Nakedforex
bat pattern fails to deliver an extended shortOn a fundamental basis, the US economy has shown relative strength to its developed peers. Specifically, in the comparison vs Japan, US GDP has shown a growth of 1.9% vs the last reported number for Japan of -0.3%, confirming long term trend of weakness of yen vs us dollar and the uptrend of USDJPY.
Technically we seem to be on a consolidation area, exasperated by a disappointing GDP number on Friday, although it failed to signal a trend reversal even when when a bat pattern was signaled.
Possible longs at 115.40 and new shorts at 114.704.
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Sources I've used to study technicals
Naked Trading Part 1: How to Trade Price Action Trends
www.youtube.com
7 Characteristics of Consistently Profitable Traders
www.youtube.com
Harmonic Trading Scanner
www.shamanforeignexchange.trade
Harmonic Trading Volume 1 by Scott Carney
www.forexfactory.com
Possible short on GBPUSDSince the USD has seen stronger gains last week, and the long term macroeconomic outlook for the US is of further growth and therefore strength of the USD, we could be seeing a generalized comeback to the uptrend in the USD and the downtrend in GBPUSD. Im biased to a short on the GBPUSD specially since the UK is growing at 0.6% and the US at 1.9%.
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Sources I've used to study technicals
Naked Trading Part 1: How to Trade Price Action Trends
www.youtube.com
7 Characteristics of Consistently Profitable Traders
www.youtube.com
Harmonic Trading Scanner
www.shamanforeignexchange.trade
Harmonic Trading Volume 1 by Scott Carney
www.forexfactory.com
EURUSD 1D Naked Forex TradingEURUSD is currently trading within a Potential Reversal Zone (Major support level).
We expect price to turn bullish in the near-term before hitting our TP 1, which is a resistance level. If price was to break further through the green trend line, we would expect it to move towards TP 2.
If price does not break TP 1, we expect it to continue on its downtrend towards Potential Reversal Zone 2, where another bounce may occur back to Zone 1.
A break through Potential Reversal Zone 1 would open up a short play towards Potential Reversal Zone 2.
EUR/USD - Strong Bearish Engulfing Candle Signaling BreakoutA very powerful bearish engulfing candle formed today on EUR/USD. There seems to be an overall bearish sentiment forming on all Euro pairs. This signal looks nice forming below resistance at (1.4400) and being significantly more powerful then any of the consolidation we have seen over the past week or so. Looking for a tight 1:2 RR if possible, but playing this conservatively considering we are currently range bound in the big picture
GBP/USD - Hightest Candle Forming Right Shoulder On IntradaysTidy little hightest candle on some strong resistance which on the intraday charts is setting up a nice right shoulder to complete a head and shoulder pattern. Lots of room on my stop stop loss to leave room ahead of NFP.
- Perfect hightest candle on 1D
- On resistance on 1.4400
- Head and shoulder pattern on 4hr
- With trend
- 1:2.75 RR
- Hybrid trade
- Safe stop loss ahead of NFP
USD/JPY - Bearish Engulfing Candle Retesting Trend LineA great bearish engulfing candle formed on a nice retest of a long term bullish trend line after breaking through back on 03/17/16.
Intraday charts showing bullish pressure being broken down and the bears completely taking over.
Easy 1:1 RR to the recent lows and from there price could dip all the way to 106.00 for closer to 5:1
NFP coming up can stir up some concerns, but im trading this completely technical.
AUD/JPY - Bearish Engulfing Candle On Strong Trend LineStrong Beairsh engulfing candle breaking past 4hr chart phase line on AUD/JPY. Add to that this happening on both strong resistance and long term bearish trend line, it's a match made in heaven.
- Bearish Engulfing Candle 4hr
- Rebound of long term bearish trendline
- On strong resistance at 86.500
- Lots of room for good RR
EUR/CHF - Clean Lowtest Candle on Key supportand Trend LineGreat little naked price action set up on EUR/CHF
- Perfect low test candle
- Previous low test candle on 4hr chart and already reacting
- Testing key support of 1.0900
- Testing Long term bullish trendline from April 2015
- 60% Fibonacci retracement
- Looking like a daily close above daily open will happen
- With trend
Clean targets at 1.10000 and then at 1.1102 for 3:1 RR
AUD/USD - Bearish Engulfing Candle on Key Resistance + TrendlineNot the cleanest, but still a convincing naked set up on AUD/USD. Nothing is better then price reacting to the intersection of key support/resistance and a long term trend line. My favorite set ups!
- Price stalled out at key resistance of (0.76000)
- Bearish engulfing candle 1D
- Double top Pattern (4hr)
- Bouncing off long term bearish trend line
- Aligned with trend
Weak Corrective Pullback Hints at Continued DownsideSince late January, USDCAD has seen a significant counter-trend move to the downside after a sizable bullish run. On it's way down, price briefly found support at the 1.3390 handle (the first blue box) before breaking through it shortly after. After breaking through to the downside, this level got retested twice (the next 2 blue boxes) and met significant selling pressure which had formed a new low. Since then, we have seen a bullish corrective move slowly drifting back toward that major level.
This recent strong impulsive bearish move and the lack of any real buying pressure hints at another potential bearish continuation. An ideal place to sell weak corrective moves is the 1.3390 handle. However, given the significance of this level, if volatility increases and this level is broken, this would also be a solid level to buy on retests.
And be cautious of spikes in volatility around NFP.
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Happy Trading,
Nazar.
AUDNZD - Weekly Tweezer TopsJust checking up on my charts for the week and after the close for the weekend before we got a tidy set of tweezer tops on some strong resistance on 1.3000.
I'm only going to look for a 1:1 RR on this trade because I'm going counter trend on this as we've just had a breakout past the long term bearish trend line shown.
Looking for price to retrace back down to my bullish trend line and support at 0.0925 and go long on a proper price action set up. (yellow zone)
AUDNZD - Weekly Tweezer TopsJust checking up on my charts for the week and after the close for the weekend before we got a tidy set of tweezer tops on some strong resistance on 1.3000.
I'm only going to look for a 1:1 RR on this trade because I'm going counter trend on this as we've just had a breakout past the long term bearish trend line shown.
Looking for price to retrace back down to my bullish trend line and support at 0.0925 and go long on a proper price action set up. (yellow zone)