BTC at resistance: tactical swing plan for bulls <106.7k __________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Momentum: Dominant bullish structure across all timeframes, major resistance at 106.7k–112k.
Supports/Resistances: 106743 (multi-TF pivot), 103000–105000 (key supports). Price compressed below main resistance.
Volume: Normal to moderately high, a few occasional yellow spikes, no massive distribution or capitulation.
Behavior Multi-TF: Risk On / Risk Off Indicator bullish at every horizon. Behavioral indicator (ISPD DIV) in constant buy zone, no orange anomaly.
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Strategic Summary
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Overall Bias: Bullish structure intact, sustained momentum up to the critical 106.7k–112k resistance.
Opportunities: Swing entries on 103–105k support clusters, long scalps on 15–30min signals, partial exits near/under key resistances.
Risk Zones: Confirmed break below 103k = major bearish alert, repeated rejection below 106.7k–112k = risk of extended/distributive range.
Macro Catalysts: US data (ADP, ISM, PMI), stablecoin/GENIUS regulation. High-volatility windows expected during major news (03/06–04/06).
Action Plan: Active management, progressive reinforcement on pullbacks, controlled exposure below resistance, stop-loss advised < 103k.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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Daily: Pivot High 1D: 111949/ Pivot Low 1D: 93337.4. Stalled below 106.7k–112k. Normal volume, strong software sector/ Risk On / Risk Off Indicator buy signal, healthy behaviors.
12H – 4H: Compression in 104.5k–106.7k/109.9k. Cautious bullish bias, localized volume clusters, all buy signals except on immediate resistance tests.
2H – 1H: Technical pullbacks at 104k, micro-range 105–106k. Momentum intact, 15–30min buy signals on every support retest.
30min – 15min: High intraday volatility, liquidity absorption at supports, active ranging phase. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator and ISPD consistently bullish.
ISPD & Risk On / Risk Off Indicator Summary: Buy alignment across the board, no behavioral deviation, strong sector support.
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Summary:
BTC/USDT remains capped beneath the 106.7k–112k resistance, but all multi-TF, behavioral, and sector signals stay bullish above 103k. Favored setup: active management around supports, prudent profit-taking below resistance, intensified macro monitoring.
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