Short-term BTC (Long & Short) Strategies12HR Supply Box
MITIGATED FVG
Only look for "Missed Pivot" Indicator and a pin bar candle to plan a short entry
SL is going to be swing high above pinbar candle
BTC bullish if BTC breaks 95,164.3 on 1D chart (in 13hr) to long $96,484.1 (1.38%)
If market drops below 95,164.3,
buy Long on 20 day average (around $90,126) or
Buy at $93,802.5 @ Support (BUT must see Pin bar Support Candle w/ "Missed Pivot" signal indicator) SL below the pinbar
Tip: only open trade on TAP new FVG
This is only suggestion, trade responsibly.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
BTCUSD Targets the Value Area Low: Key Trading ZonesOverview: The BTCUSD pair shows clear signs of price consolidation within a well-defined range. With critical levels such as the Point of Control (POC) and Value Area Low (VAL) identified, traders have an opportunity to plan entries and exits with precision.
Key Levels:
Point of Control (POC): $96,000 (1D TF) – The level with the highest trading activity on the daily timeframe, currently acting as a pivot zone.
Value Area Low (VAL): $88,000 (4H TF) – The boundary where buyers may potentially step in, signaling a key support area.
Current Price Zone: The market hovers near the $96,527.71 mark, moving toward the $88,000 support.
Analysis:
Volume Profile Insights: The volume profile reveals strong participation near the POC, suggesting market indecision. A breach of this zone could lead to notable momentum.
Price Movement Prediction: The chart projects a possible downward movement from the POC toward the Value Area Low around $88,000, driven by fading bullish momentum.
Risk Management: Stop-loss levels could be placed slightly above the POC for short positions, while take-profit levels near the Value Area Low ensure a balanced risk-to-reward ratio.
Trading Plan:
Short Scenario: Look for rejection signals around the POC ($96,000) and enter short positions with a target of $88,000.
Long Scenario: If price action shows strong support at the VAL, watch for bullish confirmation patterns to target a rebound back toward the POC.
Closing Remarks: Consistency, discipline, and perseverance are essential for navigating the BTCUSD market. This setup offers clarity on key levels that could shape the pair's direction in the coming sessions.
Home of ABBA, IKEA, and Volvo (USD/SEK)USD/SEK has broken below major multi-year support.
While below there we are looking for shorts (i.e. bullish the Swedish krona)
The daily chart has corrected higher but the trend is down.
Another breakdown through the lows could setup another leg lower
Thoughts?
USDCAD swing longsFrom fundamental analysis on CAD futures derived from "barchart.com". Currently as of writing (Monday 30th April 2025), we can see the CAD futures price increasing from this day but the Open Interest has been decreasing steadily so we can anticipate a reversal soon for the futures price (to flip bearish), which means bullish PA for USDCAD (this could also give you a slight insight/confirmation to DXY’s potential price).
Technicals outlined in chart using price action.
Unlock Trading Success with Multi-Timeframe MasteryIn trading, particularly in the Forex market, a well-defined strategy is crucial for consistent profitability. One of the most effective techniques used by successful traders is multi-timeframe (MTF) analysis. By examining price action across different timeframes (e.g., daily, 4-hour, 1-hour), traders gain a clearer understanding of market structure, trend direction, and optimal entry/exit points. This article explores how MTF analysis works, its benefits, and practical steps to implement it in your trading.
🔍1. Analyzing a Pair Across Multiple Timeframes for Clearer Trend Direction
The foundation of MTF analysis lies in identifying the major and minor trends. By analyzing at least two timeframes, traders can align their strategies with the broader market direction while fine-tuning entries on shorter timeframes.
⚡The High Wave Cycle (HWC) Approach
To begin, determine your High Wave Cycle (HWC), which depends on your trading strategy and timeframe. For instance:
If you trade on the daily timeframe, your HWC might be the monthly chart.
If you trade on the 1-hour timeframe, your HWC could be the weekly chart.
The HWC helps you identify the major trend. For example, on the daily chart, you might analyze the trend using Dow Theory, pinpoint key support and resistance levels, and identify trendlines or patterns. This gives you a clear picture of the market’s broader direction.
Once the HWC is defined, give it significant weight when analyzing lower timeframes for trade setups. For instance, if the daily chart (HWC) shows a downtrend, you’d prioritize bearish setups on the 1-hour chart, even if a minor uptrend appears.
Example: SOLUSDT Trade Setup
Consider a scenario where the 1-hour chart shows a strong uptrend. The price breaks a key resistance level and a descending trendline, suggesting a potential long position.
However, checking the daily chart..
(HWC) reveals a clear downtrend. According to Dow Theory, a major trend reversal requires a confirmed break above the previous high (e.g., $150). Since this hasn’t occurred, the market remains bearish.
In this case, MTF analysis guides your strategy:
Reduce position size to lower risk, as you’re trading against the major trend.
Take profits early, as the price could reverse at any moment.
Avoid overtrading by limiting the number of positions until the trend change is confirmed.
This approach ensures your trades are aligned with the bigger picture, minimizing losses from false signals.
🎯2. Spotting Entries and Exits by Confirming Trends Across Timeframes
MTF analysis not only enhances risk management but also improves the precision of your entries and exits. By confirming signals across timeframes, you can filter out noise and focus on high-probability trades.
Example: Bitcoin (May 15, 2021)
Let’s rewind to May 15, 2021, during Bitcoin’s post-bull run correction. On the daily chart (HWC), the price formed lower highs and lows, breaking a key support level, signaling a bearish trend and a potential exit for long positions. This indicates that spot traders should sell, and swing traders on lower timeframes should focus exclusively on short positions.
On the 1-hour chart, you might spot a minor pullback, tempting a long trade. However, MTF analysis reminds you to align with the daily downtrend, so you’d only consider short setups. This disciplined approach prevents you from trading against the major trend, improving your win rate.
📊The Medium Wave Cycle (MWC) for Added Clarity
Between the HWC and lower timeframes lies the Medium Wave Cycle (MWC), which provides an intermediate perspective. For example, if your HWC is the daily chart, the MWC might be the 4-hour chart. The MWC helps confirm the major trend’s strength or detect early signs of reversals before zooming into lower timeframes for entries. By checking the MWC, you can filter out noise and ensure your trades align with both the major and intermediate trends.
💡Conclusion
Multi-timeframe analysis is a game-changer for traders seeking consistency and precision. By combining the major trend from your HWC, the intermediate perspective from your MWC, and minor trends on lower timeframes, you can make informed decisions, manage risk effectively, and time your trades with confidence.
Start by defining your HWC and MWC, analyzing the major trend, and aligning your entries and exits with multiple timeframes. Pick a pair, test this strategy on a demo account, and share your results in the comments below! With practice, MTF analysis will give you a tactical edge in navigating the markets.
🤍 btw im Skeptic :) & If you found this article helpful, don’t forget to like, share, and follow for more insights and trading strategies! <3
NZDCAD LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Weekly EMA retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Weekly
Around Psychological Level 0.82500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.55
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
EURUSD Spring Setup: Ready to Launch?it's the calm before the storm
EURUSD formed a spring setup, rejecting below a key intraday level with strong volume and wick reentry. Price bounced off a rising trendline, reclaiming structure after a false breakout — classic Wyckoff-style spring. Anticipating a move toward the 4H resistance at 1.1424. Stop below the spring low for a clean R:R.
Long trade
AUDNZD Buyside Trade – Full Journal
Date/Time: Monday, 28th April 2025, 6:00 PM (Tokyo Session PM)
Pair: AUDNZD
Session: Tokyo PM
Entry TF: (5min)
Structure (30min)
🔹 Entry: 1.07603
🔹 Take Profit: 1.08119 (+0.48%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.07487 (–0.11%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 4.45
Trade Reasoning
Price showed a bullish internal shift in structure with consecutive higher lows into the Tokyo PM session.
30min TF
AMP (ASX) Quarterly 2618 patternAMP (ASX) on the quarterly has a 2618 pattern
This is a double bottom followed by a breakout in this case its to the upside confirming the double bottom, followed by a 61.8% retracement
Hence named 2618
If today closes near where it is, it will form a bullish hammer which supports a move higher in the medium term
Full disclosure I already own this stock from last year and posted about it a few times already