In July, most markets reached their peak, followed by a three-day global meltdown after the Bank of Japan announced a 25 basis point rate hike. Since then, all have recovered, but only the Dow Jones has surpassed its July high, while the others have not. AI and tech stocks, particularly those in the Nasdaq, have lost their shine compared to traditional stocks...
This is a classic bull market—smooth and trendy. However, it has become a cautious bull, moving within a much wider range, similar to what we observed after March. Especially in July and August: For the Nasdaq, it was down by 17%, but it has since recovered within a two-month period. Is this good or bad? It really depends on how we've positioned ourselves. If...
In my preceeding posts, I'm actually "bullish" on equities in the fourth quarter. SPX ES - Welcome To The Fourth Quarter Rodeo Nasdaq Futes - You Wanted a Dip For That 'Santa Rally,' Aye? And while I think this price action, coming on the back of news that the US Treasury will "only" issue $10 billion more worth of bonds this quarter (compared to like...
The last ten days of price action produced a retrace of significant magnitude that was very kind to institutional friends who were net long from early June. That is to say, what has transpired since all three indexes took their January of 22 failure pivot levels in early July has been more consistent with an optimal short entry combining with a bull trap,...
For whatever reason, the thing about traders is they don't like to go short and they don't like to buy puts. This is primarily because of being conditioned by the market makers during bull runs and bull impulses that it's just literally lighting money on fire. And so once a real correction begins, some people buy the dip the entire way down, averaging down,...
In reading the title of this post, I'm sure you can tell what I want to say. Since the new habit is to guffaw and lmao at any thesis that isn't bullish, because "we" all "know" US equities "always go up" and a new all time high is "in store," I'd like to point out the Nasdaq already shows signs of having topped. That July 20, 2023 candle was some 2%+ in range...
Shorting MYM based on ICT London session Silver bullet. Grab of liquidity, break of structure to the downside. MYM is the weakest, many targets below.
In this post I would like to remind everyone of two critical points: 1. Overall market fundamentals are not very good because the situation in the whole world right now is not very good. The Millennial-themed Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) was ultimately little more than a pretext to drop economic stimulus under because the economy was already #rekt in...
I have to point out once again that, despite all the bearish fundamentals, market price action is simply not a bear market. You see this so clearly on SPX's monthly bars: During the worst of October, all the market was really doing was retracing to the two-month late 2020 orderblock that ultimately led to the 4,800 ATH. Price has since retraced and the...
In my recent calls, I have made predictions for Apple to set new all time highs, Tesla to print at least $250 again, and Nasdaq to 14,000. However, whenever price action fails to follow suit with expectations, one must revise, revise, and revise again the situation at hand. With this week's price action topping on Tuesday after what should have been a...
The truth is that a difficult market will forge a trader (assuming you stay solvent, lol), whereas markets like the 2020-2021 bull run, which everyone so desires to reappear, do not. There is nothing to achieve by buying calls at literally any point, whether high or low, and watching it immediately turn green and run for days. Of course, a lot of people still...
"Show me the weekly charts and I'll show you the news" For MYM/ Dow Jones we have a clear market structure being formed with lower highs and lower lows with a distinct trend line. There is still bearish news with inflation until December at least for the feds, the market is showing signs that we are preparing to go short for the next month or so. If we close...
A kangaroo tail printed on March 26th, 1929 because the banks tried to save the 4 year bull run. Simple.
Dow Jones looks bullish on the D chart. Good time to get in long. All descriptions of my analysis are on the chart. Comment your thoughts below
je anticipe les contrat de futures sur dow jons la baisse dés ces prix car on a une distribution et une manupilation istitutionelen haut
The stock indices all broke below the prior sessions lows to make new lows for the week. But I noticed a few signs that made me pick up some micros long (MES, MNQ, KYM, M2K) right before the 5pm EST close. Long MES 4385 Long M2K 2152 Long MYM 34822 Long MNQ 14827 $150 risk per position
TF: 1 Hr Looks like it might trade down a bit, I would like to see a retest of the upper end of the trend line for a short sell. I don't particularly like shorting indices, but it looks like it has some downside potential
find a good demand zone in the breakout segment with at least a 2-1 and if 1-1 hits, move stop loss to break even and let profits run, if price drops below recent HL then uptrend has been broke on the 4HR and no trade taken