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Multitimeframeanalysis

Riding 🏇 Manufacturing Data 🎯 2%+ Risking --> [ .30% ]Last Week the Weekly Candle closed Bearish but with no wick Last week the Candle closed below Weekly S/R Level However, the candle closed in between our two Daily Level's Manufacturing Data Was Expected to be negative for the USD Red Folder News and in theory good for EUR Strength Price had been going up on EU since the new Weekly Candle opening yesterday. From Experience I was anticipating an early in the week push up away from our previously mentioned Level's. The Red folder news was a catalyst for a continuation of momentum. From here we can anticipate a continued early in the week push or Consolidation structure as NYSE Open falls back to our mentioned Weekly and Daily Level's. I can see price holding these level's for a few sessions because the Bulls have a great interest in protecting these levels. Or else EU will fall back to 1.076 rather easily Weekly Target for Bulls if we hold these levels is 1.0948 More Analysis: I observed that London Session had a nice bullish breakout. Price had pulled back for the new 4Hr candle leaving a wick to fill in momentum and additionally to create a bottom wick for the new 4hr candle. So it could blast off like a spaceship away from our previous mentioned levels. Zone to Zone. My TP was at next technical level 1.0889 1Hr Level
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
Believe in the Gods! -->🔱--< But do not count on them for help Dollar Bulls Take the Win? We have dropped below our Last Daily Zone at 1.09219. I have been talking about dollar bulls Since we had FOMC data coincide with our extreme highs at 1.1095. A Coincidence? I thought this may be Suspicious! And it turned out that way. That was a good tell for the beginning of this descent. FOMC was last Wednesday and dollar bulls have blessed swing traders with 190 Pips in 1 Week. Everyone says EU is Weak in comparison to the # of pips it gives to most other pairs... It Doesn't give that much , heh 😉. It Respects level's very nicely! Very clean price actionnn. From a Technical Standpoint.. As Long as we stay below 1.09211, only sells for the rest of week. The Price I like are 1.0897 as the next Pit stop. Ultimately with Friday's daily candle I'm liking 1.0866 Weekly Level as mentioned in previous publishing's. Also I like the Daily level just beyond that at 1.08535. As long as NY and our last remaining 4Hr Candle prints below 1.09219, Sells are fantastic. I would prefer that we waste no time and close below 1.09112 4Hr zone. Trading : Trading today went quite well. Looking at my data.. my Thursdays are typically good. --<< I've seen that remark impact my trading psychology before. The brain is a wonder. Managing trading psychology is a large part of trading. Given that I am profitable, I still cut my winners a bit short sometimes. Why? Out of Fear. Complicated.. But for now we must stay consistent and discplined to the system. the trading plan. 3 Setups today.. The First one I ran because i was scared and closed for B.E. It would've been a nice +5 Pip scalp. The Second was a great. Just closed a little early. The third was a great! Closed a little early once again. I can complain because green is green. Profit is profit and we must learn and move onto the next day. On Thursday's.. 1. The Market sets itself up early in the week. By the time Thursday comes around, the weekly candle is ready to extend itself in the preceding direction from Monday/Tuesday Etc. 2. New and Struggling Traders are Tired and Exhausted from trading since Monday. They begin to make mistakes and become sloppy with their execution. Leading to larger losses than are necessary. I have been there.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
GOLD (XAU/USD): get ready for the short-term bearish runConducting a multi-timeframe analysis and taking a look at two major timeframes - the Weekly and the Monthly - we might observe that the price has reached a very important level of resistance (both technically and psychologically) and rejected its borders. Although the long-term sentiment remains bullish, we are expecting a short-term drop and eyeing the area of previous resistance now turned into support that is highlighted on the chart as our initial target.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Investroy
27
[ CPI ] : A Catalyst for Optimism? 🏳‍🟧‍⬛‍🟧- The Weekly candle pulled back up after creasing last week's low - The Daily Candle yesterday closed in between our Daily Level's 1.09715 and 1.09495 - This was good for bulls as I mentioned because we closed above 1.09495 - Either way Eurusd was still technically inside our overarching Daily range between 1.106 Daily/Weekly level and 1.09495 Daily Level - CPI Coincided with a Bounce off Daily Support at 1.09495! How Beautiful. I mentioned this occurrence in my update on my previous 2 Posts. CPI decreased signaling optimism for markets. Inflation is decreasing and is on a smooth downward projectory. -Now will we observe a continued change of character with CPI data as the catalyst. We reject our lower prices and bottom part of the range and go back to 1.106 Daily/weekly Level. -Our first pit stop to the upside being Monda's Daily Level at 1.10226? -Price is currently at . If the Daily candle closes like this I say yes. But we must observe how the daily candle closes and if there is a follow through after the Initial bounce from CPI on the 1Hr TF. -The 4Hr Timeframe closed beautifully rejecting our Support areas below + We must observe if the 4hr zone which coincides with our daily level at 1.09715 can hold for more upside + We must consider that we often see a correction of news price action. It can take 2-3 Hours, 1-3 Trading sessions , or 1-2 trading days. We would observe a correction down to 1.09456 More Analysis: Trading went well as I earned profits with reduced position size due to increased news volatility. I made a few mistakes but overall I can't complain with a +.65% profit on the session and and similar +.60% gain during yesterday's Asian Session. It makes up for the tough trading Day I had on Tuesday and plus some. I do want to learn from my mistakes so I will be doing some further reflecting .
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
EUR/USD: a detailed multi-timeframe examination of the pairHaving conducted a thorough MTF analysis of EUR/USD, the following observations could be made: Weekly: as it can be inferred from the Weekly-timeframe chart, the price has been shooting wick candles and failing to break above the major resistance highlighted on the graph. The ongoing Weekly candle is looking massively bearish, and if we get to have a such impulsive closure, then the price might be experiencing a further decline. The 50% Fibonacci retracement level aligning with the price mark of 1.08 might be the next potential region the bearish rally is leading us towards. Daily: zooming into the Daily-TF chart, we might observe that the price has penetrated through the ascending trendline with success. This add up to the list of confluences backing our bearish bias. 16H / 8H / 4H: finally, levelling down to lower-timeframe graphs, we can plot a probable entry region and have eyes on it for SELL executions. The area of 1.1 combines two confluences: the 50% Fibonacci retracement level derived from the recent impulse and the descending trendline pictured on the chart that connects two previous tops. On the fundamental front, we have to keep eyes on the economic news - US Core Inflation Rate and PPI MoM - due later today and tomorrow.
Short
by Investroy
23
Are Crypto Bears in Denial? Eth 🌄Is this the Bull Run we have all been anticipating? Or Does Price need more time to accumulate above 2018 Highs. Ethereum has been trading in between 1942 Daily Level and 1785 Weekly Level for nearly a Month now. Price has spent 70% of the time inside this range. It spiked to the upside and stayed above the range for a week as some buyers Took Profit and shorts came in to flush out late longs. Price printed an engulfing candle on the Weekly Timeframe as price retreated back into our 1942 to 1785 range. We'll see if this bullish movment can sustain itself.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by ShrewdCatfx
Bitcoin is the Answer? The Week Ahead [ Bitcoin ] ₿Price is currently in between our Weekly Level's Support - 27,592 $ Resistance - 30,319 $ Price Is currently in between our Daily Level's Support - 28,857 $ Resistance - 29,540 $ Price Appears to be closing above our Daily Level 28,857 which is a Win for the Bulls. The Bulls are also happy that the weekly candle appears to be printing a larger bottom wick than a top wick. This Bottom wick is also rejecting our Weekly Support Level at 27,592. Zooming out we can see that Bulls are also happy that price has been printing Higher lows on the Daily Chart since the 3rd week of March. The Bears are happy that the Weekly Candle appears to be rejecting the 29,540 $ Daily level from the Previous week. The Bears are looking for Pullbacks to Medium term 24,310 and the Longer term targets being 10,600 Monthly Level. I can observe Bears being content with holding shorts as long as price holds below our 30,319 Weekly Level that extends back to June 22' 30,319 is a S/R Zone that held as a Solid Support during the recent Bull Run to 69K. Price held Support at this S/R Zone (30,319 $) during Jan 21' and July 21'. This is a Major Key Level (30,319$) for Shorts as I can observe price going back up to 39K rather easily if price does not hold here.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ShrewdCatfx
Would like to be proven wrong Bulls! Eurusd 💶We have printed two Bullish Monthly Candles back to back. The first week of this current monthly candle for May 23' has closed as an indecision candle. I am gravitating towards the Bull side but would not be surprised to see more of a sell off after the May FOMC decision The FOMC decision to raise rates by 25 basis points coincided with our extreme highs of the Year around the 1.105 Weekly Level In a way I want to be proven wrong on the Sell Side for EU. I want to see Buyers stay strong around our extreme Highs here in the 1.10's and not be phased by a short term descent in price as FOMC price action settled after the initial announcement. I would like to see buyers at 1.09718 and 1.09480 Daily Level's be taken out before any more of an ascent occurs. The Price I'm looking for is 1.09176 Daily Level. To begin the week before CPI data on Wednesday I will be looking for price to pullback but will be happy if proven wrong instead with price displaying a quick ascent back to 1.1095 and beyond with CPI numbers.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Buyers want 1.1024 4Hr Zone Holdd.. before potential Avalanche ⛄Scalping, Scalpingg. Has taken my heart. Discipline and Patience. Aggressive when it times to be aggressive. Fearless when it's time to be fearless. Trust in thy system and process. And Gold to be attracted to thy pocket with time and accumulate in ever increasing quantities. Will bulls hold 1.1024 4hr Zone? Or as the Daily candle flips bearish at 1.10239 will bears take us back to Support on the daily timeframe once more at 1.09718. 1.10148 Current Daily Low being the current Daily Low --> 1.10148 is a 1Hr Zone and our last potential Support before I see Sellers taking over once again. The 1hr timeframe and 4hr timeframe have clean traffic to the left hand side and we should mirror those as we go back down. CPI on wednesday will most definitely shake things up. Early in the week we have seen the market be proped up by Asian session buying. Will this buying pressure be sustained? Bulls + Monthly Candle is Bullish + New Weekly Candle gapped up and is Bullish + Friday Daily Candle Closed bullish + the first 1hr of our new 4hr candle jsut closed Bullish above 1.104 + 4Hr market structure is Bullish + A bullish Asian session to begin the week. Price has been consolidating since London Session open with 1Hr candles printing in a tight range +De-Dollarization appears to be more evident than ever Bears the 9am GMT 4hr candle closed below 1.104 4Hr Level Price is still holding steadily below 1.10590 Weekly Level Price is leaving a Top wick appearing to reject Daily Level 1.1059 The weekly candle last week printed a Lower Low and a Lower High on that timeframe.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
💵 Dollar Buyers Pile Back in with NFP DataWell Dollar Buyers Piled back in with positive Jobs data. Eurusd returned back to the bottom of the range for the 3rd time in 2 Weeks. Our Daily Levels being 1.097 and 1.095. Quite the week for Swing traders and Scalpers playing the range.. Like who cares about breakouts anymore 😂. We were anticpating this data to take us out of the range and up to 1.115 but that is for another day. The Weekly candle will either Pullback up or continue dropping to end the week. It appears that we may be going to correct the NFP release at 1.10111. This occurs a majority of the time. The timing can be quite tricky however. I've seen it take 2-3 Days or 2-3 Trading Session or even 2-3 Hours. Yes, or even less than an hour. Either way have a great weekend. No trades today because the sum of my Previous 5 Friday's were profitable BUT only on 20% of the days. I had a Big Friday in Late March which brings the sum of my recent Friday's to a positive. If I had traded today I would have done well. But as mentioned previously the majority of Friday's are a Small Loss or Break even. It's Friday and even though I'm overall up on the sum of my friday's, I would rather save my energy and go enjoy the weekend. This doesn't mean that I can't still watch the charts. I did. I had a B.E. week. It's better than a Losing Week! Another week of experience under the belt. Safe Trading.
by ShrewdCatfx
Fakeout at 28,500$ Daily level? 😼 Setup : FakeoutLooking for a bounce back up for a retest of 28,500 before returning to the downside. We haev 2 days left in this Weekly Candle. I can see the weekly candle closing below 28,500. If we do this, we can anticipate a top wick retest on the next weekly candle back around 28 to 28,500 Area where we will look for short setups. I think we became a bit over extended here for the bulls. There are popular posts talking about taking more buys. This did not play out and price is ruthlessly coming back down taking out buyers from previous few weeks who have held the bag. I'm anticipating a bounce but a deadcat bounce for more shorts.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ShrewdCatfx
2
USD/CAD: multi-timeframe outlook. What is the next move? Looking at the DAILY-timeframe graph on the left-hand side of the screen, we may observe that the previous candle has managed to close impulsively bullish and approach the crucial area of resistance highlighted on the chart. Zooming into the H8 graphic, it can be inferred that the price might be headed towards the 1.364 - 1.365 region before forming a Double Top and commencing its bearish impulses. The major USD fundamentals due later today should be taken into consideration as well before planning on executing positions on this pair. All in all, we will keep monitoring the price action and news reports before opening a transaction.
Short
by Investroy
16
EURUSD 4H 28/04/2023 Currently, in the 4-hour timeframe, we are in an uptrend range that extends from 1.08960 to 1.10758, with the latter being the current range liquidity point. Following the structure and the ranges that have been created, we can identify two areas of interest: 1.09171 and 1.08571. These are the zones in which we can search for reactions to position ourselves in the bullish movement or alternatively, we could descend to lower timeframes to follow the new bullish ranges that are forming in favor of the trend.
Long
by mdr300896
Inflation Data 📊 Favoring BreakoutHas EUR Topped out and has GDP been enough to put the nail in the coffin? Price is continuing to reject extreme prices and this was anticipated from 1.1045 and 1.1056 Higher time frame level's. However Buy Side took over to close out the NY Session. Maybe this is a precursor to a Bullish /Optiumistic CPI release tomorrow and a rise in EU. This is my Bias for the last Asian session of the week. More Analysis: We may retest 1.10 1Hr Zone during Asian Session. It is wise to be weary of the fact that we are in a range on the Daily TF between 1.1045 and 1.0973. I was anticipating that we would keep pushing and do a continuation for NY session which we did, sort of at least back to the lows which was momentum from the news release. But these low prices didnt hold and the Daily cnalde is pulling back up to end off the session.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
XAUUSD 1H 25/04/2023Currently, in the one-hour chart, we are within a bearish range that spans from 2011 to 1969, with the latter being the range's liquidity point in this time frame. We notice that the price did not close above the first gray zone, which ranges from 1998 to 1989, so if the price returns to this area, we could expect a bearish reaction. On the other hand, if the price touches our second zone, ranging from 2008 to 2005, without performing a pullback, we could look for a bearish reaction to liquidate the range.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mdr300896
Correction Imminent for Liquidity? 🏔️ Eur/UsdLooking for a Correction because price is going straight up. The New 4Hr Candle may be the catalyst for an Asian Session Pullback before the 2nd London Session of the week kicks off. As we approach London Session we will see more volume arrive and anticipating potential corrective structure. The RR is worth a short although you should never walk in front of a train unless you have confluences and a good RR Idea. Anticipating corrective structure during this session and London Session. For Buyers maybe a retest of Broken Weekly Level 1.1058 for more aggressive buys. For better buys one of the previous 1Hr Zones at 1.1045 or 1.1027 or if we pull back harder.. maybe we'll consider more short term downside because it is quite early in the week. 1.1075 Weekly wick Fill from 2nd Week April is likely considering we just had a strong Daily candle close (at) 1.1045 Daily level. We closed below our Weekly Level at 1.1058. So no most optimal buy scenario for continuation here but we'll see. More Analysis: Taking Buys today throughout NY Session was straight forward as we had the NY 4Hr candle close above 1.102. This gave me confidence to take buys throughout the session. Although we had a tough time at first, we kept trading and my system ended the first trading day of the week on a positive note ( No pun intended ). Sometimes my entries are a bit sloppy as I can be quite impatient. This is why I am a Scalper however as it is more suiting towards my persnaility anbd trading style. However, Risk Management is especially significant with a scalping strategy as although wins come faster same do cost's of business.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
EU Slides 🛝 and Dollar ReignitesPrice is currently In a Range between 1.0952 and 1.0988 on the 4Hr. We have extreme short term prices at 1.10. We have multiple wicks here and we can bet probably that there will be a downside reaction for bears after we hit this area. It is also a psychological area for everyone on all TF's. Hawkish remarks by Fed recently don't necessarily appear to have drastic short term consequences but we may quickly have that answered as we begin the new week. We have price funneling up on the line chart on our intradday charts. We have alot of free liquidity waiting to be realeased if we can close and hold above 1.10 extreme prices//psychological area. 1.0871 is weekly target frr bears, the next daily zone below prev strucutre
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Do Engulfing Candles Work? 🤨Yes Engulfing Candles work but it depnds on the context. If are at either a Weekly, Daily or 4Hr level then I will have more confidence in my entry. If not then we may just be selling into momentum and getted rekt while price goes the other way and we weep as our ego suffers. We have a minor zone at 1880 but nothing more than that, at least considering what is relevant personally. However, we have had sustained bearish pressure on the higher TF's such as the Daily/Weekly and appear to be printing solid engulfing candles on those timeframes. 1 More day for the weekly candle to close. I can observe price potentially returning to the lows for more liquidity around 1840 and going into a range. If not then candlestick patterns dnt wrk and that's why we always stick to combining confluences, and considering context before entering after a candlestick pattern. Thinking more range before we see 1942 again.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by ShrewdCatfx
Fomo Buyers + News Correction of Unemployment & PPI Data 🎢You may observe rejection of 1.1057 Weekly Level as mentioned in prev post. Very good sell opportunities as we rejected the weekly level and Fomo buyers were caught off guard. The American consumer is struggling and can be observed by retail sales data. We had a 7am Continuation when consumer sentiment was released , acting as a catalyst to continue momentum of the already established direction as we rejected 1.1057 weekly level as big buyers TP above 1.103 extreme prices. We would prefer to See the Daily candle to close below 1.0988 for Sells to continue. For Buyers we maintain an overall bullish trend if we hold above 1.0988. We do see some very large engulfing candles on the 4Hr on EU here. That is why I'm looking for some sort of continuation to the lows as we walk into the weekend and the open on Sunday. I think DXY bulls are on to something here but it is CPI week and the weekly candle is closing bullish. I would like to be proven wrong early in week next week like Sunday/Monday for more buys back up to 1.1057 and higher.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
2