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MU

1/4 WATCHLIST + MARKET OUTLOOK** THIS IS PURELY OUR OPINION AND WE ARE NOT LIABLE FOR YOUR TRADING DECISIONS ** Happy New Year! Looking forward to the first trading session of 2021. Let's get to it! If you've been following our analyses on TradingView, you'll know that we have been very bullish in the short-term, and that we believe we are about to experience (or in the midst of experiencing) the last phase of any bull cycle - a blow-off top . You can see in the image above that we've had this strong support line (red) since the coronavirus low. On Thursday, we closed above the major resistance (green trendline - which has actually now turned into support). This is a very bullish signal. As long as the red support line holds, we will maintain a bullish bias. However, the market doesn't care about our opinion and will do what it wants. So we will trade the price action we see! WATCHLIST Note that these levels are for intraday options/equity trades. These are not swing levels. MU calls over 75.70 TIGR calls over 8.5 SHOP puts under 1128 SQ puts under 214.25 COST calls over 377.45 PYPL calls over 235 ROKU puts under 330.75 TSLA calls over 720 WKHS puts under 19.7 ZM puts under 336 Lastly, we opened a position in GLD on Thursday - we will likely add to the position tomorrow with a break of 179. Have a great week of trading!
AMEX:SPYLong
by algrowithm
THE WEEK AHEAD: BBBY, MU EARNINGS; ICLN, SLV, XLE, IWM/RUTEARNINGS: I've culled down all of next week's earnings announcements to options highly liquid underlyings where the 30-day is >50% and am left with two potential candidates for volatility contraction plays: BBBY (23/99/26.3%)* and MU (23/53/14.0%). BBBY announces on Thursday before market open, so look to put on a play in the waning hours of Wednesdays session; MU, announces on Thursday after market close. Pictured here is a delta neutral short strangle in the February cycle (49 days), which was paying 1.27 at the mid price as of Friday close with break evens wide of two times the expected move on the call side and slightly above the 2x on the put and delta/theta of -1.07/3.12. Naturally, you can see the call side skew here, with the similarly-delta'd short put 3.76 away from current price, but the call 7.24 away, so the underlying may merit a look at alternative plays that take advantage of this. In contrast, the shorter duration January 15th 15/22.5 (14 days) was paying 1.02, with delta/theta metrics of .21/7.91, with the natural trade-off's being less room to be wrong, but a quicker resolution of the trade should you be right. With MU, I'd look at a Plain Jane 2x expected move short strangle, which here would be the January 15th 68.5/85, paying 1.71 or the February 19th 62.5/90, paying 2.30. EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS RANKED BY PERCENTAGE THE FEBRUARY 19TH AT-THE-MONEY SHORT STRADDLE PAYS AS A FUNCTION OF STOCK PRICE: ICLN (9/51/15.0%) SLV (33/48/13.6%) XLE (23/41/11.4%) XBI (27/39/11.2%) EWZ (14/39/11.1%) GDX (15/38/11.1%) XME (14/38/10.7%) BROAD MARKET: IWM (25/31/8.1%) QQQ (19/27/7.1%) SPY (15/22/5.4%) EFA (20/21/5.2%) BOND FUNDS: TLT (16/18/4.4%) (Yield: 1.609%) HYG (7/13/2.0%) (Yield: 4.917%) EMB (4/7/2.0%) (Yield: 4.024%) AGG (28/8/1.7%) (Yield: 2.252%) * -- The first number is the implied volatility rank or percentile (i.e., where 30-day implied is relative to where it's been over the last 52 weeks); the second, 30-day implied; and the third, what the February 19th at-the-money short straddle is paying as a function of stock price.
NASDAQ:BBBY
by NaughtyPines
2
THE WEEK AHEAD: FDX, LEN, MU, CCL EARNINGS; XOP/XLE, IWM/RUTEARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENT-RELATED VOLATILITY CONTRACTION PLAYS (IN ORDER OF ANNOUNCEMENT): Here are the options-liquid underlyings announcing next week that I've culled down to 30-day >50% as candidates for volatility contraction plays: LEN (21/49/11.6%),* announcing Wednesday after market close MU (24/52/12.2%), announcing Wednesday (no time specified) FDX (29/53/11.9%), announcing Thursday after market close CCL (27/91/21.1%), announcing Friday (no time specified) Pictured here is a January 15th 17.5/27.5 short strangle in CCL which announces Friday, paying 1.36 as of Friday close with delta/theta of -4.86/4.84 with break evens wide of 2 times the expected move on the call side, and between the 1 and 2 x on the put. Although no time is currently specified, it is likely to announce before market open (because who, like, announces after Friday close?), so would look to put on a play in the waning hours of Thursday's session if you want to take advantage of Friday's post-announcement volatility contraction. EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS RANKED BY BANG FOR YOUR BUCK: XOP (21/60/16.3%)** GDXJ (15/44/12.9%) XLE (30/45/12.5%) KRE 924/41/11.1%) SLV (25/40/11.2%) GDX (16/38/10.7%) EWZ (15/39/10.6%) XBI (24/38/10.0%) BROAD MARKET EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS: IWM (25/30/7.8%) QQQ (23/30/7.6%) DIA (16/23/6.0%) SPY (16/23/5.6%) EFA (20/24/5.1%) TREASURY/BOND FUNDS: Adding a little bond/treasury section to here since I occasionally park what would otherwise be idle cash in short puts (See Post Below). TLT (11/15/3.99%) (1.609% yield) HYG (11/11/2.41%) (4.917% yield) EMB (5/9/--)*** (4.024% yield) AGG (29/8/--)*** (2.252% yield) * -- The first metric is the implied volatility rank or percentile (i.e., where 30-day implied is relative to where it's been over the last 52 weeks); the second, 30-day implied volatility; and the third, what the January 15th at-the-money short straddle is paying as a function of stock price. ** -- Here, I'm using the short straddle price nearest 45 days until expiry to calculate the "bang for your buck" percentage, which would be the January 29th weekly. *** -- EMB and AGG don't have weeklies nearest 45 days.
NYSE:CCL
by NaughtyPines
2
$MU making Head & Shoulders Pattern?Good day! Been watching MU for a couple of weeks, hasn't been a fun trade lately. After some more detailed TA it appears MU could be completing a Head and Shoulders pattern Decreasing Volume as what appears to be a Left Shoulder & Head forming help suggest the patterns completion. Set a few Entry and Exit targets to play the Right Shoulder formation, should it continue to play out. Could Simplify it by going Long and setting tight Stops please like & subscribe and share your thoughts or critiques! Happy Trading!
NASDAQ:MULong
by NillaCoin
8
MU ShortAfter a golden cross with the 50 and 200 SMA NASDAQ:MU has pushed up into overbought conditions on the RSI leaving quite a mess as it stretches. Now at all time highs, I believe that it is a good time for a short. With lots of buying pressure in the last couple of days some consolidation is expected. Semi-conductors have been a strong play during 2020, however with a strong bid for Energy yesterday, I believe it is time for past due rotation for the continuation of the unprecedented bull market that has been carried heavily by tech centric stocks. The MAC-D is attempting to double extend to the upside for the first time since September and March lows, and with the overbought conditions it is safe to say that this move will likely be quickly rejected. My first target for MU is support at 61.68 and my second target is the gap up from 58.12 to 59.57. Note that the former highs are at 64.66 and this might serve as a testy area for MU.
NASDAQ:MUShort
by crawfordpaul
Stocks to Watch 11/29/2020The Bull Market is strong, but many stocks are extended and sentiment seems to be extremely bullish. I am cautious with new buys until the sentiment cools off a little. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 28 total stocks on this list. Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. There are also some "COVID" stocks which may be setting up again. . Know your time frame and risk tolerance, grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!
NASDAQ:SPTLong
by Jtacher51
2
Supply & Demand Trading Analysis 11/22/2020With the strong bullish momentum dissipating, the signs of a reemergence of mass hysteria with wave 2 of covid arriving, numerous stocks a far distance away from major moving averages, big institutions adding more hedges to their portfolio's, these stories appear to ring the same tune prior to the crash in march. With a majority of stocks failing to reach new highs or inside supply zones, here are some stocks showing signs that a reversal to the downside is imminent. MU - A strong trend to the upside, however volume appears to diverge with price, a textbook bearish signal. - Inside a major daily supply zone + strong rejection attempting to break above zone. - Far distance away from 20ema on daily chart. Pullbacks resulted every time during similar prior occurrences. - Entering a short position if price begins to break lower level of daily supply (59.44) BIDU - Price recently bounces of 200ema while inside a monthly demand zone. - Price is showing consolidation, preparing for another strong move to either side. - Looking to BTFD if price drops back to 200ema within the monthly demand zone. MS - A market top appears to have formed a market top on daily chart after failing to break above supply zones - Will enter short position if price breaks below $57. Strong indication price is reversing. - A triple top appears to have formed when analyzing weekly chart. - A sharp rise in price with decreasing volume and far distance away from ema's = perfect pullback conditions KSS - Keeping an eye on how price moves this week as it appears to be forming a bull flag while attempting break above daily supply zone. - If price moves in predicted pattern, will enter a short position as price enters circled zone. Black trendline is the top of monthly downtrend, expecting a rejection as price approaches. PYPL - Price in consolidation in middle of a 4 month trading range. With market conditions showing signs of a market ready to sell, I expect a breakout on the downside. - Will look to BTFD if price breakouts out, entering demand zone along with 200ema inside zone resulting in high possibility price will use 200ema as support. CNK - Price rejects off 200ema after touching ema for the first time in 2020. - If price begins to rise back into weekly supply zone AND with decreasing volume, will enter a short position in circled zone as it tests both a major supply zone and 200ema resistance.
NYSE:CNK
by EmersonM20
MU Earning Flop/Bearish Pennant ActiveNASDAQ:MU was short 11 cents on its earnings, was downgraded by several groups and began to selloff yesterday, activating bearish pennant with extremely high volume. Earlier in August their CFO stated that the future of memory chips doesn't look good (www.bloomberg.com) and it caused a 9.54% drop from the day's open over the course of a week. After reaching oversold levels on RSI the stock rallied. My target price for is MU is 10% from Wednesday's opening price- roughly 44.05 though I would like to see a break below 46.65 before taking a position. If MU continues to sell my next target would be 41.14
NASDAQ:MUShort
by crawfordpaul
THE WEEK AHEAD: MU, BBBY EARNINGS; XOP, GDXJ, SLV, EWZ, KRE, XLEEARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENT VOLATILITY CONTRACTION PLAYS: MU (27/57/10.8%)*, announces Tuesday after market close. BBBY (32/105/20.2%), announcement Thursday before market open. Pictured here is an MU October 16th 44/55 short strangle, paying 1.52 as of Friday's close (.76 at 50% max). For those of a defined risk bent: the MU October 16th 40/45/52.5/57.5 iron condor was paying 1.74 at the mid as of Friday's close, (.87 at 50% max). For BBBY, I'd probably go short straddle, skinny short strangle, or skinny iron condor with the October 16th 14/15 skinny short strangle paying 2.46 as of Friday's close (.62 at 25% max), and the October 16th 10/14/15/19 4-wide paying 2.02 (.51 at 25% max) with risk one to make one metrics. OPTIONS LIQUID EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS SCREENED FOR >35% 30-DAY IMPLIED AND RANKED BY PERCENTAGE THE NOVEMBER (56 DAY'S) AT-THE-MONEY SHORT STRADDLE IS PAYING AS A FUNCTION OF STOCK PRICE: XOP (16/54/17.8%) GDX (22/54/17.0%) SLV (39/48/14.4%) EWZ (19/44/14.1%) GDX (21/43/14.1%) XLE (26/41/13.5%) SMH (24/40/11.3%) BROAD MARKET: QQQ (33/34/10.9%) IWM (31/34/10.6%) SPY (21/26/8.3%) EFA (22/24/7.1%) DIVIDEND GENERATORS FOR THE IRA SCREENED FOR THOSE WHERE THE NOVEMBER AT-THE-MONEY SHORT STRADDLE IS PAYING >10% OF STOCK PRICE: SLV (39/48/14.4%)** EWZ (19/44/14.1%) KRE (27/44/14.2%) XLE (26/41/13.5%) MUSINGS: With the major binary event of the year approaching (U.S. general elections), I'll be attempting to resist the urge to trade in the margin account and will flatten that completely running into the October monthly expiry. The intent was to wind that account up prior to year end, so now is as good a time as any. With retirement approaching, my medium to long-term focus will be turning to IRA trades in a cash secured environment, with the focus on exchange-traded-funds with dividends and the general go-to strategy being short put, acquisition, and covering, resorting to highly liquid single name only in the event that sector and broad market volatility totally dry up. I'll continue to grind on those broad market/exchange-traded fund trades through the election as long as volatility hangs in there, naturally keeping some powder dry in the event that a high volatility event presents itself. This basic approach has worked well over the years, and I see no particular reason to change it now, even though it has zero sexiness and can be slow going, particularly if you're not the patient type. My current stock positions are in SPY (covered call), TLT (covered call), IYR (covered call), and EFA (covered call). In addition, I've got short puts or short put ladders deployed in QQQ, IWM, SPY, SLV, EWZ, KRE, XLE, GLD, and HYG. Previously, I was hesitant to dump my stock positions or allow them to be called away due to their paying dividends, but may change my tune, particularly with SPY, where the dividend is a paltry 1.76% relative to what the 30-day 2 x expected move short put is paying currently. Naturally, what a given option will pay will depend on where the implied volatility is at the given moment, but here the 2 x expected move short put nearest 30 days is the October 26th 305, paying 2.60 or .86% ROC at max (10.32% annualized). The basic question is whether it's generally worth it to hang out in shares when you don't have to, even if you're getting a little extra something something if you've covered.*** Short puts, after all, make money regardless of whether the stock goes up or sideways and can even make money if the market goes down, assuming that your break even isn't broken; stock only makes money if it goes up. Short puts can be rolled to reduce cost basis further; once you're in stock, you're married to the position. I guess I'm trying to talk myself into allowing my shares to be called away ... . :-) * -- The first metric is the implied volatility rank (i.e., where 30-day implied is relative to where it's been over the past 52 weeks); the second, 30-day implied volatility; and the third, the percentage the October at-the-money short straddle is paying as a function of stock price. ** -- Neither SLV nor GLD pay a dividend. *** -- The 2 x expected move short call nearest 30 days is the October 26th 346, paying 1.56 or 18.72 annualized, which also far exceeds what you'll receive in SPY dividends on an annual basis (currently 5.681/share or $568.10 per year for a one lot).
NASDAQ:MU
by NaughtyPines
MU: Micron Keeps Moving Up - Possible TargetsMicron chart keeps rallying towards its earnings day on 09/29/2020 (confirmed). Trading at $47.80, the price is close to its second target of $48.13 (50% Fib level). Potential higher targets are at $51.46 (78.6%) and $54 (100%) levels. Scenario analysis: ADP employment numbers to be reported on Sept 3rd may help with further short-term price advancement, if positive. However, September has been a volatile month historically. A broader pull back in major indices is possible between next week and end of this month. If such correction occurs, MU chart may pull back as well, possibly down to $44 level, to resume its rally toward price levels above $50 with general market move higher in October - November time frame. If MU chart makes its way to $51 level before the earnings, that could be a good opportunity to book the profits and reassess possible price movements at that time.
NASDAQ:MU
by tradexchart
MU: SOXL: Micron is Moving HigherMU: Micron has started its rally toward Q3 - next earnings season. The chart has reached $45.06, its 23.6% Fib retracement level, which may serve as near-term resistance, or consolidation zone before its next leg up. Momentum has turned positive as MACD has crossed to the upside on all time frames. There are two unfilled gaps below, at $43.76 and $42.68 levels. Next possible targets for the move higher are $48.13 (50%), $51.46 (78.6%), and $54 (100%). Pull backs on the way up are possible and are likely to represent a buying opportunity.
NASDAQ:MU
by tradexchart