Murreymath
EQUITIES NEAR MURREY MATH PIVOT: TRIPLE WITCHING FRIDAYPrice entering Buy Zone. Expect pivot within 3-5 trading days IMO. Falling Wedge formation, inverted H&S on Right Shoulder.
Friday will be daunting and may well mark the LOTM. September Triple Witch was ferocious, expect more same. Pivot likely Mon 18 Oct IMO.
This ain't investing advice, Do Due Diligence, GLTA!!
BITCOIN - LIGHTS OUT ! - The road to $14,000. Bitcoin was just dealt the most bearish chart pattern there is in my book : The upside flash. Huge move higher that has HFT written all over it, followed by a huge move downward, all in the span of a few hours. The FLASH. I have severely down graded BTC. We still bounce at $25,000 area, but we'll give it all back on the grinding road to $14,000. There are a few rescue moments that can occur in between, and I will map those out as I go. Sorry guys, better to know now that later right?
BTC UPDATE - DAY TRADE MODE This is in series of charts. Linked below.
Its a long trend with a few brief layup shorts. You cant be afraid of the short. Its 1/3 of your gains. And keep you from doing a lot of stupid things. Like buying the wrong highs. When you look for shorts for profit, your a much better hodler. Ask yourself who do you know that would be shorting these highs? If you don't know anyone. You do now. These are safe shorts. The stops are simply 1/8th move higher than the entry. And under no circumstances above any of the most recent local highs.
And rebuys are just a few volatile ticks back down. There are plenty of choppy waves coming for the next 2 weeks as we grind higher. Dont be afraid.
BTC - NEXT TOP - $25,400Here is a follow up to my last chart. We are in the 1st wave 4. Beginning to signal we are nearing the top. This is labeled 1. in yellow. The 2nd wave 4 , is in purple. And it will signal when we are within hours of the top. I expect it to come in around $25,400 and that it will over throw the frame. I will be long into $25,000 and short at $25,400.
BTC MOVING TO $23,433- $25,000I believe the consolidation for BTC has ended. And she is ready to move higher sooner than later. I expect that with in the next 12 hrs we will be knocking on the door of all time highs. And in 24-48 hours be well into new ATH territory. Arrival at $21,880 will begin some initial resistance, and the overlapping topps of an Elliot wave 4 type triangular pattern. It may take about 1 week to work thru that period, with the old ATH giving us a nice floor of support , or re entries for day traders. Arriving 1-2 weeks later at $23,400 - $25,100 target. At which point I would be a temporary seller.
XAUUSD GOLD Potential Correction- US Jobless Data comes better than forecast.
- XAU Speculative Long Positions Record High
- NFP Ahead
2040 is the key level.
Breakdown will carry the price 2000 and 1980 $
Technically:
Minor Cycle Retracement H4
H1 MM Resistance
Good Luck.
Note: Medium Term Target is unchanged 2080 - 2160 - 2200
XAUUSD Gold Update: H4 ButterflyOn the bigger picture, we have achieved our first target level.
As seen on the H4 chart
Price is printing a bearish harmonic pattern.
Potential retracement levels :
Murrey Math +1/8 1820
Murrey Math +1/8 1828
( I will wait for the Cycle Sniper confirmation )
Then we will focus on the red support line
Our Medium term target is 1861 $
Good Luck
CADJPY Update : Potential Bat Pattern D= 88.6 XA Retracement.
However, this can be a minor retracement only.
Looking at the Cycle Sniper 113 Extreme, we may see a further drop to 77.30
Wait for H1 C.Sniper confirmation
Breakdown of 78.12 MM 0/8 would invalidate the pattern.
AltBat 1.13 ext. can be used for re entry.
Good Luck
SP500 Technical Overview and Trade OpportunitiesTools and Calculations used in this analysis:
- Fibonacci Retracement
- Harmonic Readings
- Spearman's Rank Correlation
- Murrey Math Calculations / Fibonacci Gann
- Chart Patterns
- Fractals
1. MM4/8 H1 MM6/8 H4 - Key Resistance and Reversals in different time frames.
2. Spearman's Rank Correlator - H1 TF 14 / 20 P above 0.90
3. Fractal Resistance
Technical Conclusion:
Buy the potential breakout of the MM 4/8 and fractal resistance.
Sell the closing below MM4/8
Targets are mentioned on the chart.
Good Luck
EURUSD Update: Keep Shorting until SMA200 Trading Summary
- Bearish Black Swan pattern ( 1.13800 ) has achieved its structural target at 1.12000 where Fibonacci 0.618 Fan meets SMA 100.
- A fresh short trade at 1.12170 has achieved its first target 1.11680. ( M30 Chart Head & Shoulders Pattern)
Technical Overview and Levels
- The medium-term trend is still bullish as the EURUSD pair is trading above SMA200 ( 1.10500 ) on the H4 timeframe and EMA50 ( 1.10780 ) on the D1 timeframe.
- Harmonic Overview: H1 Chart Bullish ABCD and H4 Chart Bullish Three Drives can be used as a buying opportunity ( 1.11680 MM -1/8 ) however upside looks capped by SMA 100 and EMA50 AT 1.12300 – 1.12500.
- A potential retracement towards 1.12300 can be use as a selling opportunity.
- Closing below 1.11600 will send the price 1.11100 ( MM -2/8) and 1.10700 EMA50 D1.
- We need to see a firm closing below SMA200 ( 1.10500) to talk about medium-term trend shift – Bullish to Bearish –
- Closing Below SMA200 H4: Bullish White Swan
As mentioned on my DXY chart, a potential closing above 98.00 may help the trend change.
Any intraday opportunity will be posted on the channel.
Good Luck.
Ichimoku and Murrey Math -- A complete Trading System?Was just observing how prices react to murrey math lines and finding some impressive price action around these lines...
Ichimoku defines what is the equilibrum price levels and MML defines what is the price extremes. So when prices go to any extremes we should be ready fade the price back to equilibrium. Once the prices are in equilibrium meaning inside the cloud, we can then make use of ichimokus trend follwing method to trade..
Any comments are welcome...