MU: Reacting at a SUPPORT LEVEL!• MU is reacting this week, but the trend is still bearish;
• MU is doing lower highs/lows, and in theory, it is seeking the next support at $46.23 (red line);
• Could MU bounce from here? Yes, and this week is doing a bullish reaction, but it must close above the $51.30 again in order to recover to the $58 - $60 area again;
• By closing above $51.30, MU will trigger a false breakout from a previous support level. Along with the recent increase on the volume, this might be what it takes for MU to recover;
• MU is a promising stock, but for now, it must do better signs in order to become attractive again.
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
MU
NVDA possible Breakdown before EarningsNASDAQ:NVDA
NVDA on the daily chart appears to have formed a flat top triangle
with the trendlines drawn onto the chart. Price appears to
be falling outside the ascending support line before upcoming
earnings. Will NVDA rise to regain support or breakdown further?
Micron Technology re-testing breakout level?Micron Technology
Short Term
We look to Sell at 66.59 (stop at 70.43)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited. The medium term bias remains bearish. Choppy price action seen. Selling spikes offers good risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 52.19 and 41.09
Resistance: 66.00 / 75.00 / 96.45
Support: 51.50 / 46.00 / 30.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
SOXS to SOXL ratio DAILY CHARTAMEX:SOXL
This chart strives to setup a trading plan where the SOXS and SOXL
are oscillated. They are 3X leveraged ETFs with great range.
SOXS was up 400% YTD at its peak. The new CHIPS
ACT is a catalyst for US semiconductor manufactures
Right now the ratio is on a downtrend, meaning Sell SOXS
or BUY SOXL or a combination of each.
I believe that this strategy could yield 5X annually
to investors or long-term swing traders with little effort
especially if an alert is employed to notify the ratio
is changing trend direction at a pivot.
The timeframe could be lower but then the number
of trades is likely to increase as is the amount
of profit. This could be backtested by those
familiar with the mechanics of doing so.
NVDA Ascending after CHIPS before earningsNASDAQ:NVDA
Fundamentals- CHIPS in effect booms economy for NVDA
as the USA tries to diversify from Taiwan semi-conductor dependence
while China looms large
Technical: Earnings coming ascending trendline with
increasing relative strengh. Sitting on the support of the
POC of the volume profile.
piling up bad news on semi conductor industryAMD is on a really important zone here. if this breaks, its going to be a disaster for it. we can see 59-60. most of the semi conductor names like AMAT, NVDA or just semi etf SMH are pretty close to 200 weekly moving range. we might see it next week.
MU reported ok numbers for this quarter but their guidance is awful.
• They slashed EPS by 40% and REV by 20% in guidance.
• Operating margins of this quarter are inline but they guided way lower operating margins for next quarter which shows the pressure on their raw materials
and inventory side.
• Operating cash flows for this and next quarter are also a miss but thats not surprising considering their margins going down.
• Also, CEO on call said the demand is weaker for semi’s right now which probably is why semi’s have been getting hit in the last week or so.
The biggest issue i see on MU’s ER is declining mobile sales. They have had y/y declining sales and this might spill over to big names like APPL, QCOM, QRVO and also ad spend companies like APPS, TTD.
If a new leg down starts in the market, chip manufacturers and mobile makers, ad spend and 5G network companies should be on watch.
Also, the demand weakening comment should put a lot of pressure on NVDA and AMD as there will be doubts about them being able to fulfill their guidance with weakening demand. Especially AMD guided way higher last quarter.
TSM put out news friday that majority of their big suppliers are scaling down their chip orders for rest of 2022. this consists of AMD NVDA AAPL cutting from 5-12% of their chips.
please note that this post is not for monday trading, it is intended in general for the next 3-4 months.
Bitcoin & Micron in lockstepFirst off, I am NOT implying that these two assets actually have a meaningful relationship with one another (correlation of any sort/or if MU goes down so does BTC, vice versa).
I am just pointing out that Bitcoin and Micron have had similar price action in terms of peaks and troughs and I want to keep watching that relationship.
What's interesting to me is you don't see this similarity of price action in many other stocks/indices when compared to Bitcoin. The first thing I could think of is it's a simple risk-on/risk-off dynamic and a coincidence, which happens over and over in markets.
When measuring BTC against MU we have a perfect weekly H&S top, which suggests Short Bitcoin / Long Micron (which actually historically suggests short both, since BTC is a higher beta asset/with greater volatility on the downside and upside). To be bullish, you want to see Bitcoin in an *uptrend* against Micron (historically speaking):
My view on this relationship is it's a coincidence of a risk-on/risk-off dynamic, and a function of higher beta (Bitcoin) vs lower beta (Micron) that happened to be trading in tandem with one another.
What do you think?
What a secular bullish trend looks like: Micron (MU)A secular bull market is a long-lasting shift in an industry that leads to substantial growth over a long period of time (crypto/electric vehicles/semi-conductors/e-commerce, etc)
Micron is a good example of a stock in an industry that's in a secular bull market and has some great classical charting patterns on a short term (daily) and long term basis (monthly+).
Darvas Box Theory:
The Darvas Box Theory is a momentum strategy that highlights periods of consolidation followed by trending bursts, which establish a new price level and lead to periods of consolidation.
Fractals:
Fractal patterns are self-repeating and have similar structure when viewed at different time intervals.
Micron is at an interesting spot here as it tests its former April 2021 highs and January 2000 highs, just under the $100 level - also known as the "Century Mark Rule" by Jesse Livermore
From Reminiscence of a Stock Operator, Jesse Livermore is long a copper stock of the early 1900s as it passes up through the $300 price level. This triggers his rule, which goes as follows: "It was an old trading theory of mine that when a stock crossed $100, $200 or $300 for the first time the price does not stop there but goes a good deal higher, so that if you buy it as soon as it crosses the line it is almost certain to show you a profit."
No matter how good a long term trend looks there's no certainty it won't fail, but getting the probabilities on your side is the name of the game. MU hits those checkmarks well.
38 year view:
Micron Tech - IN TROUBLE!!Micron Technology
Short Term - We look to Sell at 65.98 (stop at 69.58)
We look to sell rallies. Selling continued from the 61.8% pullback level of 85.74. Posted a Double Top formation. The formation has a measured move target of 46.09. Selling spikes offers good risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 46.09 and 41.09
Resistance: 66.00 / 75.00 / 96.45
Support: 54.00 / 46.00 / 30.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Micron Technology: Scraping the Barrel Micron Technology
Short Term - We look to Buy at 66.22 (stop at 65.18)
We look to buy dips. Previous support located at 66.00. Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today. We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Our profit targets will be 73.13 and 74.49
Resistance: 74.00 / 86.00 / 96.00
Support: 66.00 / 61.00 / 42.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
MU time to buy?Micron Technology
Short Term - We look to Buy at 66.27 (stop at 64.82)
Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Previous support located at 66.00. Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile. Dips continue to attract buyers.
Our profit targets will be 71.40 and 74.49
Resistance: 74.00 / 86.00 / 96.00
Support: 66.00 / 61.00 / 42.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
MU breaking above pivotMU is trying to bounce of long time support ($65.65) and has just taken out a swing low from 4/18 ($69.75)
From here there is room to retest highs at $76.00
It does need to break above $70 again in my opinion.
Trade idea:
Entry: Above $70.00
Target: $75.00
Contract idea: $75c 6/13 (currently trading at $1.00)
Stop Loss: 65.50
Disclaimer: This is not a trade signal, This is just a trade idea. Trade at your own risk
Near term idea on MUThe resistance to look at are $74 and $76 (mid BB/Fibonacci).
If the rally continue it would be possible for it to go to $78.5 - $80 (H4/Daily mid BB/Fibo)
MU just breakout from the bearish trend line and looking for more upside in H1.
Since NASDAQ and S&P 500 show sign of strength after rejecting the 50% Fibo level this lean to Bullish Trend.
Worst case if it fail to stay bullish, support to look at are at $68, $64 and $60 (Daily Fibo).
Is there more downside to Micron Technology?!I still think there is more downside to MU.
I was right on my first analysis, now let's see if Ninja will do it again.
Over all I am bearish on MU up until a day or two before earnings, even with the possibility of going into earnings.
I posted all of my entries, stops, & take profits on the photo.
MU Looking Bearish at Fib level? Micron Technology
Short Term - We look to Sell at 79.59 (stop at 82.81)
We look to sell rallies. Selling continued from the 61.8% pullback level of 85.74. Closed below the 50-day EMA. Posted a Bearish Outside candle on the Daily chart. Trading volume is increasing.
Our profit targets will be 68.29 and 66.73
Resistance: 85.00 / 96.50 / 100.00
Support: 75.00 / 70.00 / 65.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Where is Micron Technology going next?Ok guys I am really bad about wanting to type out a thesis on my charts. Not all the lines on my chart currently matter, they are for my reference as a lot of the chart is hidden. Overall I see a possible pullback up to the $83-$84 range, after that my overall range to the downside for the current moment is $72-$77 with a more pinpointed range of $73-$75. I will reassess the chart once I see more price action play out into the beginning of the week and most likely grab a PUTS position (want to make sure from validation). Once it hits my targets I will reassess the chart for further moves to the upside/downside.
What are your thoughts on MU/Micron Technology?