Musk
Conservatorship MarsArticle
Free Britney! Er… I mean shackle SpaceX? It'd be difficult to find someone who hasn't heard about Pop Star Spears' unjust conservatorship granting her father total control of her life. However, finding someone who knows that companies can be put under conservatorships would be quite rare. Many would know of the two biggest companies that were put under federal conservatorship not more than 14 years ago. In the middle of the Great Financial Crisis, in late 2008, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were put under conservatorship. Their CEO and executive board immediately dissolved, and a government appointed administration took control. Just a few months before, a small bank was put under conservatorship to peel their healthy assets away from the toxic ones - IndyMac bank.
There is a Conservatorship, where the company is taken under control with temporary management to clean house until the company can be more privately handled. IndyMac Federal Bank (the conservatorship name of IndyMac) just ended theirs' with the sale to OneWest Bank, a division of First Citizens Bank. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's continues, likely indefinitely. And then there is a Receivership, where the company is taken under control with the explicit purpose of selling assets or closing the business entirely. It is likely this distinction becomes important as financial strains continue to develop in banking institutions, fixed income funds, and insurance groups.
Conservatorships happen all the time. Well, more frequently than most might guess. The National Credit Union Association has put two credit unions under conservatorship this year (and two more in involuntary liquidation). Last year's tally was four and four, respectively. Yet these are still rare events where most search results yield 2008's Fannie and Freddie as the top and loudest hit. With all the prominent anti-monopoly and pro-competition speak coming from both sides of the aisle, powered by numerous lawsuits across the country against some of the largest tech companies in the world - the word might come back.
There are many possibilities to explain Musk's behaviour over the last few months. The one I'd like to point to is the $1 billion dollar clause preventing him from reneging on a bad deal that has more financial implications than he thought through, a surprise assuredly. Everyone's gotten their enjoyment out of the Chancery court circus of Twitter v. Musk, and we might feast still. Musk's big announcement yesterday (10/20/22) of laying of 75% of Twitter staff is a bit too magnanimous to be taken as anything more than chucking a brick in a house of mirrors. The recession is just setting in, with more downturn left to go. A cut in staff is natural and predictable, 75% in one announcement is an extinction event.
But wait, there's more. If Elon Musk did have private conversations with Vladimir Putin or any official leader of Russia, and form agreements or discuss in of national security level importance details, he might be doing time. No surprise that shortly after Bremmer's story claiming Musk had private talks with Putin about events that might lead to an escalation to nuclear war, using Musk as the primary source, a second story about the FBI investigating the matter broke. Honestly, it's 50-50 whether Elon lied to Bremmer to give himself clout, or he really did talk with Putin. To condense this saga, SpaceX cut the Starlink network over Crimea and Russia's "occupied" territories, before quickly turning it back on with Musk making a twitter-tantrum about not getting paid for the system's use.
Where Elon Musk's behaviour might thwart an image of stability for a corporation, he runs quite a few. While most are little more than fancy, Tesla and SpaceX are becoming systemically important institutions. Elon Musk's purchase of Twitter should have always faced FDIC and DOJ resistance, and my hypothesis is that Musk wants to push that - in conjunction with Twitter's desire to re-neg the deal. Twitter may never get valued at $44 billion again, but Musk is working very hard to paint the picture that Twitter, the company, dies when it's his. Musk may have gone too far this time, even further than a $1 billion contract termination fee.
Conservatorship is the word. Actually, this author thinks "Person" is the word. Technically (the best -ally), it is these Delaware Code words, Delaware being the state of incorporation for all of Musk's companies:
(10) “Person,” except in the term “person who is incapacitated” or “protected person,” means an individual, corporation, business trust, estate, trust, partnership, limited liability company, association, joint venture, public corporation, government or governmental subdivision, agency, or instrumentality, or any other legal or commercial entity. -https://delcode.delaware.gov/title12/c039a/index.html
Musk's personal business should remain personal (at the least I don't want to hear it), where as there is a point where his professional business shouldn't. SpaceX is the most advanced Space Technology company in the world. Starlink is a globe-spanning satellite system rivaling most first-world countries. Tesla is the largest EV company with important technology for electrical grid infrastructure. Twitter is an important nexus of globalized communication. There is a point in time and importance that shenanigans go from too much, to done. The shadow of a mushroom cloud, even if a low probability, is right around that point.
A conservatorship could be as brief as removing Musk as CEO and instilling the President and COO, Gwynne Shotwell, as the acting-CEO. Or the government could take it's time and untangle all the threads that being the Space race ace gives them. While Starlink is a product that fit's SpaceX, massive satellite swarms tend to compete for money and SPACE. Forcing Starlink off SpaceX's books would enable other companies to bid for satellite delivery. This mimics recent Federal government regulations prohibiting internationalization of corporate activities, the same activities that allow tech companies to bubble their sales and assets on the back of accounting loopholes.
Musk might find himself the poster boy for it, but there are quite a few sectors and industries that benefit from conservatorship. Abbott labs made its own case clear on the backs of three dead toddlers from contaminated formula that led to a formula shortage that still hasn't fully resolved. While the media has been kind on the details, the event highlighted years of bribery and corruption by FDA officials monitoring the plant, as well as possible communications that showed an open culture of bribing government officials and ignoring safety issues at the highest levels of the company. In the game of probabilities, a conservatorship is towards the bottom of the deck, but maybe it shouldn't be.
Twitter Deal itself
The joy of this deal was that there were going to be oscillating periods for buying and selling into it. The Musk-Twitter deal is the right mix of stupidity to cause many more problems than anyone expected. First, it is increasingly likely that the US government stops this deal. If that were to happen, it is likely Musk would have to pay the $1 billion termination fee if his actions and behaviours were found to be at fault, i.e. Twitter must prove that the government stopped the deal because Elon Musk's actions. Second, it is increasingly like that Twitter the company wants out of the deal. Twitter doesn't have $1 billion to give to Musk, as they are likely to face steep cuts without the buy - but 75% is a tough thing to wake up to. There will be destruction to the integrity of the company that shows itself several years after lackluster development and growth - similar to Tesla.
I am staying 100% out of the Twitter deal at this point in time, but aggressive speculators may not for much longer.
TSLA next stop: MoonTesla have already tested the support more than once as we can see.
With the BB indicator we can see the candle crossing the upper line and going forward to a bullish trend .
We had also analyzed the Q3 earning report, and Tesla this quarter is much better than the Q2, we can see the assests is the biggest increase since last year, (57 834 millions to 74 426 millions) and the liabilities and equity had a increase but not very relevant, about 4 million.
And we can see in percentage the EBITDA is recovering from last Quarter with an increase of 0,6%
Since the Q2 2022 was the quarter with less vehicle deliveries, almost with the same values seen in Q3 2021.
We can also see the free cash flow chart where it show us a huge increase since 2Q 2022.
Investors drive Tesla lower after mixed Q3 earnings reportTesla shares were lower after their mixed earnings report, which is likely a combination of traders booking profits from the small pre-earnings bounce in a classic case of ‘buy the rumour sell the fact’. But who knows, perhaps investors are tiring of Elon Musk’s showmanship remarks, which today included expectations of a “record breaking Q4” and the potential for “Tesla to be worth mor than Apple and Apple and Saudi Aramco combined”. And it is hard not to be suspicious of the timing of such remarks looking at their YTD performance of -37% and him conceding that he’s overpaid for Twitter (but still “very excited”).
We outlined a multi-month bearish reversal pattern on the monthly chart in our previous article, and for now we'll focus on its potential to break lower over the coming day/s.
A triple top formed around $315, and Tesla has trended lower on the daily chart since. We saw an initial false break of the neckline last week with a bearish engulfing candle on high volume. But notice how volumes have again diminished over the past three days whilst prices bounced higher, which suggests it is a retracement.
Tesla has fallen to 210.35 during post-market trade, which is just above the bearish engulfing low. We are therefore simply looking for a break below $204 (or $200 for a more conservative approach) to assume a bearish breakout, with $180 making a logical target for bears as it is near the March 2021 low.
Given the significance of the March 2021 low then there is a strong possibility it will initially act as support. But keeping the monthly chart and reversal pattern in mind, the bias is for an eventual break below $179.83.
Tesla (TSLA) and its multi-month bearish reversal patternTesla shares were driven lower during after-hour trade following their Q3 earnings report, despite Elon Musk later touting a “record breaking Q4”. But let’s keep is simple and look at a potential multi-month reversal pattern on the monthly chart, and Tesla’s potential to break lower this week.
Sometimes you really need to stand back to admire the view, and the monthly Tesla chart is no exception. Given it has risen over 22,000% since the stock was listed (and over 3,400% since the 2019 low alone) the Y-axis has been converted to logarithmic scale.
A couple of things really stand out. Volume peaked in February 2020 and has trended significantly over the past three years. Moreover, volume has been below average these past four months as buyers continue to lose steam. A head and shoulders reversal pattern is also in the making, with prices currently finding support around the neckline. If we used a standard chart the H&S pattern would measure a target around -$50 (yes, minus) but the logarithmic chart projects a move around $100 – which is roughly half of where it currently trades, and more realistic.
Whether we see the break lower or not may take time to come to fruition, given it is a weekly chart, but it is certainly a pattern to keep an eye on regardless.
TSLA to test June`s lowElon Musk's purchase of Twitter may affect the TSLA Tesla amid demand concerns and stiff competition.
In order to to go ahead with $44 billion Twitter deal, Elon Musk most likely will sell more TSLA shares soon.
My price target for now is $209.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TWTR Musk Walks Out On $44 Billion BuyoutWhat i really believe is happening is Elon Musk wants a better price for Twitter, in the $44-45 area instead of the initial $54.50.
And he will get it. The earnings won`t be strong, we could even see revisions.
My buy area is between $31 and $34 and the buyout price $44.
i think you can win both ways if you play an option strangle with 6 months expiration date.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TESLA - Time to recharge batteries? Looking at Tesla from an Elliot Wave perspective shows a very bullish uptrend since inception of the stock itself. Corrections & Bear Markets are there to beat you down and make you want to give up, and once in a while we are do for a big one. Looking at the chart I see a completion of Macro wave III which started in June of 2019. This was a huge move for Tesla gaining approx. 3,350%. Yes you heard that right, so when we see a large pull back, we shouldn't question it.
The current correction can have many complex variations in Elliot Wave Theory, so far I see an ABC down complete, a correction up for wave (X), and now working on (Y) which should be in 3 waves as another ABC that could bring the price down to $138 as a 1:1 extension of wave A from top of wave (X). If it decides to go even deeper, suppose we have a drastic recession in the world markets including U.S., then the price is allowed to go as low as $28 or a 1.618 fibonacci retracement from wave B of (Y).
In a slightly more bullish view, suppose the elections get markets to have a bear market rally and prices start going up, then we have a possibility that we are still not done with wave B of (Y) show in red colored ABC. However, I see this rally too is likely to fail if it happens; in the end gravity will win brining Tesla down somewhere in the support box (area outlined). Here, a longterm probable bottom as well as a reversal to the upside is likely.
Cheers,
TESLA Shorts - US Stocks FallingTSLA W1
Much higher timeframe analysis here, but looking at a few top US stocks comprised int he 500 to try and marry up some relevant support lows from the next likely bear cycle we are due to expect.
This could take us in to the new year, or maybe sooner, speculative analysis, but worth indicating zones, regardless the DCA principle will apply to the long term investment positioning.
🔥Does Bitcoin follow the script? Elon Musk's manipulations?Greetings to all readers. As has been repeatedly noted, most people are not used to paying attention to the little things. However, it is this action that distinguishes them from those who strive for a much greater understanding of the market.
I am publishing this idea so that you can all realize that sometimes original, non-classical methods of analysis can bring very good results. Gradually, more and more people are delving into the issue of market manipulation in one way or another.
For those who are interested in how this is all determined, I will say a few words below, the rest may skip this information.
each date must be viewed from all sides and find clues in the form of numerical patterns that belong to the "red" group.
In this case, I determined this date as a correction date based on the connection with the manipulative number (see gematria in the screenshot). Remember these numbers.
I want to say that this has nothing to do with "numerology" as you are used to seeing it. And the correction is not happening because "the numbers wanted it that way." There are deeper processes, and this is just the tip...
TSLA LONG Cup and Handle Bullish ContinuationOn the daily chart, TSLA has formed a cup and handle beginning about May 5th, the prior
reported earnings, The cup portion completed with the recent earning about August 5th
while the handle is completed this week.
The cup is about $280 in height/depth while the time duration is about 90-95 days in
duration. This predicts a bullish continuation from the current market price of about the same
value making a target of $1190 before the next earnings in 80 days. Making
for a 30 % ROI over the same time. ( The uptrend and downtrend of the cups are
supported by relative volume as seen on the indicator.)
For a better understanding of the cup and handle pattern, see this excellent explanation
and discussion by GMEvsSPY
(link by permission)
Tesla holds Bitcoin worth $222BTL;DR Breakdown
Tesla has stayed one of the biggest Bitcoin financial backers as it has shared its Bitcoin worth in SEC documenting.
It had sold 75% of its Bitcoin possessions as of late, impressively diminishing it.
As per the SEC recording, Tesla holds Bitcoin worth $222 billion.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk has been one of the principal reasons Bitcoin saw an enormous worth expansion lately. However, Musk's relationship with Bitcoin didn't go on as he declared his help for Dogecoin. The progressions have impacted Bitcoin speculations due to its utilization. These progressions have come about because of the referenced organization's no more acknowledgment of Bitcoin. All things being equal, it has reported help for DOGE and its utilization to buy stock and different items.
As of late, a similar organization declared the offer of its Bitcoin speculations. As indicated by the authoritative declaration, it has sold over 75% of its Bitcoin possessions. Numerous experts were pondering about their Bitcoin possessions after this impressive decline. A new SEC documenting has unveiled the subtleties of the amount BTC it claims.
Here is a short outline of the subtleties of Tesla's SEC recording and its Bitcoin worth.
Tesla and its Bitcoin speculations
Tesla had made news in view of its extraordinary interest in Bitcoin. As per its true declaration, it had put $1.5 billion in Bitcoin in February 2021. The outcome was a flood of Bitcoin requests, raising its cost esteem. The flood for Bitcoin went on till the end quarter of 2021 when it approached the $70K mark. The next months saw changes in its worth as the market stayed unsound.
The last blow came from a downturn because of the international circumstance, making a financial emergency. From that point forward, Tesla has seen an impressive lessening in the worth of its Bitcoin speculations. The outcome was a choice to off-stack this weight as it could cost more as the financial circumstance declined. The over-half fall in Bitcoin esteem recommends that the vehicle-making organization has lost an impressive sum.
As it of late offered Bitcoin because of the negative market, it made $936 million in government-issued money. Musk's choice to sell Bitcoin has been one of the primary reasons virtual entertainment clients have rushed to crypto ventures. Some even named it a double-crossing as he left the market however he was the person who pulled in financial backers.
The new offer of Bitcoin and its ongoing worth
Tesla has documented its subsequent quarter (Q2) report to the Securities and Exchange Commission. The report shares the total subtleties of its Bitcoin action. As per the report, Tesla is said to have lost $170 billion because of market changes. While it had the option to make gains of $64 billion on its sure changes of Bitcoin to government-issued money. It had bought Bitcoin at $32K while selling a portion of its possessions in Q1 of 2021.
Tesla has said that it holds other advanced resources other than Bitcoin. However it hasn't named the resources it holds, it has acknowledged that it holds DOGE. Tesla's conveying worth of computerized resources is about $218 billion. Bitcoin esteem has vacillated throughout the previous few weeks, and the worth of these advanced resource properties could have expanded.
Musk had said in an explanation that the justification for their offer of Bitcoin was China's Covid lockdowns. Likewise, he said that they hadn't sold their Dogecoin property. The ongoing circumstance will lastingly affect Bitcoin, as it saw when Tesla bought a colossal measure of Bitcoin.
End
Tesla, the vehicle-making organization, has uncovered its Bitcoin possessions in a new SEC documenting. It shared the subtleties of the computerized resource possessions in the Q2 report. The subtleties show that it has Bitcoin property worth $222 billion. It shows that the organization is yet a critical investor in Bitcoin. While it additionally has other computerized resources that are not determined in the report.
LIKE COMMENT AND SHARE.............
Twitter: Musk abandons deal - Have the Bulls abandoned it too?Twitter - Short Term - We look to Sell at 38.32 (stop at 41.62)
This stock has recently been in the news headlines. This has resulted in the medium term bias being for lower levels. We have a Gap open at 38.32 from 07/07/2022 to 08/07/2022. There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 31.70 and 30.00
Resistance: 38.32 / 39.51 / 41.29
Support: 34.39 / 32.52 / 31.70
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Follow the eye @elonmusk @BillyM2kPrices going up and down: it's called "price fluctuation" and use to be driven by financial speculation. Prices and rates change as supply or demand changes. If something is in demand and supply begins to shrink, prices will rise. If supply increases beyond current demand, prices will fall. If supply is relatively stable, prices can fluctuate higher and lower as demand increases or decreases.
In the chart there are 2 Median Lines and 1 Fan - Dr. Alan H. Andrwes style - and... a smiling dog!
Maybe U can use the levels in this chart to track the future price fluctuations.
Enjoy!
This chart Update of
and
Trading Idea - #TwitterMy trading idea for Twitter - sell/short
Target: 33.00 USD
Stop: 47.50 USD
RRR (Risk/Reward Ratio) is 1 due to high volatility!
It looks like Twitter has become dependent on Elon Musk. The billionaire Tesla CEO recently made a 44 billion offer to buy Twitter. From a shareholder's perspective, that's a tempting offer considering Twitter has only made a profit in 2 of the last 10 years.
The business has stalled or is even at risk. In a company report, Twitter wrote that only less than 5% of its users are fake accounts. Musk wants proof of these claims and has put the deal on hold for now, but continues to express interest in the acquisition.
The technology sector has fallen a lot lately, and the sell-off doesn't seem to be over yet. I guess Musk is planning this move on intention to be able to buy the shares cheaper later on.
If Elon Musk decides to cancel the offer entirely, he will have to pay a sum of 1 billion US dollars.
TSLA - BKWe're buying Jan 19 2024 Leaps for this bloated bovinity.
Eron will be sacrificed to the Alter of Mass Delusion.
Thankfully the serial predator whose frauds date back
decades will be train wrecked into the South Sea Bubble
and john Law of his time.
It will happen.
Load up for BK, it's not going to take long.
Muskrat love?
Nah... dude needs to be wrecked.
Real economy beating expectations yet markets trading in red 🤔INVESTMENT CONTEXT
President Vladimir Putin said that Russia was not blocking Ukrainian wheat from being exported, and that the grain could be dispatched via ports controlled either by Russia or Ukraine. Before the war, Russia and Ukraine accounted for ca. 29% of international annual wheat sales
U.S. economy added 390,000 jobs in May, beating analyst expectations (325,000) and showing resilient real economy in the face of rampant inflation and higher interest rates
Crude oil inventories in the U.S. fell to 414.7 million barrels in the wake of strong demand, yet limiting chances of further releases to cool domestic energy prices
Goldman Sachs COO John Waldron followed JPMorgan's CEO Jamie Dimon saying “This is among if not the most complex, dynamic environment I’ve ever seen in my career". On a similar tone, in a leaked Tesla email, Elon Musk cited having a "super bad feeling" about the economy as the main reason for shedding 10% of the company's workforce
PROFZERO'S TAKE
When good news are met with S&P 500 dropping more than 1.50%, and Nasdaq doing even worse at 2.47% in the red, we know something is off. That's what happens when bears are in control, and policy makers are desperate to understand how far can they move with tightening before the backlash. A remarkably strong U.S. economy just added 390,000 jobs in May, beating analyst expectations and reassuring the Fed it could maintain the trajectory of 50bps rate hikes in July and August. ProfZero clearly welcomes Main Street's resilience and rising wages - yet, as anticipated in Step99 podcast, it cautions against the forward-looking effects of monetary policy vs. the actual state of the economy. As pointed out by The Economist, "A recession in America by 2024 looks likely" - today's strength of the real economy may at best soften its blow
Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser sees "three R" whiplashing EU economy - rates, Russia and recession, this latter happening in Europe ahead of the U.S. because of "the energy side (...) really having an impact". ProfZero has made energy a key theme of this Parlay, with potentially more decisive effects on the real economy than monetary policy. With Brent testing again USD 120/boe and fading cushion inventories from the U.S., it is hard to imagine how the EU will cope with the next cold season without rationing output, hence slashing GDP growth. Regasification plants and last-generation nuclear are definitely tools of the future; but by then, are seaborne imports going to be enough?
Equities are definitely off the lows witnessed in April and early May - perhaps Musk's "super bad feeling" and Mr. Dimon's "hurricane" are rather looming on the real economy? Not an inch less worrying...
BTC once again confidently breaking up the mid-term triangle pattern and trying to regain 32k after trading below 30k on June 4-5 - and yet ProfZero's eyes are set on the lurking death cross on 200MA
PROFONE'S TAKE
After sharing about lithium and nickel, ProfOne completes the overview of rare minerals that are crucial for the production of batteries setting its eyes are on cobalt. Cobalt prices soared from USD 30k/ton in January to USD 52k in May - on top of the 2x surge in 2021 vs. 2020. According to the Cobalt Institute, in the next five years cobalt demand is expected to hit 320k/ton, up from 175k/ton in 2021. ProfOne argues that meeting such demand won’t be operatively easy. For once, cobalt is yet another highly concentrated resource: about 70% of world’s cobalt comes from the Democratic Republic of Congo, where production is dominated by Chinese companies and commodities trader Glencore (GLEN). Adding to it that world's second supplier of cobalt is Russia, the metals puzzle turns out to be a fairly intricate one