COTD - 23/04 USDMXNToday we are revisiting the USDMXN Daily chart, in a previous COTD back in February we looked at the Daily price action and what was a potential shorter-term set up (take a look here.
The Shorter-term set-up didn't pan out on the back of a weaker dollar and more exotic shift on the back of this. But as the Dollar films a little bit we are going to revisit as the longer-term set up still stands.
Taking a look at the chart we can see the price is still very much contained between the two trendlines, the one we are more focused on currently is supporting bullish trendline.
As we can see currently, the price is sitting on top of this particular trend line and it looks like we finding some support here, especially as the Dollar Index ticks higher.
Something else of note is the Analyst forecasts for the USDMXN rate throughout 2019. With on average, Analysts forecasting the USDMXN to end the second quarter of 2019 at $19.24 and then on to $19.47 at the end of the third quarter.
FX:USDMXN
Mxn
USDMXN Back at the powerfull supportWe are back at the support, as a trader I trade in low risk to high reward so for me this is a buy situation.
If it fails to break the support and go up -> WIN
If it breaks support and goes down -> SMALL LOSS
My green zone is a bit higher because of the spread, if you wanna enter a trade wait for it to be ~300.
Cheers everyone have a nice easter!
Yearly lows set in place for USDMXNHere we can look from a bird's eye view and see that this is likely still a large triangle taking place.
We are testing the minimum targets of a 5 wave sequence from November highs. It is very possible that this can start forming a base at current levels since the target has been reached however extensions below come in at 18.53.
The likelihood of a base forming will increase if we trade above resistance at 19.20, this will give confidence and unlock 19.47 and 20.4 for initial targets in the triangle.
A very interesting cross to track over the coming Months and Quarters. Best of luck all trading it live.
USDMXN: Long term Buy opportunity.The dominant long term pattern on USDMXN is a Triangle on 1M (total neutrality with RSI = 52.546, ADX = 27.968, Highs/Lows = 0.0000). 1D is on a Higher Lows sequence, which this 1M Triangle has show that it leads to a bullish break out. We are long with TP = 20.25000.
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BRLMXN has plenty of upside...Here we have a very wide ABC in play with the C leg finishing at 7.25 - 7.28.
From a technical perspective, the market has presented a flawless 5 wave impulsive move with a three wave retracement. Those who are betting on the upside will be coming in here at the 38.2% level at 5.09; and we can expect a continuation.
There is scope here for as high as 7.25-7.28... here actively working a lot on the buy side in Brazil.
Best of luck, hope this helps and lets see how it goes.
USDMXN breaks SHS neckline, 2000+ pips targetThe support around 19.20 failed to stop the downward pressure in USDMXN, with the pair breaking below the neckline of an SHS pattern.
The pattern suggests a target at around 18.94, but I would prefer to follow a more conservative approach and aim at 19.00 instead, which also aligns with a rising trendline support.
USDMXN Double Bottom and inverse H&S?I have been watching this one the past days to see if the double bottom would play out or not. Now the small inverse H&S on the left, could be the confirmation of that pattern. If that neckline breaks and we see a good rally, the chances will increase a lot. If this H&S fails, that green support could still keep it alive, but below that support, it will become less likely.
Previous analysis: