 (+2.85%)
Stop Loss: 0.16884 (−0.06%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 48.1
🔹 Trade Context:
Executed during the London–New York PM crossover, often a key window for major intraday reversals or trend continuations. Market structure showed a series of higher highs, confirming bullish intent and sustained buyside pressure.
Long trade ETHUSDT (Buy Side)
🗓 Date: Monday, 5th May 2025
⏰ Time: 9:30 AM
📍 Session: London AM
🪙 Pair: ETH/USDT
📈 Direction: Long (Buy Side)
🔹 Entry Details:
Entry Price: 1797.34
Take Profit: 1830.55 (+1.85%)
Stop Loss: 1793.65 (−0.21%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 8.98
🔹 Trade Context:
Executed during the London AM session, often characterised by clean intraday price action and strong directional intent. Entry followed clear buyside pressure confirmation, with price consistently breaking highs.