Stock Of The Day / 12.16.24 / AVGO12.16.2024 / NASDAQ:AVGO
Fundamentals. Second day of growth on the back of a positive earnings report.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Exit upwards from a six-month accumulation.
Premarket: Gap Up on increased volume.
Trading session: Strong non-pullback growth from the opening of the session to the level of 247.00. We are looking for an opportunity to join the uptrend on a pullback. The price pulled back to the level of 238.00, after which it returned and showed a clear hold of the level of 240.00. We are considering a long trade to continue the upward movement.
Trading scenario: pullback along the trend (false breakout with retest) of level 240.00
Entry: 241.10 on impulse up after holding the level at 19:30
Stop: 239.44 we hide it behind the previous higher low
Exit: Close part of the position before the high of the day 247.00. Close the rest of the position around 248.89 after an unsuccessful attempt to update higher high.
Risk Rewards: 1/4
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
XAU/USD 17 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Since last analysis dated 13 December 2024, price has printed a double bearish iBOS
Bullish CHoCH has been printed, therefore, we are now trading within an established internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has tapped in to M15 supply zone. Technically price to target weak internal low priced at 2,643.595.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
ASX dragged lower by the DowThe Dow Jones futures market fell for an 8th consecutive day on Monday, a bearish sequence not seen in over 12 years. And that's not good news for ASX 200 bulls, as the index tends to track the Dow very closely.
The daily chart looks like it wants to head to 8200, and it just 1 - 2 bearish trading days away from it looking at a typical day's range. The 1-hour trend has favoured bearish swing traders, who could seek to fade into moves towards the 20-50 hour EMAs.
BTC.D: A Critical Turning PointThe current zone is pivotal for confirming the bearish scenario on BTC.D.
Key Points:
- Death Cross on the 12h chart confirmed last week.
- PA is retesting EMAs after the cross, increasing the likelihood of further downside.
- This is a zone to add positions if weakness confirms.
Main Scenario:
1. Retest completion → continued downtrend.
2. Major support lies around 53%, with potential for deeper declines.
Risks:
A sustained move above the current MAs could invalidate the bearish outlook.
GBPUSD Potential Setup - Waiting for confirmationTime Frame:
- Daily: FVG Identification
- H4: FVG Identification
- H1: Entry Signal
1. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the H4 chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.2700 - 1.2715
On the Daily chart also note FVG between 1.2680- 1.2712
2. Trend Confirmation:
Price has break consolidation support at 1.2715.
Price has now rising back to Daily FVG area.
3. Position:
Entry: Waiting Confirmation
Stop Loss : 1.2720
Take Profit: 1.2500 (fibo 161.8)
RRR : 1:10x
Note: Still waiting for entry confirmation.
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Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BTCUSDT 4h-8h long updatelast BTC idea was a succes check it out for reference. we managed to find good support on the SND after some bloody absorption which made me take a nice and easy 2rr trade. it might not seem much to some of you but this is how real trading goes. actual analysis, actual trading rules, actual entry criteria and a good amount of backtest data to back it up. this is what makes a profitable trader. I tried to look for a re-entry on the second SND touch but it didnt match my entry criteria so i sat on my hands.
I'll be looking for new trades now since another big MB was formed which needs to be mitigated ofcourse.
Gold and silver have corrected to the first targetsHey traders and investors!
Gold and silver prices have reached the buyer's interest zones: 2650-2627 for gold and 30.3165 for silver.
Let’s see if the buyer is strong at these levels or if the price will continue to decline.
A deeper correction would be preferable. Detailed analysis in related posts.
Good luck with your trading and investments!
S&P is Shaping a Bull Flag While Awaiting the FED DecisionLast week was characterized by increasing selling pressure that hindered upward price progression but failed to trigger any substantial pullback. The market has not even retested the previous consolidation zone ( 598-601 ), which highlights the weakness of the sellers.
Looking at the daily chart, the recent price action resembles a bull flag, favoring a continuation of the upward trend. For sellers to demonstrate their strength, they must not only break this pattern to the downside but also breach the 598 support level and drive the price further down to 594 .
Much will depend on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision this week, alongside the release of key economic data. The most favorable outcome for the bulls would be a 0.25% rate cut. Any other scenario could spark concerns—either about an impending recession (if the cut is larger) or about a prolonged high-interest-rate environment (if the cut is absent).
The market outlook remains bullish; however, the current price level is not ideal for new long positions. Buyers would be better served by waiting for a more meaningful pullback (e.g., to the 600 level), provided it is not driven by a negative shift in economic sentiment.
MATIC - The one token to avoid in 2024Last year I wrote the idea:
“MATIC - The one token not to hold in 2023”
It was not a popular opinion. Link to idea below. At the time price action was at 97 cents. Down 13% currently in what was arguably one of the most bullish years for markets those past 30 years.
What of 2024? Nothing good. A weekly death cross is almost certainly going to print by the month of February.
A weekly death cross does not mean price action shall correct immediately, however it is a strong indication of a continuing trend.
At the same time a bearish divergence can be seen as price action appears to recover broken market structure. The 3-day chart below shows this divergence more clearly.
Is it possible price action continues upwards and onwards? Sure.
Is it probable? No
Ww
3-day chart negative divergence
XAU/USD 16 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Since last analysis dated 13 December 2024, price has printed a double bearish iBOS
Bullish CHoCH has been printed, therefore, we are now trading within an established internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has tapped in to M15 supply zone. Technically price to target weak internal low priced at 2,643.595.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Stock Of The Day / 12.13.24 / CLF12.13.2024 / NYSE:CLF
Fundamentals. The news background is neutral.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Downtrend. The previous day closed below 11.00 - the level of the last trend break. We also draw the previous day's low 10.77. The level 10.21 formed by the trend break in September is ahead.
Premarket: no activity.
Trading session: The price is in accumulation above the 10.77 level after an unsuccessful attempt to return beyond the 11.00 level at the beginning of the trading session. Then price continued to tighten to 10.77 after an unsuccessful attempt to reverse to long at 10:30 a.m. We consider a short trade in continuation of the movement.
Trading scenario: breakdown (tightening) of the 10.77 level
Entry: 10.75 aggressive entry upon breakdown of the level.
Stop: 10.81 we hide it behind the previous accumulation high.
Exit: We observe a smooth movement without significant pullbacks after the breakdown. With due patience, you can reach 10.21 or close the trade in parts in accordance with your trading system.
Risk Rewards: 1/8
Stock Of The Day / 12.12.24 / PLAY12.12.2024 / NASDAQ:PLAY
Fundamentals. CEO resignation amid yesterday's negative report. The so-called second-day trade.
Technical analysis.
Weekly chart: Exit down from multi-year accumulation.
Daily chart: The previous day closed near the strong level 29.34 formed by the trend break in September. We expect a continuation of the downward movement.
Premarket: no activity.
Trading session: Pure downward movement after the opening of the session. After the reaction to the level 27.00, the price entered a two-hour accumulation with a gradual tightening to the level. After the breakout, the price clearly holds the level, forming a mini tightening on the opposite side. A failed attempt to return beyond the level in the form of a candle with a tail against the trend strengthens the signal to short.
Trading scenario: breakdown with retest (tightening with retest) of the level 27.00
Entry: 26.89 when the structure of the mini tightening is broken. It is acceptable an aggressive entry into the breakdown without waiting for a retest.
Stop: 27.14 we hide it behind the tail of the failed return attempt.
Exit: After the breakdown we observe a smooth movement without a trend structure. It is optimal to take profit in parts for such movements upon reaching certain target RR profit (1/3, 1/4, etc.) with subsequent tightening of the stop.
Risk Rewards: 1/6
Stock Of The Day / 12.11.24 / RBLX12.11.2024 / NYSE:RBLX
Fundamentals. There was no significant news.
The stock was listed due to the gap and a smooth, non-volatile movement at the beginning of trading session.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Uptrend. There is an attempt to update 59.80 2-years high after a small pullback. The level is not marked on the chart, since the price did not show a significant reaction to it during the trading session.
Premarket : Gap Up on moderate volume.
Trading session: The stock continued its upward trend movement after an unsuccessful attempt to go below the opening price. The price met significant resistance at the level 60.00 after passing the level 59.19. After a sharp pullback, the price quickly returned to the level and entered a half-hour accumulation with a smooth tighten. We are considering a long trade.
Trading scenario: breakout (tightening) of level 60.00
Entry: 60.04 aggressive entry into the breakout with a small reserve for slippage. We do not expect a retest since accumulation with tightening is usually accompanied by a strong impulse movement.
Stop: 59.85 we hide it behind the last tail of the tightening.
Exit: After the breakout, we observe an impulse movement without a trend structure. It is optimal to take profit in parts for such movements upon reaching certain target RR profit (1/3, 1/4, etc.) with subsequent tightening of the stop. For example, we close part of the position upon reaching RR 1/3, with the continuation of the movement we pulled the stop to the profit level of 1/3, etc.
Risk Rewards: 1/4