USDJPY WEEKLY TRADE Hello traders
I'm looking for a 50% retracement after falling from the high of 151.946 and the low of 127.227.
My trading strategy isn't intended to be used as a signal service. It's a process of gaining knowledge of market structure and improving my trading abilities.
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Nakedchartanalysis
USOIL WEEKLY TRADEHello
Last week's price broke the level of consolidation at 81.44, so let's see if 77.76 will hold or if it will drop to 71.
Share your thoughts
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XAGUSD WEEKLY TRADE IDEAHi trader
Silver ends with a low of 17.55 after breaking consolidation at 21.66. There was a lot of liquidity between buyers and sellers between 24.6 and 24.30, and the price is currently close to the 0.764 fibo retracement.
so, I intend to sell, with 21.66 as my first target. ratio 1 : 2
Share your thoughts
My trading strategy isn't intended to be used as a signal service. It's a process of gaining knowledge of market structure and improving my trading abilities.
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GBPJPY - 4 HR Projection and Analysis Just a couple of options i have drawn out for GJ. There are obviously many more ways price can move here. But these are just the main couple i am anticipating.
Also note that the depths and amounts of retracements may vary - making it seem that there are way more options for price to travel but they are all pretty much the same - As long as the direction continues in the same manner and the pullbacks react at significant areas, i am not too worried.
As long as my anticipated direction and behavior reflects the actual behavior on the charts, I am not fixated on price hitting the exact numbers like 158.500 etc. I just have those as a rough guide or area.
When price hits those areas i will then readjust and re-assess my perspective and analysis. 😊
AUDJPY - 1Hr Analysis and Projection updateHey guys,
Just an update on AJ. These are a couple of the options i have drawn out as my biases. I am completely aware that price can continue bearish, and that price can also not retrace at all and continue bullish.
If I am looking to enter, I need price to retrace to either of those key levels inside the FIB and then give me confirmations. This retracement will put me in the best overall position to buy with minimal risk.
It just makes more sense for price to go long to me for a few reasons:
1. Its trending in a bullish channel - Traders are caught that these channels play out perfectly every time and to treat them the same and enter at a break and retest or whatever they are taught. This thing looks too pretty and too perfect - and i always say whenever something looks too good to be true it usually is. So, it's just accumulating liquidity at this point and its getting ready to remove everyone from the market.
2. Because of this channel - Everyone and their dog is selling from the top of it causing the overall sentiment for AJ to be bearish. Its 69% bearish at this point, so it makes so much more sense for the market to target all of these sellers first. If it still wants to drop after that and continue bearish it can - but it's definitely not going anywhere bearish until it raids liquidity and manipulates price.
3. The Daily and weekly - Like i said before look - like a perfect 'Head and shoulders' - which means its luring all the new pattern traders in and accumulating them over time. Again - If you were ever taught that a H&S means only reversals and sells, I suggest you get a lobotomy and forget that info ASAP as they are one of the biggest liquidity traps in the market. Well, if you know how to trade them, they aren't. But because of the way they are taught - they end up blowing everyone's accounts. Including mine for my first year of trading. 🙃
These are just my personal biases, and I am aware that price can do many more things - But this is the only thing that i am looking for in terms of me entering. If it does something different i will adjust my perspective and my analysis accordingly. If you are bearish or have a completely different perspective to me and your charts look totally different, do not second guess yourself because I could be the one that is wrong, and price may play out the way you want. Be confident in your analysis and your skill and don't second guess yourself.
It took me 3 years to be able to finally come on here and share my ideas because I was so easily influenced, and I would always look at other people's charts and think i was the one who was wrong and i would think i wasn't good enough to be a trader - Only to enter the other persons trade and copy their analysis and it would hit SL and price would go the way I had originally drawn out!! So just always trust in your analysis and be confident in yourself always and that is honestly a large part of this journey.
GJ - 1 Hr Projection and AnalysisI am leaning towards more of a bullish projection but I'm not sure yet it's too early to tell and I do not trade on Mondays.
It looks so indecisive at the moment, so I need to wait for price to break out and show me what it wants to do. Don't forget we are stuck in choppy and unclear behavior at the moment, especially on the higher Tfs, so I am not looking to force any trades. I need clear and concise price action and behavior before i even think about putting my capital at risk.
For me to take a trade i have pointed out what I would like price to do as that would give me the best position possible for buys.
If it does not retrace back to my Point of interest i will not be trading it this week or at all until it gives me something significant to work off.
I honestly just used to force trades for the sake of it and I also felt like if I wasn't actively taking trades, it meant I wasn't that i wasn't 'working' - but boy was I proven wrong. You should never over-trade or force trades if you are not 110% convinced it has a high probability or working out according to your strategy or trading plan because 9 times out of 10, it will hit your stop loss or blow your account.
So just remember if your pair/s are not giving you enough confirmations or are abiding by your trading plan/strategy - do not trade them because you WILL lose your money. Your trading plan is there to protect and guide you.
Once again - this is just what I would personally like from GJ this week and if it doesn't give me what I want I will trade AJ or not trade at all until i am satisfied with the market conditions for either or each pair :)
GJ - WEEKLY PROJECTIONSimilar to my previous post on the Monthly.
These are my HTF projections So obviously, there's not much detail on them but I am a swing trader and I like to project from the monthly downwards as there is a lot that is missed if you don't analyze from the monthly down in my opinion.
I have deleted the monthly fib because it clutters my chart but keeping this in mind you can see its reacted at the monthly fib and now, we are currently sitting at the weekly/daily fib to go bullish. Also - If anyone has ever told you that a 'head and shoulders pattern' is great for determining reversals, make sure you go get a lobotomy and forget it ASAP because they are one of the biggest Liquidity Raids/Price Manipulation setups you will ever find and rarely ever play out like your courses tell you.
Just like AJ - It looks too pretty and too perfect to continue as a 'Head and shoulders' into a downtrend. I would be very surprised if it did, and the only way I could ever see it doing that is if it has a massive liquidity raid and manipulates everyone out of the market before reversing and becoming bearish.
But - I never say never because anything is possible, and you have to always keep an open mind otherwise you will never make money in these markets.
At the moment - its looking like GJ is accumulating sellers because most sellers are taught to sell when they see a 'Head and shoulders'. I'm thinking it will temporarily trend bearish into the lower fib to remove liquidity first before it reverses to continue bullish after removing all buyers.
Don't forget that the weekly/monthly Fib has not been touched yet so I'm waiting for price to trend bullish to fulfill it. From there we have a few options but i will assess and adjust as the week goes on. It may trend bullish, hit the Fib and retrace to remove more liquidity and then either tank or continue bullish removing all sellers and also fill that imbalance to the left. Thats what i would like to see but it's way too early to tell.
:)
GJ - DAILY PROJECTION + ANALYSISFor me to enter i would need GJ to come down and hit the current fib and 158.500 or 157.500 to buy it up.
At 164.500 I'll need to assess what price wants to do to there because it can drop from there or it can retrace temporarily and fake everyone into selling at that fib only to continue bullish and raid everyone's stop losses. (I would if I was a bank)
This is probably my 1st choice of outcome as it just screams pure evil and hedge funds. Now as you can see - there are 2 bullish options and they both just depend on the depth of the retracement at the fib.
Basically, it depends on how pissed off the banks are on a Monday morning (today). If they feel like running everyone out of the market, they will flood the market and cause that deep retracement at about 156.500 or 157.500 or lower and THEN continue bullish.
Or they will only cause a shallow liquidity raid and let some of us live at roughly 162.500 or slightly lower and then continue bullish.
Remember - whatever I say here is not verbatim.
ANYTHING and everything can happen. I am always re assessing and readjusting my analysis's - as some of my projections will change mid-week and I'll then have a new projection depending on how price plays out and also depending on this week's news as there's a lot. (I don't trade news)
I will say this again and again - you MUST adapt to the market. Just because your projection at the beginning of the week says one thing it doesn't mean you need to stick to it just to prove to everyone on trading view and on your Instagram that you are 'right'. You will end up losing all your money and end up deleting your insta and blocking everyone.
During the week, if your analysis plays out differently to your Sunday projection so be it! Who cares if your wrong? Change it and adapt to the market conditions and be confident.
That is the difference between professional and amateur traders. There is no shame in being wrong in your analysis. What's wrong is being stubborn and wanting to always be right just to prove a point. The market doesn't give a f*ck if you are right or wrong it will just eliminate you with everyone else. The traders who adapt and evolve with the market conditions are the ones that make it and thrive. The sooner you can do that, the sooner you will make money consistently. :)
Weekly Outlook - AUDUSD - Smart MoneyWeekly Outlook FOREXCOM:AUDUSD - Smart Money Concepts
This week I would expect a pullback on the 4hr time frame and the possible setup for a swing reversal on the daily chart.
Daily:
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4hr
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GBPJPY WEEKLY UPDATE Hi trader
The GBPJPY is still moving within the consolidation area between the lowers 155.350 and the high 162.222.
The market ended the weekend with a high of 161.802 and a low of 159.587.
Therefore, if this price goes up next week, it could break the consolidation and close at 163.
My trading strategy isn't intended to be used as a signal service. It's a process of gaining knowledge of market structure and improving my trading abilities.
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XAUUSD : WEEKLY TRADE PLAN There hasn't been a pullback on the weekly chart since the downtrend structural breach at 1820. I'm therefore aiming at the 1852 level of the 50% fibo retracement.
My trading strategy isn't intended to be used as a signal service. It's a process of gaining knowledge of market structure and improving my trading abilities.
Like and subscribe and happy trading to all
XAUUSD WAITINGThis is my opinion of xauusd. Can the CPi break the weekly trendline and stay above 1712.665, or will the trendline hold?
My trading strategy isn't intended to be used as a signal service. It's a process of gaining knowledge of market structure and improving my trading abilities.
Like and subscribe and happy trading to all