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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

Why GBPUSD will continue going upAs we can see Price respected the Demand level and changed directions Our CHoC was broken and price kept making new Higher highs and higher lows to confirm that buyers/bulls are in control of the Market and signifies an uptrend We have a new higher high that the price looks like it'll break through it and that will confirm the volume of the bulls is high, also our weak low shows how our Bears are inferior The best choice would be to wait for a breakout of the recent Higher high and place our buy entries after, as this would have confirmed buyers are in total control and would give us more winning opportunities If somehow the market breaks the Solid low then this invalidates bulls and show that bears are in control.
Long
by StarleXtheTrader
GBP/JPY Breakdown: Massive Short Opportunity or Bear Trap?Overview: GBP/JPY has been a strong focus, and for those following along, we’ve been anticipating short opportunities as the market structure continues to favor downside momentum. Recent price action has set up another potential short entry, aligning with our long-term bearish bias. Weekly Timeframe: Major Rejection & Momentum Shift • Double Top Formation: GBP/JPY formed a classic M pattern around 198.89, rejecting that level twice before reversing. • Break of Key Support: The critical support level at 189.94 has been tested multiple times, acting as a floor before it finally broke last week with strong momentum. • Volume Confirmation: The breakdown occurred with increased volume, signaling real selling pressure and further validating bearish sentiment. Daily Timeframe: Retracement & Liquidity Grab • Impulse Move Lower: After breaking support, GBP/JPY dropped aggressively, marking a fresh lower low. • Pullback to Trap Buyers: The market retraced back up, but this was more than just a normal correction—it was a liquidity grab. • Traders who went short too early had stop losses at key resistance levels, and price wicked up to stop them out before resuming downward. • Instead of a smooth retracement, we saw sharp moves up, which is a telltale sign of liquidity collection before continuation. H1 Timeframe: Entry & Trade Execution • Structure Shift: • Initially, price was making higher highs and higher lows within the pullback phase. • However, we broke that bullish structure, confirming the reversal. • Retest Confirmation: • Price tested the breakdown level, creating a strong entry opportunity for shorts. • Entry Execution: • First Entry: Placed a small short position as price retested. • Second Entry: Increased position size once the breakdown was confirmed with a bearish close. Key Invalidations & Targets ✅ Bearish Scenario (Primary Outlook): • As long as price stays below 192.32, shorts remain valid. • If momentum continues downward, targets include: • First target: 189.94 (previous key support, now resistance). • Next levels: 187.50, then possibly 185.00 if momentum follows through. ❌ Invalidation (Bullish Breakout Scenario): • If GBP/JPY pushes above 192.32, holds, and breaks 192.98, the bearish thesis is invalid. • In that case, we may see a continuation higher, forcing a cut on shorts and a reevaluation of market conditions. • Stop Loss: Set above 192.98 at 193.06 to protect against a breakout reversal. Conclusion: GBP/JPY remains in a high-probability short zone, with technical confirmations aligning on multiple timeframes. If price remains under key levels, we expect further downside, with liquidity already being grabbed from early sellers. However, as always, if price invalidates the setup by reclaiming resistance levels, risk management is key. 📉 Short bias remains intact unless 192.32 is broken and held. 🔹 If you found this breakdown useful, make sure to like, share, and let us know your thoughts. If you see an alternative setup, drop your analysis—always open to different perspectives! 🚀
Short
by BlueOceanFxAcademy
2
Sell Setup: 4/5 Factors Confirmed!📉 Technical Analysis - Sell Setup 📉 🔹 D1 (Daily Chart) Price has reversed at a key zone, supported by a significant level. Additionally, it meets 4 out of 5 factors I consider for confirming a potential trade. 🔹 H1 (1-Hour Chart) In this timeframe, I apply less strict criteria, requiring only one factor in favor—which is fulfilled by the blue-marked structure. 📌 Entry Strategy: I’ll wait for a 50% Fibonacci retracement before executing the trade. 📊 🔥 Now, let
Short
by encko00
XAU/USD 13 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025. As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780. Alternative scenario: Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025. Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780. Alternative Scenario: As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Long trade 1Hr TF overview Buyside Trade Pair: AUDNZD Date: Monday, 10th February 2025 Session: NY Session PM (noon) Trade Details: Entry: 151.973 Profit Level: 155.276 (+2.17%) Stop Level: 151.516 (-0.30%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 7.23 Reasoning: This buyside trade is based on a break of structure (BOS) on a higher timeframe, confirming bullish momentum. Price action suggests a strong demand zone, with a liquidity grab (sweep of sell-side liquidity) before reversing. Directional Bias: Bullish confirmation from market structure and fractal alignment. Entry Justification: Price reacted to a discounted price level, showing signs of accumulation.
by davidjulien369
Nas 100 Outlook - Full BreakdownHi all this is my breakdown for Nas 100. Currently Overall price has been consolidating now for about 3 months. We have experienced some choppy P.A but I believe things are about to clear up TOP DOWN ANALYSIS: Daily- Not much to point out other than a few CHoCH and alot of fractals all over the place in a big box 4H- Things clear up slightly: First thing to notice is some very clear EQ Highs telling me I see a lot of stop losses to hunt. We can see in better details Buyers pressure are still suggested due to the higher volume in candles. We can also identify a Liquidity Trend that price is "seemly" respecting so far. 1H- Again with the EQ Highs with no hourly candles taking Liquidity. We are seeing alot better details with how price is alot slower here but we are still filling all the imbalance possibly which takes me to my Trading Plan breakdown. Were price is currently sitting we have taken a small portion of Buy side Liquidity and Sell side Liquidity has already been swept from the previous 4H Swing low. Id like to see price move and take the Imbalance left. Trading inside this Mitigation block will give us smaller TF choppy P.A but I will be waiting for things to clear up a bit out side of this block before looking to take the next impulse move. 30M/ENTRY- Fractal price is suggesting Bullish price action after breaking previous structure. Id like for price to fall into the Discount zone and possibly come all the way down into my extreme zone to all Imbalance and to have as much buying pressure to take out the Weekly Swing High which is a breakout of this 3M consolidation. Reflect to the chart for added confluences. Good luck to all the traders that decide to follow
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by jamesibartram
EUR/GBP -Precision Pays Off, TP Secured This EUR/GBP setup? No accident. Spotted the 5M CHoCH breaking the major Lower High—confirmation locked in. Saw the IDM sweep into my order block and knew exactly what was coming next. Waited patiently for that mini consolidation to break resistance, entered clean, and let the work I’ve put in speak for itself. TP smashed—planned, executed, delivered. This isn’t guesswork. It’s Smart Money flow mastered through hours of grind and focus. Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
EURUSD 13 Feb 2025 W7 - Intraday - US PPI, Tariffs & Peace TalksThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 13 Feb 2025 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment The EUR/USD’s rise yesterday, despite hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI data, reflects a complex interplay of technical, geopolitical, and market sentiment factors. Initial CPI Shock and Subsequent Rebound The U.S. CPI rose 3.0% YoY (vs. 2.9% forecast), with core CPI hitting 0.3% MoM, triggering an immediate USD rally and EUR/USD dips. Fed Policy Expectations vs. Market Positioning Despite the CPI spike, Fed Chair Jerome Powell downplayed urgency for rate hikes, stating the Fed is “close but not there yet” on inflation. This tempered fears of aggressive tightening and limited USD upside. Geopolitical De-escalation and Risk Sentiment Reports of a potential territory swap deal reduced geopolitical risk aversion, weakening the USD’s safe-haven appeal and supporting the Euro. Diverging Central Bank Policies While the Fed’s cautious stance limited USD gains, the ECB’s restrictive policy (rates at 2.75% vs. Fed’s 4.5%) and improving Eurozone PMI data (manufacturing: 46.6; services: 51.3) supported EUR strength. The EUR/USD rally was a corrective rebound driven by: Technical triggers after oversold conditions. Powell’s refusal to escalate hawkish rhetoric. Geopolitical optimism overshadowing inflation risks. Relative Eurozone resilience amid global trade uncertainties. While CPI data initially favored the USD, the market’s focus shifted to policy stability and risk sentiment, allowing the Euro to recover. However, sustained EUR strength hinges on ECB rate cuts and tariff developments. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH. 🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move): Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal) Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal) 🔹The reaction from the recent 4H Demand Zone formed a Bullish CHoCH and a fresh Demand zone where price can pullback to after tapping the recent 4H Supply Zone. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectations is set to Bullish targeting the Liquidity above the Feb 5 and then Jan 30 before any considerable pullback to then continue to target the Weak 4H Swing High. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Sweeping Swing High 2️⃣ 🔹With yesterday economic and geopolitics news, we had a mixed moves based on investors sentiment and their appetite to risk. 🔹INT structure continuing Bullish aligning with the 4H Bullish Swing continuation phase. 🔹Currently price in the process of creating a 15m Bullish Swing (BOS). 3️⃣ 🔹With current Bullish INT Structure and the expected Bullish BOS on 15m and it’s alignment with the 4H Bullish Swing continuation phase, expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H Bullish move. 🔹Having in mind that after the 15m Bullish BOS we will have a pullback which will provide opportunities to Long as Shorts currently are not viable for me.
by Amr-Sadek
GBPCHF: Range BreakoutThis range breakout follows the same pattern as my other idea on CADCHF. In a very similar fashion, price has been in a range since September 2024. The upper range boundary has shown signs of weakening or breaching a couple of times over the past few months. However, price recently closed above this range level over the past two days, which indicates a higher probability of sustained breakout. The daily ATR is currently 64.3 pips. This sets my trading parameters at TP 32 and SL 64. Note that I'm only targeting 0.5x ATR because I scale into positions, but I also want to ensure I'm able to secure a profit with minimal holding costs.
Long
by FinancialGamblR
CADCHF: Range BreakoutCADHCF has been in a range since August 2024. This range is quite wide at approximately 160~ pips. Another observable detail is that the upper range boundary breached twice - once in November 2024 and then again last month, in January 2025. Right now, in early-February, price is showing signs of breaching the upper range boundary again. Unlike the previous breakouts, this one seems more sustained. Right now, the daily ATR is 41.4 pips. This sets my trading parameters at TP 20 and SL 41.
Long
by FinancialGamblR