AUDCAD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at Both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Weekly
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.89500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.21
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
NAS100 - Will the Stock Market Reach Its Previous High?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the trend line is broken, I expect corrective moves, but if the index corrects towards the demand zone, we can look for further buying positions in Nasdaq with a risk-reward ratio. Maintaining this trend line will lead to a continuation of the Nasdaq upward trend.
The strong rally in U.S. equities that had pushed the S&P 500 close to record highs for 2025 came to a halt on Friday, following the release of disappointing consumer sentiment data. A report from the University of Michigan revealed a drop in consumer confidence and a surge in inflation expectations to levels not seen in decades—factors that have amplified concerns about the economy’s outlook.
Despite this, some analysts remain hopeful that robust corporate earnings and the temporary suspension of tariffs could provide needed support for the market. Meanwhile, rating agency Moody’s warned that U.S. federal debt is projected to climb to 134% of GDP by 2035, up from 98% in 2024.
Moody’s noted that while the U.S. economy and financial system remain strong, the weakening of certain fiscal indicators has diminished the ability of these strengths to offset negative effects. According to their analysis, trade tariffs will not significantly impact long-term U.S. economic growth, and substantial changes in mandatory spending are unlikely in the near future.
Although the U.S. credit rating has been downgraded, the country’s long-term domestic and foreign credit ceilings remain at AAA. However, Moody’s has revised the overall credit rating for the U.S. down from AAA to Aa1.
One noteworthy detail is that since April 21, the index has seen only one negative trading day—May 9, which experienced only a slight decline. Falling Treasury yields have reduced some market risks, while Donald Trump’s trip to the Middle East has also helped ease political tensions at home. The market clearly reflects growing investor appetite for risk, though the possibility of a correction at these levels remains real.
Looking ahead to this week, traders will closely monitor preliminary purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data for May on Thursday. They will also pay attention to speeches from several Federal Reserve officials to gauge whether the Fed remains focused on economic growth or has shifted more attention to inflation, especially in light of recent U.S.-China trade agreements.
A rise in PMI figures may suggest that business sentiment has improved since tensions eased between the U.S. and China, but investors are also eager for clear guidance on the Fed’s next policy steps. Key speakers include John Williams (New York Fed), Raphael Bostic (Atlanta Fed), Lorie Logan (Dallas Fed), and Mary Daly (San Francisco Fed). If these officials continue to express concerns about elevated inflation risks, the U.S. dollar could continue to strengthen, as markets may price in fewer rate cuts ahead.
As for the equity markets, their reaction remains uncertain. Recently, equities have risen even as expectations for rate cuts have diminished—primarily due to a reduced fear of recession following tariff adjustments. However, with recession fears now less pronounced and a growing narrative around sustained higher rates due to sticky inflation, Wall Street may pull back if Fed officials emphasize upside inflation risks.
In related news, President Donald Trump harshly criticized Walmart’s pricing strategy, stating that the company should absorb the cost of tariffs rather than passing them onto consumers. In a public statement, Trump pointed out that Walmart made billions in profit last year and argued that American shoppers should not bear the burden of higher prices caused by trade tariffs.
Trump also implicated China in the issue, stating that either Walmart or China should take responsibility for these added costs. He warned that both he and consumers are closely watching how Walmart handles the situation.
Watching 3265 — The Key Level for Gold BuyersHey traders and investors!
📊 GOLD / W + D
📍 Context
On the weekly timeframe: a seller candle with increased volume but no result — the close is above 3201. This gives buyers a chance to take over the initiative.
On the daily timeframe: the buyer has brought the price back into the range (lower boundary at 3201), which also keeps the door open for bullish scenarios.
🎯 Trade Idea
Consider long positions after the price holds above 3265
Potential targets: 3435 and 3500
📌 Conclusion
Bulls have a chance — it's important to watch the price behavior around 3265 and look for long setups on lower timeframes. For example, a retest of 3265 after a breakout and absorption of the retest candle by the buyer, similar to what happened at the 3167 level on the hourly timeframe.
Long trade
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📈 Pair: BONK/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
📅 Date: Sunday, 18th May 2025
🕥 Time: 10:00 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 0.00001972
🔹 Profit Target: 0.00002159 (+9.48%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.00001924 (-2.43%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.90
🔍 Reasoning:
The trade was initiated during the LND session AM window, where price action showed a clear breakout from short-term resistance. Momentum aligned with a surge in volume, suggesting strong buyside intent.
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📈 Pair: PEPE/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
📅 Date: Sunday, 18th May 2025
🕥 Time: 10:45 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 0.00001317
🔹 Profit Target: 0.00001480 (+12.38%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.00001312 (-0.38%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 32.60
🔍 Reasoning:
This buyside trade capitalised on a breakout from consolidation during the London AM session.
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📈 Pair: SHIB/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
🆔 Trade ID: #SHIBUSDT-0518A
📅 Date: Sunday, 18th May 2025
🕤 Time: 9:30 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 0.00001473
🔹 Profit Target: 0.00001567 (+6.38%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.00001455 (-1.22%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 5.22
🔍 Reasoning:
The trade was executed as a breakout entry during the London AM session. Price breached a key consolidation high with conviction, signalling the initiation of a new leg higher. The breakout structure was supported by a volume increase and momentum alignment, targeting clean liquidity resting above prior highs.
Long trade
1Hr TF oveview
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📈 Pair: BTC/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
📅 Date: Sunday, 18th May 2025
🕥 Time: 10:30 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 103,269.96
🔹 Profit Target: 105,817.16 (+2.47%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 102,862.74 (-0.39%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 6.25
🔍 Reasoning:
This trade was entered following a confirmed breakout during the London AM session, as price action cleanly cleared recent highs with strong bullish momentum. The move was supported by increased volume and a shift in short-term structure, indicating buy-side dominance.
"BTC hit TP - exactly how I mapped it out."Patience, structure, and precision. I said what I said, drew what I drew, and price did exactly what I expected. No guessing, no hoping - just reading price and letting it come to me.
Too many traders chase candles. I waited for structure to align, watched price respect the levels I outlined, and took the trade when the market gave me confirmation.
This isn't luck - it's consistency through discipline and clarity.
+ TP smashed.
+ Structure respected.
+ Psychology intact.
Stay Sharp. Let price speak. Read it right, and it'll hand you what you're looking for.
#BTC #Bitcoin #SmartMoney #PriceAction #PatiencePays #inducementKing
Bless Trading!
Ethereum: +80% in a Month — What’s Next?Hey traders and investors!
The price of ETH has surged by more than 80% over the past 30 days, but the momentum is starting to slow.
To understand the current position, we’re using the magic of timeframe switching and focusing on the 15-day chart.
Key Observations
1️⃣ A sideways range (consolidation) has formed on the 15D chart, with anchor points 1–6 (see chart).
2️⃣ The last major initiative came from sellers (move from point 5 to 6), and it includes some key features:
The initiative pushed below the lower boundary of the range — $2111.
The highest volume occurred on the last bar of this move (IKC bar).
The IKC bar absorbed liquidity not only below point 4 of the range but also below point 0 — the origin of the price move that preceded the formation of the range.
3️⃣ Buyers began developing their initiative by absorbing the sellers’ IKC bar, pushing price back into the range, and forming a buyer zone (blue rectangle on the chart, with the upper boundary at $1957).
4️⃣ Buyers have already reached the first target — $2717 (point 1 level).
What Does It Mean?
The rapid rally may slow down — the market likely needs some consolidation or a pullback.
A correction toward $2111 or even $1957 is possible. Both zones are attractive for medium-term long setups.
The medium-term bullish scenario remains valid as long as price stays above $2111.
Trade Outlook
📈 Long zones: $2111, $1957, or after a breakout and hold above $2717
🎯 Targets: $3744, then $4100
📉 Shorts are currently not justified — sellers show no real strength
Be ready for a potential “pause” in the rally and watch buyer activity — they currently hold the initiative (!).
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
GBPUSD Week 21 Swing Zone/LevelsNot Always.
Not always will price conform to hypothesis, but in following good RRR success is assured.
We setup week 21 levels and zone as shown with the predicted pathways.
Trade Parameters: Entry on 5 mins chart
Sl 10-15pips
TP usually dynamic but typically 5x
Follow on for trade updates.
As Always PRICE determines trades
Filecoin - Still in accumulationHello everyone, as you know if you follow me, one of the coins I’ve been accumulating for years is FIL. From both a technical and fundamental analysis perspective, I believe it’s the bet with the absolute highest potential in the crypto world. Speaking of my analysis, as you can see, we’re still in an accumulation phase for about 2-3 years now, with a range between $2.3 and $7-10. In recent weeks, we’ve seen a retest of the all-time low, and right now it’s testing the lowest monthly close of the previous cycle. That said, I expect a fairly rapid rise toward $7 soon, with the possibility that it finally breaks out of the range and starts running toward the previous ATH at $230. In any case, the risk/reward is truly excellent, probably the best in the entire crypto market. Thanks to everyone for your attention, and I hope the video is helpful for your analyses.
USDCHF bullish There's a clear descending triangle with price testing the upper resistance. A breakout is anticipated.
You can enter from FVG (Stop loss 0.83230)or wait a breakout above the triangle, then retest.
We have two targets:
-The distance from the highest point to the support line which will be at 0.8522
-Second target will be swing deal take it on weekly IFVG which will be at 0.87132
EurAud..Daily Volume Imbalance fillGood day traders, I’m back with another great idea on EurAud and what I like about this setup, is that we can also learn from it.
On our daily TF we have a clear volume imbalance since price opened on Monday with a gap and it failed to fill the gap last week meaning it might happen this week where price can fill the gap. On the chart I’m showing you the high/low of the volume imbalance but you can add the midpoint of that gap too if you wish to do so. Price tried filling that gap but we can see it failed to do so because price did not even get to the midpoint of the VI, after it touched the lower quarter of the VI, it pushed lower showing weakness in price.
Jumping to the present TF 4H here we can see that we have a bullish flow in price but out structure remain bearish. Going into the new week we wanna see price continue in its original structure to Atleast our first presented FVg that has been noted on the chart. Currently price is inside an inverted FVG which again supports our narrative. We can expect price to fill the 1st.PFVG on Tuesday the latest before it can move higher and for the week we want to see price close above the volume imbalance.
My Thoughts #009We are getting ready for sells
The pair still has a liquid area inside the supply zone
We will sell once we get a choch on the supply after the sweep of the liquidity
And sell till the all time low
The pair could invalidate the whole set up
So use proper risk management
Let's do the most
Bitcoin will start an upward movement soonIf the lower green trend line is not broken, the existence of a descending triangle is confirmed. However, I don’t think this line will be broken because 4 triple waves have been formed so far and the fifth wave, wave E, is completing or may have already completed. So I think Bitcoin will start an upward movement soon.
VIRTUAL PROTOCOL Wave 2 Correction in Play After 4x ImpulseFollowing the completion of its previous cycle correction, Virtual Protocol confirmed a bullish reversal via a breakout from a falling wedge, initiating Impulse Wave (1) with an impressive ~4x move. Current price action signals the commencement of Wave (2) corrective structure, aligning with standard Elliott Wave Theory post-impulsive behavior.
The buy-back zone (highlighted on chart) represents the high-probability retracement region based on Fib confluence (0.5–0.618 retracement levels) and prior structural support.
Wave (3) and Wave (5) targets are projected using Fibonacci extensions and historical momentum analogs. Eyes remain on the buy-back zone for optimal re-entry.
EURCAD: Bearish Outlook For Next Week Explained🇪🇺🇨🇦
Earlier, I shared a very bearish outlook for EURCAD on a daily time frame.
During the NY session on Friday, the price retested a broken support
of the flag and formed a head and shoulders pattern on that.
Its neckline violation provides a strong bearish confirmation.
I expect a bearish continuation on Monday.
Goal - 1.5505
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IAG supply zonePrice arriving into supply zone.
will monitor from daily chart, h4/daily only
interested to see if 9.19 level will be reached ? or if any fake upside breaks?
and or how price behaves around highs.
short side catches my interest only if PA and structure builds right .
will wait for sellers to confirm their interest .
stick ya gambling pre mature entries up your insured asshoolee. ;)
naturally neutral stance will activate short position later on if price behaves.