2 FX Shorts with excellent oddsStarting with the pair which makes no sense at current levels, considering the most meager of rate differentials at +2.5% , were it not for the SNB's deranged policy of "supporting the Swiss Franc as an inflation fighting measure" (while Swiss inflation is barely holding at 2%!) and with the Swiss Franc already at nose-bleed levels.
CHFJYP; a 50 year SHORT in the making;
The main chart is the MXNJPY - SHORT , also the premier carry-trade - while equities are trying to cling to the remnants of an already burst bubble.
While the Bank of Mexico has increased the rate differential (versus the static Yen) two-fold, in short order, that rate differential remained the same since 03/2023 while this pair continued on it's upward trajectory an additional 16%, incidentally inline with the SP500's identical increase during the same period;
Both of these pairs are at multi-year technical confluences, both pressing against significant resistance and showing distinct patterns of reversal. SHORT & SHORT
Mxnjpyforecast
MXNJPY - (massive) SHORT!The BoJ, if anything, made it's "guidance" even murkier (as if that were anyway possible) with it's most recent policy announcements. E.g., let's just say that the Yen, currently residing just below the miner-frog's hind quarters, has a better chance to start working it's way higher than otherwise. Simultaneously, the Mexican Peso, having just completed a couple of moon-shots (versus the ZAR and the USD, among others) is well positioned for a pause for the cause to catch it's breath.
This pair, being one of the premier carry-trades, is also a prime Short candidate to coincide with the much anticipated global equities weakness.
Waiting on a Daily Reversal or to see whether this pair finds in itself to make a final push for the Stop Hunt at 8.72. (Don't bet on it!)
Look for a Short Entry , anywhere here, with a short target around 6.50 ( ~25%).
(... the completed cypher is on the Monthly(!), i.e., it is very powerful!)
Here is the 480 min.;
MXNJPY $MXNJPY Initial Long (extremely high risk)MXNJPY $MXNJPY Initial Long (extremely high risk). This isn't even a tradable pair for most, but it's worth posting anyway. It's been chopped to h*ll the last few signals, let's see if we can pull out a win here. TP and SL on chart. Move SL on TP. After TP2, trail with 0.5ATR step and 1.5ATR offset.