Short trade
30min TF overview
Sellside Trade
Pair: GBPJPY
Date: Friday, 14th February 2025
Time: 8:00 AM (NY Time)
Session: London to NY Session AM
Trade Details:
Entry: 191.892
Profit Level: 190.673 (+0.64%)
Stop Level: 192.525 (-0.33%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 1.98
Reason: Trade capitalizes on bearish market structure, liquidity sweeps, and session timing to execute a short position.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
what a week it was!!! still looking for better opportunities pound gained against the dollar last week same happened to euro against the green buck. GBPUSD gave us nice buy oppotunities on the demand areas and respected the ema so tightly , we will be looking for more bullish continuations up to price 1.05750 . EURUSD gained as investors and traders went long , for me i will be looking for bullish continuations @ 1.05750 the we might get slight retracement. keep up with oil we have globally the prices of oil drop from 74$ per barrel to 70$ per barrel . my predictions would be to still see the price of oil drop further in future , we shall be looking to go short once the market retraces back to price 72.15 $ per barrel
Gold’s Wild Ride: From Record Highs to Sudden Sell-OffsLast week was highly volatile for Gold prices.
After reaching a new all-time high on Tuesday, the price dropped sharply by approximately 800 pips. However, it began recovering on Thursday and climbed back to the 2940 zone on Friday.
In the final hours of trading, Gold experienced another sharp decline, closing the week exactly at the 2880 support level.
These repeated sell-offs from the all-time high suggest that a deeper correction may be underway, potentially confirming a double-top pattern. If this scenario unfolds, the measured target for the drop could be around 2820.
With this in mind, I will look to sell rallies against the recent 2940 all-time high.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
EURUSD 17 Feb 2025 W8 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 17 Feb 2025 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
No major economic news for today and market sentiment still continuing as per my Weekly Analysis
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move):
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹With the recent moves, Supply is failing and Demand is holding solidifying the scenario that the Bullish 4H Swing continuation in play.
🔹Price swept Liq. above 30 Jan on 4H and Daily where I’d noted in the previous days analysis which can provide a decent pullback. (Bearish CHoCH is required to confirm the Sweep of Liquidity. Otherwise, it’s not enough and price will continue from the recent 4H Demand formed).
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to continue Bullish to target the Weak 4H Swing High to facilitate to the Daily and Weekly expected Bullish move.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing continuation after BOS, Waiting Swing pullback phase.
2️⃣
🔹Bullish Swing structure continuing bullish aligning with the 4H Bullish Swing continuation phase.
🔹After the recent Swing BOS, INT structures continuing bullish and I’m expecting the 15m BOS pullback to start soon with Bearish iBOS.
🔹Current INT structures could be treated as Swing structures, but I prefer to have the 15m Swing Bullish even when we have a deep pullback.
🔹INT Structure still can hold bullish to facilitate the 4H target the Weak Swing High (Bullish BOS on 4H before pullback).
3️⃣
🔹As it’s Monday and no much catalyst Today, I prefer longs from the INT structure demand following the bullish structures on 15m and 4H while knowing that pullback can start at any time soon where I can shift to Intraday Bearish after confirmation (Bearish iBOS).
EUR/USD - Bullish Setup Building UpPatiently tracking the move — timing is everything.
4H:
Bullish structure locked in, but no liquidity sweep or order block mitigation yet. Waiting for price to make its move.
30M:
Bullish structure still intact, pushing toward liquidity and lining up for that order block mitigation. Clear direction, just needs that final touch.
5M:
Once price hits that OB, I’ll refine my entry with a CHoCH flip and liquidity grab. Staying sharp for the perfect execution.
Bless Trading!
Potential Buy AreasHey traders and investors!
There are no significant changes in the cryptocurrency market.
Some altcoins have dropped to interesting levels on the weekly timeframe, making them potential buying opportunities.
But when will the growth start? It might take 11 months for the price to reach the target (see related post).
I assume that the most capitalized coins have not yet reached their short targets (for example BTC, BNB, SOL). This means that there will probably be further price reductions.
I wish you profitable trades!
AUD/USD - Bullish Intent Locked InMarket’s got the vibe, just waiting for the right pullback to strike.
4H:
Bullish intent is clear, but no IDM sweep or order block mitigation yet. Patience building up the perfect play.
30M:
Structure still holding strong with the bulls. Waiting for IDM liquidity to get swept and that order block to get hit before making my move.
Execution’s coming soon. I’ll let the market show its hand first — then I’m in.
Bless Trading!
XAU/USD - Bullish Setup in Progress Gold looking ripe, just waiting for the perfect strike.
4H:
Bullish momentum is clear, but no liquidity sweep or order block mitigation yet — patience is key.
30M:
Structure still holding bullish. IDM liquidity already taken out. Now it’s all about that order block tap.
5M:
Once price hits the order block, I’ll be locked in, waiting for that CHoCH flip and liquidity entry to ride gold’s move up. Timing is everything.
Bless Trading!
EUR/GBP - Bullish Momentum Locked InPlaying the continuation smart and precise.
4H:
Liquidity already taken out, and price has mitigated the order block, setting up for that clean push to the highs.
30M:
Structure stays bullish — liquidity swept, mitigation respected at the refined order block, and demand holding strong. Bulls still in control.
5M:
Now it’s all about timing. Waiting for that CHoCH flip and liquidity entry to ride this wave higher. Let’s make it count.
Bless Trading!
USD/JPY - Precision Play on SMC FoundationsLocked in on this one from top-down analysis.
4H:
Price swept IDM liquidity and is now mitigating a clean 4H order block — textbook SMC move.
30M:
Waited for liquidity to be taken out here too, and price didn’t disappoint. It struck my refined 30M order block perfectly, showing respect to structure and order flow.
5M:
Now it’s time for patience. Waiting for that CHoCH flip and liquidity grab to confirm my entry. Once that trigger hits, I’m in. Let’s run it.
Bless Trading!
Gold - Fundamentals And Technicals Are Pointing To The UpsideAnother week of continuation in bullish price action and Gold managed to book new all-time highs @ $2,942 per oz.
Many investors and traders are speculating the price of Gold by the end of the year could reach $3,000 but I believe our dreams may come true sooner than expected.
Expect short term retracements to immediate imbalances in price action on the daily timeframe but in the grand scheme of things, It's up up and up!
Long Trade
30min TF overview
Buyside Trade
Pair: NZDUSD
Date: Friday, 13th February 2025
Time: 8:30 PM (NY Time)
Session: NY to London Session PM
Trade Details:
Entry: 0.57188
Profit Level: 0.58820 (+2.85%)
Stop Level: 0.56837 (-0.61%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 4.65
Reson's Buyside trade is based on a bullish market structure, liquidity grabs, and demand zone reactions, for this buyside trade idea.
Gold (XAU/USD) - Double Top Formation & Potential Bearish MoveGold (XAU/USD) has formed a double-top pattern at a key resistance zone around $2943, aligning with a bearish engulfing candlestick on the daily timeframe. This suggests a possible shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
The price is currently retracing into a potential sell zone, where a rejection could lead to further downside movement. The fixed range volume profile and market structure indicate that sellers may step in, pushing the price lower towards key demand areas.
🔹 Key Technical Highlights:
Double Top Resistance: $2943
Bearish Engulfing on Daily TF 📉
Break of Structure (BOS) on lower timeframes
Potential Retracement Zone: If price fails to reclaim resistance, further downside is expected.
Target Areas: First key support around $2850, with a deeper target near $2780 - $2760.
Trading Plan:
📍 Look for bearish confirmation signals around the retracement zone for short opportunities. If price decisively breaks above $2950, reassess the bearish bias.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own analysis and risk management before taking any trades. 🚀
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts
Long trade
1Hr TF Overview
Buyside Trade
Pair: EURGBP
Date: Thursday, 13th February 2025
Time: 5:00 PM (NY Time)
Session: London to NY Session PM
Trade Details:
Entry: 0.83237
Profit Level: 0.83538 (+0.36%)
Stop Level: 0.83086 (-0.18%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 1.99
This buyside trade is based on a multi-timeframe approach, aligning structure across the 1H, 4H, and daily timeframes to confirm bullish momentum.
Timeframe Breakdown:
1H Timeframe: Entry confirmation based on price action signals, involving a break of structure (BOS)and or retest of a demand zone.
4H Timeframe: Provides higher timeframe context, showing a shift in market structure favouring upside movement.
Daily Structure: Ensures that the trade aligns with overall market bias, avoiding counter-trend setups.
Short trade
4HR TF Overview
Sellside Trade
Date: Thursday, 13th February 2025
Time: 3:00 AM (NY Time)
Trade Details:
Entry: 2662.45
Profit Level: 2586.43 (+2.86%)
Stop Level: 2689.10 (-1.00%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.85
Reason: Observing price action since the Mon 10th of February I assumed we had reached a pivotal supply level indicative of a sellside trade.
EUR/USD - Are We On The Verge Of A Sustained Bull-Run?From the opening on Monday to Fridays close, Euro has been on an absolute TEAR to the upside with little to no manipulated spikes to the downside confirming this weeks bullish bias with flying colours.
Originally, the first point of interest was the 1.04542 - 1.04444 daily inverted SIBI but as we saw aggression when trading through it, 1.05368 is the next bullish draw.
We have yet to reach buyside liquidity yet but we have attacked the consequent encroachment of the last up close candle wick @ 1.05127 in which we saw a rejection.
Bullish projection this week has been superb! Looking out for a continuation to the upside, closing 1.25127 and a rally up to 1.05368.
Longer term bullish draw up to 1.06826 - 1.06098 is still in play but I want to see how the delivery above 1.05368 plays a role in the possible continuation of bullish price action.
Dow Jones (March Contract) - I Am Sceptical About All-Time HighsUnlike Nasdaq and S&P 500 where their PD arrays was discounted, Dow Jones is showing a different story.
45000 is a stanch psychological resistance level for a number of reasons. For one, a weekly liquidity void in the past aligns with a prior daily SIBI (which price redelivered into and rebalanced 100% of the range) and another gap in the form of a volume imbalance created last week Thursday 6th going into Friday 7th which Dow has rejected this Friday.
Very tight range Dow is working in at the moment and I don’t have the confidence yet to predict Dow jones reaching up into the all-time highs territory yet. There is still a lot more resistance levels to break through compared to ES or NQ.
Going into next week, I want to see 45000 cleared.
Ideally, I want to see a candle body closure above 45227.
Dow Jones is last in the race to attack ATH.
Nasdaq (March 2025) - Taking Nasdaq On A DateMe and Nasdaq had a GREAT time last week; riding the lows and highs from sunrise to sunset. Even though the initial target of Mon 27th Daily candles wick encroachment was met, the upside potential was astounding.
Besides that, NASDAQ’s price action over the past 2 months has been lacklustre, struggling to trend and stay in one direction but it’s no surprise as with all the geopolitical drama happening all over the world has caused many institutional traders to sit on their hands and wait.
S&P 500 (March 2025) - A Whole Heap Of Mumbo JumboThe markets is not presenting low resistance liquidity runs due to all the politics and tariffs being implemented right now but once things settle, ES will be in for the chance to test all time highs once again.
What we saw is perfection with the alignment of my bearish bias and how price respected the daily FVG @ $5,950 (mapped out with the red rectangle tool) on the Sunday going into Monday before repricing higher inside of the gap.