Sell GC based on 15M bearish unicorn breakerGC swept previous day high, 4h high during London open. It reversed sharply making 15M bearish change in state of delivery (CISD) and moving through 15M breaker and forming 15M FVG. Nice ICT unicorn breaker!
I have my sell limit placed at the low of 15m FVG. Will be targeting RR 1:2.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
July 2025 - Duolingo trading opportunityGood news for Duolingo... The chart is now showing some promising signs that it might be ready to turn things around and head higher. Some simple clues why:
RSI resistance breakout:
The "RSI" indicator (bottom of chart) tells us strength is returning. A break of resistance that has been active over the last month is now no more. This usually means the buyers are taking control again.
Hidden strength:
Even though the price might look a bit sleepy, oscillators now print significant bullish divergence with price action.
Past resistance confirms support:
Certainly one of the most simplest concepts to take advantage of, previous resistance now confirms support. This test occurs as price action strikes the 50% Fibonacci level.
20% Forecast
Look left, previously market structure failed. Typically past breaks of structure shall be tested to confirm resistance, which is between 20-30% away.
Is it possible price action continues to print lower lows? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
EURUSD - Potential sell at LDN or NY openLooking for sell from the POI highlighted
We have raided buy side liquidity so now its time to look at the origin of the move and see if we can further capitalise on a similar set up I took yesterday in order to bank a lovely 8.5% profit on this single trade.
Will post the trade below
GBPUSDPrice reached a major weekly resistance and started selling with the daily giving a strong bearish engulfing last week. H4 formed a double top and started creating lower highs. H1 has formed a third bearish wedge. Waiting for clear breakout to look for shorts. Watch out for fundamentals this week.
NZDUSD LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly rejection at AOi
Weekly Previous Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Daily EMA retest
Around Psychological Level 0.60000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 4.93
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Time to Recover?!
Gold reached an important rising trend line on a daily.
I see 2 nice intraday bullish reactions to that on a 4H time frame
and a double bottom pattern formation.
Its neckline breakout and a 4H candle close above 3309
will confirm a start of a bullish correctional movement.
Goal will be 3327.
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the trend line will push
the prices lower.
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USDCHF: Short Sell Trigger on 4HGood morning everyone,
yesterday evening my LuBot Ultimate indicator sends me an alert for a sell signal I entered.
The signal is in favor of the trend and the main period structure both on the current timeframe and on the higher timeframes.
The indicator provides exit levels which I will follow as I think they are already optimal for a short term trade.
The stop is located above the highs and leaves some space for any spikes, and the take profit is located in the low area where it would be appropriate to exit.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research before making investment decisions.
TAGS: FPMARKETS:USDCHF FX_IDC:USDCHF KRAKEN:USDCHF SAXO:USDCHF FOREXCOM:USDCHF OANDA:USDCHF FX:USDCHF
XAU/USD 09 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
SPX: 75% chance Multi-Timeframe Reversal to 5,775-6,103 Zone **SPX MULTI-TIMEFRAME CYCLE CONFLUENCE ANALYSIS - SUPER VERSION**
**CURRENT SITUATION: July 7, 2025 - Price: 6,238**
Based on our quantitative cycle analysis across 4 timeframes, applying **ACTRAGEA hierarchical dominance principles** where ITM >> MTY >> TCY >> TYL.
---
## **CYCLE HIERARCHY STATUS**
| **Timeframe** | **Cycle Phase** | **Status** | **Hierarchy** | **Key Level** |
|---------------|-----------------|------------|---------------|---------------|
| **ITM (1D)** | Phase 2 | FLAT | **DOMINANT** | Max: 6,284.65 **awaiting confirmation** |
| **TCY (1H)** | Phase 2 | FLAT | Secondary | Max: 6,284.65 **awaiting confirmation** |
| **MTY (270m)** | Phase 1 | LONG (+1.64%) | Subordinate | Seeking max: 6,359 |
| **TYL (15m)** | Phase 2 | LONG (+0.11%) | Subordinate | Max: 6,242.7 **awaiting confirmation** |
---
## **PRIMARY SCENARIO (Probability: 75%)**
**DIRECTIONAL BIAS:** **Multi-timeframe reversal upon ITM maximum confirmation**
**RATIONALE:**
- **ITM timing**: 0 bars remaining from 50° percentile window → Maximum at 6,284.65 **awaiting confirmation** → Statistical pressure for confirmation increases daily
- **Hierarchical cascade**: **When ITM confirms maximum** → all subordinate cycles transition into Phase 3 (minimum search)
- **Current LONG positions** (MTY +1.64%, TYL +0.11%) face hierarchical override risk upon ITM maximum confirmation. Subordinate cycles will align regardless of current profitability.
**STATISTICAL PRICE LEVELS (50° Percentile):**
- **ITM**: 5,775.84
- **TCY**: 6,103.58
- **MTY**: 5,996.35
- **TYL**: 6,170.98
**STATISTICAL TIME WINDOWS (50° Percentile):**
- **ITM**: 65 bars | **TCY**: 58 bars | **MTY**: 62 bars | **TYL**: 81 bars
**EXTREME SCENARIOS (20° Percentile):**
- **ITM**: 5,420.71 | **TCY**: 5,934.73 | **MTY**: 5,728.16 | **TYL**: 6,084.71
---
## **⚠️ ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO (Probability: 25%)**
**DIRECTIONAL BIAS:** ITM extension toward 80° percentile before maximum confirmation
**CONDITION:** ITM exceeds statistical time boundaries, allowing subordinate cycles temporary independence
---
## **CRITICAL DECISION POINT**
**Confirmation Trigger:** ITM maximum validation at 6,284.65 → Phase 2→3 transition → Activation timeframe: Within 1-3 trading sessions (statistical pressure)
**Hierarchy Activation:** Immediate subordinate cycle alignment into Phase 3 upon ITM confirmation
**Invalidation:** Sustained break above 6,285 (negates ITM maximum thesis)
---
## ** PROBABILITY FOUNDATION**
**75% probability derived from:**
- ITM expired timing creating high statistical pressure for confirmation
- Historical dominance patterns (85%+ subordination rate upon ITM phase changes)
- Dual Phase 2 alignment (ITM + TCY at identical maximum level awaiting confirmation)
---
## **ACTRAGEA METHODOLOGY FOUNDATION**
Our **quantitative cycle framework** operates on **hierarchical dominance principles** where longer timeframes command shorter ones. Statistical levels represent **50° percentile probabilities**, not certainties. The **ITM critical juncture** at 6,284.65 creates high-probability setup for **coordinated multi-timeframe reversal initiation**.
**Performance Context:** Systems demonstrating 65.71% to 82.86% statistical reliability across timeframes.
---
*Analysis based on ACTRAGEA hierarchical cycle principles and statistical percentile distributions. All levels represent probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes.*
GBPUSD - 2 potential selling opportunitiesLooking at GBPUSD
We have 2 potential selling POI's.
The first one being a point in which we will need to sit on our hands for a little bit to see what price does at there is no inducement in the push down in the impulse leg. With that being the case we will need to see some sort of inducement built before we enter that POI
IF we clear the first POI I think I will take a more aggressive entry on the secondary POI that sits a little bit higher. This is due to us having already put in some sort of liquidity in and around that POI before pushing lower.
Will wait and see what happens.
Tomorrow could be a very good trading day
GBP/JPYGBP/JPY has been bullish since April, since then price has reached a significant key area at 199.000-200.000. Over the next few days/weeks i shall be watching this pair to see if price rejects this key zone or if its able to push through. This will determine my next move as to whether we go short or long.
EURUSD Short, 08 JulyHTF Bearish Continuation & Intraday Confirmation
HTF bias remains bearish, reacting from W/D OB and completing the daily imbalance left from yesterday. Now looking for continuation lower, supported by a clean 4H OB.
📉 Confluence:
15m Decisional OB in play
5m OB entry zone with a clean 1m BOS
DXY gap + imbalance still open in our favor + Correlation between EU and DXY
Asia session structure aligned
🎯 Entry: Retest of 5m OB after 1m BOS
🛡️ SL: Above recent high, ~10 pips
📌 TP: Asia low – 1:3 RR
⚠️ Risk: OB is mid-Asia (less ideal), and DXY Daily imbalance not filled yet
Still a solid setup with structure + HTF narrative backing it.
XAU/USD 08 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Skeptic | BNB Surge: Rocket Triggers for Spot & FuturesHey everyone, it’s Skeptic! 😎 Is BNB ready to rocket? I’m diving into a pro-level breakdown of Binance Coin (BNB), a top 5 crypto with a $92.9B market cap, now trending on CoinMarketCap with surging momentum. This analysis unpacks recent upgrades, ecosystem strength, and technical triggers for spot and futures trading, grounded in cycle-based strategies. Trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason.
Recent Performance & Key Events
Binance Coin ( BNB ), trading at $ 660 with a $92.9 billion market cap, ranks among the top 5 cryptocurrencies globally. The Maxwell hard fork in recent weeks slashed block times to 0.75 seconds, boosting network speed and efficiency, adding $8 billion to the Binance Chain’s market cap. BNB powers the Binance ecosystem, supporting staking, NFTs, and DeFi projects. Despite regulatory scrutiny, ongoing platform expansion and token burn mechanisms sustain BNB’s utility and investor interest. Let’s dive into the technical setup for actionable trades. 📊
Technical Analysis: Cycle-Based Breakdown
The Weekly timeframe is range-bound, so lower timeframes drive price action. Let’s break it down:
Daily Timeframe
On the Daily, we had a primary uptrend within an upward channel, which broke downward. I cloned the channel and placed it below, and price has reacted well to the midline, still holding there. A midline break could drive price to the channel floor at $536.47. However, a V-pattern stands out as one of the strongest patterns. Why? It shows sellers broke support and consolidated below, but buyers overwhelmed them, pushing price back above support instantly. This signals immense buying pressure, liquidating shorts despite heavy selling—big respect to buyers! lol
💬 For spot trading , wait for BTC.D to turn bearish, as rising BTC.D means liquidity flows to Bitcoin, making altcoin buys less attractive. BNB/BTC turning uptrend is another confirmation—currently, BNB/BTC is bearish, so focus on Bitcoin for now. Check pair/BTC ratios to spot coins outperforming Bitcoin.
Key Insight: Volume and BTC.D/BNB/BTC confirmation are critical for spot buys to avoid low-liquidity traps.
4-Hour Timeframe (Futures Triggers)
On the 4-hour, for longs:
Trigger: Break of resistance at $ 664.69 , confirming the V-pattern. Validate with a volume surge on breakout and RSI entering overbought.
Short Trigger: If support at $ 637.46 breaks again, go short, as buyers may lack strength after exhausting their effort in the prior defense. Volume confirmation is essential.
Pro Tip: ALWAYS use volume to confirm positions. Without a volume spike, fakeout risk is high. Stick to 1%–2% risk per trade to protect capital.
Final Vibe Check
This BNB breakdown delivers precise triggers: long at $664.69 (futures with V-pattern confirmation), short at $637.46 (futures). With a range-bound Weekly and Daily V-pattern, volume and BTC.D/BNB/BTC signals are your edge. BNB’s Maxwell fork and ecosystem strength fuel its potential, but regulatory risks demand tight stops. Want more cycle setups or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this analysis sharpened your game, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which BNB trigger are you eyeing? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
NASDAQ Futures: My Plan for current Week (7-11 July, 2025)Week: July 7–11, 2025
Instrument: NASDAQ Futures (NQ)
Trend: Overall, the market remains bullish, but for this week I anticipate a retracement targeting the $22,582 level.
Bias for the week: Bearish
Overview:
This week, I’m watching NQ for a potential move toward the $22,582 level. This expectation is based on how Thursday (July 3, 2025) played out—specifically the buy-side liquidity that was taken, and the clean sell-side liquidity pool left near $22,582.
I also find it notable how the NWOG (New Week Opening Gap) was opened and how price moved below it, which reinforces the short bias.
I would consider opening a short position once I see a confirmed 4H candle close below $22,760, otherwise no trades will be taken.
* Trade execution details will be published separately if my bias confirms.
* for more information -> review my notes on the chart