Fomo Liquidity Pullback 🤐Anticipating a pullback with London session to clear Fomo liquidity. Depending on the amount, we may observe a pullback to 1.07435 4hr Resistance zone. If the market is extra stubborn then we may see a more sustained pullback to 1.075 area. Manufacturing data during NY session today surprised to the upside and beat the forecast creating a dramatic selloff on EurUsd. Not surprised for us here at ShrewdCatFx since we have been outlining the Market sentiment surrounding USD with hot labor market and increasing inflation readings last month of March. Good manufacturing data was just gasoline on the already hot USD. On another note, it's the beginning of the week still.. it's pretty early in the week and we've already observed some great volatility.. I believe we may observe some rversion to the mean for EurUsd and London will cause some pullback volatility to gather liquidity and plus it's only Monday. We still have ADP and NFP which will be a good excuse for more volatility.. so in the meantime we may mess around and range or pullback.. if not then I may be wrong and our next 4hr zone 1.07265 and 1.07105 are our next short targets for the upcoming sessions which has USD job openings news which is forecasted to decrease slightly across the previous data point which lines up with some at least short term EUR strength.. safe trading
Multitimeframeanalysis
EurUsd Beginning of Q2, 2024 📅Hello Traders, the March Monthly candle has closed bearish with a large top wick which looks to have rejected the top of our Monthly range at 1.1028. We now have 3 Monthly candle closing bearish consecutively which suggest more downside on EurUsd possible as we enter Q2, 2024. The top wick on the March monthly candle looks like a fresh liquidity grab for a push towards our monthly support level 1.057 in April. Our first stop will be the February monthly candle low price ( 1.695).
Strong Jobs data in March and increasing Inflation readings suggest continued uncertainty surrounding the Fed's ability to get a handle on the market. In the meantime we can observe USD strength Q1 ,2024 and this may continue as we enter Q2. Anything can happen in the markets and it's important that we always remain flexible in our approach and strategy for profiting from the markets. In the short term, our key levels of interest are Daily Resistance level created last week 1.08373. Another key level being the level that we mentioned multiple times last week, 1.0765 weekly support level. The Friday daily candle (march 29th) reacted off here and closed bullish. The next key level is 1.07105 Daily Support Level.
Monthly
Weekly
Daily
Trade in a sideways marketMain price pattern of financial instruments
So, when we talk about the price of financial stuff, like stocks or crypto, it often moves in specific ranges over different timeframes, right? Whether it's weekly, daily, hourly, or even minute charts, prices tend to hang out in these ranges for a while. Traders call this kind of price movement "consolidation," "range-bound," or simply a "sideways market."
In this article, we'll just call it a sideways market or range. When prices are stuck in this sideways action, they can break out with a sudden burst of momentum, kickstarting a trend, or they might just keep bouncing around, forming a new sideways pattern.
Let's check out the daily chart of BTCUSDT starting from October 2021. On the chart (see above), we've marked those periods where the price was moving sideways with blue markers. Since October 2021, we've spotted 7 of these sideways patterns. We label the first point of each sideways move as "1". Out of 884 trading days, the price was stuck in this sideways action for 758 days (884 - 72 - 39 - 15), which makes up about 85%. This means that throughout this whole period, you could've been looking at trades from one edge of the sideways range to the other.
Based on my estimates, most financial instruments spend more than 75% of their time in this sideways market mode.
So, knowing how to trade in sideways markets is a super important skill for traders. And for investors, understanding these sideways moves can really amp up the profitability of their investments by pinpointing better entry and exit points.
For example, right now, considering buying BABA stocks might be a good idea because the price is chilling at the bottom of a sideways range on the weekly chart.
Example1
Mastering the Skills for Successful Trading in Sideways Market
Being able to effectively trade within trading ranges, between their boundaries, requires not only a certain amount of knowledge but also the development of specific skills. Initially, one must grasp the theoretical foundations and then apply them in practice, gradually honing their skills. Let's look at the necessary skills:
Skill 1: Understanding and applying the Concept of Time Frame (TF) Interconnection: higher TF, lower TF. Grasping the context of the higher TF in relation to the sideways market TF.
Skill 2: Identifying sideways market: determining the absolute and current boundaries of the range, as well as the current direction (vector) of price movement.
Skill 3: Recognizing zones of interest for buyers and sellers.
Skill 4: Determining the presence of buyers at the lower boundary (bottom protection by buyers) and sellers at the upper boundary (top protection by sellers).
Skill 5: Adhering to risk management principles when entering trades (especially crucial for traders).
Each of these skills is based on a vast amount of knowledge that needs to be absorbed first and then applied in practice. The journey can be long and sometimes tedious. Is there a way to hack this system and shorten the time it takes to acquire knowledge, develop skills, and start trading? Well, there are options. For example, you can use technical indicators (such as RSI, Bollinger Bands, ATR, etc.) to make buying or selling decisions. Or you could completely bypass the process of acquiring knowledge and skills and rely on signals from Telegram channels or expert opinions. But what will you find there about trading in sideways market (ranges), where the market spends more than 75% of its time?
This series of articles is written for those who are ready to take control of their financial destiny, who strive to understand how financial markets work, and who want to master the skills of independent trading and making more informed investment decisions. Here you will find the knowledge and tools to start understanding what is happening in the financial markets and how to profit from it. I don't promise any magic pills or "money" buttons:).
So, let's get started.
Skill 1: Applying the Concept of Time Frame Interconnection
The higher time frame (TF) always takes precedence over the lower one. For instance, if we observe on the daily chart that the market is in a seller's zone (which is determined by Skill 3), then on the hourly chart, we need to analyze the seller's actions (Skill 4) and primarily look for selling opportunities. However, there might be a situation where the seller is inactive, and the price starts to rise due to buyer pressure (in this case, Skill 4 comes into play again).
Example2
On the provided chart, areas of seller interest are marked in red, while buyer interest areas are marked in blue. Let's examine the period from March 25th to March 27th, highlighted in yellow on the chart.
On the daily TF, we observe sideways movement since December 22, 2023, with the bearish vector (11-12) being relevant. The first target of the bearish vector, 3.119, was reached on March 19, 2024. The second target (2.822) and the third (2.611) remain valid. On March 25th, the price returned to the seller's zone on the daily chart (the red zone with the lower boundary at 3.680).
On the hourly chart, on March 25th, the price trend reached the daily seller's zone and formed a range with 7 points. The breakout from this range occurred downwards on March 27th. Therefore, in this range, it was advisable to look for selling opportunities from the upper boundary and riskily consider buying from the lower one.
Similarly, you can make investment decisions by analyzing, for example, the weekly and daily TFs.
To be continued...
P.S. This is indeed an interesting point! Despite the fact that the market spends more than 75% of its time in sideways movement, indicators and strategies specifically designed for trading in this mode have not gained as much popularity as other trading approaches. Even on the internet, including TV and trading Telegram channels, signals or analyses based on identifying sideways movement are very rarely encountered. If you have experience or knowledge about trading methods in sideways markets (including indicators), please share them in the comments!
Monthly Candle Closure Volatility ♠️Some banks and Institutions require their execution desks to close positions as the month comes to and end. This sometimes causes wild and irrational choppiness in the price action. Caution as the market closes out the month of March 24'. PCE data is forecasted to decrease which could spark some optimism and a rebound to the upside to end the month. If not, we may very well see a continuation of momentum with safe-haven buying of the USD aka EurUsd heads to the sea floor.
Next target for shorts is weekly level 1.07663 and 1.07451 4hr zone.
0:0 Monthly timeframe
3:42 Weekly timeframe
5:30 Daily timeframe
7:03 4hr timeframe
9:30 1hr timeframe and upcoming news
What's next? Risk-off USD strength or ++ Sentiment? Eur/Usd 📉Hello Traders.. This analysis is more brief but I get to the point with my bias and analysis. The Price level's are there.. We do have news super late in the NY session today as we have a Fed Speech so beware when holding your trades through to the next Daily candle. See you all in the next video
The Great Wall of 1.0805 Daily Level 🐼Enough to Stop the Risk-Off Sentiment? Daily Level 1.0805 may act as a temporary support level and we may observe a bounce and retracement early in the week here. During the first session of the week, Asian has observed some nice volatility off this Daily support level created on March 1st of this Month. 18 pips bounce already and I anticpate that by the end of New York session we will observe some sort of dead cat bounce after the freefall drop from the prior week. Target for a retracemnet is 1.08279 4hr zone. Retracements are a healthy part of a trending market but we don't have to bounce necessarily. We may very well just cntinue to drop towards our next siginifcant level and clear a 40 pips range down to Weekly Support level 1.0768.
Intro and monthly timeframe 0:0
Weekly timeframe 2:13
3:52 daily timframe
6:29 4hr timeframe
7:49 1hr timeframe
BTCUSDT. Correction or range?On the daily timeframe the market is consolidating sideways. A short vector of 7-8 is observed. It is not advisable to seek sales at the bottom of the range. It is advisable to look for purchases after the price interacts with the zone of 59000-61500 and a buyer emerges (result, spread, volume).
Multi year Breakout in SAPPHIRE foodsSAPPHIRE Food has given zero returns from last 2 years
Currently stock is trading near resistance
Stock has formed Ascending Triangle pattern which is Bullish pattern !!
If stock comes down then it may take support around 1300 levels.
Stock will give huge upside of 70-80% if it sustained above 1625 levels.
Thanks You !!
Disclaimer : We are not SEBI registered analyst. Do your own research before taking any investment decision.
Trading with the Risk-Off Sentiment 🐻📉 Hello Traders! Welcome back to another Top-Down Analysis of EurUsd. I've found that only trading 1 Pair/Instrument is a great way to reduce your risk exposure in the markets. There are a few reasons for this --- 1) I only have to pay attention to the news announcments for the -EUR & -USD 2) The currency pair has it's own nuances and characteristics that I may not understand If i were to trade many pairs.
3) It's session-session behavior is easier to follow since I'm only following 1 pair
With that said, Eur/Usd did decrease over the previous session as I anticipated and called out in the Analysis. This was for a few reasons.. Market sentiment has shifted to risk-off slightly due to increasing inflation and better than expected NFP jobs data (also boosts inflation). We also have interest rates in 2 days and there is uncertainty about that.. (even more of a reason to buy the safe haven dollar)
Next target for shorts is 1.08510.. In the meantime it is possible that we may pullback to 1.089 Daily resistance level that was created today for a last minute retest before more downside to come. I have a strong Bearsh bias leading up to interest rates here
0'0 intro and monthly timeframe
1:41 weekly timeframe
3:02 daily timeframe
517 4hr tiemfame
8:01 1hr timeframe
Red Previous Weekly Candle Vs Weak Usd Data🛡️⚔️Hello Traders.. Another new week of trading ahead. No news announcements to kick off the week so expecting some smooth price action. Monday's can move nicely as volatility is typically lower. It's during the end of the week when we observe more aggressive trends and thats when you can really let your winning trades run. Coming out of the Weekly candle closure from last week, we may observe a continuation of bearish momentum towards 4hr zone 1.0873 or the next daily support level 1.08516. We also should consider the weak data that came out for the USD on Friday.. Consumer sentiment and Manufacturing data both missed expectations and the Daily candle for Friday closed Bullish.. In this case we may observe an increase towards extreme level 1.090 flat.
0:0 Monthly Timeframe
1:14 Weekly timeframe
2:30 Daily timeframe
4:10 4Hr timeframe
6:48 1Hr timeframe
Weekly Price Review / EurUsd 2nd Week March 24'🏗️We Depreciated -46.4 Pips this week on EurUsd. This was due to profit taking from the increase in recent weeks, CPI data that wasn't favorable for the Federal Reserve's goals, and confluence with a Weekly Resistance Level 1.095. In this Analysis we begin by looking at how the Monthly and weekly timeframes pulled to the downside. We then go down to the 30 minute timeframe where we observe market structure and analyze how news releases impacted price behavior. We finish the analysis by breaking down price behavior on a session to session basis throughout the week.
0:0 Monthly timeframe and Introduction
1:19 Weekly Timeframe
2:10 daily timeframe
2:39 4hr timeframe
3:15 30m timeframe and Analysis
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Live Trades and Prime Trading Areas explainedIn the video I discuss a few live trades and the reasoning behind the entries. I also talk about the lead up price action that is important to note when managing the trades.
I then discuss the same basic concepts applied to price action on the DOW and where the prime entries were and reasons for them.
The basic concepts discussed are :
- Momentum
- Price Action
- Candle Analysis
- Multi-timeframe Analysis
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Yemi_Fx1 | Bearish Setup on GBPJPY GBPJPY is approaching an area of value in a corrective manner (Ascending channel).
If the third touch holds I'll be looking for an impulsive move downward followed by a 15min flag continuation pattern, with a verified entry signal at the Top of the flag (Risk entry type) or a Breakout and retest of the flag a
(reduced Risk Entry type).
SPG - Trade analysis & Multi-time frame confluenceThis video is more of a tutorial on why I took a short trade on SPG today. We fell out of our strong buying continuation channels with a rejection of HTF tapered channels and selling channels. Confirmation was the support from our more tapered buying algo and rejected of the bottom of our stronger buying algo (in addition to it lining up with our strong magenta selling channel)
Happy Trading :)
XAU - Understanding how to analyze Multiple Time FramesYes - This way of seeing price action works on any time frame and in any market -
Why? - Because it's using basic understanding of how the market works and utilizing these channels as a way to see the strength of buyers and sellers at any given price. In a way, it's a third eye (Price, Volume, Strength). Utilizing this alongside any indicators you'd like to add can lead you to real vision in the crazy and "unpredictable" world of trading.
I personally don't use any additional indicators aside from straight up Volume - and that's what works best for me. But if you can find confluence with any of the thousands of indicators out there, that's amazing and i'm sure you'll be able to find real success.
Hope this was helpful! And as always,
Happy Trading!
Eur/Usd March 24'... Risk on Sentiment? 🕶️Eurusd new monthly candle! The February monthly candle closed a bearish doji candle. This suggests that we may continue a bearish descent from the January monthly engulfing candle. At the same time it appears that price is respecting Weekly level 1.0763 and there is Risk-On Sentiment in the markets following optimistic Cad inflation data from 2 weeks ago. Apologies if this analysis was a bit scattered and have a nice day! 0:0 Intro and Monhtly timeframe
1:50 Weekly timeframe
3:31 Daily timeframe
3:51 back to Monthly to explain new monthly candle potential
5:10 back to daily timeframe
6:53 4Hr timeframe
8:16 1Hr timeframe
Attempted a brief analysis but ofc it ran longer than I would've liked :)
IGL will become multibagger after BreakoutIGL may give Huge Breakout !!
IGL is Making Hut pattern after an uptrend
Possibility of Breakout is huge because its a continuation pattern
We may see huge upside after breaking the resistance
If stock comes down we can see support is around 370-390 level
Breakout confirmation is above 480-500
Current price is around 450
Targets are around 900-950 level
Thanks !!
Disclaimer : We are not SEBI registered analyst. Do your own research before taking any investment decision.
CheckDot CDT/USDPossible great buy zone for CheckDot for long term hold. This insurance projects marketcap is ONLY 1,4 Million. I think this project is vastly underated. I'm looking for 20-100x for this hold in a few years. Patience is needed.
If price breaks the 200EMA zone, I'll take my calculated risk and wait for next big opportunity around 13 cents OR buy back if price gets back on top of the 200EMA zone.
As long as we have a DEFI which is has crazy amount of hacks, insurance will play a big part I believe.
Last year 2022 investors lost 3,8 BILLION due to crypto hacking.. That's a ridiculous amount.
Remember as this is a really small marketcap crypto it is quite illiquid.
Lets also check few things from weekly and monthly charts