Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Gold Uptrend is Breaking Don’t Miss This High Probability ShortGold has been on an incredible 49-day bullish run, but signs are emerging that the momentum is fading. Is the reversal finally here? In this analysis, I break down why I believe gold is setting up for a potential short opportunity and how I plan to execute it.
Starting from the weekly timeframe, we identify a key rejection at $2943, signaling potential exhaustion after an extended bullish trend. On the daily timeframe, price has failed to hold above $2897, forming a critical rejection zone that could lead to further downside.
Diving deeper into the H4 and H1 timeframes, we observe a key structure break around $2900, followed by price failing to create a new high. This shift in market structure suggests a weakening bullish trend, increasing the probability of a bearish follow-through.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Break & Retest Setup: Waiting for a clean break below $2881 (yesterday’s daily low), followed by a retest to confirm the sell-side momentum.
🔹 Bearish Target Zones: Liquidity levels at $2854, $2788, and $2747, with a final downside objective near $2746.
🔹 Risk Management: Stops will be determined based on price action confirmation, ensuring a controlled approach to the trade.
With buyers struggling to push higher and multiple liquidity pockets below, we could see a sharp pullback before any further upside continuation. This is not a long-term bearish call on gold but rather a short-term high-probability short setup to capitalize on potential downside movement.
📉 Will gold break lower, or will buyers regain control? Watch the full analysis, boost this idea, and share it with fellow traders so you don’t miss the next big move! 🚀💰
BtcUsd is going to 120k/130k!What I see!
Looking for impulse up.
BtcUsd is going to 120k/130k after a bit more retracement. It might retrace to maximum 90k to 80k. It's important to have your own rules on RR and adhere to them. This trading idea is intended to assist you and enhance your knowledge. If you have any questions, please ask me in the comments.
Learn & Earn!
Wave Trader Pro
BTCUSD SHORT Bitcoin!!!!
Market structure Bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Daily Rejection At AOi
Around Psychological Level 99 000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 7.43
Entry 105%
Looking at potential retrace to 90 000
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USDJPY - Demand Ready for Lift-Off (Technical Analysis)As it stands we're currently holding short positions on USDJPY since last week.
The current short term still suggests that this pair is bearish -
We have seen lower lows and institutional manipulation to the upside as well, so we will continue holding our shorts until we see a reversal on the lower time frames.
Previous Analysis:
We traded down to the Daily demand levels (which price has now reached).
The current price cycle indicates it's still distributing but now is the time to watch for potential bullish reversals - more-so when we combine this with our DXY analysis as well as current Geopolitical moves, we could definitely see a bullish surge in the next few days.
Trading Considerations:
All signs point to a pending bullish reversal, don't engage without considering the LTF trend, we would ideally like to see it reverse first.
Trade what you see, not what you think you might.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
OANDA:USDJPY TVC:DXY
NZDCHF LONGMarket structure Bullish on HTFs 3
entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
around Psychologiical Level 0.51500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 6.74
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
XAU/USD 12 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 11 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
GBP/USD - Outlook UpdateDaily View Only
Price is currently Long term still bearish.
Price has finished its final leg of Elliots Wave Consolidation
This rising wedge pattern is a liquidity trend... EXPECT A BREAKOUT
The Highlighted zone shows a smaller area of consolidation in this wave, Im expecting when price takes out either one of these swing level will determine the next impulse direction
Will link the 4H view to this Post
AUD/USD: Precision Entry Loading….4H bulls are in full control—momentum is pushing, and I’m not here to question it. Dropped to the 30M, got my CHoCH, and now structure is fully bullish.
Now? Just waiting. Price needs to sweep inducement, then I’ll step in off the order block after my final 5M confirmation. No rushing, no second-guessing—just letting price do what it has to do.
Most traders chase. I let price come to me. Let’s see if AUD wants to play its part.
#AUDUSD #SMC #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #LiquiditySweep #PriceAction
Bless Trading!
USD/JPY4H mitigation? ✅ Already handled. Now it’s about playing the 30M right.
Got my CHoCH confirmation—structure is syncing up. Now I’m waiting for price to give me that nasty correction drop, take out engineered liquidity, and mitigate the order block. If it skips that and only clears minor liquidity, I’ll be looking for interest around 151.800 on the 30M order block.
Most traders react to the move. I position myself where the market has to go. Let’s see if it plays by the rules.
#USDJPY #SMC #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #LiquiditySweep #PriceAction
Bless Trading!
GOLD SHORT BUY MOOD NOW
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Dear Traders,
If you like this idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
PLZ! LIKE COMMAND AND SUBSCRIBE
XAU/USD: Riding the Momentum 4H is doing exactly what it should—straight bullish, no hesitation. Momentum is clear, and I’m not here to fight it.
Dropped to the 30M to catch the continuation. IDM has already been taken out, so now it’s a waiting game. Just need price to dip into the 30M order block for that clean mitigation before I step in. Nothing forced, just precision.
Most traders chase gold. I position myself before the move. Let’s see if price respects the blueprint.
#XAUUSD #Gold #SMC #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #Liquidity #PriceAction
Bless Trading!
EUR/GBP: The Setup is Unfolding 30M already did its job—mitigated the order block just like I expected. Now? It’s all about catching the continuation move.
I’m locked in on the 5M, waiting for a CHoCH to confirm bullish structure. But that’s not enough—I need liquidity to build up, get swept, and give me that clean mitigation before I step in. Precision over impulse.
Most traders force trades. I let the market show its hand first. Let’s see if price wants to run these highs next.
#EURGBP #SMC #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #LiquiditySweep #PriceAction
Bless Trading!
EUR/USD: Precision Over Emotion30M just gave the CHoCH—exactly what I was waiting for. Buyers are showing their hand, and now it’s all about execution.
5M is the playground. Liquidity has been swept, and now I’m watching for price to mitigate the order block before making its next move. No guessing. No hesitation. Just Smart Money at work.
Most traders react—I anticipate. Let’s see if price respects the blueprint.
#EURUSD #SMC #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #Liquidity #PriceAction
Bless Trading!
EURUSD 12 Feb 2025 W7 - Intraday Analysis - CPI, Powell & TariffThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 12 Feb 2025 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
In my Weekly Analysis, tariffs continue to dominate the narrative, yet market reactions have become the primary focus. The critical question is whether investors have grown accustomed to tariff-related news—leading to muted responses—or if the persistent tariff war rhetoric will trigger renewed market anxiety.
Notably, Powell’s testimony yesterday failed to offer any fresh insights; however, there is hope that today’s session might shed some light on future policy directions. Additionally, the USD’s weakness observed at the close of trading yesterday appears to have been driven more by reports of a territorial swap in Ukraine’s peace deal—and possibly an initial leak of the CPI data—rather than by Powell’s remarks.
Today’s CPI report is expected to be a significant driver of market volatility. Investors are eagerly anticipating softer CPI numbers, which could encourage the Fed to consider not only an earlier rate cut but potentially two cuts this year, contrasting with the current market consensus of just one. While tariffs are clearly contributing to upward inflationary pressures and prompting a cautious stance from the Fed, the immediate volatility is likely to stem from the CPI data. The market will be closely watching whether the tariffs are being employed as a negotiating tactic—or if they signal an intentional escalation towards a trade war.
Markets face a tug-of-war between CPI-driven rate hopes and tariff-induced risks. While CPI may spark a tactical rally if soft, tariffs remain the swing factor – any escalation (e.g., new retaliatory measures) would overshadow short-term data. Position for choppy trading until Trump’s tariff strategy crystallizes.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios:
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹The reaction from the recent 4H Demand Zone formed a Bullish CHoCH and a fresh Demand zone where price can pullback to after tapping the recent 4H Supply Zone.
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to Bearish to target the Weak INT Low as long LTFs turning Bearish.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹At Swing Premium
2️⃣
🔹With yesterday PA, price failed to continue Bearish and created a Bullish i-BOS.
🔹Price reached the 4H supply as anticipated and mitigated the 15m Supply within the 4H to maybe initiate the Bullish INT Structure pullback phase and if the swing is going to continue Bearish there is a high probability to target the Strong INT Low.
🔹The current Bullish i-BOS aligns with the 4H Swing where we have also a high probability that we can target the 15m Strong Swing High.
🔹With the inconsistency of Time frames alignments, a clear direction is difficult to identify which requires a sit back and watch till we have a clear direction.
3️⃣
🔹From an intraday perspective, expectations are set to Bearish to facilitate the Bullish INT Structure pullback.
🔹Today’s CPI, Powell and Tariffs talks will have high volatility that could direct me tomorrow or next week for a clearer direction move.
NIFTY back to our strong demand zone ! As we can see NIFTY is now trading at important demand zone and psychological levels of 23000 and this level had been a confluence of multiple trendline supports hence we can again expect a REVERSAL from this zone for a new swing so keep watching and plan your trades accordingly.