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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

Stock Of The Day / 12.06.24 / DOCU12.06.2024 / NASDAQ:DOCU Fundamentals. Positive catalyst after the release of a positive earnings report. Technical analysis. Daily chart: not informative.  Weekly chart: We observe the exit up from two-year accumulation, free zone ahead. Premarket: Gap Up on increased volume. We mark the premarket high, which coincides with the round level 100.00. Trading session: The price forms a pullback to the level of 100.00 after a non-pullback growth from the opening of the session. We consider a long trade in continuation of the movement, in case the level holds. Trading scenario: pullback along the trend to the level 100.00 Entry: 100.66 aggressive entry on the exit up from the range above the level. Stop: 99.49 we hide it behind the pullback low. Exit: We observe a pronounced trend movement. Close part of the position on 104.27 after an unsuccessful attempt to update higher high. Close the rest on 106.64 after an unsuccessful attempt to update higher low. Risk Reward: 1/5
NASDAQ:DOCULong
by AlexX31
Stock Of The Day / 05.12.2024 / SNPS12.05.2024 / NASDAQ:SNPS Fundamentals. Negative catalyst after earnings report and weak 2025 forecast. Technical analysis. Daily chart: nearest potential support level is 515.00 formed by the nearest break in the trend. Premarket: Gap Down on moderate volume. Trading session: The price forms a pronounced tightening to the level 532.00 against the initial downward movement, after a non-pullback decline from the opening of the session. We are considering a short deal in continuation of the initial movement. Trading scenario: pullback along the trend (false tighten) to the level 532.00 Entry: 529.30 breakdown of the trend line of the tightening structure. Stop: 532.27 above the held level 532.00 Exit: Close part of the position on 520.56 after an unsuccessful attempt to update lower low. Close the rest when exiting upward from the consolidation. Risk Reward: 1/3
NASDAQ:SNPSShort
by AlexX31
XAUUSD - Gold went below $2700!Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1H time frame and is trading in its descending channel. If we maintain the drawn channel, we can witness the continuation of gold's decline and limited visibility of the bottom of the channel. Within the demand zone, we can buy with a suitable risk reward. In case of valid failure of the ceiling of the channel, it is possible to sell within the supply zones. Gold demonstrated a strong performance earlier last week, surging nearly $100 from its weekly low and sparking fresh optimism among traders. However, higher-than-expected inflation data and a stronger U.S. dollar reversed the market dynamics, putting renewed selling pressure on precious metals. The latest weekly Kitco survey revealed that industry analysts are evenly split between bullish and bearish views, with a notable portion of respondents adopting a neutral stance. Meanwhile, retail traders’ optimism for gold remained unchanged compared to the previous week. Marc Chandler, CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex, stated, “Gold saw an $85 rally in the first three days of the week, likely driven by reports of China’s central bank (PBOC) adding gold to its reserves for the first time in months. The metal reached $2,726 per ounce on the spot market on Thursday, marking its highest level in over a month, but then turned downward.” He further added, “Some analysts attributed the price decline to stronger-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data. Nonetheless, gold ended the week on a positive note, breaking its two-week losing streak.” Chandler also noted, “Since late October, this marks only the second positive week for gold. A cautious approach by the Federal Reserve to rate cuts—indicating that rates will be reduced but further cuts are unlikely next year, with a potential halt to tightening policies in early 2025—could pave the way for another test of the $2,600 level.” This week, the Federal Reserve is set to hold a two-day policy meeting, with monetary decisions expected to be announced on Wednesday. The central bank is anticipated to reduce the interest rate by 0.25%, bringing it to a range of 4.25%-4.5%. Additionally, the Fed will release its updated “Summary of Economic Projections,” known as the dot plot. In September, the median Fed officials’ projection for interest rates by the end of 2025 stood at 3.4%. If this forecast is revised down by more than 1%, the U.S. dollar could face immediate downward pressure. In such a scenario, U.S. Treasury yields may decline, boosting gold prices. Market participants will also closely monitor remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Should Powell strike a cautious tone regarding further monetary easing and emphasize a gradual approach, the dollar may maintain its strength against its rivals. Conversely, if he raises concerns about declining labor market conditions and their potential adverse impact on economic growth, the dollar could come under selling pressure. Additionally, on Thursday, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the final revision of Q3 GDP data, and on Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for November will be published. Market reactions to the PCE inflation report are likely to remain muted after the Fed’s announcement. According to Bloomberg, Wall Street is shifting its outlook on the U.S. dollar, as Trump’s policies and the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts in the latter half of 2025 could weigh on the greenback. Analysts from Morgan Stanley to JPMorgan predict that the global reserve currency will peak by mid-2025 and then begin to decline. Société Générale also forecasts a 6% drop in the U.S. Dollar Index by the end of next year.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
Stock Of The Day / 12.04.24 / FL12.04.2024 / NYSE:FL Fundamentals. Premarket down 19% after earnings report that failed to meet investor expectations. Technical analysis.   Daily chart: nearest potential support level is 19.55 formed by trend break from 10.27.23 and confirmed by false breakout on 11.10.23. Premarket: Gap Down on high volume. Note that the price reached the previously indicated daily level 19.55 and bounced. We mark intraday levels in the premarket: 20.00, 20.50, 21.00, 22.50. Trading session: the price holds the level 19.55 at the opening and goes up. We are considering a long trade. Trading scenario #1 (aggressive): breakout of the upper border of the trading range above 20.25 Entry: 20.26 exit from the trading range Stop: 19.69 below the nearest higher low We observe a reaction to the level 21.00. A false breakout happened, then a small pullback on decreasing volumes and a quick return behind the level and its clear holding for 5 minutes. We are considering a long trade. Trading scenario #2 : breakout with retest of the level 21.00 Entry: 21.25 exit from the trading range on increased volume Stop: 20.97 we hide it for the held level 21.00 Exit: A directed trend movement is observed in the direction of the trade. Close part of the position before the level 22.50, close the remaining part on 22.45 after an unsuccessful attempt to update higher high. The trade can also be closed in parts (for example, part of the position RR 1/3, another part RR 1/5, etc.) in accordance with your trading system. Risk Reward: 1/5
NYSE:FLLong
by AlexX31
Stock Of The Day / 12.03.24 / INDI12.03.2024 / NASDAQ:INDI Fundamentals. Premarket down 20% after news of $175 million private offering of convertible senior notes. Technical analysis. Daily Chart. Daily level 4.00 formed by a break in the trend on the daily chart on 11.18.24 is ahead. Premarket. High premarket volume. Gap Down. Trading session. Intraday level 4.40 was formed in the first hour of the session and the price was tightened to the level. After breakout of 4.40 at 11:44 a.m. there was no significant impulse in the direction of the breakout and the price quickly returned and consolidated below 4.40. We are considering a short deal. Trading scenario: false breakout with retest (false tighten with retest) of level 4.40 Entry: 4.37 after second touch and pure level holding Stop: 4.42 above the high of consolidation Exit: There is a pure trend movement in the direction of the trade. You can close part of the position before the low of the day 4.10, and hold the rest until the close of the session or close this trade in parts (for example, part of the position RR 1/3, another part RR 1/5, etc.) in accordance with your trading system. Risk Reward: 1/7
NASDAQ:INDIShort
by AlexX31
Stock Of The Day / 12.02.24 / SMCI12.02.2024 / NASDAQ:SMCI Fundamentals. Positive news - the special committee found no evidence of misconduct. Technical analysis.   Daily chart. Strong day level 40.0 is ahead. This level was held and confirmed by touches and false breakouts for several months. Premarket. High premarket volume. Gap Up. Trading Session. The first reaction at the level is a clear rebound at 10:40 a.m., then a pullback on downward volumes. 11:18 a.m. false breakout of 40.0 level, then a very small pullback on decreasing volumes and a quick return to the level. We are considering long trade. Trading scenario: breakout of level 40,0. Entry: 40.40 breakout and holding behind the level. Stop: 39.59 we hide it behind the low of the breakout candle. Exit: Close part of the position around 43.7 when signs of weakness in the uptrend appear. Close the position around 42.74 after an unsuccessful attempt to update the high of the day. Risk Rewards: 1/4
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by AlexX31
Daily analysis of intraday trading in US stocksWhat is this blog about? The blog is dedicated to intraday trading on the US stock market (NYSE, NASDAQ exchanges). After each trading session, I choose the most interesting and understandable stock in terms of making a profit and do a detailed analysis of it, indicating the prerequisites for opening a position, entry and exit points. The analysis is conducted in accordance with the applied trading system, which is based on the price reaction to horizontal levels (rebound, breakout, false breakout) and volumes. I do not use indicators. Each analysis is accompanied by a screenshot of the trade. There is a daily (and in some cases, hourly) chart in the upper part, which is used to analyze the overall picture and draw daily levels. There is a minute (in some cases, two-minute) chart in the lower part, which is used for intraday analysis, drawing intraday levels, entering and exiting a position. What is the practical benefit of trade analyses? Broad visual experience is one of the key components of successful trading on financial markets, in addition to the trading system, psychology and risk management. Normally traders spend thousands of hours looking at charts before it starts to bring positive results. However, simply looking at the chart is not enough. We need to understand what exactly we are looking for there and what situations allow us to make a profit with a higher probability. Analysis of trades helps to solve one of the main problems of beginner traders - lack of visual experience, and for experienced traders this is an opportunity to add/correct their trading system with new trading scenarios. How to select stocks for trading? It is important to select the right stocks every day that have the potential to make a profit with a high probability, in order to be successful in intraday trading. Main criteria for selection: 1. High liquidity (trading volume from 1,000,000 units and above) 2. High activity in the premarket 3. Pure directional movement 4. The stock movement does not repeat the market movement 5. "Respect" for levels both in the premarket and in the main session 6. The presence of a catalyst for movement (news, earnings, technical etc.) These criteria are perfectly suited to the so-called Stocks In Play, which make significant non-standard movements within one trading session, which often exceed the standard price movement (ATR) several times, influenced by a strong catalyst background.
AMEX:SPY
by AlexX31
Weekly XAUUSD analysis, 16 - 20 Dece 2024.Daily TF: Price swept the LQ from both sides. -We don't know if the price will continue the swing bearish OF or shift bullish. Confirmations come from LTF 4H TF: 4H and daily Demand zone + Feb Golden zone. -Firm area to BUY from. Confirmation comes from LTF. 15M TF: - The INT structure is bearish but could shift to confirm the expected bullish move and the 15M swing pullback phase at least. -This high is strong but we expect it to fail. Until now 15M swing structure has been bearish If you wanna short from here, wait INT structure shift first.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by yehiabedawi309
LONG TERM TRADE BREAKDOWN USING ONLY TECHNICALS...EURUSD EXAMPLEHey everyone! Hope you are all having an amazing weekend so far! I just wanted to come on here and make a post on a potential longer term outlook I have on the EURUSD currency pair using ONLY technical analysis and some confluence I am seeing technically on this pair. So let's dive in! OK so to start we want to actually look back to the past. A lot of the time when we are looking to take a trade for a "future" move we have to look back at the "past" as well. Because you guys have probably heard the saying that "history repeats itself" and that is absolutely true when it comes to the financial markets and historical, significant levels of price. Quick side note: PAST LEVELS OF PRICE ARE REALLY PSYCHOLOGICAL ZONES. WHAT DO I MEAN? Well if you look at price when it returns to previous areas of buying or selling; whether you call that demand/support or supply/resistance these levels are displaying to us that SOME BIGGER PLAYERS; or players in general; had a INTEREST to buy or sell at that zone whatever the reason may be. Which if you break that down means they have a MEMORY of that zone and MAY WANT THAT PRICE AGAIN in the future. If they still like the deal. THAT is why it is psychological. Okay moving on... So when looking at this chart we can see back starting in October of 2022 we saw an upward move in the market happen that took prices from multi-decade lows around 0.9500-0.9700 area to highs around the 1.1300 price zone. This is a LARGE move in the markets and represents a macro move in the EUR vs the US DOLLAR. We can see that back in August of 2024 (current year) that prices came up to test those 1.1300 highs that were formed in July of 2023 but ultimately FAILED to break higher leading to now months of downward movement and weakening of the EUR vs the US DOLLAR. SO what to take away from all that? WELL on a macro level I am seeing that price wasn't ready to make new highs...so that means 1 of 2 things: 1. There wasn't enough buyers to break the previous highs 2. It wasn't the right deal for price for the bigger players to buy up enough to push it past those July of 2023 highs SO what that is now leading me to believe based on the technical here and what they are displaying is that we can now see prices come back down to a weekly demand (psychological) zone that was formed back in June/July of 2022 when that original large move happened, and SEE IF THAT IS THE DEAL that buyers on a macro level want to send prices ultimately higher on a macro perspective...even higher than the July of 2023 highs. Technically we can see that obviously there is a level of significant demand/support. We also have a fib alignment in that zone of the 78.6% retracement level (80% DISCOUNT!) ANDDDD we have a potential equal measured move aligning with multi-year supply up at the 1.17500-1.1800 price handle...oh and did I mention the -0.27% fib extension lines up with it also? Some nice CONFLUENCE with that as well OKAY guys I know this was a long breakdown but this is a longer term perspective and wanted to appropriately break this analysis down for you guys so for all the longer term outlook traders/investors this is the level (if it comes back down to) to keep an eye on! Hope you all enjoyed please boost this post and follow my page if you enjoyed this analysis and would like to see more accurate analysis and potential trade ideas. Cheers! Merry Christmas!
Long
by JosePips
Ready for upsideThe stock appears to be in a pullback phase. I anticipate it will find support around the previous monthly highs, keeping prices contained between that level and the anchored VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) from the recent swing high. Once the price advances back up toward this anchored VWAP and experiences a slight pullback, the key will be to break through it. If the stock establishes a pattern of higher highs and higher lows on the 30-minute chart, it would strengthen the bullish outlook.
NYSE:RYAMLong
by AnotherBrian
Dollar back to levels of 107.969 since 2022!!!Admittedly, last weeks prediction of the dollar for me was that I expected it to finally push down, However price action then clearly showed me otherwise by showing its clear intent to move further to the upside and refusal to break structure to the downside which I had tried to anticipate . Although price hasn't taken the last significant high that created the 1h supply we have seen CHOCH and BOS to the upside on the 1H time frame suggesting that price wants to push up further. This is validated by the pairs against the dollar wanting to push down and the fact that there is not only liquidity in the form of Asian highs but a large weekly imbalance and weekly supply zone where I predict price will push up to before finally returning to it's usual bearish trend. I can expect price to react from the 13min order block after the new Monday ASL is taken. If not we may see price pushing lower slightly simply in order to grab liquidity and find the correct zone to react from, potentially the 3H HTF demand I have marked out in order to push up. This also aligns with my pairs against the dollar that will push up and then come down.
TVC:DXYLong
by JamelCapital
XAU/USD 16-20 December 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had positioned this CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Now, for the first time since 23 November 2020, price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within a defined internal range. Price is anticipated to trade down towards either the discount of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ), highlighted in blue, or the Weekly demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing -> Bullish. -> Internal -> Bullish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024 Price Action Analysis: Price has shown a reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ. Currently price has been unable to target the weak internal high Given the current internal range dynamics, price is expected to target weak internal high, priced at 2,790.170 However, considering the signs of a pullback phase on the Weekly timeframe, there remains a possibility of price printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). Price has yet to tap into Daily demand. Note: With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK